Just Bet Against Mich State until they lose

Brock Landers · 10-21-10, 11:03 PM

Think they have yet to leave the state of Michigan, no way this team runs the table

rsnnh12 · 10-21-10, 11:07 PM

I think its a terrible idea to bet against them this week. In Iowa may be a good play, but no way do they lose to Northwestern. And its not like its a far drive to Chicago.

Edit- Remaining schedule
@Northwestern
@Iowa
Minnesota
Purdue
@Penn State

They very well could run the table... Iowa should be their only real challenge

csm506 · 10-21-10, 11:11 PM

You might be right about this week but taking a live long shot with a +180 or so for a couple of bones is worth it, I just cannot see Cousins getting this team to 9-0 or 10-0

rsnnh12 · 10-21-10, 11:17 PM

I can't either, I agree that they are def a step below Oregon and other top-ranked teams, but the only real challenge left IMO is Iowa. Could always lose to one of the others, but the schedule is definitely in their favor.

Definitely would be surprising to see a Cousins-led team go undefeated, so I see the logic in your strategy, but I think I'll stay away from this team after this week

If they go undefeated, they'd be legit contenders for the championship, right? Yea I don't like the chances of that happening

stikymess · 10-21-10, 11:21 PM

Really? Thought you were supposed to ride the streak not bet against it? Won and COVERED their last 4. I understand the value going the other way but as rsn said maybe start with Iowa.

Of course you wont and they will go to Northwestern and lay an egg. You just never know. Good luck either way.

hugh4310 · 10-21-10, 11:22 PM

I love Mich ST this week! I might go big on this one.

treece · 10-21-10, 11:22 PM

northwestern and the points is a solid play.

venice2222 · 10-21-10, 11:24 PM

No way they go undefeated.

Wreckloose · 10-21-10, 11:25 PM

I'm thinking of taking them this week.

rsnnh12 · 10-21-10, 11:29 PM

I think this ends up being another case of people overthinking line movement. Just look at the weekday games last week. A lot of people were on the dogs because of the lower-than-expected lines, and what happened? Every favorite won convincingly.

If the line is less than a TD, I think you need to go with the obvious favorite, especially when they are ranked in the top 10.

Poppa Catfish · 10-21-10, 11:31 PM

Originally posted by rsnnh12

I think this ends up being another case of people overthinking line movement. Just look at the weekday games last week. A lot of people were on the dogs because of the lower-than-expected lines, and what happened? Every favorite won convincingly.

If the line is less than a TD, I think you need to go with the obvious favorite, especially when they are ranked in the top 10.

Nah, lets over think things and call ourselves sharp.

csm506 · 10-21-10, 11:40 PM

Rankings mean nothing rsnnh12 how many times do you see a ranked team say #15 play on the road against an unranked team and they are a underdog and lose outright, it happens enough, I am not saying this would be the week they lose, but at 7-0 it is time to hit against them for the next 3 and if they beat me they beat, I feel good about winning within the next 1-2 games. Mich State good enough to be in the 10-15 ranking

LVBOUND · 10-21-10, 11:44 PM

HORRID IDEA!

I will bet anyone all my sbr points on Michigan State ill give you NW ML for +200......

TAKERS!!!!!!!

HOWEVER if MSU triples the spread you pay me and extra 50% of the bet!!!

rsnnh12 · 10-21-10, 11:47 PM

Originally posted by csm506

Rankings mean nothing

I'm not saying being ranked makes you untouchable, but if you are in the top 10, you are obviously a good team. When you go against an average team (like Northwestern), and the spread is less than a TD, I don't see how you can bet against the favorite. Sure, there are exceptions to the rule, but more often than not, the favorite wins, and wins big.

Either way, BOL to you. I think there is an 80% chance MSU loses a game this year, but IMO Northwestern is not the team to do it

csm506 · 10-21-10, 11:49 PM

rsnnh12 you might be right about this weekend, it is more that I am playing the odds that they will lose within the next 2-3 games and this week if it happens you can make almost 2-1 odds, I would not bet the rent money but a few bones for sure GL, and thank you for your feedback you know your stuff.

csm506 · 10-21-10, 11:50 PM

LVbound let's rock and roll I would like to bet 200 SBR points on +200 I give you 200 if you win i get 400 if I win with Northwestern GL

LVBOUND · 10-21-10, 11:52 PM

ok DONE! CSM 200 at +200

LVBOUND · 10-21-10, 11:55 PM

More I think of it, this might be my strongest play of the weekend. Take the MSU ML and BET THE HOUSE ON IT!!!!!!

I will do it SW style with a splash of BROCK!!!!

stikymess · 10-21-10, 11:55 PM

Originally posted by LVBOUND

ok DONE! CSM 200 at +200

Now this game is worth watching.

rsnnh12 · 10-21-10, 11:56 PM

Originally posted by csm506

rsnnh12 you might be right about this weekend, it is more that I am playing the odds that they will lose within the next 2-3 games and this week if it happens you can make almost 2-1 odds, I would not bet the rent money but a few bones for sure GL, and thank you for your feedback you know your stuff.

Good luck man, I think you'll hit that next week (hopefully not this week, since I'm on MSU

). I like the strategy. BOL this weekend with your picks

LVBOUND · 10-22-10, 12:00 AM

OK LETS BREAK DOWN NW VICTORIES

#1 at VANDY 23-21 (VANDY got beat last week 43-0 by Georgia)
#2 ILL State 37-3 (Impressive LOL)
#3 at RICE 30-13 (GARBAGE)
#4 C Mich 30-25 (ND beat them by 40)
#5 at Minn 29-28 (Minn Sux)
Game #6 Purdue 17-20 LOSS

This line should be 9.5

What a joke

paciophobia · 10-22-10, 12:04 AM

why would you fade Michigan St. when theyre doing incredibly well. they may see a loss in their next couple of games but in no way would i want to fade them until they lose. at the very least theyre a respectable team IMO.

RudyRuetigger · 10-22-10, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by csm506

LVbound let's rock and roll I would like to bet 200 SBR points on +200 I give you 200 if you win i get 400 if I win with Northwestern GL

You got screwed on this line. You can get +200 at sbr book... although all your points are pending, what if you lose them and this game loses?

csm506 · 10-22-10, 12:10 AM

Rudy I know the dude I will always square it, as for thing LV is forgetting THEY know something, when I say they, I mean the guys who walk the earth in dark cloaks, they are on Nwestern, 200 it is LV good luck BUD

RudyRuetigger · 10-22-10, 12:11 AM

gl, i think northwestern has a shot too

Hat McCulloch · 10-22-10, 12:12 AM

they won't have a loss until they head to iowa city. they are the real deal. They have a legit chance to go undefeated. Iowa is the only team in there way

nosniboR11 · 10-22-10, 12:13 AM

both teams have a shot , lol

just messing

csm506 · 10-22-10, 12:15 AM

It is an angle pick, simple I am betting that Mich State does not go to 10-0 if I am wrong I will be out some cash, I do not think Mich State alumni and fans would disagree with me, they are pleasantly surprised more to them if they win this week and next. I say they do not...

csm506 · 10-22-10, 12:16 AM

It will come down to something unexpected and that could help the dog, it always does.

LVBOUND · 10-22-10, 12:42 AM

Easy cash boys

Intuitive_Edge · 10-22-10, 12:48 AM

Balanced team with a good D. They are for real.. but they will go down

Memphis Mauler · 10-22-10, 12:50 AM

sparty has covered 4 of 5 contest against very descent opponets. Northwestern has covered 1 of 4 contest. Mich st has beaten wisconsin, michigan, illinois, n. colorado and Notre Dame. No there was no line on the n. colorado. they covered every line eesily except the Notre Dame game. And the ND line was 3.5. Michigan st avgs 34 pts a game. The poitns they give up is 17. The offense almost 450 yards of offense a game and 240 yards is through the air. The defense which has seen the the over rated and over hype denard robinson and do not forget espn's loveing big tens john clay(over rated as well the whole big ten is). The defense gives up 325 yards a game however the pass defense is most question mark giving up over 200 yards.

Northwestern has played NO ONE that is quality win. They beat minnesota which lost to a div 2 school. They also won against C. Michigan, Rice and Illinois St. Purdue was their only lose. Let me remind you northwestern was a 8 point favorite and they lost 20-17. Purdue had 47 passing yards in the game but they ran for more than 200 yards. I do not see how the northwestern D will be able to slow down Baker and Bell which have 1200 yards and 14 td's. The only thing Northwestern has a edge in is turnovers. But that is primarly due to the competition. Northwestern gives up 18 points a game against a lesser opponet.

I do not know why or how this line is hovering at 6. If there are factors I do not know about it beats me. Sparty has been playing like a rose bowl front runner and I do not see them loseing this week. Sparty will cover by two scores. I hope this can build confidence if you were doubting mich st. I am not a big ten fan I love the sec. I think the big ten is over rated and over hyped. I am a fan of whomever is the better play and I like mich st in this one. Good luck and lets win some money.

$Burm$ · 10-22-10, 01:00 AM

northwestern covers the 5 pts this weekend with out a doubt, huge let down spot for the spartans

Memphis Mauler · 10-22-10, 01:10 AM

if mich st does not cover the ncaa will launch a investigation on gambling suspension