See lot's of folks talking about "too many plays", "you can't win with that many plays", etc. But, really is it bad? My thought is you play where you feel the edge is and if it turns out to be 30 plays then best of luck. I think it also will reduce variance.
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of course if every play is a +EV play, but the % of gamblers that can identify a few +EV plays is much higher than the ones who can find 30+ a dayComment -
It seems like I do better when I do 2-3 plays in a day than the days I have 5+.Comment -
Nothing bad about it, volume is your friend when betting sports.Comment -
Everybody is diffrent. I've had better sucess with one to two plays a dayComment -
Find a style that works for you. I have no shot betting many games. I've learned this from the past. Betting the games I really like gives me the best chance for making some money. Betting high volume doesn't work for me.Comment -
In my opinion, the fewer games wagered per week, the better the results. I am usually on 3-5 per week.Comment -
I would say yes.Comment -
A lot of times "the less I play the better I do" actually equates to "the less I play the slower I lose". If you have an edge volume is your friend, if you're a -EV player the more volume you do the quicker you lose the roll.Comment -
If all of your plays are +EV, the more the merrier.Comment -
go to Iceman's SBR blog and find his thread about the most important thing he learned being a professional bettor
I search out people more successful than myself and try to use them as mentors, informally. if it is good enough for someone that seeks to do it for a living, than it can work for me, as long as my +EV identification skills are on point.
I've really increased my volume lately, with a slight drop in winning percentage, but still above B/E.
grinding out what I hope is a positive ROIComment -
never worked worth a shit for meComment -
if u know u have an edge yes
most people are losing bettor so of course not
if i let u pick heads or tails on a fair coin and paid +1.05 for every win how many times would u like to play?Comment -
LT - Two things...
1. the difference is you are a professional. The overwhelming majority here are not. How many hours a week do you spend finding those 30+ plays?
2. How small can your edge be before you feel comfortable betting it may be considerably smaller than someone elses comfort zone.
Overall, the average SBR recreational bettor is probably better off with 5 bets a weekend than 30...
DocComment -
Right, I guess all my answers assume people can recognize +EV. WHOOPS.
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one mistake new volume gamblers make is running out of money
Have you ever seen a +even volume player post their plays to prove
that it works ?
nicky santoro best advice long ago was the key to gambling is
not run out of money and empty your bankroll.Comment -
did well on volume in baseball but getting killed in football.Comment -
noties,
that's the problem with gamblers.. true that the more games you bet, the more you clear at the end.. assuming all are +ev bets.. however, i have seen tons go broke even by doing this. they have a 10k bankroll and bet 2k a game.. they have a 50k bankroll and bet 5k a game. this is wrong. gambling will bite you in the ass at the end if you get greedy.
bet within your means. if your bankroll is only 1k, bet 10-20 a game, or 50$ if you don't want to wait.. and build it from there.. if your bankroll is 100k, bet 500-1500 a game.. you MUST stay in the game because without money, i don't care how many +ev bets you find, it'll do you no good.
People want the fast buck, it's called greed. bet within your means. this is more important than just betting all the +ev you can bet..
there's no written rule that you will win no matter what if you just play +ev bets. it's a very very long term investment. not 24 games.. you can easily go 4-21 in your first 25 games and now what?? you are broke..
DO NOT RUN OUT MONEY. YOU MUST STAY IN THE GAMEComment -
Let's just say bookies love guys that bet a lot of games weekly.Comment -
LT is essentially correct. You should be using parameters you have devised and you bet however many games fall into that formula--thus more would be better. If you are betting hunches, then less is better.
hardest part for any gambler is to bet his formula against his hunch or favorite team. I do it, but it still hurts!! lolComment -
nicky thanks for all suggestions on helping us show a profit wagering.
Small players can find 2 or 3 +100 and up baseball or soccer totals
each day , thats over 1000 wagers per year and show a small profit.
ADD some cash bonuses to that and we have a small part time income.
Thats all most players really expect, its the transition from a small
part time job to a full time job thats the biggest problem . do
you have any suggestions ?
notiesComment -
noties, not sure if you were around in 03/04, but by the sound of your style, you could have made a killing back then.. 40 decent books were offering 30% cash bonus with a 3x rollover, no hold, and no limit.. meaning, you can send 6 books 25k and get 45,000$ cash in your pocket and you were out scalping out the rollover in less than 1 week.. send it all back to NETeller for FREE instantaneously, and then repeat again to 6 new books...this was going on for quite some time. people were making millions each yr from this, no joke..
i have heard of people doing this..not me, but others were... things have changed over the years... you can still do this, but nowhere near what it used to be. now most books have a 500$ bonus cap, if you're lucky. and no more big bonuses.
oh have the times changed offshore.Comment -
I find that the more disciplined I am, the better I do. If that means 0 bets one day and 4 the next, so be it. When I bet games that don't quite fit my parameters, I have problems.Comment -
Does not the juice eat your lunch even if you have +ev bets? Betting 20 games on saturday all +ev to m at -110 would kill youComment -
I do the same thing playing a lot of smaller plays every weekend to rollover my bonus. It's been working out fine so far.Comment -
I-like-to-attack-with-lots-of-bombs-and-missiles-as-well-as-with-infantry-calvary-and-lots-of-little-mines-and-booby-traps.
Nothing-wrong-with-dropping-a-few-ten-dollar-hollers-with-your-1000-dollar-plays.
especially-on-dogs.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment
