I used to be an assistant pro in Florida at a major resort course. (so lets just say take my advice) I love betting on golf because it takes a good golfer to understand the course, conditions and trends to be able to predict a winner. However let's face it, its golf and just about anything can happen. I'm very familiar with TPC Sawgrass as a course and here is my bets for today. It's always a better bet to put money down on the favorites who are ready to move into position for the weekend rather than those guys who are happy to hang around the cutline and get paid.
David Toms -125 over Trevor Immelman +105
The reasons here are glaring.
Toms has the advantage in scoring average, driving accuracy, par breaker percentage, PPR, GIR and Putting.
Scoring average: 70.74
Driving accuracy: 22nd on tour 68.46%
ParBreaker%: 20.25 (113 birdies and eagles in 558 holes)
Puts Per Round: 28.94
Greens in Regulation: 67%
Immelman
Scoring average: 72.12
Driving accuracy: 94th on tour 61.67%
ParBreaker%: 14% (63 birdies and eagles in 450 holes)
Puts Per Round: 29.48
Greens in Regulation: 62.67%
In comparison, Toms has the better scoring average over Immelman going 5 years back! I look for Immelman to shoot an even par or +1 round. Toms a sold -2.
Jim Furyk -155 over Henrik Stenson +135
Stetson is a headcase and its hard to argue with Furyk's consistency. TPC Sawgrass is all about hitting fairways and solid iron play. That's why a guy like Kenny Perry (a guy who I bet on yesterday) can shoot a -5 and guys with length blow up after hitting a par 5 in two and 3 jacking because they're out of position. Furyk is 2nd in driving accuracy this week and his wedgeplay is phenomenal. The pins will be in tougher positions today and you can bet that guys who eagled par fives yesterday with their length (like stenson) won't be in position to do it again.
Furyk
Scoring average: 70.27
Driving accuracy: 10th on tour 76%
ParBreaker%: 21.85% (118 birdies and eagles in 540 holes)
Puts Per Round: 28
Greens in Regulation: 65.19%
Stenson
Scoring average: 73.4
Driving accuracy: 44th on tour 65.71%
ParBreaker%: 20.56% (37 birdies and eagles in 180 holes)
Puts Per Round: 29.7
Greens in Regulation: 60.56%
Furyk -4
Stenson at best -2
David Toms -125 over Trevor Immelman +105
The reasons here are glaring.
Toms has the advantage in scoring average, driving accuracy, par breaker percentage, PPR, GIR and Putting.
Scoring average: 70.74
Driving accuracy: 22nd on tour 68.46%
ParBreaker%: 20.25 (113 birdies and eagles in 558 holes)
Puts Per Round: 28.94
Greens in Regulation: 67%
Immelman
Scoring average: 72.12
Driving accuracy: 94th on tour 61.67%
ParBreaker%: 14% (63 birdies and eagles in 450 holes)
Puts Per Round: 29.48
Greens in Regulation: 62.67%
In comparison, Toms has the better scoring average over Immelman going 5 years back! I look for Immelman to shoot an even par or +1 round. Toms a sold -2.
Jim Furyk -155 over Henrik Stenson +135
Stetson is a headcase and its hard to argue with Furyk's consistency. TPC Sawgrass is all about hitting fairways and solid iron play. That's why a guy like Kenny Perry (a guy who I bet on yesterday) can shoot a -5 and guys with length blow up after hitting a par 5 in two and 3 jacking because they're out of position. Furyk is 2nd in driving accuracy this week and his wedgeplay is phenomenal. The pins will be in tougher positions today and you can bet that guys who eagled par fives yesterday with their length (like stenson) won't be in position to do it again.
Furyk
Scoring average: 70.27
Driving accuracy: 10th on tour 76%
ParBreaker%: 21.85% (118 birdies and eagles in 540 holes)
Puts Per Round: 28
Greens in Regulation: 65.19%
Stenson
Scoring average: 73.4
Driving accuracy: 44th on tour 65.71%
ParBreaker%: 20.56% (37 birdies and eagles in 180 holes)
Puts Per Round: 29.7
Greens in Regulation: 60.56%
Furyk -4
Stenson at best -2
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