1. #1
    KiDBaZkiT
    KiDBaZkiT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-09
    Posts: 10,375
    Betpoints: 70

    Friday (6/11) NBA playoff discussion thread.

    2 games. Philly@Atlanta (+1)total is 224.5 as well as Phoenix@Denver (-1.5) total in that game is 223. 76ers/Hawks line seems spot on, exactly what it should be. However I struggle to see how Denver is laying a basket to Phoenix after how Phoenix has absolutely dominated them for about 6 quarters straight.

  2. #2
    sosawestbrook
    sosawestbrook's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-10-16
    Posts: 3,080
    Betpoints: 3402

    if 2020 taught us anything its wait til everyone counts the Nuggets out then bet them

  3. #3
    rm18
    Update your status
    rm18's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-20-05
    Posts: 22,118
    Betpoints: 19130

    Denver much better with Will Barton back though his teammates didn't show up.

  4. #4
    Easy-Rider 66
    Thunder Road
    Easy-Rider 66's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-14-12
    Posts: 26,045
    Betpoints: 532

    Favor DEN minus the small # tonight.

  5. #5
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 33,826
    Betpoints: 5990

    Can someone tell me why Atlanta isn't favored at home tonight? They were a very good home team later in the season even at limited capacity. Full capacity tonight that place will be rocking and this series is all about runs. They should be able to have some huge runs at home. Can Embiid carry Philly all by himself? I just don't see the Hawks being intimidated. + money seem almost too good to be true. Tell me what I'm missing.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/14/2021


  6. #6
    KiDBaZkiT
    KiDBaZkiT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-09
    Posts: 10,375
    Betpoints: 70

    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Can someone tell me why Atlanta isn't favored at home tonight? They were a very good home team later in the season even at limited capacity. Full capacity tonight that place will be rocking and this series is all about runs. They should be able to have some huge runs at home. Can Embiid carry Philly all by himself? I just don't see the Hawks being intimidated. + money seem almost too good to be true. Tell me what I'm missing.
    The odds makers have to respect the fact that 76ers are the number 1 seed. If it was regular season play I definitely think you see Atlanta as the favorite.

  7. #7
    jjgold
    Update your status
    jjgold's Avatar File Clerk
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 365,862
    Betpoints: 1202

    76ers should win pretty easily

  8. #8
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 33,826
    Betpoints: 5990

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    76ers should win pretty easily
    Solid reasoning right there, thanks.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/14/2021


  9. #9
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 85,369
    Betpoints: 188

    Denver starters were awful outside of jokic last game. Don't see that happening again it might be similar to the bucks vs nets game last night.

  10. #10
    johnnyvegas13
    johnnyvegas13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-21-15
    Posts: 18,349
    Betpoints: 154

    Don’t think u can go wrong taking home teams

    then again I always wrong in nba

  11. #11
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 33,826
    Betpoints: 5990

    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    Don’t think u can go wrong taking home teams

    then again I always wrong in nba
    Home teams seem to be getting stronger now with full capacity. Not surprising.
    Points Awarded:

    johnnyvegas13 gave d2bets 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/14/2021


  12. #12
    SportBet305
    SportBet305's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-18
    Posts: 19
    Betpoints: 222

    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Solid reasoning right there, thanks.
    😂😂😂

  13. #13
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 66,388
    Betpoints: 91

    I make a wide range of forecasts and the sharpest playoff forecast I have shows Philly beating Atlanta buy more than 4 points. As I tier down the forecasts Philly continues to have a few point to moneyline edge.

    The non-predictive public gauge, which I create to gauge the sentiment of the general betting population, based on ratings, formulas, and an assessment of the news cycle, both local and broad (yeah, what we do in my office is pretty fukkin' sick) also has Philly winning 113-111.

    Everyone has Philly nailed down, but it's the public gauge along with unsophisticated ratings and strategies that gives Atlanta more credit, this is evident across the spectrum. Think about that if you are assessing the game based on simple factors or even just feel alone.

    When it comes to the market the books know the line is priced low and quite frankly are happy at this point to take in the bets on Philly here. That said, my scan across the market, something I talked about in the Morino WNBA thread, and other info tells us that another group in the New Jersey area or at least getting down there likes Atlanta and represents market moving money to those books in spite of the public pressure on Philly.

    It's early and this situation is fluid but this gives yet another glimpse into how my office handicaps.

    I have no bet at this time but if the volume continues to come in on the side it has and the books continure to hold the line, we will have Atlanta +1.5 on the contrarian Fund radar.

    $30
    Angelman
    donation 6/15/2021

    $30
    Angelman
    donation 6/9/2021

    $30
    Angelman
    donation 6/8/2021

    $30
    Angelman
    donation 6/7/2021

    $30
    Angelman
    donation 6/4/2021

    $20
    Angelman
    donation 02/15/2021


  14. #14
    RudyRuetigger
    Mr Mojo Risin
    RudyRuetigger's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 60,883
    Betpoints: 25

    what was philly......... -3.5 first game?



    looked fishy and hawks won



    now philly is -1 on the road?


    looks fishy



    probably philly win
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/17/2021

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/14/2021


  15. #15
    asiagambler
    asiagambler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-23-17
    Posts: 4,297
    Betpoints: 5865

    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    what was philly......... -3.5 first game?



    looked fishy and hawks won



    now philly is -1 on the road?


    looks fishy



    probably philly win
    Difference is in Game 1 Embiid was questionable but sentiment was that he was not going to play

    He is officially questionable again but this time sentiment is that he is almost certainly going to play

Top