1. 09-09-20 10:07 AM #1
    Mr KLC
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    Brewers/Tigers Over 4 +110 First 5

    OK. This is what I see. The numbers are saying this might be a good pitching match up. Both pitchers have had 2 straight quality starts. Burnes has 53 K's in 38.1 IP with a nice 1.04 WHIP. His 2 highest pitch counts have been in his last 2 decisions (90 and 93 respectively). He has definitely been a pitcher on the uptick.

    Boyd started out as the same old Boyd we've seen the last 2 years, but has improved as the season has gone along. His ERA has gone down from 10.24 to 6.64 over the last 4 games. He has 29 K's in 21 innings of work in those 4 games.

    BUT....................................

    I'm going the other way. Tigers have scored 25 runs in the 3 games they have played against the Brewers this year. Also, this is not the Matthew Boyd that we are accustomed to so I would think sooner or later he is going to go back to his old "gas can" self. The fact that pushes me this way is the number. This could just as easily be a push with the even number, and +110 seems like a payout worth taking the risk.
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  2. 09-09-20 10:12 AM #2
    pologq
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    i do like the over for the game also. taking over 7.5 at -115.
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  3. 09-09-20 11:06 AM #3
    KnuckleHeadz
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    I got F5 at 3.5
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  4. 09-09-20 11:11 AM #4
    pologq
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    i see over 3.5 -120
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  5. 09-09-20 11:12 AM #5
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by pologq View Post
    i see over 3.5 -120
    What I went with and full game.. KLC has been hot
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  6. 09-09-20 11:46 AM #6
    BigDofBA
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    Why not?

    GL
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  7. 09-09-20 12:31 PM #7
    Mr KLC
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    Looks like Boyd is going to have to make the Over all by himself. Burnes is looking nasty today.
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  8. 09-09-20 12:41 PM #8
    BigDofBA
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    KLC...earning street cred.
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  9. 09-09-20 12:45 PM #9
    Mr KLC
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    Brewers would have had 4 in that inning if they didn't try to steal 3rd base with no outs. Stupid call!
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  10. 09-09-20 12:49 PM #10
    BigDofBA
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    The stolen base was stupid...you don’t make the first or third out at 3rd base when you are already in scoring position.
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  11. 09-09-20 12:53 PM #11
    pologq
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    like aaron hicks last night for the yankees - stupid stupid stupid
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  12. 09-09-20 12:56 PM #12
    BigDofBA
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    There is 4.

    I think you’re right about Boyd single handily getting this for us.
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  13. 09-09-20 12:59 PM #13
    Mr KLC
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    Congrats to the guys that got the 3.5 Over. Hopefully I can get one more to move off the push.
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  14. 09-09-20 01:04 PM #14
    pologq
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    thank you for the advice on the play
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  15. 09-09-20 01:06 PM #15
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr KLC View Post
    OK. This is what I see. The numbers are saying this might be a good pitching match up. Both pitchers have had 2 straight quality starts. Burnes has 53 K's in 38.1 IP with a nice 1.04 WHIP. His 2 highest pitch counts have been in his last 2 decisions (90 and 93 respectively). He has definitely been a pitcher on the uptick.

    Boyd started out as the same old Boyd we've seen the last 2 years, but has improved as the season has gone along. His ERA has gone down from 10.24 to 6.64 over the last 4 games. He has 29 K's in 21 innings of work in those 4 games.

    BUT....................................

    I'm going the other way. Tigers have scored 25 runs in the 3 games they have played against the Brewers this year. Also, this is not the Matthew Boyd that we are accustomed to so I would think sooner or later he is going to go back to his old "gas can" self. The fact that pushes me this way is the number. This could just as easily be a push with the even number, and +110 seems like a payout worth taking the risk.
    Great analysis again as per usual.

    Boyd's last two have been as consistent as consistent can get, but yeah Boyd can be lit up at times and the Brewers have an offense that can do damage.

    Burnes last two have also been sharp and right again the Tigers have been raking as of late.

    I see your contrarian angle here, and like you mentioned four runs does get you a push.

    Your last play was spot on terrific, I'll tail here small.

    Not for nothing, there are some interesting games tonight.
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  16. 09-09-20 01:07 PM #16
    Mr KLC
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    Quote Originally Posted by pologq View Post
    thank you for the advice on the play
    No problem. Hope you cover the 7.5 for the whole game.
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  17. 09-09-20 01:10 PM #17
    Mr KLC
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Great analysis again as per usual.

    Boyd's last two have been as consistent as consistent can get, but yeah Boyd can be lit up at times and the Brewers have an offense that can do damage.

    Burnes last two have also been sharp and right again the Tigers have been raking as of late.

    I see your contrarian angle here, and like you mentioned four runs does get you a push.

    Your last play was spot on terrific, I'll tail here small.

    Not for nothing, there are some interesting games tonight.
    Thank you for the kind words, Sir.
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  18. 09-09-20 01:14 PM #18
    BigDofBA
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    It was good analysis unlike most of the crap I see on here.

    This is two days in a row he has been pretty much spot on.

    My hats off to you sir.
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  19. 09-09-20 01:15 PM #19
    Mr KLC
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    Winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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  20. 09-09-20 01:15 PM #20
    carolinakid
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    congrats on the easy no sweat winner...(ck)
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  21. 09-09-20 01:16 PM #21
    KnuckleHeadz
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    TY Sir
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  22. 09-09-20 01:17 PM #22
    Mr KLC
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    It was good analysis unlike most of the crap I see on here.

    This is two days in a row he has been pretty much spot on.

    My hats off to you sir.
    Likewise, my friend. Thank you!
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  23. 09-09-20 02:12 PM #23
    Runeblade
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    That was a great play you crushed it!!!
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  24. 09-09-20 02:20 PM #24
    CappinTerp
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    good call !!......these baseball players should know...never make the 1st out or last out going to 3rd base !
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  25. 09-09-20 02:28 PM #25
    Kermit
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    Nice. I had this one over 10 at +220.
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  26. 09-09-20 02:39 PM #26
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Good thing Milwaukee showed up for this
    15 runs on 16 hits against 1 hit with 2 innings remaining
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  27. 09-09-20 02:40 PM #27
    Mike Huntertz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr KLC View Post
    Winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Bravo, beauty!
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  28. 09-09-20 03:05 PM #28
    Kermit
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    LOL. I double dipped this one in the 6th inning and hit again.

    MIL Brewers @ DET TigersBaseball / MLB
    Sep 9, 2020, 1:10 PM
    Total Runs
    Over 15.5
    +200
    Result: Over
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  29. 09-09-20 03:09 PM #29
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kermit View Post
    LOL. I double dipped this one in the 6th inning and hit again.

    MIL Brewers @ DET TigersBaseball / MLB
    Sep 9, 2020, 1:10 PM
    Total Runs
    Over 15.5
    +200
    Result: Over
    Nice one K
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  30. 09-09-20 03:11 PM #30
    Kermit
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    Fuggin' 19-0.

    Are the Tiger even going to try and save face by scoring at least 1 run.
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  31. 09-09-20 04:34 PM #31
    Art Vandelay
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    Always nice to have a "cigar game" once in awhile!
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