1. #36
    sosawestbrook
    sosawestbrook's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-10-16
    Posts: 3,135
    Betpoints: 4486

    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Not playing a different game, but if you think everyone will be in prime high peak conditioning at the first tip or pitch you are sadly mistakened. You can’t handicap how diligently someone stayed in shape during the delay unless you see it.
    good luck with that.

    let us know how you plan on scouting such data, incorporating it into the line & then capitalizing on it over the long run.

  2. #37
    Biff41
    Biff41's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-23-14
    Posts: 1,234
    Betpoints: 4769

    Wonder if smaller crowds will make players less emotional, more mechanical in their performing?

  3. #38
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by miabos View Post
    This is a new betting angle I thought about. Just putting it out there, more of a crap shoot than anything. Thanks for responding and good luck KVB.
    Definitely a good discussion, I think this thread is doing well.

    I certainly don't know it all, and it's obviously easier to shoot down new ideas than to expand on or even come up with them.

    I was thinking all stars with your idea but it your idea could be more short term. Not sure we get enough games to get the effects we're looking for. It will be interesting if we hear of a high profile athlete in ICU or something with COVID.

    Then we're looking into an effect on next year's team, perhaps, as there's is an unlikely chance it's outright career ending in the worst case scenario.

    Good Luck as well.


  4. #39
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Nasher with a pretty good look here...

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    1) Manfred must go.
    His ideas are beyond ludicrous.
    They make no sense.'

    2) In a 60 game season teams that have a strong front three rotation starters will dominate.
    Pay attention to teams with ace starters that eat up innings.
    Nats for instance, you can work Max, Stras, Corbin every fifth day in a sprint like 60 game season.
    You can work your horses in a short season, you can't send out your studs every fifth day in a full 162 game schedule.

    Long story short if you got starting pitching your'e in the hunt, if you don't you won't compete.
    Pitching wins, always has, always will.

    Here's a list of last season innings eaters.
    I moved some of the key free agents to their 2020 teams.
    The Phils may challenge the Nats now with a dependable Wheeler in the three spot of the rotation.
    Teams like my Royals will get buried because their staff ace (Keller or Junis) will get shelled.


    Name Team GS IP K/9 BB/9 ERA WAR
    Marcus Stroman - - - 32 184.1 7.76 2.83 3.22 3.9
    Homer Bailey - - - 31 163.1 8.21 2.92 4.57 2.9
    Tanner Roark - - - 31 165.1 8.6 2.78 4.35 1.9
    Mike Leake - - - 32 197 5.8 1.23 4.29 1
    Zack Greinke Astros 33 208.2 8.07 1.29 2.93 5.4
    Justin Verlander Astros 34 223 12.11 1.7 2.58 6.4
    Wade Miley Astros 33 167.1 7.53 3.28 3.98 2
    Brett Anderson Athletics 31 176 4.6 2.51 3.89 2
    Mike Fiers Athletics 33 184.2 6.14 2.58 3.9 1.7
    Mike Soroka Braves 29 174.2 7.32 2.11 2.68 4
    Max Fried Braves 30 165.2 9.4 2.55 4.02 3
    Julio Teheran Braves 33 174.2 8.35 4.28 3.81 1.6
    Jack Flaherty Cardinals 33 196.1 10.59 2.52 2.75 4.7
    Miles Mikolas Cardinals 32 184 7.04 1.57 4.16 2.5
    Adam Wainwright Cardinals 31 171.2 8.02 3.36 4.19 2.2
    Dakota Hudson Cardinals 32 174.2 7.01 4.43 3.35 1
    Kyle Hendricks Cubs 30 177 7.63 1.63 3.46 4.1
    Jose Quintana Cubs 31 171 8 2.42 4.68 3.5
    Jon Lester Cubs 31 171.2 8.65 2.73 4.46 2.8
    Yu Darvish Cubs 31 178.2 11.54 2.82 3.98 2.6
    Robbie Ray Diamondbacks 33 174.1 12.13 4.34 4.34 2.4
    Merrill Kelly Diamondbacks 32 183.1 7.76 2.8 4.42 2
    Madison Bumgarner Diamondbacks 34 207.2 8.8 1.86 3.9 3.2
    Walker Buehler Dodgers 30 182.1 10.61 1.83 3.26 5
    Hyun-Jin Ryu Dodgers 29 182.2 8.03 1.18 2.32 4.8
    Clayton Kershaw Dodgers 28 178.1 9.54 2.07 3.03 3.4
    Jeff Samardzija Giants 32 181.1 6.95 2.43 3.52 1.5
    Shane Bieber Indians 33 214.1 10.88 1.68 3.28 5.6
    Marco Gonzales Mariners 34 203 6.52 2.48 3.99 3.7
    Sandy Alcantara Marlins 32 197.1 6.89 3.69 3.88 2.3
    Jacob deGrom Mets 32 204 11.25 1.94 2.43 7
    Noah Syndergaard Mets 32 197.2 9.2 2.28 4.28 4.4
    Max Scherzer Nationals 27 172.1 12.69 1.72 2.92 6.5
    Stephen Strasburg Nationals 33 209 10.81 2.41 3.32 5.7
    Patrick Corbin Nationals 33 202 10.6 3.12 3.25 4.8
    Anibal Sanchez Nationals 30 166 7.27 3.14 3.85 2.5
    Joey Lucchesi Padres 30 163.2 8.69 3.08 4.18 2.1
    Zack Wheeler Phillies 31 195.1 8.98 2.3 3.96 4.7
    Aaron Nola Phillies 34 202.1 10.19 3.56 3.87 3.4
    Zach Eflin Phillies 28 163.1 7.11 2.64 4.13 1.5
    Joe Musgrove Pirates 31 170.1 8.3 2.06 4.44 3.3
    Lance Lynn Rangers 33 208.1 10.63 2.55 3.67 6.8
    Mike Minor Rangers 32 208.1 8.64 2.94 3.59 4.1
    Charlie Morton Rays 33 194.2 11.1 2.64 3.05 6.1
    Eduardo Rodriguez Red Sox 34 203.1 9.43 3.32 3.81 3.7
    Rick Porcello Red Sox 32 174.1 7.38 2.32 5.52 1.8
    Trevor Bauer Reds 34 213 10.69 3.46 4.48 3.3
    Sonny Gray Reds 31 175.1 10.52 3.49 2.87 4.4
    Luis Castillo Reds 32 190.2 10.67 3.73 3.4 4.1
    Anthony DeSclafani Reds 31 166.2 9.02 2.65 3.89 2.4
    German Marquez Rockies 28 174 9.05 1.81 4.76 3.4
    Brad Keller Royals 28 165.1 6.64 3.81 4.19 2.2
    Jakob Junis Royals 31 175.1 8.42 2.98 5.24 1.5
    Matthew Boyd Tigers 32 185.1 11.56 2.43 4.56 3.3
    Jose Berrios Twins 32 200.1 8.76 2.29 3.68 4.4
    Martin Perez Twins 29 165.1 7.35 3.65 5.12 1.9
    Lucas Giolito White Sox 29 176.2 11.62 2.9 3.41 5.1
    Reynaldo Lopez White Sox 33 184 8.27 3.18 5.38 2.3
    Ivan Nova White Sox 34 187 5.49 2.26 4.72 2
    Gerrit Cole Yankees 33 212.1 13.82 2.03 2.5 7.4
    Masahiro Tanaka Yankees 31 182 7.37 1.98 4.45 3.3

  5. #40
    miabos
    miabos's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-10
    Posts: 88
    Betpoints: 10098

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    edges factored into the lines quickly
    Absolutely. I like how you post. Short and to the point and it looks like you're very respected as well.

  6. #41
    miabos
    miabos's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-10
    Posts: 88
    Betpoints: 10098

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Definitely a good discussion, I think this thread is doing well.

    I certainly don't know it all, and it's obviously easier to shoot down new ideas than to expand on or even come up with them.

    I was thinking all stars with your idea but it your idea could be more short term. Not sure we get enough games to get the effects we're looking for. It will be interesting if we hear of a high profile athlete in ICU or something with COVID.

    Then we're looking into an effect on next year's team, perhaps, as there's is an unlikely chance it's outright career ending in the worst case scenario.

    Good Luck as well.

    All stars or high profile athletes for sure. Djokovic testing positive is an athlete to look at. Although a very healthy individual, not likely to suffer badly from the corona virus but could suffer some mild lung damage. This could effect his play slightly enough for his opponent to capitalize on it. That's the edge or angle I was hoping for. Of course team sports are different again. Thanks for the additional comments.

  7. #42
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    If we don’t get corona under control they’ll be no more sports

  8. #43
    miabos
    miabos's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-10
    Posts: 88
    Betpoints: 10098

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    If we don’t get corona under control they’ll be no more sports
    100%. Sports are pretty much life. Kind of lost without them. Actually sports is what woke up North America. Sports leagues shutting out billions and billions of dollars sure shows the severity of the virus. Hope for the best and stay healthy JJgold.

  9. #44
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    Have any new edges and angles worked so far in the MLB and NBA restart?? Looks like zero defense emphasized in NBA and MLB went haywire after the first two weeks.

First 12
Top