1. 05-09-19 07:36 PM #1
    homie1975
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    What will the game 7 line for golden State v Houston be ??

    Assume golden State loses by 10.to 12 points in game 6 a d everyone is expected to play for golden State except KD.

    golden State -2

    ??
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  2. 05-09-19 07:40 PM #2
    eaglesfan371
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    Looks like books see Durant as a 5 point difference so I would expect the true line to be GSW -1 or -1.5 being at home for game 7. Thus implying +100 ML for Houston, which parlay calculator for -310 (Houston ML game 6) plus +100 (houston game 7) gives +165 return. Series line is +165 Houston currently so it matches up.



    If Houston blows them out in game 6, then public will hit Houston hard for game 7. If GSW keeps it close, then the public will hammer GSW game 7. Determine a true line for game 7 BEFORE game 6. People do not realize that one game does not change the statistical advantage of a team over another especially in NBA, one of the sharpest sports with 150+ possessions per game.
    Last edited by eaglesfan371; 05-09-19 at 07:49 PM.
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  3. 05-09-19 08:34 PM #3
    homie1975
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    Houston was -3.5 in game four now they're -7 so books and bettors seeing KD as just a 3.5 difference No?
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  4. 05-09-19 09:15 PM #4
    eaglesfan371
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    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    Houston was -3.5 in game four now they're -7 so books and bettors seeing KD as just a 3.5 difference No?
    Thought it was -2 my bad. Either way, linesmakers are offering +165/-190 for the series. With -310 Houston game 6, +100 is the 2nd leg of that parlay that would payout +165.

    It is intriguing if there is a difference there in the value that give Durant home vs away (it should be minor, just full point or two difference).
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  5. 05-09-19 09:16 PM #5
    The Kraken
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    Ev -110
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  6. 05-09-19 09:20 PM #6
    DOM-Ganador
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    No game 7.
    GS takes em to the woodshed.
    Harden plays like Kyrie.
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  7. 05-09-19 10:07 PM #7
    ChiLLx
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    Game will close as pk or Houston +1
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  8. 05-09-19 10:22 PM #8
    CanuckG
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    Market overreacting big time with KD injury.
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  9. 05-09-19 10:35 PM #9
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanuckG View Post
    Market overreacting big time with KD injury.
    only 3.5 points.

    Hou was -3.5 at home in game Four
    now they are -7 at home in game Six. just 3.5 pts higher

    series price still GS -190. houston +165

    where is the overreaction?
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  10. 05-09-19 10:44 PM #10
    thomorino
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    The market is pricing in more than the KD injury, its pricing in Houston getting the calls in game 6 and GS getting the calls at home in game 7. I think GS will be -2.5 in game 7.
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  11. 05-09-19 10:50 PM #11
    lakerboy
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    Gsw will be-3 maybe 3.5 to open. If there is a game 7.
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  12. 05-09-19 11:04 PM #12
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    The market is pricing in more than the KD injury, its pricing in Houston getting the calls in game 6 and GS getting the calls at home in game 7. I think GS will be -2.5 in game 7.
    Right.
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  13. 05-09-19 11:13 PM #13
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Any chance the GoldSt players in the room PREFER to play w/o KD?
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  14. 05-10-19 03:26 AM #14
    titanium777
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    State 29-4 when KD Is out but Curry is in.

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/ke...6-nba-playoffs
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  15. 05-10-19 06:43 AM #15
    Git Lo
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Any chance the GoldSt players in the room PREFER to play w/o KD?
    It's usually Curry but he has other things to worry about atm
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  16. 05-10-19 10:24 AM #16
    dirtycash66
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    Trying to predict the NBA is like trying to predict the stock market...A lot of brave men before you have gone broke trying...tread carefully boys
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  17. 05-10-19 02:50 PM #17
    jjgold
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    GSW -5

    Let me set the lines men
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  18. 05-10-19 02:53 PM #18
    pilebuck13
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    Warriors -2.5 or so
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  19. 05-10-19 03:45 PM #19
    LT Profits
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    Warriors -2
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  20. 05-10-19 03:54 PM #20
    rm18
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    Warriors are only -175 to win the series so they wont be favored in game 7. Rockets -1.5 according to my numbers.
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  21. 05-10-19 03:58 PM #21
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by rm18 View Post
    Warriors are only -175 to win the series so they wont be favored in game 7. Rockets -1.5 according to my numbers.
    Check those numbers again lol
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  22. 05-10-19 04:01 PM #22
    lakerboy
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    Based on the series price Houston should be+100 or so on the ml
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  23. 05-10-19 07:02 PM #23
    asiagambler
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    It depends a lot on how Warriors play tonight without Durant. I think could be anywhere from Warriors -2 to Rockets -2
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  24. 05-10-19 11:28 PM #24
    DOM-Ganador
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM-Ganador View Post
    No game 7.
    GS takes em to the woodshed.
    Harden plays like Kyrie.
    fellas...wait till next year to fade GS.
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  25. 05-10-19 11:57 PM #25
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM-Ganador View Post
    fellas...wait till next year to fade GS.
    Good call
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  26. 05-11-19 12:20 AM #26
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Intertops had Hou -1.5.
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  27. 05-11-19 12:33 AM #27
    inspektr
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    1 game at a time buddy
    Points Awarded:

    homie1975 gave inspektr 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  28. 05-11-19 05:42 AM #28
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by inspektr View Post
    1 game at a time buddy
    Well this thread was based on the assumption of Houston winning Game 6, everyone knew there was a chance of Game 7 not happening. I thought it was interesting and kind of wish we could have found out.
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  29. 05-11-19 09:39 AM #29
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Well this thread was based on the assumption of Houston winning Game 6, everyone knew there was a chance of Game 7 not happening. I thought it was interesting and kind of wish we could have found out.
    Once in a while I give my guy LT crap yet he comes in to defend me. How classy is LT. I Could learn from u Sir. Bravo to u for being all class.
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  30. 05-11-19 09:50 AM #30
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    Once in a while I give my guy LT crap yet he comes in to defend me. How classy is LT. I Could learn from u Sir. Bravo to u for being all class.
    I view our past encounters more like friendly debates, you have yet to offend me.
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