What will the game 7 line for golden State v Houston be ??

eaglesfan371 · 05-09-19, 07:40 PM

Looks like books see Durant as a 5 point difference so I would expect the true line to be GSW -1 or -1.5 being at home for game 7. Thus implying +100 ML for Houston, which parlay calculator for -310 (Houston ML game 6) plus +100 (houston game 7) gives +165 return. Series line is +165 Houston currently so it matches up.

If Houston blows them out in game 6, then public will hit Houston hard for game 7. If GSW keeps it close, then the public will hammer GSW game 7. Determine a true line for game 7 BEFORE game 6. People do not realize that one game does not change the statistical advantage of a team over another especially in NBA, one of the sharpest sports with 150+ possessions per game.

homie1975 · 05-09-19, 08:34 PM

Houston was -3.5 in game four now they're -7 so books and bettors seeing KD as just a 3.5 difference No?

eaglesfan371 · 05-09-19, 09:15 PM

Originally posted by homie1975

Houston was -3.5 in game four now they're -7 so books and bettors seeing KD as just a 3.5 difference No?

Thought it was -2 my bad. Either way, linesmakers are offering +165/-190 for the series. With -310 Houston game 6, +100 is the 2nd leg of that parlay that would payout +165.

It is intriguing if there is a difference there in the value that give Durant home vs away (it should be minor, just full point or two difference).

The Kraken · 05-09-19, 09:16 PM

Ev -110

DOM-Ganador · 05-09-19, 09:20 PM

No game 7.
GS takes em to the woodshed.
Harden plays like Kyrie.

ChiLLx · 05-09-19, 10:07 PM

Game will close as pk or Houston +1

CanuckG · 05-09-19, 10:22 PM

Market overreacting big time with KD injury.

homie1975 · 05-09-19, 10:35 PM

Originally posted by CanuckG

Market overreacting big time with KD injury.

only 3.5 points.

Hou was -3.5 at home in game Four
now they are -7 at home in game Six. just 3.5 pts higher

series price still GS -190. houston +165

where is the overreaction?

thomorino · 05-09-19, 10:44 PM

The market is pricing in more than the KD injury, its pricing in Houston getting the calls in game 6 and GS getting the calls at home in game 7. I think GS will be -2.5 in game 7.

lakerboy · 05-09-19, 10:50 PM

Gsw will be-3 maybe 3.5 to open. If there is a game 7.

homie1975 · 05-09-19, 11:04 PM

Originally posted by thomorino

The market is pricing in more than the KD injury, its pricing in Houston getting the calls in game 6 and GS getting the calls at home in game 7. I think GS will be -2.5 in game 7.

Right.

ChuckyTheGoat · 05-09-19, 11:13 PM

Any chance the GoldSt players in the room PREFER to play w/o KD?

titanium777 · 05-10-19, 03:26 AM

State 29-4 when KD Is out but Curry is in.

How Kevin Durant Injury Has Altered Odds, Expectations for Warriors In Game 5 of 2019 NBA Finals vs. Raptors | The Action Network

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/kevin-durant-injury-betting-impact-history-warriors-rockets-game-6-nba-playoffs

Kevin Durant will miss the remainder of the NBA Finals vs. Raptors. What should bettors expect from the Warriors with KD sidelined?

Git Lo · 05-10-19, 06:43 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Any chance the GoldSt players in the room PREFER to play w/o KD?

It's usually Curry but he has other things to worry about atm

dirtycash66 · 05-10-19, 10:24 AM

Trying to predict the NBA is like trying to predict the stock market...A lot of brave men before you have gone broke trying...tread carefully boys

jjgold · 05-10-19, 02:50 PM

GSW -5

Let me set the lines men

pilebuck13 · 05-10-19, 02:53 PM

Warriors -2.5 or so

LT Profits · 05-10-19, 03:45 PM

Warriors -2

rm18 · 05-10-19, 03:54 PM

Warriors are only -175 to win the series so they wont be favored in game 7. Rockets -1.5 according to my numbers.

homie1975 · 05-10-19, 03:58 PM

Originally posted by rm18

Warriors are only -175 to win the series so they wont be favored in game 7. Rockets -1.5 according to my numbers.

Check those numbers again lol

lakerboy · 05-10-19, 04:01 PM

Based on the series price Houston should be+100 or so on the ml

asiagambler · 05-10-19, 07:02 PM

It depends a lot on how Warriors play tonight without Durant. I think could be anywhere from Warriors -2 to Rockets -2

DOM-Ganador · 05-10-19, 11:28 PM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

No game 7.
GS takes em to the woodshed.
Harden plays like Kyrie.

fellas...wait till next year to fade GS.

homie1975 · 05-10-19, 11:57 PM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

fellas...wait till next year to fade GS.

Good call

DrunkHorseplayer · 05-11-19, 12:20 AM

Intertops had Hou -1.5.

inspektr · 05-11-19, 12:33 AM

1 game at a time buddy

LT Profits · 05-11-19, 05:42 AM

Originally posted by inspektr

1 game at a time buddy

Well this thread was based on the assumption of Houston winning Game 6, everyone knew there was a chance of Game 7 not happening. I thought it was interesting and kind of wish we could have found out.

homie1975 · 05-11-19, 09:39 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Well this thread was based on the assumption of Houston winning Game 6, everyone knew there was a chance of Game 7 not happening. I thought it was interesting and kind of wish we could have found out.

Once in a while I give my guy LT crap yet he comes in to defend me. How classy is LT. I Could learn from u Sir. Bravo to u for being all class.

LT Profits · 05-11-19, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by homie1975

Once in a while I give my guy LT crap yet he comes in to defend me. How classy is LT. I Could learn from u Sir. Bravo to u for being all class.

I view our past encounters more like friendly debates, you have yet to offend me.