1. 07-24-16 12:33 PM #106
    The Kraken
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    Quote Originally Posted by ABEHONEST View Post
    Your problem? You take the Lib way too many times, when, even if the supreme court would look at the same controversy as you do, and state, not-guilty, at least 50% of the time. Your version is, guilty 90 % of of the time. Do you read me? Not a chance, right? There is your problem.
    Not even google translate could decode this post
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  2. 07-24-16 03:49 PM #107
    15805
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    In the moment, Rubio's debate moment seemed bad, but it's only in retrospect that you understand its impact. It seemed like Rubio still had a chance, but the chances were severely diminished. Trump really took the race over in NH and ran from there. If Rubio wins NH or even finishes a strong second, it changes SC and so on.

    Since you went back and looked at the odds, please go back and look to see what Rubio's odds were the day before the debate and then the day after NH (5 days later).
    02-03-2016, 09:32 PM
    Republican Nominee - Republican National Convention
    Mon 7/18 901 Marco Rubio is Republican Nominee -145
    8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination +105

    I made a few bucks on NH

    358775471-1
    2/3/16 2:24am $150.00 $50.00 $200.00 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -300 vs Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary
    358775298-1 2/3/16 2:12am $118.80 $44.00 $162.80 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -270 vs Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary
    358775152-1 2/3/16 2:01am $132.50 $50.00 $182.50 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -265 vs Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary
    Last edited by 15805; 07-24-16 at 03:55 PM.
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  3. 07-24-16 04:55 PM #108
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by 15805 View Post
    02-03-2016, 09:32 PM
    Republican Nominee - Republican National Convention
    Mon 7/18 901 Marco Rubio is Republican Nominee -145
    8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination +105

    I made a few bucks on NH

    358775471-1
    2/3/16 2:24am $150.00 $50.00 $200.00 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -300 vs Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary
    358775298-1 2/3/16 2:12am $118.80 $44.00 $162.80 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -270 vs Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary
    358775152-1 2/3/16 2:01am $132.50 $50.00 $182.50 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -265 vs Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary
    Not what I was saying. Rubio wasn't going to win but he was poised to get over 20% and come in strong second. Instead, he cratered and only got 10%. Everything is magnified and it set his campaign so far back they couldn't recover. It changed everything. Again, not declaring that he definitely wins without that debate, but I think he likely would have. 60-65% chance. No way I can prove it or you can disprove it, so we'll agree to disagree.
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  4. 07-24-16 06:01 PM #109
    mg63
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    Firefighters union abandons plans to endorse Clinton for president ...

    Oct 2, 2015 - Firefighters union abandons plans to endorse Clinton for president:NY Times. U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton holds a ...
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  5. 07-24-16 06:25 PM #110
    15805
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    Quote Originally Posted by mg63 View Post
    Firefighters union abandons plans to endorse Clinton for president ...

    Oct 2, 2015 - Firefighters union abandons plans to endorse Clinton for president:NY Times. U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton holds a ...

    Just the beginning, the smartest among the crew are always the first to jump off a sinking ship.
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  6. 07-24-16 08:30 PM #111
    Muller Rose
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    What if we find out Hillary is a man?
    LOL! you all be damned!
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  7. 07-24-16 08:56 PM #112
    grease lightnin
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    https://youtu.be/YMHOcmDVBP0

    Somebody embed that. Weird shit
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  8. 07-24-16 09:00 PM #113
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
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  9. 07-25-16 12:06 AM #114
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
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  10. 07-25-16 09:31 AM #115
    StackinGreen
    Can't stop Won't stop
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    Nate Silver is "surprised" already ... haha, damage control

    Trump all day
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  11. 07-25-16 09:59 AM #116
    chico2663
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    WHAT IF YOU tied one on at the bar and wake up next to a younger version of hillary? Do you say damage is done and hit it again or do you give her brooksies phone number?
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  12. 07-25-16 11:27 AM #117
    15805
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    If the election were held Monday, Donald Trump would likely win.
    That's what renowned statistician Nate Silver projected on Monday for his
    data journalism outlet FiveThirtyEight.

    In his "Now-cast" election model for who would win if ballots were cast Monday,
    Silver gave the Republican nominee a 57.5% chance of winning the presidency.

    Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton had a 42.5% chance of securing
    the nation's highest office if voters were to take to the polls Monday.

    Silver's model had Trump winning in the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina,
    Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. He would win 285 electoral votes in Silver's model.
    It's the first time in Silver's "Now-cast" forecast that Trump has been projected to win.
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