Originally posted by ABEHONEST
My view on trump vs Hillary
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The KrakenBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-25-11
- 29085
#106Not even google translate could decode this postComment -
15805SBR MVP
- 06-10-12
- 3595
#10702-03-2016, 09:32 PMOriginally posted by d2betsIn the moment, Rubio's debate moment seemed bad, but it's only in retrospect that you understand its impact. It seemed like Rubio still had a chance, but the chances were severely diminished. Trump really took the race over in NH and ran from there. If Rubio wins NH or even finishes a strong second, it changes SC and so on.
Since you went back and looked at the odds, please go back and look to see what Rubio's odds were the day before the debate and then the day after NH (5 days later).
Republican Nominee - Republican National Convention
Mon 7/18 901 Marco Rubio is Republican Nominee -145
8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination +105
I made a few bucks on NH
358775471-12/3/16 2:24am $150.00 $50.00 $200.00 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -300 <small>vs</small> Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary 358775298-1 2/3/16 2:12am $118.80 $44.00 $162.80 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -270 <small>vs</small> Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary 358775152-1 2/3/16 2:01am $132.50 $50.00 $182.50 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -265 <small>vs</small> Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary Comment -
d2betsBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-10-05
- 39847
#108Not what I was saying. Rubio wasn't going to win but he was poised to get over 20% and come in strong second. Instead, he cratered and only got 10%. Everything is magnified and it set his campaign so far back they couldn't recover. It changed everything. Again, not declaring that he definitely wins without that debate, but I think he likely would have. 60-65% chance. No way I can prove it or you can disprove it, so we'll agree to disagree.Originally posted by 1580502-03-2016, 09:32 PM
Republican Nominee - Republican National Convention
Mon 7/18 901 Marco Rubio is Republican Nominee -145
8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination +105
I made a few bucks on NH
358775471-12/3/16 2:24am $150.00 $50.00 $200.00 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -300 <small>vs</small> Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary 358775298-1 2/3/16 2:12am $118.80 $44.00 $162.80 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -270 <small>vs</small> Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary 358775152-1 2/3/16 2:01am $132.50 $50.00 $182.50 Win 2/9/16 6:00am Politics 874 Field wins New Hampshire Primary -265 <small>vs</small> Marco Rubio wins New Hampshire Primary Comment -
mg63SBR Sharp
- 05-17-10
- 265
#109Firefighters union abandons plans to endorse Clinton for president ...
Oct 2, 2015 - Firefighters union abandons plans to endorse Clinton for president:NY Times. U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton holds a ...Comment -
15805SBR MVP
- 06-10-12
- 3595
#110Originally posted by mg63Firefighters union abandons plans to endorse Clinton for president ...
Oct 2, 2015 - Firefighters union abandons plans to endorse Clinton for president:NY Times. U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton holds a ...
Just the beginning, the smartest among the crew are always the first to jump off a sinking ship.Comment -
Muller RoseSBR High Roller- 06-01-16
- 219
#111LOL! you all be damned!Originally posted by BostongamblerWhat if we find out Hillary is a man?Comment -
grease lightninSBR Posting Legend
- 10-01-12
- 16096
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StackinGreenSBR Posting Legend
- 10-09-10
- 12140
#115Nate Silver is "surprised" already ... haha, damage control
Trump all dayComment -
chico2663BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-02-10
- 36993
#116WHAT IF YOU tied one on at the bar and wake up next to a younger version of hillary? Do you say damage is done and hit it again or do you give her brooksies phone number?Comment -
15805SBR MVP
- 06-10-12
- 3595
#117If the election were held Monday, Donald Trump would likely win.
That's what renowned statistician Nate Silver projected on Monday for his
data journalism outlet FiveThirtyEight.
In his "Now-cast" election model for who would win if ballots were cast Monday,
Silver gave the Republican nominee a 57.5% chance of winning the presidency.
Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton had a 42.5% chance of securing
the nation's highest office if voters were to take to the polls Monday.
Silver's model had Trump winning in the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina,
Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. He would win 285 electoral votes in Silver's model.
It's the first time in Silver's "Now-cast" forecast that Trump has been projected to win.Comment
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