1. #106
    velcorr
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    Portugal vs France

    Can anyone point me to a good thread for the soccer football game today. I know MMA, Baseball and the NFL but I know nada about football. Would like to make a fun time bet. A thread or a good pick would be greatly appreciated. Is a play on over 2.5, btts or a draw any good? I'm in Vegas, I gotta bet something. Ronaldo to score?

    Thanks

  2. #107
    BadLuckSanta
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    Quote Originally Posted by velcorr View Post
    After a big cash last night, I usually like to celebrate by playing aggressively the next day.

    So far I'm up +4.5 units in 10 plays, all documented in this thread.

    Today we head to the diamond for two RL's, an OVER, and a fun-times parlay.

    AS ALWAYS, PICKS ARE LISTED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE.

    PICK 1
    1:35PM EST
    LA Angels @ Baltimore RL -1.5 @ +106 1 UNIT PLAY

    PICK 2
    2:10PM EST
    Oakland @ Houston RL -1.5 @ -105 1 UNIT PLAY

    PICK 3
    1:10PM EST
    Washington @ NY METS OVER 8.5 @ +118 1 UNIT PLAY

    PICK 4
    Fun-Times Parlay



    Baltimore RL -1.5
    Houston RL -1.5
    NY Mets RL + OVER 7.5 Parlayed
    +1350 .5 UNIT PLAY

    BOL.

    thanks for the UFC picks

    what sportsbook allows you to parlay a total and runline of the same game? (mets rl and over)

  3. #108
    velcorr
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    888Sport

    parlay.jpg
    Quote Originally Posted by BadLuckSanta View Post
    thanks for the UFC picks

    what sportsbook allows you to parlay a total and runline of the same game? (mets rl and over)

  4. #109
    Ty$
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    Quote Originally Posted by velcorr View Post
    All my heavy hitter contacts went down hard on Miesha too. I faded that from the day the fight was announced, thankfully. I had a 3 Unit play on Lesnar/Aldo/Cain all to win that seemed to be too easy. Wednesday should be profitable. Ferguson all day. I always know it's going to be a cashflow card when even the UFC site doesn't have pics for half their fighters.
    Waiting for the props got my main plays already ...

  5. #110
    velcorr
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    Same here.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ty$ View Post
    Waiting for the props got my main plays already ...

  6. #111
    velcorr
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    MLB

    1-3 so far today for -1.5 units. Got Houston but not the RL. That's the ballbuster about RL's, the one run win. Got my top play, Baltimore 4-2. Totally botched the Mets Over, was highly confident that games was going to be in the double digits. Meh. Lost a half unit on my +1700 fun-time parlay. I'll nail that next Sunday, easy.

    I bet MLB aggressively and am streaky, what goes down will come up. I haven't had a losing week betting MLB this season. I've been on this site for less than 48 hours and my baseball plays are now at -0.6 units. Overall I'm at +2.5 units and I'm just getting started.

    Betting RL's with the home team is always a sweat.

    I'm coming back strong with a night time pick.

    San Fran RL -1.5 + the over vs. Arizona parlay: 1 UNIT to win 2.9 UNITS
    The giants have their ace vs Archie Bradley, who is coming off giving up 5ER in 6IP to the Padres a week ago. His one start vs the Giants was in SF, where he gave up 7 hits, 5ER in 4.1 innings.

    Bumgarner didn't give up an ER in his last start, and gave up 2ER in 7IP vs his only start vs Arizona this year. He's not playing the All Star Game and I expect him to pitch well tonight.

    These RL/OU parlays are high risk, high reward. Bet with caution, especially with SF at home, meaning getting the 2 runs in a close game is sketchy at the end of the game. (See Oakland at Houston)

    I'm thinking 7-3 SF, but after a week of obsessing on MMA, I might need a day or two to get locked back into MLB, where I've been on fire, mainly betting on the first 5 innings on Toronto in April, -2.5RL's on the Cubs in May, Overs vs Cincinnati in June, and still working out July. BOL.

    sanfran.jpg
    click here if it's not showing up on how to do the RL/O parlay
    Last edited by velcorr; 07-10-16 at 05:25 PM.

  7. #112
    Altern8
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    Dude you made me a small fortune last night on the UFC. Just lost abit on some silly plays like France in the Euros and Under 10.5 in Texas. Should i risk going all in on the -1.5?

  8. #113
    velcorr
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    Well, I sure as hell know a lot more about MMA than MLB. I also lost on that stupid soccer game and missed my Over on the Mets. I really like the RL on the Giants tonight. Bradley is 23 and is going up against one of the best pitchers in the game. I would either pass, dog, or RL -1.5, -2.5, or do what I'm doing and forecasting a 7-3, 6-2 or even 7-1 win by the Giants. The RL -1.5 price is near even money. It's baseball, Bradley could be lights out and the game could end up 2-1 Arizona but getting +290 for the Giants to win by 2 and a total over 7.5 is my play. You only have to hit about 33% of these for neutral ROI. I hate baseball but yeah, the RL is the safe play, the -2.5 is aggressive and what I'm doing is what I do, bet baseball hard. I'm due for a slump but I've been saying that since the start of the season.
    Quote Originally Posted by Altern8 View Post
    Dude you made me a small fortune last night on the UFC. Just lost abit on some silly plays like France in the Euros and Under 10.5 in Texas. Should i risk going all in on the -1.5?

  9. #114
    velcorr
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    Another option is if you wanna fade SF, is take the +1.5 Arizona and UNDER parlay at +245, if you're thinking something low scoring and close.
    Quote Originally Posted by Altern8 View Post
    Dude you made me a small fortune last night on the UFC. Just lost abit on some silly plays like France in the Euros and Under 10.5 in Texas. Should i risk going all in on the -1.5?

  10. #115
    velcorr
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    Or, you could fade the game entirely, and wait till Wednesday where I will have 1 or 2 locks for the UFC card.
    Quote Originally Posted by Altern8 View Post
    Dude you made me a small fortune last night on the UFC. Just lost abit on some silly plays like France in the Euros and Under 10.5 in Texas. Should i risk going all in on the -1.5?

  11. #116
    Altern8
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    I need a win for the night. Andy Murray was the only one today out of 3.

  12. #117
    velcorr
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    If you need a winner for tonight, take SF -1.5 @ -105 or soccer guru Funnyb25 has a MLS over play on his thread. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post25990126 He's cash money.
    Quote Originally Posted by Altern8 View Post
    I need a win for the night. Andy Murray was the only one today out of 3.

  13. #118
    velcorr
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    Getting the hell out of Vegas.

    The Portugal supporters are freaking out. Did they fly here or something? The Vegas natives are terrified. LOL.


  14. #119
    Altern8
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    ...

  15. #120
    Altern8
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    Quote Originally Posted by velcorr View Post
    If you need a winner for tonight, take SF -1.5 @ -105 or soccer guru Funnyb25 has a MLS over play on his thread. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post25990126 He's cash money.
    Messed up again. Took the Parlay instead of just the -1.5. On top of that i cant even cash out so even the bookmaker knows the over isn't happening

  16. #121
    readytowinem
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    Man sucks to be this AZ pitcher. Actually has pitched a decent game and got out of a lot of jams. Unfortunately is pitching against a dialed in Bumgarner.

  17. #122
    velcorr
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    LOL, the game isn't over yet.
    Quote Originally Posted by Altern8 View Post
    Messed up again. Took the Parlay instead of just the -1.5. On top of that i cant even cash out so even the bookmaker knows the over isn't happening

  18. #123
    velcorr
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    Yeah, he's got some good stuff. Score could be easily 8-0 right now. Nothing worse than having the over and they get runners on 2nd and 3rd with no outs and leave them on. Need some runs. I put a unit on the RL and a unit on the RL/O parlay. I need insurance runs for the RL bet. Or how about SF just has a 10 run inning.
    Quote Originally Posted by readytowinem View Post
    Man sucks to be this AZ pitcher. Actually has pitched a decent game and got out of a lot of jams. Unfortunately is pitching against a dialed in Bumgarner.

  19. #124
    Altern8
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    Quote Originally Posted by velcorr View Post
    LOL, the game isn't over yet.
    Feels like it. I predict the score to be like 2-1 or 3-1. Saw more goals in a football/soccer match.

  20. #125
    velcorr
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    Bumgarner is putting on a clinic.

  21. #126
    Altern8
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    Quote Originally Posted by velcorr View Post
    Bumgarner is putting on a clinic.
    Sucks so much i never took the -1.5 on it's own, feel like kicking myself. Thanks for the picks. Biggest part of gambling is learning when to quit something i was never good at should of took my winnings from UFC and been happy, oh well.

  22. #127
    velcorr
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    Yeah, I think it was a good play, SF left a lot of guys on base and had countless RISP situations but that's baseball. I took the RL and the RL/O as an aggressive hedge. The best thing to do is take your bankroll, divide it by 100, that's your unit size, and don't deviate. If not, you'll play with scared money or chase huge runs and that is no different than hitting the BJ tables or roulette. I learned the hard way about bankroll management, I think anyone who makes a profit has, a few times. BOL
    Quote Originally Posted by Altern8 View Post
    Sucks so much i never took the -1.5 on it's own, feel like kicking myself. Thanks for the picks. Biggest part of gambling is learning when to quit something i was never good at should of took my winnings from UFC and been happy, oh well.

  23. #128
    Altern8
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    Quote Originally Posted by velcorr View Post
    All my heavy hitter contacts went down hard on Miesha too. I faded that from the day the fight was announced, thankfully. I had a 3 Unit play on Lesnar/Aldo/Cain all to win that seemed to be too easy. Wednesday should be profitable. Ferguson all day. I always know it's going to be a cashflow card when even the UFC site doesn't have pics for half their fighters.
    Fergusons odds are rubbish 2/13. I'm down on my ass so was thinking of using my general living money for the week but for odds that small i don't think its really worth it considering what happened with Tate which also cost me $$$. My bookmaker only has 2 fights on for Wednesday?

    For me Brock Lesnar was the only bet I've ever placed where i kinda knew he was going to win and the odds were incredible people must of made silly money. The bookmakers sure made it all back though on the Euro Final its like they knew a goal was going to be scored in extra time and by Portugal as the odds were just to unrealistic and the way France were attacking they was bound to win if somone was to score.

    I'm thinking McGregor and Ronda Rousey to win their next fights as i don't see anything before hand. Sucks boxing odds are low as there's a few fights on Saturday apart from that i don't see anything good to bet on for weeks/months that i like. What do you think of a Ferguson/McDonald/Detonay Wilder parlay. All the best with the future people like you make places like this profitable and worth visiting

  24. #129
    Altern8
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    Quote Originally Posted by velcorr View Post
    Well, I sure as hell know a lot more about MMA than MLB. I also lost on that stupid soccer game and missed my Over on the Mets. I really like the RL on the Giants tonight. Bradley is 23 and is going up against one of the best pitchers in the game. I would either pass, dog, or RL -1.5, -2.5, or do what I'm doing and forecasting a 7-3, 6-2 or even 7-1 win by the Giants. The RL -1.5 price is near even money. It's baseball, Bradley could be lights out and the game could end up 2-1 Arizona but getting +290 for the Giants to win by 2 and a total over 7.5 is my play. You only have to hit about 33% of these for neutral ROI. I hate baseball but yeah, the RL is the safe play, the -2.5 is aggressive and what I'm doing is what I do, bet baseball hard. I'm due for a slump but I've been saying that since the start of the season.
    Should of just stuck with the -1.5 and I'd be fine Lesson 2) Never be greedy

  25. #130
    velcorr
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    MMA Only

    Focusing 100% on MMA until the NFL or maybe permanently. I have a myriad of tools for making profitable MMA picks. I know a lot of people in the game, camps, fighters, managers. MMA sports wagering has been good to me and unlike stick and ball sports, there is so much value to be found, especially in the undercards. This Wednesday is a gold mine.

    I've only been on SBR for a few days but for baseball insight, I suggest this great thread, he's up 40+ units.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...neers-p58.html

    And for soccer, Funny25 seems to be a bit of a savant.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ll-sports.html

    I'm spending ALL my free time watching video, talking to camps, trying to find out the stuff the handicappers don't know and will have a new MMA only thread today or tomorrow, with my UFN 91 recommendations coming as soon as I'm ready. This card has +EV written all over it. I will be reducing my MLB bet sizes in preparation of some multi unit bets on UFC 91, UFC on Fox 20 and UFC 201, all of which have juicy undercards and even some good main card picks and props galore.

    The link for my MMA thread will be posted here.

    Bank some units on vegasreaper's and funnny25's picks and get ready for a summer of cash money betting MMA smart and dirty.

  26. #131
    velcorr
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  27. #132
    Igor_1965
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    is this joshknows?

  28. #133
    velcorr
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    No, I just found out about and joined this site a few days ago. I'm velcorr, but most people here are apparently dyslexic and call me velcro.
    Quote Originally Posted by Igor_1965 View Post
    is this joshknows?

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