I had some time today and decided to find a System for College Ball.
I started by going through the whole list of games at covers. I found all the games that had a 80%-100% Team Expert pick percentage. There must be a minimum of 10 contestants to qualify. If you visit the list right after it comes out, there's alot of 100% picks, but, it's usually only 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 4-0.......anything under 10 does not count as a play.
1- Team with an 80% or higher is a FADE.
2- Massey Ratings - Ranking Composites
Usually the higher ranked team earns a vote as a play, but not always. I also eyeball the change in the composite ranking since the last edition.
Moving up (+) is better than moving down (-).
3- Estimate of point differential per 100 possessions (adjusted for strenght of opposition).
Higher ranking team scores a vote as a play.
Because there's so many games , I won't be able to do this on a daily basis. I will only be doing this on my days off, Sunday, Wednesday and Friday.
Today's Plays
Oral Roberts +7' ........87%........Play Weber St-7'........Final 92-66 ...WW
Radford-3'...................85%........Play So Miss +3'......... Final 82-75 ...WW
American-4'.............. 81%.........Play Drexel+4'..............Final 73-75 ....LW
Seton Hall-18.............80%........Play Cen CT+18............Final 61-77 ....LW
USC Upstate-1'.........80%........Play Co Car+1'...............Final 78-85 (OT)......LL
***Co Car was pretty much leading the whole game, then lost it in OT.
Pacific-6......................81%.........Play Pacific -6.............Final 80-65.....WW
***Pacific had the better composite ranking and change in ranking(139/+71) to AF (304/-15).
Pacific also had the better rank/point differential (113/+5.96) to AF (255/-14.53).
Team Experts got one right!!
I used the ORoberts/Weber St game as my survivor pick for today.
Winner!
Be back Friday!
I started by going through the whole list of games at covers. I found all the games that had a 80%-100% Team Expert pick percentage. There must be a minimum of 10 contestants to qualify. If you visit the list right after it comes out, there's alot of 100% picks, but, it's usually only 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 4-0.......anything under 10 does not count as a play.
1- Team with an 80% or higher is a FADE.
2- Massey Ratings - Ranking Composites
Usually the higher ranked team earns a vote as a play, but not always. I also eyeball the change in the composite ranking since the last edition.
Moving up (+) is better than moving down (-).
3- Estimate of point differential per 100 possessions (adjusted for strenght of opposition).
Higher ranking team scores a vote as a play.
Because there's so many games , I won't be able to do this on a daily basis. I will only be doing this on my days off, Sunday, Wednesday and Friday.
Today's Plays
Oral Roberts +7' ........87%........Play Weber St-7'........Final 92-66 ...WW
Radford-3'...................85%........Play So Miss +3'......... Final 82-75 ...WW
American-4'.............. 81%.........Play Drexel+4'..............Final 73-75 ....LW
Seton Hall-18.............80%........Play Cen CT+18............Final 61-77 ....LW
USC Upstate-1'.........80%........Play Co Car+1'...............Final 78-85 (OT)......LL
***Co Car was pretty much leading the whole game, then lost it in OT.
Pacific-6......................81%.........Play Pacific -6.............Final 80-65.....WW
***Pacific had the better composite ranking and change in ranking(139/+71) to AF (304/-15).
Pacific also had the better rank/point differential (113/+5.96) to AF (255/-14.53).
Team Experts got one right!!
I used the ORoberts/Weber St game as my survivor pick for today.
Winner!
Be back Friday!