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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 38464

    #176
    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

    10) (Public = Wash) >>> (Anti = MINN +1.5)
    ...Vikings look like value to me. Pretty stingy DEF, love the Kicker, and QB play can only get better.
    6-4 ATS. Another winning week.
    ...Props to Merril. He had a better week than me.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-04-11
      • 38464

      #177
      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
      I can't believe the RAIDERS kicked that FG, LOL.

      *See if Pete is cashing a +8 ticket at the Palms two hours from now.


      Not saying any of that is true. In this particular instance, Carroll had no real options.

      *In college this MOST CERTAINLY happens. Coaches know the #. If they can help out the alumni, they do.
      ...Is there a parallel to Carrol's decision to kick the FG? He's right next to the casinos. Doesn't hurt to keep your fans happy, b/c you know they bet the Raiders.
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • ByeShea
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-30-08
        • 7931

        #178
        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat



        Not saying any of that is true. In this particular instance, Carroll had no real options.

        *In college this MOST CERTAINLY happens. Coaches know the #. If they can help out the alumni, they do.
        ...Is there a parallel to Carrol's decision to kick the FG? He's right next to the casinos. Doesn't hurt to keep your fans happy, b/c you know they bet the Raiders.
        Its the bad beat of all bad beats, but not shady at all. Pete played the cards as they lay. Take the easy points and don't risk injuries on a meaningless hail mary ... starting QB already hurt.
        Comment
        • sunshine11
          SBR MVP
          • 04-13-14
          • 2779

          #179
          It’s gambling it happens. Not rigged. Didn’t bet it but Raiders seemed like the right side. Denver stinks on the road. Wash the week before almost lost.
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 38464

            #180
            Originally posted by sunshine11
            It’s gambling it happens. Not rigged. Didn’t bet it but Raiders seemed like the right side. Denver stinks on the road. Wash the week before almost lost.
            Don't understand what you're saying:
            1) The DEF Delay of Game was very dubious. That's not a penalty.
            2) I think Shea's point on injury-reduction is good. Why have a WR break leg on meaningless pass into EZ?
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 38464

              #181
              Week 14:
              1) (Public = TB) >>> (Anti = Atlanta +4)
              ...Looks like Falcons are playing out the string. But Bucs do not look strong.

              2) (Public = CHI) >>> (Anti = Cleveland +7.5)
              ...Bears have been one of the luckier teams this year. Tricky spot in btw GBay games.
              ...Garrett going for the sack record. Got that to look fwd to.

              3) (Public = CIN) >>> (Anti = Balt -2.5)
              ...Burrow is back. But the loss last week may be deflating.
              ...Division still up in the air. Close to Last Chance Saloon for the Ravens.
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • ChuckyTheGoat
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-04-11
                • 38464

                #182
                4) (Public = San FRAN) >>> (Anti = Tenn +13)
                ...Really don't like this Niner team. Feel like we have a nice edge in Kicker in this game.

                5) (Public = Carol) >>> (Anti = NEW ORL +2.5)
                ...Remember that Young has only been Fav a few times in his career. Panthers now playing with the albatross of playoff expectations.
                ...Saints have left a ton of pts on board via Missed FG. I believe in HC Moore, and they have looked sharper since Shough became starting QB.

                Good Luck if you try em!
                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 38464

                  #183
                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

                  Merril's week = 4-0 ATS
                  ytd: 40-23 ats (.635) +14.7 units.

                  Give Merril credit. He's putting out a great weekly video!
                  ...Last two were razor-thin. Record speaks for itself.
                  Bump:
                  1) I've given my views on the Pros and Cons of Merril's rationale.
                  2) But his picks are grounded in value. Try finding a better Free Pick video.
                  3) One other negative = his release on Saturday. Meaning that he always misses the THUR games.

                  Have put a lot of work into this thread. My anti-Public angle is similar to Merril's. Just a matter of what you use as source data (which can sometimes be tricky).

                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-04-11
                    • 38464

                    #184
                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                    4) (Public = San FRAN) >>> (Anti = Tenn +13)
                    ...Really don't like this Niner team. Feel like we have a nice edge in Kicker in this game.

                    5) (Public = Carol) >>> (Anti = NEW ORL +2.5)
                    ...Remember that Young has only been Fav a few times in his career. Panthers now playing with the albatross of playoff expectations.
                    ...Saints have left a ton of pts on board via Missed FG. I believe in HC Moore, and they have looked sharper since Shough became starting QB.

                    Good Luck if you try em!
                    6) (Public = Detroit) >>> (Anti = LA RAMs -6)

                    7) (Public = Charg) >>> (Anti = KAN CITY -4)
                    ...Very easy to write off the Chefs, they look bad. Some nice situational edges for KC here.
                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                    Comment
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