Georgia v. Alabama - Pick and Write-Up

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  • thomorino
    Restricted User
    • 06-01-17
    • 45842

    #1
    Georgia v. Alabama - Pick and Write-Up
    +13.6 Units this year

    Everyone knows Georgia is a better team than Alabama, and that is obviously priced in the line at +6.5 -105. Still, if you look at this game, this a good matchup for Alabama.

    Alabama is slightly underrated, because they get everyone's best shot. Everyone knows Alabama not Georgia is the team to beat in the SEC and college football, and Alabama is every team's super bowl, they get every teams best shot.

    Even though Georgia is the better team this should be a good matchup for Alabama. Georgia's defense is good, but the quarterbacks that Georgia has faced have been complete garbage. Georgia played backup quarterbacks 3 weeks in a row, and the best quarterbacks they faced all year were Bo Nix, who has always struggled against good defenses, and Hooker, who moved the ball well on Georgia in the first half and threw for nearly 250 yards.

    Brice Young is by far the best quarterback Georgia has seen all year, and even though Alabama has had issues at tackle, the offensive line has played well at key times like late in the LSU and Auburn games. Brice Young is also a dual threat quarterback who usually doesn't run much, but should run more in a big game like this. Alabama also knows that their offensive line has been an issue, and Young should run more and Alabama should be able to use short passes as ways to move the ball without throwing down the field even if the run game struggles.

    Georgia's offense is built off their ability to run and pass off play action, they have not been able to pass the ball consistently without first establishing the run, and even though Alabama's pass defense has been inconsistent, the Alabama run defense has been elite. Alabama held a very strong Arkansas running game to under 3 yards a carry and the only game Georgia struggled to run was against Clemson, a game they scored 10 points in.

    Alabama held a very strong ole miss running game to 2.3 yards a carry, Arkansas to 2.9 yards a carry, and Texas A&M to 3.5 yards a carry. Alabama has consistently held thee best rushing teams in the country to under 4 and 3 yards carry, the Alabama run defense is elite.

    Kirby Smart is also a horrible big game head coach. He's overly emotional and almost never makes any adjustments, which is why he got badly outcoached against Saban in the national championship game, and he has never beaten Alabama in any game. Saban always coaches his best in big games, putting Tua in at halftime against Georgia, the onside kick against Clemson in the national championship game, Saban has always been able to to adjust and give his team advantages.

    Alabama +6.5 -105 risking 2.1 units to win 2

    Alabama moneyline +198 risking 1 unit to win 1.98
  • trobin31
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-09-14
    • 9854

    #2
    Morino, if I find my one true love, a 'jus prima nocta' from you would be an honor
    Comment
    • Buckandadime
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-21-15
      • 8847

      #3
      Young will have no choice but to run if Robinson doesn't play..
      Comment
      • JacketFan81
        SBR MVP
        • 10-28-17
        • 1742

        #4
        Fukk!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
        Comment
        • Buckandadime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-21-15
          • 8847

          #5
          Originally posted by thomorino
          Robinson hasn't been consistent for weeks, Alabama ad always can plug in different running backs you dumb shit
          After Robinson, with Williams out, there is an almost 800 yard drop in rushing yards to the next available RB..
          Sorry, I completely forgot who I was trying to talk to here..
          Carry on skippy..
          Comment
          • johnnyvegas13
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 05-21-15
            • 27897

            #6
            Is bama out if the lure this gm ????
            Comment
            • thomorino
              Restricted User
              • 06-01-17
              • 45842

              #7
              Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
              Is bama out if the lure this gm ????
              No, not automatically, a 2 loss Alabama team would still get in over Notre Dame and it would be close against Oklahoma state. Alabama can lose this game and still get in as long as they don't get blown out.
              Comment
              • pavyracer
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-12-07
                • 82839

                #8
                Kirby Smart will decide what the margin of victory for Georgia will be.

                My sources say it will be somewhere between 17 to 28 points win for Georgia. It all depends on whether Kirby orders TDs to be scored or FGs after Bama turning the ball over on downs.
                Comment
                • d2bets
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 39995

                  #9
                  Originally posted by thomorino
                  No, not automatically, a 2 loss Alabama team would still get in over Notre Dame and it would be close against Oklahoma state. Alabama can lose this game and still get in as long as they don't get blown out.
                  If Alabama loses and Oklahoma State wins, there is 0 chance Alabama gets in and Ok St doesn't.
                  Comment
                  • Buckandadime
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-21-15
                    • 8847

                    #10
                    Originally posted by thomorino
                    Thats because the other backs haven't had much playing time you dumb shit. If Alabama wins this game, it won't be because of their running game.
                    Wow!!!
                    That is precisely why I said that Young will have no choice but to run if Robinson doesn't play..
                    Of the 7 remaining backs on the team, combined they don't have the attempts Robinson has and < than 1/2 the yards..
                    It shouldnt be a problem vs a Georgia D that gives up <2.5 per rush and <4 per play..
                    If Alabama wants to be competitive or win, they better be able to run the ball..
                    Hence, Young will have to run the ball to give Bama a chance if their top RB is out..
                    Does that make sense?
                    Comment
                    • thomorino
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-01-17
                      • 45842

                      #11
                      Originally posted by d2bets
                      If Alabama loses and Oklahoma State wins, there is 0 chance Alabama gets in and Ok St doesn't.
                      I wouldn't say zero chance but I do generally agree with you. If Alabama loses in overtime they could still get in over Oklahoma state. It would be very close presuming Oklahoma state barely wins.

                      My point is that an Alabama loss wouldn't automatically eliminate them.
                      Comment
                      • d2bets
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 39995

                        #12
                        Originally posted by thomorino
                        I wouldn't say zero chance but I do generally agree with you. If Alabama loses in overtime they could still get in over Oklahoma state. It would be very close presuming Oklahoma state barely wins.

                        My point is that an Alabama loss wouldn't automatically eliminate them.
                        If they lose, they need help. At minimum, need either Mich, Okst or Cinci to lose. If Ala loses and they all win, it's set.
                        Comment
                        • thomorino
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-01-17
                          • 45842

                          #13
                          Originally posted by d2bets
                          If they lose, they need help. At minimum, need either Mich, Okst or Cinci to lose. If Ala loses and they all win, it's set.
                          Probably but not definitely.
                          Comment
                          • Buckandadime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-21-15
                            • 8847

                            #14
                            Originally posted by thomorino
                            It's Alabama you dumb shit. All 7 running backs will likely play in the NFL. Robinson is good but he's been hurt for a while, this isn't a new development.
                            Of the remaining backs (not on IR) only 2 have double digit attempts for the year yet you are making the claim that they will all play in the NFL?
                            Doesn't bode well for Sabans assessment for talent or coaching ability if skippy knows this as an outsider..
                            Your a moron...
                            Good luck with your air bet..
                            BTW, Robinson is averaging 18 attempts per game..
                            Last game he had 15 before leaving early with an injury..
                            To say he's been hurt for a while is not accurate..
                            Banged up, yes..
                            Hurt?
                            No..
                            Comment
                            • Buckandadime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-21-15
                              • 8847

                              #15
                              Originally posted by thomorino
                              You are a dumb shit. Alabama has been limiting Robinson for a while.
                              27 attempts 2 games back...
                              Your right, been limiting him..
                              Comment
                              • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 11-29-07
                                • 26068

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Buckandadime
                                27 attempts 2 games back...
                                Your right, been limiting him..
                                Can't reason with Special Needs People here Buck...just can't. They have a Different Reality that they make up in their heads. .. waste of time Morino is the President of the Special Needs chapter here at SBR better off just letting him tell you his truths. His Records even tho we all know it's all Bullshit
                                Comment
                                • BigOrange
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-13-09
                                  • 6745

                                  #17
                                  ​Rudy and Firedawg will be excited to see you on The Bammers!
                                  Comment
                                  • Buckandadime
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-21-15
                                    • 8847

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                    Can't reason with Special Needs People here Buck...just can't. They have a Different Reality that they make up in their heads. .. waste of time Morino is the President of the Special Needs chapter here at SBR better off just letting him tell you his truths. His Records even tho we all know it's all Bullshit
                                    You're right Harry but its fun to watch him constantly chase his tail..
                                    Comment
                                    • BeatTheJerk
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-19-07
                                      • 31794

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by JacketFan81
                                      Comment
                                      • BeatTheJerk
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-19-07
                                        • 31794

                                        #20
                                        I was laughing at that scene purely because I thought it was funny. Not because the OP may or may not was referring to you.
                                        Comment
                                        • BeatTheJerk
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 08-19-07
                                          • 31794

                                          #21
                                          Good luck on your pick you made many quality examples why Alabama could cover.
                                          Comment
                                          • chico2663
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 09-02-10
                                            • 36915

                                            #22
                                            I went other side but after looking at schedule…think ga played no one. Wish I would of seen this before hand.
                                            Good Luck
                                            Comment
                                            • BadNina
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-27-07
                                              • 10491

                                              #23
                                              okay, Bama homer checking in.

                                              Saban has not been saving B-Rob. He has been dinged up. First it was an ankle. Then he pulled his hammie during the Disaster in the Pasture.

                                              Most of the RBs are injured and are out. If B-Rob can't go, it's Trey Sanders. He was involved in a bad motor vehicle accident last year and broke his hip. However, he has done well during his limited playing time this year. The others who are currently listed under RBs are 2 who had some experience playing RB in high school. B-Rob has been a day to day all week.
                                              Comment
                                              • PaperTrail07
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-29-08
                                                • 20423

                                                #24
                                                +$ on bama always a 3X play IMO
                                                Comment
                                                • Snowball
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                  • 30057

                                                  #25
                                                  Morino here trying to save you some time --

                                                  "If there's a keyboard shortcut you want to change, you can remap it. If there is a phrase you type regularly, you can assign a key combination to it."

                                                  https://www.howtogeek.com/290501/how...th-autohotkey/

                                                  For example, you could make "SHIFT+O" = "dumb shit", and "SHIFT+P" = "dumb shits".
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JacketFan81
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-28-17
                                                    • 1742

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Snowball
                                                    Morino here trying to save you some time --

                                                    "If there's a keyboard shortcut you want to change, you can remap it. If there is a phrase you type regularly, you can assign a key combination to it."

                                                    https://www.howtogeek.com/290501/how...th-autohotkey/

                                                    For example, you could make "SHIFT+O" = "dumb shit", and "SHIFT+P" = "dumb shits".
                                                    Great tip Snowy!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • unde0087
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 03-27-08
                                                      • 28956

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by JacketFan81
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                                                      • firedawg
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 10-08-08
                                                        • 39219

                                                        #28
                                                        fukkkk yessssss


                                                        ty baby jesus!!!!!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • firedawg
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 10-08-08
                                                          • 39219

                                                          #29
                                                          zero chance bama covers

                                                          told y’all all year it was georgia’s year

                                                          this idiot backing bama is the greatest gift of all
                                                          Comment
                                                          • firedawg
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 10-08-08
                                                            • 39219

                                                            #30
                                                            how many games this year didn't UGA cover?



                                                            get back to me with that when you are done writing trash write ups dummy
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jjgold
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-20-05
                                                              • 388179

                                                              #31
                                                              I would be shocked if Alabama lose this game
                                                              Comment
                                                              • unde0087
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 03-27-08
                                                                • 28956

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by firedawg
                                                                how many games this year didn't UGA cover?



                                                                get back to me with that when you are done writing trash write ups dummy
                                                                dawger firing on all cylinders
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388179

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Omicron
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jtoler
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-17-13
                                                                    • 30967

                                                                    #34
                                                                    fan fact: the last time bama was a dog was 2015, +1 against georgia. final score bama 38 georgia 10
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • unde0087
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-27-08
                                                                      • 28956

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by firedawg
                                                                      zero chance bama covers

                                                                      told y’all all year it was georgia’s year

                                                                      this idiot backing bama is the greatest gift of all
                                                                      this one is for you dawger, go dawgs

                                                                      Comment
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