Trevor Lawrence under 4200 yards?

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    Trevor Lawrence under 4200 yards?
    Somebody said there’s a line out there -120 on the under that’s a lock if it’s true
  • MinnesotaFats
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-18-10
    • 14758

    #2
    17 games this year

    250 ypg not that big of a stretch
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      I forgot about that extra game but these guys get hurt all the time
      Comment
      • beantown34
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-13
        • 1110

        #4
        Originally posted by jjgold
        I forgot about that extra game but these guys get hurt all the time
        yes he will be running for his life. and i think he will suck too. thats a go on the under for me
        Comment
        • DrunkHorseplayer
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-15-10
          • 7719

          #5
          Definite!y the under, assuming that line is truly available; sounds like BS.
          Comment
          • carolinakid
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-12-11
            • 19106

            #6
            i think down the road this guy will be a hell of a nfl qb, he has all the tools to be great
            Comment
            • johnnyvegas13
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 05-21-15
              • 27897

              #7
              Xtra gm
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                I think Meyer will be running a lot and short passes 1st year
                Comment
                • beantown34
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-13
                  • 1110

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jjgold
                  I think Meyer will be running a lot and short passes 1st year
                  problem is when a team is always losing qb's chuck a lot into dime coverages. so they lose the game but end up with 300+ yards. however yes even trevor will run a lot. injury at some point is likely. what book was this?
                  Comment
                  • KiDBaZkiT
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-20-09
                    • 14962

                    #10
                    Bad bet coach. This surfer is NFL ready. Teams also aren’t going to have my pro tape of an Urban Meter offense to study and aren’t going to know what to expect.
                    Comment
                    • Brock Landers
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 06-30-08
                      • 45359

                      #11
                      Chances he plays all 17 games is slim and none
                      Comment
                      • KiDBaZkiT
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-20-09
                        • 14962

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Brock Landers
                        Chances he plays all 17 games is slim and none
                        If he starts opening week he will. That division is incredibly soft. All the d he will face are trash. Guys Jersey won’t even get scathed.
                        Comment
                        • thomorino
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-01-17
                          • 45842

                          #13
                          It’s a bad bet because Jacksonville has no defense, he will be throwing 40-50 times a game and a lot of his throws will likely be against soft zone
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            He’s going to get hurt if he passes that much then the bet a sure cash

                            It’s an injury play
                            Comment
                            • KiDBaZkiT
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-20-09
                              • 14962

                              #15
                              Originally posted by jjgold
                              He’s going to get hurt if he passes that much then the bet a sure cash

                              It’s an injury play
                              Get em coach.
                              Comment
                              • rm18
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-20-05
                                • 22291

                                #16
                                Did Blake Bortles ever get hurt?
                                Comment
                                • beantown34
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-31-13
                                  • 1110

                                  #17
                                  did op ever mention a book or did he make this play up?
                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #18
                                    4200 yards would have put him in 10th place last year.

                                    Will Jax be changing the offense?

                                    Gardner Menshew played 9 games, starting 8 of them, completing 66% of his passes for 2259 yards last year.
                                    In 2019 he played in 14 games, starting 12 of them, completing 60% for 3271 yards.

                                    Last year Mike Glennon played and started in 5 games, 62%, 1072 yards.

                                    Menshew and Glennon together threw for more than 3300 yards last year.

                                    What's the plan for Trevor? Last two years Jax averaged 2.6 and 2.8 sacks given up per game, not the best not the worst.

                                    Watson led the league last year in yards but was sacked 49 times, I think only Wentz was worse with 50 sacks.
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      Which Sportsbooks have Lawrence prop?
                                      Comment
                                      • Headsterx
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-03-16
                                        • 23094

                                        #20
                                        I'll take that that over, where's it at?
                                        Comment
                                        • TommieGunshot
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-27-12
                                          • 1607

                                          #21
                                          I am going to say there is no chance a sportsbook is offering that number. Less than half the teams in the league exceeded that ratio of passing yards. Jaguars were below that. Fewer than half the league QBs even survive a full season.

                                          Passing + rushing yards maybe.

                                          Sounds like some fantasy projection some guy just pulled out of the sky.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mr. Teaser
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-16-09
                                            • 1668

                                            #22
                                            4200 yards a is legit wager. They posted it on Daily Wager as one of the casinos having this bet.
                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388179

                                              #23
                                              I’m going to look today at some of the Pennsylvania books
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by TommieGunshot
                                                ...Less than half the teams in the league exceeded that ratio of passing yards...
                                                What ratio? Far better than just the stat of pass yards, we can use ratios with the pass yards and all kinds of other stats to make more valuable metric than just pass yards alone.

                                                I was going to add more stats and some ratios to this thread.

                                                Did you have specifc ratio with pass yards in mind? Genuinely curious here.

                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388179

                                                  #25
                                                  You basically have to play most of the games and do fairly well to get this number over
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    You basically have to play most of the games and do fairly well to get this number over
                                                    That's only part of it.

                                                    You need to be in a gameplan conducive to success.

                                                    You can have the greatest QB and greatest receivers ever to play, but if all you do is hand off because the defense is playng for the pass every time and keying in your stars, then stats aren't coming.

                                                    Mahomes is a great example, without Andy Reid and his OC's, the story is written differently.

                                                    All too often people over rate the players and underrate the play callers.

                                                    Look at Joe Burrough, he had the skill to do what the offensive coordinators asked of him. They wouldn't have asked a lesser QB to do the same. They would have changed the game plan. Because Joe pulled it off, the player gets drafted high, and the play callers start getting job offers.

                                                    So it's up to Jax to set Trevor up for success, then it's up to Trevor to capitalize.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • beantown34
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-31-13
                                                      • 1110

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Mr. Teaser
                                                      4200 yards a is legit wager. They posted it on Daily Wager as one of the casinos having this bet.
                                                      they said to pound the under?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388179

                                                        #28
                                                        Draftkings has it up

                                                        Line moved

                                                        Lawrence
                                                        4150.5 under -112


                                                        Zach Wilson
                                                        38050.5 under -112
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #29
                                                          oh wow

                                                          Urban Meyer and Darrell Bevell must be scheming.

                                                          Comment
                                                          • beantown34
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-31-13
                                                            • 1110

                                                            #30
                                                            jags have the most cap space in the NFL

                                                            could they go after some offensive pieces?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TommieGunshot
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-27-12
                                                              • 1607

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                                              What ratio?
                                                              17/16ths
                                                              Comment
                                                              • beantown34
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-31-13
                                                                • 1110

                                                                #32
                                                                tough to throw over 225 a game in NFL. even if behind all game. which is unlikely as division wont be that good and their overall schedule not the tough

                                                                this is almost a lock
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KiDBaZkiT
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-20-09
                                                                  • 14962

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Trevor Lawrence has a huge **** and a fine ass girlfriend saloon thread.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ThaTopMoron
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 04-30-10
                                                                    • 27020

                                                                    #34
                                                                    can't wait to fade the Jags
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cincinnatikid513
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 11-23-17
                                                                      • 45360

                                                                      #35
                                                                      under
                                                                      Comment
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