Injuries aside for a moment (we'll come back to this), Loving Richmond -6.5@-110.
Richmond has significantly better efficiency margins (on both side of the ball) vs significantly better SOS.
Richmond also turns the ball over less (Despite having 16 TO's vs a very good WV team). The shooting metrics are very very close between these two teams, despite Richmond playing a much tougher schedule, and WV had an efg% of .645 and a TS% of .638, inflating Richmonds numbers a bit. Vandy will NOT shoot that well vs Richmond.
Vandy plays deep into their bench but has a significant number of injuries, most of which contribute:
My only concern in this game is Richmond just came off of West Virginia two days ago so the legs might be tired, and Vandy has only played 2 games on the season (12/13 vs Miss Valley St and 11/27 vs Valpo). I do however feel that Vandy's depth issues could be a concern here. Also Vandy shoots FT's at a much better clip, It's plausible Vandy catches the backdoor here but I doubt it.
The line looks like it opened -5.5 and is at -6.5, I think it'll keep climbing.
You have a chance to start the day of right here with Richmond as the short favorite, you'll likely also beat the closing line (no guarantees).
This isn't a lock (there are no locks). This isn't a guarantee. I don't provide your money back. This is what I'm riding tomorrow. If you like the other side I'll for sure listen, lay some logic on me and tell my why I'm wrong.
Buckle up boys for early basketball.
Richmond has significantly better efficiency margins (on both side of the ball) vs significantly better SOS.
Richmond also turns the ball over less (Despite having 16 TO's vs a very good WV team). The shooting metrics are very very close between these two teams, despite Richmond playing a much tougher schedule, and WV had an efg% of .645 and a TS% of .638, inflating Richmonds numbers a bit. Vandy will NOT shoot that well vs Richmond.
Vandy plays deep into their bench but has a significant number of injuries, most of which contribute:
My only concern in this game is Richmond just came off of West Virginia two days ago so the legs might be tired, and Vandy has only played 2 games on the season (12/13 vs Miss Valley St and 11/27 vs Valpo). I do however feel that Vandy's depth issues could be a concern here. Also Vandy shoots FT's at a much better clip, It's plausible Vandy catches the backdoor here but I doubt it.
The line looks like it opened -5.5 and is at -6.5, I think it'll keep climbing.
You have a chance to start the day of right here with Richmond as the short favorite, you'll likely also beat the closing line (no guarantees).
This isn't a lock (there are no locks). This isn't a guarantee. I don't provide your money back. This is what I'm riding tomorrow. If you like the other side I'll for sure listen, lay some logic on me and tell my why I'm wrong.
Buckle up boys for early basketball.
