2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • vitterd
    Restricted User
    • 09-14-17
    • 58460

    #1156
    Originally posted by jt315
    Our new @trafalgar_group #2020Election#BattlegroundState#WIpoll conducted Oct 14-16 shows a shrinking Biden lead:

    47.6%
    @JoeBiden


    46.3%
    @realDonaldTrump


    2.2%
    @Jorgensen4POTUS

    1.1% Other,

    2.8% Und. See Report:
    https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/wi-pres-1020/



    Bwaaaaahhhh!! The one hit wonder poll. Somebody already posted they missed the Cantor race by 40 points. C- rated pollster
    Comment
    • vitterd
      Restricted User
      • 09-14-17
      • 58460

      #1157
      Early voting

      Dems 53 percent

      Repubs 25 percent

      The beating is underway.
      Comment
      • jt315
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-12-11
        • 21699

        #1158
        Originally posted by vitterd
        Bwaaaaahhhh!! The one hit wonder poll. Somebody already posted they missed the Cantor race by 40 points. C- rated pollster

        As opposed to the A+ ABC / WAPO poll that had Hillary ahead double digits a week before the election ?

        Lmao !
        Comment
        • RoyBacon
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-21-05
          • 37074

          #1159
          Originally posted by vitterd
          Look at Kush dad. He set his sisters husband and got caught. These are evil people. Donnie already had several flippers. They will all be flipping next year.

          I said it looks like sanders after Iowa. You ran around screaming about Hunter s d saying he was toe tagged. Then you disappeared for 6 months.
          POTUS's son AND son in law will turn states witness against their father, the President of the United States, on the non-existent charge of collusion. -Vitty

          You honestly don't get how stupid this is?

          He's the fuggin POTUS, they don't need to turn on anyone he can just pardon them. That's for starters

          Second have you ever heard of a son and son in law "flip" on their father? Maybe they do that in Trannyville but I've never heard of it.

          Third, collusion is not a crime and indeed there was zero crime to "flip".

          It's sad I have to explain to you why that was the stupidest thing ever said on SBR.
          Comment
          • jt315
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-12-11
            • 21699

            #1160
            Originally posted by vitterd
            Early voting

            Dems 53 percent

            Repubs 25 percent

            The beating is underway.
            Early Voting Could Point to Hillary Clinton Victory Well Before Nov. 8 (Published 2016)




            Oct 12, 2016 — Democrats are requesting more absentee ballots than Republicans in Florida and



            Comment
            • vitterd
              Restricted User
              • 09-14-17
              • 58460

              #1161
              Originally posted by jt315
              Early Voting Could Point to Hillary Clinton Victory Well Before Nov. 8 (Published 2016)




              Oct 12, 2016 — Democrats are requesting more absentee ballots than Republicans in Florida and



              Yep!! It’s 2016 again!! Lmao

              The beating is happening right now. This is gonna be worse than when bacon gets his ass pounded by his Saturday night tranny train.
              Comment
              • Itsamazing777
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-14-12
                • 12602

                #1162
                Originally posted by vitterd
                Yep!! It’s 2016 again!! Lmao

                The beating is happening right now. This is gonna be worse than when bacon gets his ass pounded by his Saturday night tranny train.
                Your getting your ass stretched the 4rth
                Only question is if youll be moaning in pleasure or squeeling in pain...
                Comment
                • jt315
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-12-11
                  • 21699

                  #1163
                  Originally posted by vitterd
                  Yep!! It’s 2016 again!! Lmao

                  The beating is happening right now. This is gonna be worse than when bacon gets his ass pounded by his Saturday night tranny train.
                  Yep . Sure is . Look familiar ?


                  Biden continues to hold double-digit national lead over Trump in NBC News/WSJ poll

                  Oct. 15, 2020, 12:00 AM EDT
                  Comment
                  • RudyRuetigger
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 08-24-10
                    • 65086

                    #1164
                    Trolling on twitter is actually 500 times more fun than trolling on here

                    I wish I had done this sooner


                    You guys have no idea how many 50 year old dim fatass women have blocked me so far







                    I am Making Twitter Great
                    Comment
                    • RoyBacon
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 09-21-05
                      • 37074

                      #1165
                      Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                      Your getting your ass stretched the 4rth
                      Only question is if youll be moaning in pleasure or squeeling in pain...
                      vitty stopped squealing in pain at age 12.

                      Comment
                      • homie1975
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-24-13
                        • 15442

                        #1166
                        Originally posted by vitterd
                        Early voting

                        Dems 53 percent

                        Repubs 25 percent

                        The beating is underway.
                        Vitt, 22% independents voting? Where are you getting these numbers? Can you source it or link it please?
                        Comment
                        • vitterd
                          Restricted User
                          • 09-14-17
                          • 58460

                          #1167
                          Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                          Your getting your ass stretched the 4rth
                          Only question is if youll be moaning in pleasure or squeeling in pain...
                          Your prediction of Thalib losing will be the worst in history. 30 points. That is roy bacon level bad. He predicted the immigration bill would pass and it received ZERO votes. Lmao. You guys are golden fades!!
                          Comment
                          • RoyBacon
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 09-21-05
                            • 37074

                            #1168
                            Originally posted by homie1975
                            Vitt, 22% independents voting? Where are you getting these numbers? Can you source it or link it please?
                            Vitty makes stuff up. He can't add to 100 so he always fvvks his lies up. I'll apologize for him. May be my fault. I've blasted the tranny a bit hard lately.
                            Comment
                            • vitterd
                              Restricted User
                              • 09-14-17
                              • 58460

                              #1169
                              Originally posted by RoyBacon
                              Vitty makes stuff up. He can't add to 100 so he always fvvks his lies up. I'll apologize for him. May be my fault. I've blasted the tranny a bit hard lately.
                              All you both have to do is google the early voting numbers for yourself. It’s not that hard.

                              Go fix your torn up azzhole. Maybe go with a white tranny next time.
                              Comment
                              • Judge Crater
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-05-20
                                • 2024

                                #1170
                                I would never register to a political party, register as an independent. It could only hurt you socially or for your career.
                                Comment
                                • homie1975
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-24-13
                                  • 15442

                                  #1171
                                  Donnie is narrowing the gap in PA to within the MOE.

                                  Joe has increased his lead in NV to > the MOE.

                                  if Donnie takes PA, my electoral map has him at 279 and Joe at 259.

                                  It truly is looking like the road to this election win might very well go through PA which is why it's a dogfight there.
                                  Comment
                                  • RoyBacon
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-21-05
                                    • 37074

                                    #1172
                                    Originally posted by homie1975
                                    Donnie is narrowing the gap in PA to within the MOE.

                                    Joe has increased his lead in NV to > the MOE.

                                    if Donnie takes PA, my electoral map has him at 279 and Joe at 259.

                                    It truly is looking like the road to this election win might very well go through PA which is why it's a dogfight there.

                                    The entire Midwest actually.

                                    It's a fascinating map. The Don could actually lose AZ AND NC and still win a near landslide.

                                    For long shot values Minnesota deserves a look. IF the storm we see brewing in the Midwest is real it could take MN with it. There is a dam good reason Obama, who thinks Joe is an idiot, is in Philly tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • Judge Crater
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-05-20
                                      • 2024

                                      #1173
                                      538 says that it seems to be tightening in PA, though the last bunch of polls are from low rated pollsters.
                                      Comment
                                      • RudyRuetigger
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 08-24-10
                                        • 65086

                                        #1174
                                        Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                        538 says that it seems to be tightening in PA, though the last bunch of polls are from low rated pollsters.
                                        ive already said 538 is a clown site

                                        here is nate silver's most recent map









                                        the guy should be put in a psych ward



                                        Comment
                                        • Judge Crater
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-05-20
                                          • 2024

                                          #1175
                                          Neat article on co-related betting the election

                                          The last frenetic week of election betting could be described as contrarian to conventional wisdom. Previously, with reference to Betfair Exchange’s database from previous elections, I noted how this year’s odds diverge wildly from both current polls and historic betting trends. The mismatch has become more stark than ever. Two weeks out, Biden’s 8/13 odds [...]
                                          Comment
                                          • RoyBacon
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 09-21-05
                                            • 37074

                                            #1176
                                            Looks like something vitty or chico would make.

                                            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                            ive already said 538 is a clown site

                                            here is nate silver's most recent map









                                            the guy should be put in a psych ward



                                            Comment
                                            • Judge Crater
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-05-20
                                              • 2024

                                              #1177
                                              That's not his map, this is.
                                              An interactive electoral map derived from FiveThirtyEight's probabilistic model for the 2020 presidential election.


                                              334-163
                                              Comment
                                              • RudyRuetigger
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 08-24-10
                                                • 65086

                                                #1178
                                                Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                                That's not his map, this is.
                                                An interactive electoral map derived from FiveThirtyEight's probabilistic model for the 2020 presidential election.


                                                334-163


                                                my 2nd graph is on that page
                                                Comment
                                                • Judge Crater
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-05-20
                                                  • 2024

                                                  #1179
                                                  Trump is +175 at Betfair
                                                  I would bet Trump today at +180
                                                  If the facts change, my bets change

                                                  Comment
                                                  • RudyRuetigger
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 08-24-10
                                                    • 65086

                                                    #1180
                                                    can someone find a site that lets you parlay states won?

                                                    Comment
                                                    • ace7550
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-08-15
                                                      • 3729

                                                      #1181
                                                      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                      can someone find a site that lets you parlay states won?

                                                      Bookmaker is letting me do it. That's a good idea...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • manny24
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-22-07
                                                        • 20046

                                                        #1182
                                                        even the cheating won't be enough to steal this one

                                                        no more crybaby BS after please

                                                        you get what you get and you don't get upset
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Judge Crater
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-05-20
                                                          • 2024

                                                          #1183
                                                          New @CNN polls just out:

                                                          Pennsylvania: Biden 53%Trump 43%

                                                          Florida: Biden 50%Trump 46%
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ace7550
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-08-15
                                                            • 3729

                                                            #1184
                                                            Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                                            New @CNN polls just out:

                                                            Pennsylvania: Biden 53%Trump 43%

                                                            Florida: Biden 50%Trump 46%
                                                            No way, CNN has Biden ahead? How weird...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • vitterd
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 09-14-17
                                                              • 58460

                                                              #1185
                                                              Originally posted by ace7550
                                                              No way, CNN has Biden ahead? How weird...
                                                              Everybody does. It’s a beating
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Judge Crater
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-05-20
                                                                • 2024

                                                                #1186
                                                                He is up at both Fox and Rasmussen too
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ByeShea
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 06-30-08
                                                                  • 8038

                                                                  #1187
                                                                  Originally posted by vitterd
                                                                  See this.....Florida is now blue.
                                                                  Full Greget mode achieved.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ByeShea
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 06-30-08
                                                                    • 8038

                                                                    #1188
                                                                    Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                                                    New @CNN polls just out:

                                                                    Pennsylvania: Biden 53%Trump 43%

                                                                    Florida: Biden 50%Trump 46%
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • vitterd
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 09-14-17
                                                                      • 58460

                                                                      #1189
                                                                      Originally posted by ByeShea
                                                                      Full Greget mode achieved.
                                                                      The only one that’s gonna remember how wrong you are is me. Nobody else cares what you post. Everybody knows you’re an idiot. Done trying to help you. Stay stupid....what do I care.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • rkelly110
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 10-05-09
                                                                        • 39691

                                                                        #1190
                                                                        Originally posted by ByeShea
                                                                        I know right? It should be higher than that.
                                                                        Comment
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