2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • jt315
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-12-11
    • 21699

    #1086
    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
    go pro and lets bet points
    He’s a broke dick air bettor .
    Comment
    • vitterd
      Restricted User
      • 09-14-17
      • 58460

      #1087
      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
      go pro and lets bet points
      Bet points. Lmao. No thanks. I don’t bet here. Jt315 already welched on me once....no more bets at sbr
      Comment
      • jt315
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-12-11
        • 21699

        #1088
        Originally posted by vitterd
        These clowns. Lighting isn’t gonna strike twice. They are clueless trumptards.

        The latest New York Times-Siena College survey finds Biden with a 10 point advantage over Trump in Wisconsin, where he leads 51 percent to 41 percent. Biden led by only 5 points in the same poll from September.


        In Michigan, the survey finds Biden with an 8 point advantage, 48 percent to 40 percent.


        Lmao !
        My sources vs. yours any day of the week and twice on Sunday Brokeback .

        Comment
        • DwightShrute
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-17-09
          • 102354

          #1089
          <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Call&#39;em as I see em&#39; <a href="https://t.co/6AmjNuWEvX">pic.twitter.com/6AmjNuWEvX</a></p>&mdash; JeremyView (@Jeremyview) <a href="https://twitter.com/Jeremyview/status/1318424709143367682?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 20, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
          Comment
          • JohnGalt2341
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-31-09
            • 9138

            #1090
            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
            but who ended up the fool?

            seems like i was right and you completely missed that
            Let me try to explain this to you in a way that you might be able to understand.

            Had I listened to your advice and not bet against Trump at 5Dimes I would have had $500 dollars more in my 5Dimes account that had several thousand in that account. So, had I listened to you, I would have had roughly $5500 in my 5Dimes account instead of $5000.

            But, since 5Dimes cancelled all futures and refunded my money, I now had $5500 in my account again.

            Moral of the story is... it doesn't matter if my bets were cancelled because I got my money back. It's no different than if I would have never placed the bet to begin with. It's the same. It's exactly the same.

            However, if 5Dimes hadn't cancelled the bet, then the price I got was pretty sweet. But because they cancelled the bets it was exactly as if I never placed the bet to begin with. It's not any worse, or any better. It's EXACTLY THE SAME.

            I don't know why you are trying to make yourself look like a hero for this. The only impact it would have had is on people that had almost no money in their account to begin with. But for people like me that had several thousand in their account... I don't give a shit if $500 got cancelled. It's not a big deal to me.
            Comment
            • vitterd
              Restricted User
              • 09-14-17
              • 58460

              #1091
              Originally posted by jt315

              The latest New York Times-Siena College survey finds Biden with a 10 point advantage over Trump in Wisconsin, where he leads 51 percent to 41 percent. Biden led by only 5 points in the same poll from September.


              In Michigan, the survey finds Biden with an 8 point advantage, 48 percent to 40 percent.


              Lmao !
              My sources vs. yours any day of the week and twice on Sunday Brokeback .

              Your sources. Lmao. You are king mush. Didn’t your sources say Durham would have his report before election? What did king Vitterd say? Boom!!
              Comment
              • jt315
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-12-11
                • 21699

                #1092
                Originally posted by vitterd
                Your sources. Lmao. You are king mush. Didn’t your sources say Durham would have his report before election? What did king Vitterd say? Boom!!
                What were your sources that made you say it’s gonna be real quiet after Hillary wins in 2016 ?

                Yeah big win win on the Durham call because Covid delayed grand juries and the investigation expanded you clueless clown .
                Comment
                • vitterd
                  Restricted User
                  • 09-14-17
                  • 58460

                  #1093
                  Originally posted by jt315
                  What were your sources that made you say it’s gonna be real quiet after Hillary wins in 2016 ?

                  Yeah big win win on the Durham call because Covid delayed grand juries and the investigation expanded you clueless clown .
                  You picked hillary also!!

                  You have been jerking off over Durham for a year. I told you it was nothin and that’s why his top aid resigned. Another flop. Just like unmasking and Obamagate.
                  Comment
                  • jt315
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-12-11
                    • 21699

                    #1094
                    Originally posted by vitterd
                    You picked hillary also!!

                    You have been jerking off over Durham for a year. I told you it was nothin and that’s why his top aid resigned. Another flop. Just like unmasking and Obamagate.



                    I was mocking the 2016 version of Vitterd (Greget ) who disappeared after the election . Just like you will be soon .
                    Last edited by jt315; 10-20-20, 11:38 AM.
                    Comment
                    • vitterd
                      Restricted User
                      • 09-14-17
                      • 58460

                      #1095
                      Originally posted by jt315


                      I was mocking the 2016 of Vitterd (Greget ) who disappeared after the election . Just like you will be soon .
                      You are lying again. Don’t welch again. In 14 days you are gone and don’t ever come back.
                      Comment
                      • dlowilly
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-09-16
                        • 13862

                        #1096
                        Originally posted by vitterd
                        You are lying again. Don’t welch again. In 14 days you are gone and don’t ever come back.
                        Vitterd, did that NBA skank you took a pic with to send to Dustyy ever call you like you asked her to? She's seen at all the games except at halftime when she disappears to the locker room. Bwahaha!
                        Comment
                        • vitterd
                          Restricted User
                          • 09-14-17
                          • 58460

                          #1097
                          Originally posted by dlowilly
                          Vitterd, did that NBA skank you took a pic with to send to Dustyy ever call you like you asked her to? She's seen at all the games except at halftime when she disappears to the locker room. Bwahaha!
                          Ummm you tried that joke before and it didn’t land. I sent Dustyy several pics of me and my wife and different locations in different years.

                          Get some rest. You have a parking lot to guard tonight!! Lmao. Get those push ups in loser!! Greatest video in sbr history. Your one bedroom shithole looked like those cages trump keeps the immigrant kids in
                          Comment
                          • Judge Crater
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-05-20
                            • 2024

                            #1098
                            Nate Silver yesterday, basically Trafalgar uses online polls to get to the number it wants

                            This interview with Trafalgar Group really worried me, for instance. These are not conventional polling methods and it sounds like they provide a lot of room for subjectivity or frankly confirmation bias in how one constructs a voter universe.
                            https://nationalreview.com/2020/10/the-pollster-who-thinks-trump-is-ahead/
















                            Originally posted by jt315
                            If disqualifying them because they called Pa and Michigsn for Trump in 2016 then no , they don’t count .

                            But go ahead and believe those double digit Biden poll leads in Pa.
                            Comment
                            • RudyRuetigger
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 08-24-10
                              • 65086

                              #1099
                              Originally posted by Judge Crater
                              Nate Silver yesterday, basically Trafalgar uses online polls to get to the number it wants

                              This interview with Trafalgar Group really worried me, for instance. These are not conventional polling methods and it sounds like they provide a lot of room for subjectivity or frankly confirmation bias in how one constructs a voter universe.
                              https://nationalreview.com/2020/10/the-pollster-who-thinks-trump-is-ahead/












                              You are using Nate Silver?


                              The biggest cu.m guzzler (no offense to gays) on the internet?


                              When he gets this so wrong again, he should leave
                              Comment
                              • dlowilly
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-09-16
                                • 13862

                                #1100
                                Originally posted by vitterd
                                Ummm you tried that joke before and it didn’t land. I sent Dustyy several pics of me and my wife and different locations in different years.

                                Get some rest. You have a parking lot to guard tonight!! Lmao. Get those push ups in loser!! Greatest video in sbr history. Your one bedroom shithole looked like those cages trump keeps the immigrant kids in
                                Wife! Bwahaha!

                                She's seen at all the games. You should've chosen someone with a lower profile. Different years! Did Dustyy carbon date them? LOL

                                The scores and odds betting, weekend poker millionaire winning, 5% interest on a savings account getting forum pinata claims an NBA skank is his wife now...
                                Comment
                                • Judge Crater
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-05-20
                                  • 2024

                                  #1101
                                  I use every poll I can find. I generally skip internal polls like Trafalgar who proudly says he is "Trumps Pollster"
                                  I do not care who wins, what we all want the best info we can get so we can win our bets.
                                  I suppose I do care who wins, but I do not care who I bet on.



                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                  You are using Nate Silver?


                                  The biggest cu.m guzzler (no offense to gays) on the internet?


                                  When he gets this so wrong again, he should leave
                                  Comment
                                  • vitterd
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-14-17
                                    • 58460

                                    #1102
                                    Originally posted by dlowilly
                                    Wife! Bwahaha!

                                    She's seen at all the games. You should've chosen someone with a lower profile. Different years! Did Dustyy carbon date them? LOL

                                    The scores and odds betting, weekend poker millionaire winning, 5% interest on a savings account getting forum pinata claims an NBA skank is his wife now...
                                    Just more lies from thecentaur. The Dustyy nuke killed a lot of people. Poor sheriff joe is still on bisexual websites crying about it.

                                    Please repost your push ups video in that one room dungeon. Or the video of you counting fake money. Have you been banned for racism lately?

                                    Dblow the scammer looking for kredit card info from other posters!! Bwaaaaahhhh
                                    Comment
                                    • RoyBacon
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 09-21-05
                                      • 37074

                                      #1103
                                      Originally posted by dlowilly
                                      Wife! Bwahaha!

                                      She's seen at all the games. You should've chosen someone with a lower profile. Different years! Did Dustyy carbon date them? LOL

                                      The scores and odds betting, weekend poker millionaire winning, 5% interest on a savings account getting forum pinata claims an NBA skank is his wife now...
                                      Vitty has admitted he's gay. He's pushing 50 and thankfully, for the love of God, has 0(zero) biological children as does his husband.

                                      He tried to claim he's not gay but enjoys not having to work in exchange for turning his ass into
                                      Comment
                                      • vitterd
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 09-14-17
                                        • 58460

                                        #1104
                                        Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                        Vitty has admitted he's gay. He's pushing 50 and thankfully, for the love of God, has 0(zero) biological children as does his husband.

                                        He tried to claim he's not gay but enjoys not having to work in exchange for turning his ass into
                                        This is all false. My kids will be home in 20 mins. You have no kids. You went to the hospital because your azzhole was turned inside out by a black tranny. Why don’t you come out already. We all know.

                                        You claim to have a wife and kids and we can see youre a pudgy out of shape little old man. You try to hide but the shadows in your insecure videos give you away.

                                        The Dustyy nuke confirmed and verified me. It can never be disputed!!
                                        Comment
                                        • burdman
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 10-13-20
                                          • 140

                                          #1105
                                          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                          You are using Nate Silver?


                                          The biggest cu.m guzzler (no offense to gays) on the internet?


                                          When he gets this so wrong again, he should leave
                                          Nate was actually pretty correct. Take out the fake Russian votes and Trump would’ve been blown out
                                          Comment
                                          • eidolon
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-02-08
                                            • 9531

                                            #1106
                                            Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                            This is the first year I have seen multiple large gatherings of people pushing for a GOP candidate in California. There is zero chance in hell that California goes red for this election, but I have been very surprised by what I have seen the last 2 months.
                                            Comment
                                            • RoyBacon
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 09-21-05
                                              • 37074

                                              #1107
                                              Originally posted by burdman
                                              Nate was actually pretty correct. Take out the fake Russian votes and Trump would’ve been blown out
                                              The russian vote???

                                              Hey vitty, believe it or not we may have found someone as dumb as you. Ask him if he likes trannys, who knows??? hint hint
                                              Comment
                                              • vitterd
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 09-14-17
                                                • 58460

                                                #1108
                                                Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                The russian vote???

                                                Hey vitty, believe it or not we may have found someone as dumb as you. Ask him if he likes trannys, who knows??? hint hint
                                                Why are you so afraid to come out? You spent months in the hospital because a tranny tore up your azzhole and other organs. I doubt anyone is gonna think less of you. Make the announcement....be who you are.
                                                Comment
                                                • RudyRuetigger
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                  • 65086

                                                  #1109
                                                  Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                                  I use every poll I can find..
                                                  THEN you and galt should go check the FACTS i presented about Pennsylvania and registered voters in swing states i posted 8-10 pages back
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RudyRuetigger
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 08-24-10
                                                    • 65086

                                                    #1110
                                                    Originally posted by burdman
                                                    Nate was actually pretty correct. Take out the fake Russian votes and Trump would’ve been blown out
                                                    nate was completely wrong and currently has biden winning over 300 electorates


                                                    want to bet on that tough guy?????????????


                                                    no?


                                                    Then shut the fukk up
                                                    Comment
                                                    • rkelly110
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 10-05-09
                                                      • 39691

                                                      #1111
                                                      Originally posted by vitterd
                                                      Ummm you tried that joke before and it didn’t land. I sent Dustyy several pics of me and my wife and different locations in different years.

                                                      Get some rest. You have a parking lot to guard tonight!! Lmao. Get those push ups in loser!! Greatest video in sbr history. Your one bedroom shithole looked like those cages trump keeps the immigrant kids in
                                                      It's ok duhwilly, you made a good fiction video.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ByeShea
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 06-30-08
                                                        • 8038

                                                        #1112
                                                        Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                                        I do not care who wins, what we all want the best info we can get so we can win our bets.
                                                        Earlier this thread I was highlighting MI for you when Trump was +261 ... don't know what it is now, but I'd act as data rolling in is replacing polls - which, as widely predicted, are looking wrong as fuk against Trump.
                                                        <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">��DOUBLE TAKE��Michigan 18-29 demo of voters underperforming by 66% as a % of ballots cast vs 2016 exit polls <a href="https://t.co/uqBQpjTwqR">pic.twitter.com/uqBQpjTwqR</a></p>&mdash; TrumpDuck (@TrumpDucki) <a href="https://twitter.com/TrumpDucki/status/1318566329557962753?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 20, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RoyBacon
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 09-21-05
                                                          • 37074

                                                          #1113
                                                          Originally posted by vitterd
                                                          Why are you so afraid to come out? You spent months in the hospital because a tranny tore up your azzhole and other organs. I doubt anyone is gonna think less of you. Make the announcement....be who you are.

                                                          You have to admit the guy is as dumb as you. Tell him you said Jr and Jared, according to your dumb azz, were going to flip on Trump and they would all go to jail! BWHAHAHAHAHA!!!!

                                                          Which is stupider? Russians voting or your laughable horseshit???
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jt315
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-12-11
                                                            • 21699

                                                            #1114
                                                            Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                            You have to admit the guy is as dumb as you. Tell him you said Jr and Jared, according to your dumb azz, were going to flip on Trump and they would all go to jail! BWHAHAHAHAHA!!!!

                                                            Which is stupider? Russians voting or your laughable horseshit???




                                                            Never gets old
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RoyBacon
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-21-05
                                                              • 37074

                                                              #1115
                                                              Originally posted by jt315


                                                              Never gets old
                                                              It really doesn't.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vitterd
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 09-14-17
                                                                • 58460

                                                                #1116
                                                                Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                                You have to admit the guy is as dumb as you. Tell him you said Jr and Jared, according to your dumb azz, were going to flip on Trump and they would all go to jail! BWHAHAHAHAHA!!!!

                                                                Which is stupider? Russians voting or your laughable horseshit???
                                                                More lies. It wasn’t a prediction but that’s how you guys make shit up.

                                                                “ no way Ford testifies”

                                                                “ immigration bill will pass easily”

                                                                “ Biden is toe tagged”

                                                                “ Parscale will never be fired”

                                                                “ things will be worse for Dems in the midterms”

                                                                “ Corona will be a pimple on an elephants ass by election”

                                                                These are predictions
                                                                Comment
                                                                • GunShard
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-05-10
                                                                  • 10026

                                                                  #1117
                                                                  Everyone don't be fooled by online polls when the internet is majority liberal. Let's say an online poll gets 1 million votes. Never forget that during the the Nov 4 election that Clinton got 60+ million votes and Trump got 60+ million votes

                                                                  Expectation of online votes with 1 million votes says Clinton winning the 2016 election.
                                                                  Reality of the electoral votes with 120+ million votes says Trump wins the 2016 election.

                                                                  Everyone that uses any online poll will only see 1% to 5% of the total electoral votes.
                                                                  Last edited by GunShard; 10-20-20, 03:58 PM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Chi_archie
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-22-08
                                                                    • 63165

                                                                    #1118
                                                                    dumbocrats are losing a huge portion on their first time registered college kid vote

                                                                    cant do the huge voter drives during covid
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Itsamazing777
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-14-12
                                                                      • 12602

                                                                      #1119
                                                                      the bidens are finished...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • vitterd
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 09-14-17
                                                                        • 58460

                                                                        #1120
                                                                        Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                                        the bidens are finished...
                                                                        Every few minutes a thought pops into that tiny brain and you post it. Biden is the president....trump is going to prison. Accept it now.
                                                                        Comment
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