2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

[TheMoneyShot]

Dems early vote

+16 Arizona
+24 Michigan
+14 NC
+22 Wisconsin

You trumptards better wake up and start looking at who is voting. You’re getting pounded and will have to outnumber better than 2-1 on Election Day to make up for the beating. Not gonna happen

Low frequency and newly registered voters are also heavy in dems column right now.

lol Where do you get this info at??? Ask Hillary what happened on election night.

[RudyRuetigger]

You always assume that everyone is just as dumb as you are. Almost nobody is. You can get Trump for +175 at a real Sportsbook but you won't. And yet you are BEGGING people to bet with you even though you will have to take a FAR worse price than what ANY Sportsbook is offering.

Do you see the contradiction here?

Everyone on SBR knows you are a complete fraud and a lying sack of shit. Go bark somewhere else little doggy.

you started this shit show of telling people to put your money where your mouth is


yes, it was you who said go bet it if you love trump...you have posts on that over and over



SO, ive offered biden only -120



The contradiction is, you and none of you other cu.m guzzlers bet it





The contradiction is, IM OFFERING A WAY BETTER PRICE....NONE OF YOU ASS CLOWNS ARE BETTING IT

[Judge Crater]

Is there an in-house escrow system for "friendly" points betting between members?

[TheMoneyShot]

I think Trump likely wins Iowa and probably NC and AZ.

Do you have a link for those rumors in MI, MN, and WI? I'm not discrediting your claim. I just want to see a link if you have one. Thanks.

I believe if you are thinking Trump to win... overall... He has to take Michigan. People aren't really considering Michigan a swing state... but IMO it will show overall election thought process based on party. Especially with odds... At one point Michigan was +300 for Trump... so why would you risk +175 or +180 for Trump on overall election? Just take Michigan +300 (now it's at +210 I think.) It's just my 2 cents.

I think if Biden wins Michigan... he'll win the election.

If Trump wins Michigan... he'll win the election.

All of those states are huge... Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania.

[King Mayan]

Please leave Rudy alone. He just drank a 18 pack of Budweiser and is pissing himself.

[RudyRuetigger]

Please leave Rudy alone. He just drank a 18 pack of Budweiser and is pissing himself.

how did you know?


your wife mustve texted you that



ill tell her to bring dinner home for you

[ByeShea]

Just a reminder, this would be a flip from blue to red....

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">From the top D analyst in NV. He is worried.<br>&quot;If the GOP does continue to subtract from the Dems lead for the next week, this is going to be very close.&quot;</p>&mdash; Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) <a href="https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1319691471016980480?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 23, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[vitterd]

Just a reminder, this would be a flip from blue to red....

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">From the top D analyst in NV. He is worried.<br>&quot;If the GOP does continue to subtract from the Dems lead for the next week, this is going to be very close.&quot;</p>&mdash; Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) <a rel="nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1319691471016980480?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 23, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Larry has led you wrong so many time and you keep listening to him. He is your stu Feiner.

[ByeShea]

If Trump wins Michigan... he'll win the election.

All of those states are huge... Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania.

Ohio: neither campaign spending money there. Color it red.

Michigan: GOP senate challenger (100% MAGA) is surging - oh, and this...

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="de" dir="ltr">MICHIGAN<br>Trump 49% (+4)<br>Biden 45%<br><br>Zia Poll, LV, 10/11-18<a href="https://t.co/esjBX01ujS">https://t.co/esjBX01ujS</a></p>&mdash; Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) <a href="https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1319654810531041286?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 23, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Pennsylvania: Democrats in panic mode now. While Trump didn't lose a single vote last night, Biden's big mouth essentially declared war on half the state. Huge mistake.

[vitterd]

Ohio: neither campaign spending money there. Color it red.

Michigan: GOP senate challenger (100% MAGA) is surging - oh, and this...

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="de" dir="ltr">MICHIGAN<br>Trump 49% (+4)<br>Biden 45%<br><br>Zia Poll, LV, 10/11-18<a rel="nofollow" href="https://t.co/esjBX01ujS">https://t.co/esjBX01ujS</a></p>&mdash; Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) <a rel="nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1319654810531041286?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 23, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Pennsylvania: Democrats in panic mode now. While Trump didn't lose a single vote last night, Biden's big mouth essentially declared war on half the state. Huge mistake.

Not one serous normal person believes this. Trump is getting trounced in Michigan. He’s done there.

[TheMoneyShot]

I really can't wait to see what the people of Michigan think on election night. Gov. Whitmer ran this covid thing like an imbecile. Kept gyms/workout facilities closed the longest practically out of any state. Didn't open up arcade places like Dave & Busters for a long time... You had riots at the the state capital in Lansing. The workout facility owners still had to pay RENT even while closed. People lost 20k-30k easily in rent. You can't make up that difference. I just would love to see what happens on election night in Michigan.

If the Dems really wanted a chance to win... they didn't have to go to total extremes in regards to lock down. But that was their political game plan. I guess we will see on November 3 who wins.

[RudyRuetigger]

Not one serous normal person believes this. Trump is getting trounced in Michigan. He’s done there.

You will be eating crow


And don't worry, we know how you "guys" like it served..........cold ................and up your ass

[JohnGalt2341]

you started this shit show of telling people to put your money where your mouth is


yes, it was you who said go bet it if you love trump...you have posts on that over and over



SO, ive offered biden only -120



The contradiction is, you and none of you other cu.m guzzlers bet it





The contradiction is, IM OFFERING A WAY BETTER PRICE....NONE OF YOU ASS CLOWNS ARE BETTING IT

Let me explain a bit of money management to you. Do I think Trump is going to lose? YES, but I would say it's only a 60% chance at most. It's probably closer to 55%.

Now I have to ask myself... how much is it worth betting on and at what price? Once I decide on that, then I make my wagers. I don't put all of my money on a single bet just because I like it. I've had several days in the past where I would place well over 100 wagers on a single day.

Just because I like a play, it doesn't mean that I am going to put all of my eggs into that one basket. I bought Eggs to bet against Trump nearly a year ago and I got really good prices. And now you are BEGGING me to buy some of your rotten eggs at a worse price. No thanks, I've got all the good eggs I need.

There's a reason why guys like you lose at sportsbetting OVER and OVER again. And there's a reason why guys like me are way ahead. I search for the truth of what is actually happening. Once you figure that out, you just have to see if the sportsbooks know that truth better than you do. If they don't, you will make money. If they do, you will lose.

But guys like you have no interest in the truth. You're only interested in the illusion. This is the same reason why Trump always says stuff like "Lots of people are saying it, lots of very smart people". He doesn't care what the truth is, he only cares about what people are saying. If Trump bet on sports he would be broke just like you.

[Judge Crater]

Nevada looks like a great bet at +250 then

[RudyRuetigger]

Let me explain a bit of money management to you. Do I think Trump is going to lose? YES, but I would say it's only a 60% chance at most. It's probably closer to 55%.

Now I have to ask myself... how much is it worth betting on and at what price? Once I decide on that, then I make my wagers. I don't put all of my money on a single bet just because I like it. I've had several days in the past where I would place well over 100 wagers on a single day.

Just because I like a play, it doesn't mean that I am going to put all of my eggs into that one basket. I bought Eggs to bet against Trump nearly a year ago and I got really good prices. And now you are BEGGING me to buy some of your rotten eggs at a worse price. No thanks, I've got all the good eggs I need.

There's a reason why guys like you lose at sportsbetting OVER and OVER again. And there's a reason why guys like me are way ahead. I search for the truth of what is actually happening. Once you figure that out, you just have to see if the sportsbooks know that truth better than you do. If they don't, you will make money. If they do, you will lose.

But guys like you have no interest in the truth. You're only interested in the illusion. This is the same reason why Trump always says stuff like "Lots of people are saying it, lots of very smart people". He doesn't care what the truth is, he only cares about what people are saying. If Trump bet on sports he would be broke just like you.

60%, now 55%?


wow


a few days ago you said youd go as low as 60%

[TheMoneyShot]

Not one serous normal person believes this. Trump is getting trounced in Michigan. He’s done there.

What did Trump do wrong to the people in Michigan???

[Judge Crater]

If Trump wins Michigan, he probably wins the election

[vitterd]

What did Trump do wrong to the people in Michigan???

He ran for president again.

[RudyRuetigger]

What did Trump do wrong to the people in Michigan???

exactly


only your governor did wrong

[TheMoneyShot]

He ran for president again.

A clown could run for governor in Michigan and beat Whitmer next term.

[vitterd]

A clown could run for governor in Michigan and beat Whitmer next term.

She has a higher approval than trump by double digits in Michigan. Why do you say so much dumb shit?

[RudyRuetigger]

She has a higher approval than trump by double digits in Michigan. Why do you say so much dumb shit?

because of a poll?

[Judge Crater]

A Fox News poll showed Whitmer with a 61 percent job approval mark and 36 percent disapproving, while Trump on the other hand saw 44 percent approve of the job he was doing and 55 percent disapproving in Michigan.

[RudyRuetigger]

A Fox News poll showed Whitmer with a 61 percent job approval mark and 36 percent disapproving, while Trump on the other hand saw 44 percent approve of the job he was doing and 55 percent disapproving in Michigan.

go check my new york times poll that i compared with fracking for the state of pennsylvania


whatever your previous handle was, apparently we get along


but common man

[ByeShea]

Dems early vote
+24 Michigan

You trumptards better wake up and start looking at who is voting. You’re getting pounded and will have to outnumber better than 2-1 on Election Day to make up for the beating. Not gonna happen

Low frequency and newly registered voters are also heavy in dems column right now.

First of all, what are you trying to say with this D+24 early vote. Have a look at some hard data...

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="de" dir="ltr">Michigan ! <a href="https://t.co/qISZspstcZ">https://t.co/qISZspstcZ</a> <a href="https://t.co/CG3KgFcM8y">pic.twitter.com/CG3KgFcM8y</a></p>&mdash; Ray Hessel (@ray_hessel) <a href="https://twitter.com/ray_hessel/status/1319687066435899392?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 23, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>


Not even pepped up GOPers expected to outperform in MI this early.

[RoyBacon]

Whitmer is at 51% according to the Detroit News

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/10/06/whitmer-keeps-favorable-edge-michigan-voters-poll-finds/5898087002/

About what Trump is.

Michigan is in play. The tard has the advantage but it's close. The Mich senate race is very close too.

[Judge Crater]

Fox news poll was today

Anything is possible

[StackinGreen]

There's a reason why guys like you lose at sportsbetting OVER and OVER again. And there's a reason why guys like me are way ahead. I search for the truth of what is actually happening. Once you figure that out, you just have to see if the sportsbooks know that truth better than you do. If they don't, you will make money. If they do, you will lose.

But guys like you have no interest in the truth. You're only interested in the illusion. This is the same reason why Trump always says stuff like "Lots of people are saying it, lots of very smart people". He doesn't care what the truth is, he only cares about what people are saying. If Trump bet on sports he would be broke just like you.

This is the most ironic post possible. First, we aren't talking sports, not that any risk (as you noted) or betting angle isn't the same paradigm of risk and reward. But seriously, we just had this very same situation occur 4 years ago, and the onus is on you to tell us why the media propaganda, which is obvious, isn't again running high, or why you are thinking it isn't is and assigning a foolish and brainless Biden win probability, which is dead wrong.

I have interest in the truth and that's why I have 5 figures on Trump at plus odds, and it is easily the best bet of the year I've seen on any subject, any platform. You are the one falling for the illusion. And you will see why in a little over 10 days from now. What remains to be seen is if you'll be man enough to admit you were wrong, again (like in 2016) and talk about the illusion you bought into from all this BS propaganda.

[RudyRuetigger]

Fox news poll was today

Anything is possible

you are using polls bro


there is now data available

[StackinGreen]

Whitmer is at 51% according to the Detroit News

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/10/06/whitmer-keeps-favorable-edge-michigan-voters-poll-finds/5898087002/

About what Trump is.

Michigan is in play. The tard has the advantage but it's close. The Mich senate race is very close too.

These retards will pay more attention to Quinnipiac, like they did last time, which is why they were so "shocked". Instead of Trafalgar, which has Trump up in MI. Oh, by the way, Trafalgar was the only polling source listed in mainstream outlets that was right last time in 2016. Hmm.

I don't go by them, I have other sources, but I know that they are accurate and the stuff these Biden clowns follow (because they want to believe it, not the truth) is garbage. Pure garbage, not even close to the truth on the ground.

Yes, there is always a small chance brainles and quid pro Joe could win, but it's laughable to take him as a favorite he. Trump is at least -300 according to my sources. And I'm getting over +150 on 5 figures wagered in total, all in.

[RoyBacon]

Fox news poll was today

Anything is possible

You sure about that? I only see an old one.

[Judge Crater]

A few things

Zia poll https://mirsnews.com/pdfs/poll_cross...1603227211.pdf
C/D rated pollster at Five Thirty Eight
Says Biden has a slight lead among African Americans (Hillary won over 90% of the black vote in Michigan)
Respondents are 79% white, 10% black, white number seems high for Michigan (could be wrong)

This appears to be the only poll they have conducted on the election. In 2016 they polled New Mexico only and showed Clinton with a 2-point lead. She won NM by more than 8 points.

[StackinGreen]

There's no path to victory for Biden if Trump wins PA. There is no path to victory for Biden if Trump wins MI.

= no Biden path to victory. Period.

[RudyRuetigger]

538 does not matter

PERIOD


NATE SILVER needs to shine shoes

[Judge Crater]

Story was yesterday
Poll was two days ago

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-trump-gains-in-ohio-biden-ahead-in-michigan-pennsylvania-wisconsin

You sure about that? I only see an old one.