Election day bets 11.06.18

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  • wikkidinsane
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-30-10
    • 13799

    #1
    Election day bets 11.06.18
    Yes I am a degen and I am proud. I do follow politics and watch election results like its the superbowl


    Arizona Senate - Krysten Senima -105 - 1.05 units to win 1
  • kidcudi92
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-14-11
    • 15434

    #2
    Braun wins Indiana
    Comment
    • cincinnatikid513
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-23-17
      • 45360

      #3
      Originally posted by wikkidinsane
      Yes I am a degen and I am proud. I do follow politics and watch election results like its the superbowl


      Arizona Senate - Krysten Senima -105 - 1.05 units to win 1
      looks like u got good odds -125 at 5dimes


      i think bill nelson is pretty safe pick over rick scott, rick scott is very disliked in fla

      2018 United States Senate Election - Florida - Winner - Tuesday, November 6, 2018 6:00 AM1007 Bill Nelson (D) wins Florida -140 1008 Rick Scott (R) wins Florida +100
      Comment
      • wikkidinsane
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-30-10
        • 13799

        #4
        Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
        looks like u got good odds -125 at 5dimes


        i think bill nelson is pretty safe pick over rick scott, rick scott is very disliked in fla

        2018 United States Senate Election - Florida - Winner - Tuesday, November 6, 2018 6:00 AM1007 Bill Nelson (D) wins Florida -140 1008 Rick Scott (R) wins Florida +100
        Its at -170 now. I am laying off that one because its still 2 percentage point race and scott already have the name recognition
        Comment
        • wikkidinsane
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-30-10
          • 13799

          #5
          Originally posted by kidcudi92
          Braun wins Indiana
          I went against this

          Joe Donnelly (D) (-125) - 1.25 units to win 1
          Comment
          • wikkidinsane
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-30-10
            • 13799

            #6
            Georgia Gov. Abrams +125 - 1 unit to win 1.25

            Polls are really tight. Ill take her at plus money. This one is more of a gamble though. I cant fathom that Georgia would elect a black female.
            Comment
            • Johnnythunder
              SBR MVP
              • 11-25-10
              • 2161

              #7
              why do you think this crackpot senima wins?
              Comment
              • VeggieDog
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-21-09
                • 7214

                #8
                I stopped voting many, many years ago. All the people I voted for never won by just 1 vote. So I figure my vote doesn't count. Why waste my time.

                I moved to Nevada 6 months ago and I have no idea who the governor is.
                Comment
                • wikkidinsane
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-30-10
                  • 13799

                  #9
                  Originally posted by VeggieDog
                  I stopped voting many, many years ago. All the people I voted for never won by just 1 vote. So I figure my vote doesn't count. Why waste my time.

                  I moved to Nevada 6 months ago and I have no idea who the governor is.
                  lmfao
                  Comment
                  • wikkidinsane
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-30-10
                    • 13799

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Johnnythunder
                    why do you think this crackpot senima wins?
                    Her consistent polling data especially ones done by those with A and A+ ratings
                    Comment
                    • DR225
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-24-11
                      • 2011

                      #11
                      Who do you think wins the house?
                      Comment
                      • DR225
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-24-11
                        • 2011

                        #12
                        Also bookmaker has Sinema at +123.
                        Comment
                        • wikkidinsane
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-30-10
                          • 13799

                          #13
                          Originally posted by DR225
                          Who do you think wins the house?
                          Dems take over the house
                          Comment
                          • wikkidinsane
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 05-30-10
                            • 13799

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DR225
                            Also bookmaker has Sinema at +123.
                            wowzers
                            Comment
                            • cincinnatikid513
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-23-17
                              • 45360

                              #15
                              sbr should have sbr natalie interview our politics expert wikkidinsane for his political picks for tuesday
                              Comment
                              • DR225
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-24-11
                                • 2011

                                #16
                                Originally posted by wikkidinsane
                                Dems take over the house
                                Do you think it's worth paying -256? Yesterday the line was -200 and the day before it was -285, the line is jumping all over the place. It seems like a lock if you take polling into account but after Trump, it's hard to trust sites like 538, who give the Dems a 85% chance of winning the house.
                                Comment
                                • daneblazer
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 09-14-08
                                  • 27861

                                  #17
                                  Just an observation that i have no proof it...

                                  it seems like political wagers in most sports books are juiced towards the democrats
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388189

                                    #18
                                    Comment
                                    • thetrinity
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-25-11
                                      • 22430

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by daneblazer
                                      Just an observation that i have no proof it...

                                      it seems like political wagers in most sports books are juiced towards the democrats
                                      I thought the same thing
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr KLC
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-19-07
                                        • 30995

                                        #20
                                        If 2016 taught us anything, take some of the Republican underdogs. I would probably take them all in the states Trump won, and you will still probably turn a profit.
                                        Comment
                                        • wikkidinsane
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-30-10
                                          • 13799

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Mr KLC
                                          If 2016 taught us anything, take some of the Republican underdogs. I would probably take them all in the states Trump won, and you will still probably turn a profit.
                                          Klc It always favors the opposite party . I do agree that in a real close race and youre in like a deep red state, chances are the red candidate wins
                                          Comment
                                          • nyyanks773
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-26-10
                                            • 688

                                            #22
                                            Which book are you using? Wondering the odds on Bob Stefanowski in CT
                                            Comment
                                            • thetrinity
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-25-11
                                              • 22430

                                              #23
                                              republicans usually have a way better turnout in the midterms

                                              may even be worth checking the weather in a lot of these states
                                              Comment
                                              • RoyBacon
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 09-21-05
                                                • 37074

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Mr KLC
                                                If 2016 taught us anything, take some of the Republican underdogs. I would probably take them all in the states Trump won, and you will still probably turn a profit.
                                                I'm all over the Dems winning the House. Every sportsbook acct I could fund has a limit bet. That -135ish is a fuggin gift. I'm no tard but that bet should be -220 at least, even -330.

                                                I'm on Cruz too but the price is about right. Tards are going crazy trying to beat him but just too many working folk in Texas.
                                                Comment
                                                • Snowball
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                  • 30042

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Mr KLC
                                                  If 2016 taught us anything, take some of the Republican underdogs. I would probably take them all in the states Trump won, and you will still probably turn a profit.
                                                  Republican candidates are safer bets in states where the Governor and Secretary of State are also Republican.
                                                  That's a criteria for me because SoS's run the elections and the Governors influence them. You don't want to
                                                  depend on a Republican up against Dem SoS and Dem Governor controlling the election.
                                                  I am convinced the GOP will add 1-4 seats in the Senate. It is impossible to say which ones. Possibilities
                                                  are Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota and Florida. Longshot is New Jersey (corrupt Menendez) and West Virginia (DINO Manchin) who might have saved his seat by voting for Kavanaugh.

                                                  Wikkidinsane - I think you will lose both the bets you mention. Those Dems aren't simply running
                                                  against GOP candidates but GOP Secretaries of State and Governor who eontrol the process and clamp down on any overstuffing. This may help a weak candidate like Heller in Nevada hold on.
                                                  Likewise I hesitate to take a Republican in a Democrat SoS/Gov run state.
                                                  I have OVER 50 (51+) Senate at Nitro booked -250 and may add.
                                                  Understand my angle is not often discussed in media because it practically admits many of our elections
                                                  are dirty. Democrats need loose elections to win swing states.
                                                  Last edited by Snowball; 11-03-18, 07:38 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388189

                                                    #26
                                                    These lines are worse than playing craps
                                                    Comment
                                                    • keely85
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-04-15
                                                      • 4296

                                                      #27
                                                      Sinema at plus odds would be yuge. She just got the independent candidates endorsement too

                                                      Cruz over Beto is prob a lock. But the odds are prob terrible.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shocka1212
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-06-12
                                                        • 16788

                                                        #28
                                                        shouldn't Ted Cruz be -666?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • keely85
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-04-15
                                                          • 4296

                                                          #29
                                                          Nice.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sourtwist
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-10-12
                                                            • 9364

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Mr KLC
                                                            If 2016 taught us anything, take some of the Republican underdogs. I would probably take them all in the states Trump won, and you will still probably turn a profit.
                                                            For real

                                                            When I hear people talking about polls, it reminds me how far gone the people are

                                                            Red wins in the end
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Kraken
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-25-11
                                                              • 28917

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by sourtwist
                                                              For real

                                                              When I hear people talking about polls, it reminds me how far gone the people are

                                                              Red wins in the end
                                                              I’ve agreed with this point many times. I think when it comes to winning, Trump gets it done. I dont like him, dont agree with him much on policies but fukk, when he wanta something he gets it. Id bet trump wins again in 2020 and would not be surprised to see red control the house after midterms.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shocka1212
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-06-12
                                                                • 16788

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by sourtwist
                                                                For real

                                                                When I hear people talking about polls, it reminds me how far gone the people are

                                                                Red wins in the end
                                                                Bob Hugin (New Jersey) +365 has a better shot than people think... I'm speaking objectively.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • keely85
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-04-15
                                                                  • 4296

                                                                  #33
                                                                  You guys really think he will run again? Can’t imagjne all the hassle of trying to hide ur dirty deals this much.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kidcudi92
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-14-11
                                                                    • 15434

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by wikkidinsane
                                                                    I went against this

                                                                    Joe Donnelly (D) (-125) - 1.25 units to win 1
                                                                    Indiana is strong for Braun in the suburbs aka people who will actually vote

                                                                    Margin will be slim for the winner
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shocka1212
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-06-12
                                                                      • 16788

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by keely85
                                                                      You guys really think he will run again? Can’t imagjne all the hassle of trying to hide ur dirty deals this much.
                                                                      never doubt how selfish a narcissist can be
                                                                      Comment
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