Stock Market Discussion -- started 03/06/2018 -- updated daily !!!

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  • Slurry Pumper
    SBR MVP
    • 06-18-18
    • 2811

    #6616
    Tossing on a short play with Netflix @ $483.00 for 25 shares.
    Comment
    • d2bets
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-10-05
      • 39993

      #6617
      So much leverage and momentum play in this market. Retracement to around 3150 looks like bare minimum to me.
      Comment
      • navyblue81
        SBR MVP
        • 11-29-13
        • 4143

        #6618
        Can’t look at the market anymore. It’s a total bloodbath today. Getting sick to my stomach. The 40% gains I made earlier this week are all gone. Picked the wrong day to invest in Penn.
        Comment
        • Iona
          SBR MVP
          • 01-08-10
          • 4244

          #6619
          Earning releases after the close today:

          Comment
          • Iona
            SBR MVP
            • 01-08-10
            • 4244

            #6620
            Before the open tomorrow:

            Comment
            • CanuckG
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-23-10
              • 21978

              #6621
              Major discount prices for gambling sector stocks
              Comment
              • zam77
                SBR MVP
                • 11-03-10
                • 3586

                #6622
                I know a lot of you guys don't get into penny's here, but I thought this one would be a good one to share with ya's.

                Ticker: MEDH

                Med X Holding Inc is parent company for Lazy Daze coffee/head shop https://www.lazydazeco.com/. This is an already established cannabis/coffee shop franchise out of Austin TX since 04. There's also a branding company texasgreenrush.com that focuses on hemp/cbd/cannabis branding. They have 15 locations mostly Texas, but one in NC, OH and PA as well. Currently trading around .05 to .07/share with 80% growth over past week and climbing steadily.

                New CEO took the reigns as of early June seems to be taking some big strides toward growth. Here is a you tube of CEO talking about what the biz is all about. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuTr...ature=youtu.be
                Comment
                • d2bets
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 39993

                  #6623
                  Originally posted by navyblue81
                  Can’t look at the market anymore. It’s a total bloodbath today. Getting sick to my stomach. The 40% gains I made earlier this week are all gone. Picked the wrong day to invest in Penn.
                  Get out now at the second of eight levels of the house of cards.
                  Comment
                  • homie1975
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-24-13
                    • 15453

                    #6624
                    Originally posted by d2bets
                    Get out now at the second of eight levels of the house of cards.
                    ROTFLMFAO the first deep red day we have had in quite some time and there is my favorite hater D2er right on the spot.

                    too predictable! (i do luv ya, Mate)
                    Comment
                    • ERBtheGREAT
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 06-03-13
                      • 46

                      #6625
                      Dude has been saying it for months while everyone else has been riding the money train. I'd be pissed too and hope it drops.
                      Comment
                      • navyblue81
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-29-13
                        • 4143

                        #6626
                        Last two weeks have been rough for my stocks. SE has dropped from 124 to 110. FSLY from 103 to 77. SQ from 135 to 122. PLUG from $10.20 to $8.50. NET from $42 to $36. Got a big rise from NOVN Tuesday only for it to shoot back down on Wednesday. And then yesterday I invested in sports casino stocks and they took a good ole dump on me, PENN and GAN being the worst. It's a Johnny Walker Blue night.
                        Comment
                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30047

                          #6627
                          Great day for me. Cashed out of QLD and ZS puts for big gains.
                          Nasdaq weakness likely to continue but with August options I felt the need to clear out.
                          Now I'm in AMC long. All US theatres will be reopen by mid-late August.
                          weekly calls sell for solid income.
                          Thought about EVRI, GAN, etc. but the uncertainties of college sports are weighing
                          and the general weakness in casinos. Big money doesn't seem to trust the revenues yet,
                          they want to see proof of how much these deals will pay and how safe sports are going to be
                          before laying down millions of dollars.
                          Last edited by Snowball; 07-23-20, 03:35 PM.
                          Comment
                          • trobin31
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-09-14
                            • 9853

                            #6628
                            Got SQQQ from 6.2 to 6.6

                            ^ agree, this is the right moment to pile into Value stocks.

                            Main thing I’m looking at are companies without debt and plenty of cash on the sidelines. I like ABEV(buy <2.4) and LQDT (buy < 5.2) and just piling into those two for past month and foreseeable future.
                            Comment
                            • trobin31
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-09-14
                              • 9853

                              #6629
                              Buy the Fukin Dip

                              Roku< 150
                              MSFT <201
                              KingsofCloud <31
                              Crowdstrike <101
                              Comment
                              • d2bets
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-10-05
                                • 39993

                                #6630
                                Originally posted by Snowball
                                Great day for me. Cashed out of QLD and ZS puts for big gains.
                                Nasdaq weakness likely to continue but with August options I felt the need to clear out.
                                Now I'm in AMC long. All US theatres will be reopen by mid-late August.
                                weekly calls sell for solid income.
                                Thought about EVRI, GAN, etc. but the uncertainties of college sports are weighing
                                and the general weakness in casinos. Big money doesn't seem to trust the revenues yet,
                                they want to see proof of how much these deals will pay and how safe sports are going to be
                                before laying down millions of dollars.
                                Reopen doesn't mean people will go and they will make money.
                                Comment
                                • d2bets
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-10-05
                                  • 39993

                                  #6631
                                  Originally posted by trobin31
                                  Buy the Fukin Dip

                                  Roku< 150
                                  MSFT <201
                                  KingsofCloud <31
                                  Crowdstrike <101
                                  Works great until the dip becomes a plunge.
                                  Comment
                                  • Lineman
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-21-09
                                    • 2594

                                    #6632


                                    I put the election year chart on top of this year's DJ30. As you can see we moved quite the opposite direction till now. Unprecedented times.....We need to be flexible.
                                    My stops are in place. We could always jump back in!
                                    Last edited by Lineman; 07-23-20, 06:04 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • trobin31
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-09-14
                                      • 9853

                                      #6633
                                      Originally posted by d2bets
                                      Works great until the dip becomes a plunge.
                                      A plunge could happen, sure. I’m supposed to live life expecting a plunge? I’m supposed to expect companies growing in revenue year after year will be worth less in a few years?
                                      Comment
                                      • d2bets
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 39993

                                        #6634
                                        Originally posted by trobin31
                                        A plunge could happen, sure. I’m supposed to live life expecting a plunge? I’m supposed to expect companies growing in revenue year after year will be worth less in a few years?
                                        When they're valued at a multiple of earnings that is out of line with reality, sure. S&P 500 peaked mid-2000. In 2009 it was half that. Didn't return to 2000 level until 2014. A few years is nothing.
                                        Comment
                                        • Shev2
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 04-16-19
                                          • 270

                                          #6635


                                          Cup and handle forming in $WSC? Pretty good short interest in this one, potential for a squeeze on a breakout past resistance.
                                          Last edited by Shev2; 07-23-20, 10:31 PM. Reason: Couldn’t figure out the pic
                                          Comment
                                          • milwaukee mike
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-22-07
                                            • 26914

                                            #6636
                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                            When they're valued at a multiple of earnings that is out of line with reality, sure. S&P 500 peaked mid-2000. In 2009 it was half that. Didn't return to 2000 level until 2014. A few years is nothing.
                                            i kind of look at it through 10 year stuff that includes the "7-year business cycle"

                                            so from 1990-1999 things went bonkers, stock market was great... then 2000-2009 it was god awful, with 2000-2002 and 2008-09 just so painful

                                            then 2010-2019 fantastic stock market returns again... now 2020-2029 i agree will probably be god awful, once the free money runs out and the fed stops buying every asset

                                            gonna be hard for companies to grow into these kinds of valuations when half the small businesses are totally gone and unemployment is through the roof, and foreclosures go crazy and people get evicted all over the place
                                            Comment
                                            • homie1975
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-24-13
                                              • 15453

                                              #6637
                                              Originally posted by d2bets
                                              When they're valued at a multiple of earnings that is out of line with reality, sure. S&P 500 peaked mid-2000. In 2009 it was half that. Didn't return to 2000 level until 2014. A few years is nothing.
                                              The bottomline is that probably 95% of people who try to time markets end up losing out on potential gains by staying out and waiting for "the perfect entry point".
                                              Comment
                                              • d2bets
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-10-05
                                                • 39993

                                                #6638
                                                Originally posted by homie1975
                                                The bottomline is that probably 95% of people who try to time markets end up losing out on potential gains by staying out and waiting for "the perfect entry point".
                                                I don't disagree with that.
                                                Comment
                                                • ERBtheGREAT
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 06-03-13
                                                  • 46

                                                  #6639
                                                  Originally posted by CanuckG
                                                  Fanduel and Draftkings just received operating permits to start taking action in Illinois

                                                  this is good for DKNG and GAN
                                                  Love the GAN play if it hits 20
                                                  Comment
                                                  • navyblue81
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-29-13
                                                    • 4143

                                                    #6640
                                                    Some of these low prices are incredible. But not sure to enter today or Monday. So far it’s a sea of red this morning.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Lineman
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-21-09
                                                      • 2594

                                                      #6641
                                                      As humans, we just love to complicate things for some reason. What a perfect environment for that. Millions of questions you can ask to yourselves here and play the guessing game. But there is a system you can adapt and maneuver in the market and in life for that matter. It's called KISS....
                                                      Follow the trend and Keep It Simple Stupid!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • d2bets
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 08-10-05
                                                        • 39993

                                                        #6642
                                                        Originally posted by Lineman
                                                        As humans, we just love to complicate things for some reason. What a perfect environment for that. Millions of questions you can ask to yourselves here and play the guessing game. But there is a system you can adapt and maneuver in the market and in life for that matter. It's called KISS....
                                                        Follow the trend and Keep It Simple Stupid!
                                                        So what is the supposed trend right now?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CanuckG
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-23-10
                                                          • 21978

                                                          #6643
                                                          Need J pow to make that printer go brrr
                                                          Comment
                                                          • CanuckG
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-23-10
                                                            • 21978

                                                            #6644
                                                            Originally posted by ERBtheGREAT
                                                            Love the GAN play if it hits 20
                                                            Very possible the way the market looks.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Lineman
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-21-09
                                                              • 2594

                                                              #6645
                                                              Originally posted by d2bets
                                                              So what is the supposed trend right now?
                                                              Depends on your time frame.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Lineman
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-21-09
                                                                • 2594

                                                                #6646
                                                                Van Tharp Back-To-Basics Series
                                                                by Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.

                                                                What Does Van Tharp Mean When He Says:

                                                                "We Only Trade our Beliefs About the Markets"?

                                                                If you are a regular student of Van Tharp's work or reader of this newsletter you hear this a lot: You can't trade the markets, you can only trade your beliefs about the market. Let's explore what this really means.

                                                                As a long time modeler of what makes great traders great, Van understands that to model effectively you have to find out what highly accomplished people do in common. Once you get the common tasks that produce excellent behavior, you need to get the ingredients of those tasks. Those ingredients include the beliefs, the mental states, and the mental strategies necessary to carry out those tasks.

                                                                Let’s look at some statements and see what you believe about them:

                                                                The market is a dangerous place to invest. (You are right.)

                                                                The market is a safe place to invest. (You are right.)

                                                                Wall Street controls the markets and it’s hard for the little guy. (You are right.)

                                                                You can easily make money in the markets. (You are right.)

                                                                It’s hard to make money in the markets. (You are right.)

                                                                You need to have lots of information before you can trade profitably. (You are right.)

                                                                Do you notice the theme?

                                                                You are right about every one of these beliefs (whether you said yes or no to any of them). If you don’t believe in any of these statements, what do you believe instead? You are right about that too! However, there is no real right/wrong answer. Some people will have the same beliefs and agree with you and others won’t.

                                                                Therefore, whatever your beliefs about the markets are, they will direct your thinking and your subsequent actions.

                                                                What is a Belief?

                                                                Beliefs are a primary way to filter information from the world. Beliefs are judgments, categorizations, meanings or comparisons. They determine how we perceive reality and relationships in reality. What you expect (i.e. your reality) depends upon your beliefs and they are largely unconscious. Every sentence in this document represents one or two beliefs, including this one.

                                                                One of the beliefs that is most productive for good trading is the belief that you are totally responsible for your own results as a trader. When you adopt this belief, then you can learn from your mistakes. However, if you tend to blame someone else (your broker, your spouse, the person giving you tips) or even the market for the results that you get, then you will tend to repeat the same mistakes over and over again.

                                                                When traders “own their problems” and assume responsibility for the results produced, then they discover that their results come from some sort of mental state that either allowed them to 1) follow their rules, 2) not follow their rules, or 3) trade without having any rules.

                                                                When traders take the time to write down all their beliefs (about themselves, the markets, money, etc.), then they can establish a much better idea of what they want to trade, and how they want to trade. They can also see flaws in their thinking much easier. It is valuable to know which beliefs support you as a trader, and which ones hinder your progress.
                                                                What is a Mental State?

                                                                Every task has an optimal mental state that will allow you to accomplish it effortlessly. For example, to execute a trade you benefit from courage and total commitment. Fear, in contrast, is a big disadvantage as a mental state for executing trades.

                                                                Mental states are primarily what most people call discipline or emotional control. Examples include: being impatient with the markets, being afraid of the markets or being too optimistic about the markets.

                                                                Controlling your mental states is just part of the answer, but when you can see that you are the creator of your own results as a trader, then you can really make progress.

                                                                What is a Mental Strategy?

                                                                To understand mental strategies, you have to understand how people think. People think in their five sensory modalities (that is, in terms of visual images, sounds, feelings, taste and smell).

                                                                A mental strategy is the step by step way in which you use these modalities; it is the specific sequence of your thinking. For example, the most effective strategy for the action step of executing a trade is to 1) see the signal, 2) recognize internally that this is the signal you decided you should take, 3) feel good about it, and 4) take action. If you do anything else, you probably won’t be able to take action or it will be very slow.

                                                                The Psychology of Trading

                                                                Once you have a clear understanding of which beliefs, mental states and mental strategies are the core factors in top trading performance, you can then teach the same skills to others and have them perform well too. And when you can see this success duplicated in others, which we have been able to do in most aspects of trading, then you know you have a workable model.

                                                                The key psychological traits of top traders are

                                                                1. Personal Responsibility

                                                                2. Commitment

                                                                3. Their psychological “profile”

                                                                4. Working on personal issues (e.g., self sabotage)


                                                                Trading fundamentals include the Ten Tasks of Trading.

                                                                1. Self Analysis

                                                                2. Mental Rehearsal

                                                                3. Low-Risk Idea Development

                                                                4. Stalking

                                                                5. Action
                                                                6. Monitoring

                                                                7. Abort

                                                                8. Take Profits

                                                                9. Daily Debriefing

                                                                10.Periodic Review
                                                                Traders need to be reminded of these tasks and to eliminate any self-sabotage that keeps them from following the tasks. Van teaches all of these steps in detail in his various products and workshops.

                                                                Van Tharp believes that everything revolves around your beliefs, mental states and mental strategies, so with that in mind, everything about trading is 100% psychological, including why and how you trade and which system you will follow or build.

                                                                Many traders have a hard time “believing” this and it is almost the antithesis of what people learn in academic finance. So only you can decide whether it is worth the time to learn more about yourself and the psychological aspects of trading.

                                                                People get exactly what they want out of the markets. Most people are afraid of success or failure. As a result, they tend to resist change and continue to follow their natural biases and lose in the markets. When you get rid of the fear, you tend to get rid of the biases ~ Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • homie1975
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-24-13
                                                                  • 15453

                                                                  #6647
                                                                  Originally posted by Lineman
                                                                  Depends on your time frame.
                                                                  exactly, if you're long like i am, get in immediately and at least start a small position in all stocks you like. if it goes down, add to the position and lower your cost. if the stock runs away, well that's a nice problem to have, then you go open another position in a stock you like, rinse and repeat and check back in 5 years.

                                                                  that's my recipe
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • CanuckG
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-23-10
                                                                    • 21978

                                                                    #6648
                                                                    Red/green there quick for gambling sector
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • d2bets
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                                      • 39993

                                                                      #6649
                                                                      Originally posted by Lineman
                                                                      Depends on your time frame.
                                                                      OK, I'll give you several:
                                                                      1 week
                                                                      1 month
                                                                      4 months
                                                                      1 year
                                                                      5 years
                                                                      10 years
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Snowball
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 11-15-09
                                                                        • 30047

                                                                        #6650
                                                                        I covered yesterday when Nasdaq was around 10400s but now on the Intel and Apple bad news
                                                                        that came very late yesterday, downside has accelerated. Tech is going to be on the outs for weeks.

                                                                        Interesting to see the weakness spreading into all sectors now. I would write August/Weekly calls against any long positions.
                                                                        Comment
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