Tonight Good Test To See Who Suckers Are: Indy@Tenn

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  • RGriebling
    SBR Hustler
    • 09-15-16
    • 90

    #36
    Originally posted by KVB
    That line opened just high enough to get underdog pressure and it's entirely plausible the public thirst for the dog is trying to push it lower.

    The line is tough where it is now, out of the sharp forecast trading range and it's a pretty tight line with 6.5 or 7, causing a gamble in the market.

    The sharp forecast is 7-4 against the closing spread this week and 5-7 against the closing moneylines. That forecast is just 3-7 against the moneyline when predicting favorites to win and that’s pushing a very low level of success, almost unprecedented.

    If Indy can pull off the upset, it would be a bit surprising.

    Brilliant Post. TY
    Comment
    • MaxSteveBack
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-03-17
      • 210

      #37
      titans win!
      Comment
      • Fred The Hammer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-13-13
        • 11570

        #38
        Over 46.5

        Colts 4-1 Over and Tenn's secondary is terrible. The Colts backup is getting more comfortable and they have weapons. Mariota is back and Indy is totally rebuilding their defense. Alot of young guys and LBs can't cover anyone. I live in Indy. That being said...God awful in NFL this year. I win it on Saturday and give it right back.
        Comment
        • CanuckG
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-23-10
          • 21976

          #39
          Lean titans. Line reminds me of when then Colts were in Seattle. Just seems too high.
          Comment
          • PAULYPOKER
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-06-08
            • 36585

            #40
            Originally posted by 2daBank
            Titans defense is garbage, that a big number to lay w a garbage defense. Colts defense sucks too, I wouldn't be so quick to bet under.
            I have the o/u total at 50.8............
            Comment
            • PAULYPOKER
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-06-08
              • 36585

              #41
              The total average of last 4 meetings is 55.75..........
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #42
                Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                I have the o/u total at 50.8............
                I had a hard time coming up w a number I felt great about. If mariota healthy enough to run around and make plays I agree it probably goes over.
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #43
                  Originally posted by RGriebling
                  Brilliant Post. TY


                  There's a mistake. The sharp forecast is 5-8 against the moneyline this week, there have been 13 games.
                  Comment
                  • Louisvillekid1
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-17-07
                    • 52143

                    #44
                    Titans 6.5 -115 1x for me

                    lean Hilton Over yards but passed
                    Comment
                    • PAULYPOKER
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-06-08
                      • 36585

                      #45
                      Originally posted by 2daBank

                      I had a hard time coming up w a number I felt great about. If mariota healthy enough to run around and make plays I agree it probably goes over.
                      The total average of last 4 meetings is 55.75.........

                      3 games over and 1 under, which was their last meeting.......
                      Comment
                      • Fred The Hammer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-13-13
                        • 11570

                        #46
                        Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                        The total average of last 4 meetings is 55.75.........

                        3 games over and 1 under, which was their last meeting.......

                        No Luck tonite though man....he's good for 10-14 pts in the 4Q alone. Building up stats & making them look respectable, etc. Still like the Over though.....grabbed Over 49.5 (+134) on 5D. I remember that year PManning threw 55 TDs for Denver. I'd bump up the total and take +125 to +155-160 and hit them right and left.
                        Comment
                        • PeterJohnson
                          Restricted User
                          • 10-10-17
                          • 908

                          #47
                          Got Indy +7
                          Comment
                          • alling
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-13-10
                            • 1405

                            #48
                            Ind 16
                            ten 30
                            Comment
                            • paco
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-07-09
                              • 62873

                              #49
                              How do u drop that Moncrief
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388189

                                #50
                                This qb on Indy better than Luck
                                Comment
                                • Fred The Hammer
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-13-13
                                  • 11570

                                  #51
                                  I was worried about my Colts but Chris Ballard knows his shit!! Brissett was a great pickup. They can keep him or prob flip him for a 2nd-3rd rounder if Luck is fully healthy. Mack was a steal in the 5th round. Hooker has 3 picks already and was compared to Ed Reed. Once Ballard fires Pagano and gets his own coach then INdy will rule this shitty division for another 4-5 years!
                                  Comment
                                  • DOM_Toretto
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-28-13
                                    • 9035

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                    I was worried about my Colts but Chris Ballard knows his shit!! Brissett was a great pickup. They can keep him or prob flip him for a 2nd-3rd rounder if Luck is fully healthy. Mack was a steal in the 5th round. Hooker has 3 picks already and was compared to Ed Reed. Once Ballard fires Pagano and gets his own coach then INdy will rule this shitty division for another 4-5 years!
                                    Pagano has got to go.

                                    Then they need to beef up O-line to protect the franchise.
                                    Comment
                                    • shocka1212
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-06-12
                                      • 16788

                                      #53
                                      1:5 TD to Fg ratio... recipe for a stinktown special
                                      Comment
                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-13-13
                                        • 11570

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                        Pagano has got to go.

                                        Then they need to beef up O-line to protect the franchise.

                                        If you didn't watch Indy and how Pagano fks up the clock on a weekly basis...you could just look at the 2nd half stats. The Colts have been getting crushed because the other guys make adjustments and Pagano can't match them. Get the O-line finished. Get a pass rusher or 2 and a good 2nd WR and the Colts are set! The secondary is strong. The run stoppers are good and the receiving corp is pretty decent. Tenn was way overrated. Watson is the real deal for Houston but their D struggles without Watt and he's hurt again. Jax replaces Bortles with someone decent and they could be up there?
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                          Pagano has got to go.

                                          Then they need to beef up O-line to protect the franchise.
                                          Only reason dude has a job cause he beat cancer. Funny thing is that was when they were at their best when he was on leave and arians was running the show..
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                            I was worried about my Colts but Chris Ballard knows his shit!! Brissett was a great pickup. They can keep him or prob flip him for a 2nd-3rd rounder if Luck is fully healthy. Mack was a steal in the 5th round. Hooker has 3 picks already and was compared to Ed Reed. Once Ballard fires Pagano and gets his own coach then INdy will rule this shitty division for another 4-5 years!
                                            Told ya brissett would be good tonight. Only reason pats moved him cause they have so much depth. Lot of upside too, only what his second or 3rd year? Not to mention he still really new to colts playbook and wrs. He should def be starting over some of the garbage in this league.
                                            Comment
                                            • jtoler
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-17-13
                                              • 30967

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Jay85
                                              Mariota is back and Tennessee -8 9 or 10 is the play .
                                              Thats like saying Jimmy Clausen is back, j/k.
                                              Comment
                                              • House
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-04-11
                                                • 7088

                                                #58
                                                Refs are doing their best impression of the Titans 12th man ....keeping them in it
                                                Comment
                                                • shocka1212
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-06-12
                                                  • 16788

                                                  #59
                                                  That missed xp is gonna come back to haunt a lot of us
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2daBank
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                    • 88966

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by jtoler
                                                    Thats like saying Jimmy Clausen is back, j/k.
                                                    Far as pocket passing goes you not really that far off. Mariota very kapernick like without all the bs. No as skilled a runner either tho.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 5918mike
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-16-14
                                                      • 1881

                                                      #61
                                                      Halftime live ML on Indy at -124.49
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shocka1212
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-06-12
                                                        • 16788

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by shocka1212
                                                        Colts are better ats on the road. titans are trash ats at home, especially within their division. hard to back either side. 34-34 tie.
                                                        Colts on the road man... a whole different monster
                                                        Comment
                                                        • paco
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-07-09
                                                          • 62873

                                                          #63
                                                          Missed extra point will be huge at the end
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shocka1212
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-06-12
                                                            • 16788

                                                            #64
                                                            What a joke
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fred The Hammer
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-13-13
                                                              • 11570

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                              Over 46.5

                                                              Colts 4-1 Over and Tenn's secondary is terrible. The Colts backup is getting more comfortable and they have weapons. Mariota is back and Indy is totally rebuilding their defense. Alot of young guys and LBs can't cover anyone. I live in Indy. That being said...God awful in NFL this year. I win it on Saturday and give it right back.

                                                              Ok...here comes the game winning safety and lose by .5 point
                                                              Comment
                                                              • paco
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-07-09
                                                                • 62873

                                                                #66
                                                                Indy loses. That missed extra point huge like I said earlier
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Fred The Hammer
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-13-13
                                                                  • 11570

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Bang....Over and Over 49.5 as well
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                                    • 11570

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by paco
                                                                    Indy loses. That missed extra point huge like I said earlier
                                                                    They'll lose by 10-14 now. 2nd half they suck. Pagano is f moron. Offense always stalls and D gets tired. Rinse and repeat. Flukey pick-6 or the game is already over
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                                      • 36815

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                                      They'll lose by 10-14 now. 2nd half they suck. Pagano is f moron. Offense always stalls and D gets tired. Rinse and repeat. Flukey pick-6 or the game is already over
                                                                      Pagano will try to air out the room, falls on deaf ears.
                                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jjgold
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                                        • 388189

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Right on the number right now
                                                                        Comment
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