Tonight Good Test To See Who Suckers Are: Indy@Tenn

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388189

    #1
    Tonight Good Test To See Who Suckers Are: Indy@Tenn
    Let me see 1 Tenn -8 bet
  • rkelly110
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-05-09
    • 39691

    #2
    2 team/ over/ under/ ML/ ATS round robin parlays of 2's, 3's and 4. Can't lose. Won't win any money, but you will win.
    Comment
    • BIGDAY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 02-17-10
      • 48245

      #3
      Not it.
      Comment
      • jayc88
        Restricted User
        • 12-30-07
        • 6785

        #4
        2 shitty teams under pretty much a lock
        Comment
        • MMANick
          SBR MVP
          • 12-06-16
          • 4075

          #5
          If I make a play, I'll roll w/ TEN. Seems like Mariota is going to play.
          Comment
          • Jay85
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-08-17
            • 372

            #6
            Mariota is back and Tennessee -8 9 or 10 is the play .
            Comment
            • gauchojake
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 09-17-10
              • 34103

              #7
              This feels like a game where the public hits the dog because they've been getting hammered all weekend only to have the favorite cover.
              Comment
              • SEAHAWKHARRY
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-29-07
                • 26068

                #8
                Indy +8.5
                Comment
                • krk1030
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-13-08
                  • 17610

                  #9
                  Take thw points. Hamstrings are one of the worst injuries in terms of reinjury.

                  I send pressure early and often.
                  Comment
                  • JMobile
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-21-10
                    • 19070

                    #10
                    The whole forum is on Titans.
                    Comment
                    • ELNATURAL
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-27-17
                      • 1957

                      #11
                      JJ is hot right now look out
                      Comment
                      • Sam Odom
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-30-05
                        • 58063

                        #12
                        hitting the ML hard...
                        Comment
                        • shocka1212
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-06-12
                          • 16788

                          #13
                          on the over
                          Comment
                          • BreesIsTheGOAT
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-26-17
                            • 822

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Jay85
                            Mariota is back and Tennessee -8 9 or 10 is the play .
                            The same Mariota that lost at home by double digits to an average Oakland team? Or the same Mariota that won at home against Seattle?

                            Problem is Tennessee is inconsistent so it's hard to gauge what or who shows up.
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #15
                              Titans defense is garbage, that a big number to lay w a garbage defense. Colts defense sucks too, I wouldn't be so quick to bet under.
                              Comment
                              • SAVAGE
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 03-22-17
                                • 234

                                #16
                                Mariota is starting tonight. If you don’t bet the Titans you are the sucker.
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by SAVAGE
                                  Mariota is starting tonight. If you don’t bet the Titans you are the sucker.
                                  Is he gonna solve their defensive problems? Laying more than a td with that defense not good idea. Brisset running out of time till luck back, he gonna show out on big stage as he auditions for a gig somewhere else. If colts have any sense they will let him air it out so they can increase his trade stock. Ty and moncrief will torch this secondary all night... titans outta score plenty as well, Indy run d soft should be game offense gets on track, question is can mariota make plays w his legs? He basically useless as a pure pocket passer.
                                  Comment
                                  • SAVAGE
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 03-22-17
                                    • 234

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                    Is he gonna solve their defensive problems? Laying more than a td with that defense not good idea. Brisset running out of time till luck back, he gonna show out on big stage as he auditions for a gig somewhere else. If colts have any sense they will let him air it out so they can increase his trade stock. Ty and moncrief will torch this secondary all night... titans outta score plenty as well, Indy run d soft should be game offense gets on track, question is can mariota make plays w his legs? He basically useless as a pure pocket passer.
                                    The Defense is fine. They had 1 terrible game vs Houston that has inflated their stats PPG wise but they have not allowed a 100 yard rusher yet this season and only 1 QB has thrown for over 300 yards and most of those yards came in garbage time when the Titans were in Prevent vs the Seahawks. Mariota has played more as a pocket passer than Running QB he Is only averaging 5 rushes per game and most of those are scrambles vs designed runs. This year he has thrown the ball away a lot vs tucking and running.
                                    Comment
                                    • trillz
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-02-16
                                      • 1668

                                      #19
                                      Line down to at 6.5 at my book now
                                      Comment
                                      • ELNATURAL
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-27-17
                                        • 1957

                                        #20
                                        Colts are 11-0 vs titans last 11

                                        Open as a dog over a td

                                        Titans 0-2 last two and 1-1 at home

                                        Colts two wins were against teams who have not won a game yet this year

                                        Up to you on what angle you want to use in determining your pick but Titans a big favourite for a reason. Free cash on the dog?
                                        Comment
                                        • grease lightnin
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-01-12
                                          • 16015

                                          #21
                                          Pass.

                                          Titans all over the place and Colts could improve.
                                          Comment
                                          • manofjunk
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 07-24-17
                                            • 90

                                            #22
                                            jj

                                            Beautiful weather for football 57 degrees there will be some wind 7mph (if it gets in double figures I rethink my over) still I like the over 47 -105
                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388189

                                              #23
                                              underdogs pouring in NFL

                                              Record rate
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94368

                                                #24
                                                Why is this game on TV tonight? NFL schedule makers thought it was going to be luck vs Mariota? Steelers and chiefs should have been the mnf game.
                                                Comment
                                                • grease lightnin
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-01-12
                                                  • 16015

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                  Why is this game on TV tonight? NFL schedule makers thought it was going to be luck vs Mariota? Steelers and chiefs should have been the mnf game.
                                                  For sure.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SAVAGE
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 03-22-17
                                                    • 234

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by ELNATURAL
                                                    Colts are 11-0 vs titans last 11

                                                    Open as a dog over a td

                                                    Titans 0-2 last two and 1-1 at home

                                                    Colts two wins were against teams who have not won a game yet this year

                                                    Up to you on what angle you want to use in determining your pick but Titans a big favourite for a reason. Free cash on the dog?
                                                    They had Manning and Luck for those 11 games. No Luck tonight. The streak ends tonight!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 83691

                                                      #27
                                                      Indy covers.. I hope...

                                                      That's the way I'm playing it anyways.. I'll take all those points.. Wish it was 14 like the Giants were last night.. ..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by SAVAGE
                                                        The Defense is fine. They had 1 terrible game vs Houston that has inflated their stats PPG wise but they have not allowed a 100 yard rusher yet this season and only 1 QB has thrown for over 300 yards and most of those yards came in garbage time when the Titans were in Prevent vs the Seahawks. Mariota has played more as a pocket passer than Running QB he Is only averaging 5 rushes per game and most of those are scrambles vs designed runs. This year he has thrown the ball away a lot vs tucking and running.
                                                        I use real metrics that measure a defense and none of them look favorably on titans garbage d. Sugar coat it all ya want, brissett will light them up.

                                                        You obviously a fan, I'll tell ya right now mariota is garbage as pure drop back passer so you better hope he uses his legs.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KRIT
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-11-14
                                                          • 12874

                                                          #29
                                                          Tenny front 7 is solid, back end is the problem. All I know is that you can pass on that team. I'm curious to see how Mariota looks, I'd guess he won't be running around much.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GzaTheGenius
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-12-13
                                                            • 4181

                                                            #30
                                                            This is a clear don't watch don't bet kinda game

                                                            Probably 44-37 final
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shocka1212
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-06-12
                                                              • 16788

                                                              #31
                                                              Colts are better ats on the road. titans are trash ats at home, especially within their division. hard to back either side. 34-34 tie.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by KRIT
                                                                Tenny front 7 is solid, back end is the problem. All I know is that you can pass on that team. I'm curious to see how Mariota looks, I'd guess he won't be running around much.
                                                                Yea their secondary a issue, they suck defending rbs in pass game as well. Mariota health my issue with over, if he fine and can run around it should be a shootout. Just not sure if I should expect that?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388189

                                                                  #33
                                                                  line followed me advice
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • importmoon
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-22-11
                                                                    • 1141

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Bet the Yanks... Fuk pigskin and the kneel down crap...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KVB
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                                      • 74817

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                      line followed me advice
                                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                                      ...Below are the long term dynamic sharp forecast, the levels a buy would be triggered, and few notes for each game:

                                                                      Team Score Triggers Levels: Notes
                                                                      Indy 23 Buy on Indy to +7.5 or Tenn to -2.5 No spread offered
                                                                      Tenn 28 Buy on OVER to 46.5, No Buy on UNDER No Total offered
                                                                      That line opened just high enough to get underdog pressure and it's entirely plausible the public thirst for the dog is trying to push it lower.

                                                                      The line is tough where it is now, out of the sharp forecast trading range and it's a pretty tight line with 6.5 or 7, causing a gamble in the market.

                                                                      The sharp forecast is 7-4 against the closing spread this week and 5-7 against the closing moneylines. That forecast is just 3-7 against the moneyline when predicting favorites to win and that’s pushing a very low level of success, almost unprecedented.

                                                                      If Indy can pull off the upset, it would be a bit surprising.

                                                                      Comment
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