Home teams to avoid sweep on Sundays is pretty good.
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#3
Originally posted by lakerboy
Home teams to avoid sweep on Sundays is pretty good.
That's not really a chase system.
Comment
Smoke
SBR Aristocracy
10-09-09
48111
#4
If you lose your first bet, double down on the second. If the second bet loses, triple down on third bet and so on and son the giant.
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gauchojake
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-17-10
34117
#5
Giant let me know when you lose everything.
Comment
Slipknot26
SBR Hall of Famer
07-17-15
5046
#6
How many games, that's first ?
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#7
Jake is always rooting against me.
Such a hater.
I would never say anything like that to him.
Comment
BigDeem5
SBR Posting Legend
02-26-11
17191
#8
Double header chase:
Bet first game over, if lose chase on second over.
Will come out +units every year
Comment
Ra77er
SBR Posting Legend
06-20-11
10969
#9
You just posted a 4k arb, why would you now start martingaling? Your best bet is to let me pm you my plays and just bet the other side, I bet 2k on Kansas for reference.
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#10
Originally posted by BigDeem5
Double header chase:
Bet first game over, if lose chase on second over.
Will come out +units every year
Interesting.
What's the logic? Tired bullpens?
I always thought the play was just to fade the winner of the first game.
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#11
Originally posted by Ra77er
You just posted a 4k arb, why would you now start martingaling? Your best bet is to let me pm you my plays and just bet the other side, I bet 2k on Kansas for reference.
My reasoning is this. I bet on Seattle today, when they were ahead 3-0. I laid -375. I won, but in retrospect it was very, very stupid.
I'd rather not have to think when betting on baseball. There are just too many games, it's so monotonous.
Comment
Ra77er
SBR Posting Legend
06-20-11
10969
#12
Fair enough Giant
Comment
Smoke
SBR Aristocracy
10-09-09
48111
#13
Yeah you're awfully busy The Giant
Comment
Seaweed
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
01-19-12
26318
#14
Always fade teams that won 2 games in a row against a heavy favorite team that lost to an underdog
Comment
Louisvillekid1
SBR Aristocracy
10-17-07
52143
#15
I like home teams in a 4 game sets, after losing the first 2...
Like Oakland tonight
$100 on gray and if they lose $200 tomorrow
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#16
Originally posted by Seaweed
Always fade teams that won 2 games in a row against a heavy favorite team that lost to an underdog
Pass.
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#17
Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
I like home teams in a 4 game sets, after losing the first 2...
Like Oakland tonight
$100 on gray and if they lose $200 tomorrow
I like this one.
It's got to be difficult to sweep someone in four games on the road.
Gray tonight, Graveland tomorrow.
I really like the sound of this one, LK. Thanks.
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trobin31
SBR Hall of Famer
01-09-14
9854
#18
Giant this like asking where is the best place to buy property in Antarctica.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#19
classic one
last game of a series..team cannot get swept theory
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#20
Originally posted by trobin31
Giant this like asking where is the best place to buy property in Antarctica.
I know, but I still like hearing some.
You never know what kind of unsuspecting beauty you may find in Antarctica.
Comment
Louisvillekid1
SBR Aristocracy
10-17-07
52143
#21
Originally posted by The Giant
I like this one.
It's got to be difficult to sweep someone in four games on the road.
Gray tonight, Graveland tomorrow.
I really like the sound of this one, LK. Thanks.
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Seaweed
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
01-19-12
26318
#22
Giant, i compiled a 300 page document on this very question. If I ship it to you would you be willing to accept?
Comment
oChRoNiCo
SBR MVP
07-18-09
2984
#23
Originally posted by Seaweed
Always fade teams that won 2 games in a row against a heavy favorite team that lost to an underdog
Giant just get your old butt buddy Seaweed to post some plays and fade them! It was very profitable for me
Comment
texhooper
SBR Posting Legend
01-05-09
10001
#24
giant i go through this every year. i always want to start some chase system and blindly get through baseball.
there's nothing out there though. you can make up your own rules and lose just as easily.
Comment
texhooper
SBR Posting Legend
01-05-09
10001
#25
there's one in the baseball forum actually, it might be kinda decent but you would need to scale your units accordingly, like 1% or .5% because there will be losses. basically any team that opens at -145 or higher in the first game of a series is a play on that team for the series. assuming i read it right. kid said it profited 42 units last year. i don't remember what the thread is called but i saw it a few days ago.
i know offhand that the cubs took a brutal sweep at home to the phillies last year, and their lines on the three games were like -225, -210, -180 with their top three pitchers going. i would be willing to bet that was the worst loss, but if you can handle it, that might be one to mess around with.
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#26
giant do you look at series prices before the series begins?
there's one in the baseball forum actually, it might be kinda decent but you would need to scale your units accordingly, like 1% or .5% because there will be losses. basically any team that opens at -145 or higher in the first game of a series is a play on that team for the series. assuming i read it right. kid said it profited 42 units last year. i don't remember what the thread is called but i saw it a few days ago.
i know offhand that the cubs took a brutal sweep at home to the phillies last year, and their lines on the three games were like -225, -210, -180 with their top three pitchers going. i would be willing to bet that was the worst loss, but if you can handle it, that might be one to mess around with.
I would think the problem might be if a bad team has a great pitcher starting the opener, and then you're stuck chasing with said team. I'd like to read about it though.
Link me if you find the thread, Hooper.
Originally posted by lakerboy
giant do you look at series prices before the series begins?
No, not generally. Why? Do you believe the books give off some tells?
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stevek173
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-29-08
27598
#29
Originally posted by The Giant
Talk to me.
I'm already sick of baseball.
Your mom
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#30
Originally posted by stevek173
Your mom
What about her, Steve?
She's upstairs, I'm in the basement playing with my Star Trek figurines.
Comment
texhooper
SBR Posting Legend
01-05-09
10001
#31
Originally posted by The Giant
I would think the problem might be if a bad team has a great pitcher starting the opener, and then you're stuck chasing with said team. I'd like to read about it though.
Link me if you find the thread, Hooper.
that was the biggest flag for me as well. one of the tenants of chase systems is you ALWAYS follow the chase, but i think that's because most people who play chase systems don't know shit to begin with. you could probably throw some common sense into the equation. i'm probably not going to do it but i know where you're coming from in wanting to find something mindless to follow.
She's good people poster The Giant. Good to hear you are staying busy.
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pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82840
#33
Originally posted by The Giant
Talk to me.
I'm already sick of baseball.
Fading JJ's spreadsheet.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#34
Paver not a bad answer actually
The doubleheader method works too if one team wins the first game take the other team the second game
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#35
Originally posted by texhooper
that was the biggest flag for me as well. one of the tenants of chase systems is you ALWAYS follow the chase, but i think that's because most people who play chase systems don't know shit to begin with. you could probably throw some common sense into the equation. i'm probably not going to do it but i know where you're coming from in wanting to find something mindless to follow.
Is it weird that I read that thread about five times, and I'm still a little confused?
What the hell does the 5/2 thing mean?
It sounds like we're looking for a three-game series, where the home team is favored at least -145 in the first game. We'll put half a unit on it, if that loses we go one unit the next day, and if that loses two units on the finale. Is that about it?