Guys, what is the best chase system for baseball?

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  • The Giant
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-21-12
    • 21480

    #1
    Guys, what is the best chase system for baseball?
    Talk to me.

    I'm already sick of baseball.
  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94379

    #2
    Home teams to avoid sweep on Sundays is pretty good.
    Comment
    • The Giant
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-21-12
      • 21480

      #3
      Originally posted by lakerboy
      Home teams to avoid sweep on Sundays is pretty good.
      That's not really a chase system.
      Comment
      • Smoke
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-09-09
        • 48111

        #4
        If you lose your first bet, double down on the second. If the second bet loses, triple down on third bet and so on and son the giant.
        Comment
        • gauchojake
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-17-10
          • 34117

          #5
          Giant let me know when you lose everything.
          Comment
          • Slipknot26
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-17-15
            • 5046

            #6
            How many games, that's first ?
            Comment
            • The Giant
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-21-12
              • 21480

              #7
              Jake is always rooting against me.

              Such a hater.

              I would never say anything like that to him.
              Comment
              • BigDeem5
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-26-11
                • 17191

                #8
                Double header chase:

                Bet first game over, if lose chase on second over.

                Will come out +units every year
                Comment
                • Ra77er
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 06-20-11
                  • 10969

                  #9
                  You just posted a 4k arb, why would you now start martingaling? Your best bet is to let me pm you my plays and just bet the other side, I bet 2k on Kansas for reference.
                  Comment
                  • The Giant
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-21-12
                    • 21480

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BigDeem5
                    Double header chase:

                    Bet first game over, if lose chase on second over.

                    Will come out +units every year
                    Interesting.

                    What's the logic? Tired bullpens?

                    I always thought the play was just to fade the winner of the first game.
                    Comment
                    • The Giant
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-21-12
                      • 21480

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Ra77er
                      You just posted a 4k arb, why would you now start martingaling? Your best bet is to let me pm you my plays and just bet the other side, I bet 2k on Kansas for reference.
                      My reasoning is this. I bet on Seattle today, when they were ahead 3-0. I laid -375. I won, but in retrospect it was very, very stupid.

                      I'd rather not have to think when betting on baseball. There are just too many games, it's so monotonous.
                      Comment
                      • Ra77er
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 06-20-11
                        • 10969

                        #12
                        Fair enough Giant
                        Comment
                        • Smoke
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-09-09
                          • 48111

                          #13
                          Yeah you're awfully busy The Giant
                          Comment
                          • Seaweed
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 01-19-12
                            • 26318

                            #14
                            Always fade teams that won 2 games in a row against a heavy favorite team that lost to an underdog
                            Comment
                            • Louisvillekid1
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-17-07
                              • 52143

                              #15
                              I like home teams in a 4 game sets, after losing the first 2...

                              Like Oakland tonight

                              $100 on gray and if they lose $200 tomorrow
                              Comment
                              • The Giant
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-21-12
                                • 21480

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Seaweed
                                Always fade teams that won 2 games in a row against a heavy favorite team that lost to an underdog
                                Pass.
                                Comment
                                • The Giant
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-21-12
                                  • 21480

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                  I like home teams in a 4 game sets, after losing the first 2...

                                  Like Oakland tonight

                                  $100 on gray and if they lose $200 tomorrow
                                  I like this one.

                                  It's got to be difficult to sweep someone in four games on the road.

                                  Gray tonight, Graveland tomorrow.

                                  I really like the sound of this one, LK. Thanks.
                                  Comment
                                  • trobin31
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-09-14
                                    • 9854

                                    #18
                                    Giant this like asking where is the best place to buy property in Antarctica.
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      classic one

                                      last game of a series..team cannot get swept theory
                                      Comment
                                      • The Giant
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-21-12
                                        • 21480

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by trobin31
                                        Giant this like asking where is the best place to buy property in Antarctica.


                                        I know, but I still like hearing some.

                                        You never know what kind of unsuspecting beauty you may find in Antarctica.
                                        Comment
                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-17-07
                                          • 52143

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by The Giant
                                          I like this one.

                                          It's got to be difficult to sweep someone in four games on the road.

                                          Gray tonight, Graveland tomorrow.

                                          I really like the sound of this one, LK. Thanks.
                                          Comment
                                          • Seaweed
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 01-19-12
                                            • 26318

                                            #22
                                            Giant, i compiled a 300 page document on this very question. If I ship it to you would you be willing to accept?
                                            Comment
                                            • oChRoNiCo
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-18-09
                                              • 2984

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Seaweed
                                              Always fade teams that won 2 games in a row against a heavy favorite team that lost to an underdog
                                              Giant just get your old butt buddy Seaweed to post some plays and fade them! It was very profitable for me
                                              Comment
                                              • texhooper
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-05-09
                                                • 10001

                                                #24
                                                giant i go through this every year. i always want to start some chase system and blindly get through baseball.

                                                there's nothing out there though. you can make up your own rules and lose just as easily.
                                                Comment
                                                • texhooper
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-05-09
                                                  • 10001

                                                  #25
                                                  there's one in the baseball forum actually, it might be kinda decent but you would need to scale your units accordingly, like 1% or .5% because there will be losses. basically any team that opens at -145 or higher in the first game of a series is a play on that team for the series. assuming i read it right. kid said it profited 42 units last year. i don't remember what the thread is called but i saw it a few days ago.

                                                  i know offhand that the cubs took a brutal sweep at home to the phillies last year, and their lines on the three games were like -225, -210, -180 with their top three pitchers going. i would be willing to bet that was the worst loss, but if you can handle it, that might be one to mess around with.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • lakerboy
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                    • 94379

                                                    #26
                                                    giant do you look at series prices before the series begins?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bookie4ever
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 02-24-16
                                                      • 20

                                                      #27
                                                      Start out really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really really low.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • The Giant
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-21-12
                                                        • 21480

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by texhooper
                                                        there's one in the baseball forum actually, it might be kinda decent but you would need to scale your units accordingly, like 1% or .5% because there will be losses. basically any team that opens at -145 or higher in the first game of a series is a play on that team for the series. assuming i read it right. kid said it profited 42 units last year. i don't remember what the thread is called but i saw it a few days ago.

                                                        i know offhand that the cubs took a brutal sweep at home to the phillies last year, and their lines on the three games were like -225, -210, -180 with their top three pitchers going. i would be willing to bet that was the worst loss, but if you can handle it, that might be one to mess around with.
                                                        I would think the problem might be if a bad team has a great pitcher starting the opener, and then you're stuck chasing with said team. I'd like to read about it though.

                                                        Link me if you find the thread, Hooper.

                                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                        giant do you look at series prices before the series begins?
                                                        No, not generally. Why? Do you believe the books give off some tells?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stevek173
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-29-08
                                                          • 27598

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by The Giant
                                                          Talk to me.

                                                          I'm already sick of baseball.
                                                          Your mom
                                                          Comment
                                                          • The Giant
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-21-12
                                                            • 21480

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by stevek173
                                                            Your mom
                                                            What about her, Steve?

                                                            She's upstairs, I'm in the basement playing with my Star Trek figurines.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • texhooper
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-05-09
                                                              • 10001

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by The Giant
                                                              I would think the problem might be if a bad team has a great pitcher starting the opener, and then you're stuck chasing with said team. I'd like to read about it though.

                                                              Link me if you find the thread, Hooper.
                                                              that was the biggest flag for me as well. one of the tenants of chase systems is you ALWAYS follow the chase, but i think that's because most people who play chase systems don't know shit to begin with. you could probably throw some common sense into the equation. i'm probably not going to do it but i know where you're coming from in wanting to find something mindless to follow.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevek173
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 03-29-08
                                                                • 27598

                                                                #32
                                                                She's good people poster The Giant. Good to hear you are staying busy.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pavyracer
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                                  • 82840

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by The Giant
                                                                  Talk to me.

                                                                  I'm already sick of baseball.
                                                                  Fading JJ's spreadsheet.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jjgold
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                                    • 388179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Paver not a bad answer actually

                                                                    The doubleheader method works too if one team wins the first game take the other team the second game
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The Giant
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-21-12
                                                                      • 21480

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by texhooper
                                                                      that was the biggest flag for me as well. one of the tenants of chase systems is you ALWAYS follow the chase, but i think that's because most people who play chase systems don't know shit to begin with. you could probably throw some common sense into the equation. i'm probably not going to do it but i know where you're coming from in wanting to find something mindless to follow.

                                                                      http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...em-thread.html
                                                                      Is it weird that I read that thread about five times, and I'm still a little confused?

                                                                      What the hell does the 5/2 thing mean?

                                                                      It sounds like we're looking for a three-game series, where the home team is favored at least -145 in the first game. We'll put half a unit on it, if that loses we go one unit the next day, and if that loses two units on the finale. Is that about it?
                                                                      Comment
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