why are cavs favored over the clips?

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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94379

    #1
    why are cavs favored over the clips?
    I have clips ml +110. This cleveland team is not a favorite in clipper land.
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Clips struggle in big games period

    It is all you need to know
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94379

      #3
      Originally posted by jjgold
      Clips struggle in big games period

      It is all you need to know
      Yeah because cle wins big games.
      Comment
      • INVEGA MAN
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-30-08
        • 6800

        #4
        im all ove the Clippers. Wrong team favorite
        Comment
        • Itsamazing777
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-14-12
          • 12602

          #5
          Bookmaker gave me +105. It's the play
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #6
            Cleveland is favored today because unsophisticated, and mostly non-predictive, “forecasts” give the Clippers a slight edge, but in reality, sharper lines favor Cleveland to win by as many as 5 points. An overwhelming number of tickets, including unsophisticated backers, are on Cleveland.

            Without disclosing further details I can tell you that the oddsmakers were forced to open with Cleveland slightly favored as protection from the flood of Cleveland money, both market moving and “public.”

            The bookmakers had to follow suit as that line has since grown to 2 and even 2.5 in some places, due mainly to what I said above, but also other factors I am not getting into. Just be aware that it took a lot to move that line.

            Blake Griffin has been out with a quad injury and still can’t play. I realize he hurt his hand in January but it is a quadriceps injury from late December (26th I believe) that keeps him out of practice (his hand is fine to practice but he can’t run).

            Many services still report the hand injury as the reason he is out but reports from my end indicate the quad is the issue; this is most likely public information though.

            Without Griffin, the Clippers are something like 25-9 but the betting participants haven’t seemed to realize it.

            With so much alignment on Cleveland and with the line so low, I would not be surprised to see the Los Angeles Clippers cover this spread. I would not, at this point, pick up the winner however as many metrics indicate a Cleveland win, by as little as one point.

            This one could come down to the wire.

            Good Luck.

            Comment
            • t-wizzle
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-18-09
              • 38099

              #7
              Yea I thought Clippers should be -1.

              Joe Public likes the small fave more than the slight dog. They see Cavs -1.5 and jump.
              Comment
              • rpesi9955
                SBR MVP
                • 08-08-15
                • 1536

                #8
                It will be a good game. But Louielouie is on the cavs and that cheerleader should be faded at cost.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  Usually Cleveland gets up for games like this so let's take a stab man with them
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jjgold
                    Usually Cleveland gets up for games like this so let's take a stab man with them
                    Yeah they sure do. Ask the warriors.
                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #11
                      Originally posted by t-wizzle
                      Yea I thought Clippers should be -1...
                      Why? Does this represent you?...

                      Originally posted by KVB
                      ...unsophisticated, and mostly non-predictive, “forecasts” give the Clippers a slight edge...
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        now we know why

                        Lakerman next game up
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jjgold
                          now we know why

                          Lakerman next game up
                          I told you why. To assess the validity of a non-live pointspread after the game has begun or has ended is indicative of a losing gambler for sure.

                          JJ, don't be a losing gambler.

                          Comment
                          • slayer14
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-12-13
                            • 22022

                            #14
                            lakerman got buried here
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Originally posted by KVB
                              I told you why. To assess the validity of a non-live pointspread after the game has begun or has ended is indicative of a losing gambler for sure.

                              JJ, don't be a losing gambler.


                              thanks guy
                              Comment
                              • IBetYou
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-03-15
                                • 8158

                                #16
                                There you go again KVB with that line movement drivel.
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94379

                                  #17
                                  Guess we found o why.
                                  Comment
                                  • pavyracer
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-12-07
                                    • 82839

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                    I have clips ml +110. This cleveland team is not a favorite in clipper land.
                                    Comment
                                    • lakerboy
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-02-09
                                      • 94379

                                      #19
                                      Tough times greco?
                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388179

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Clips struggle in big games period

                                        It is all you need to know
                                        Thanks JJ
                                        Comment
                                        • MoMoneyMoVaughn
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-08-14
                                          • 14988

                                          #21
                                          Thanks JJ
                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #22
                                            Thanks JJ
                                            Comment
                                            • pavyracer
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-12-07
                                              • 82839

                                              #23
                                              Thanks JJ
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388179

                                                #24
                                                Comment
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