Why in god's name was Arizona +6 tonight?
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Sam OdomSBR Aristocracy
- 10-30-05
- 58063
#36Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#40Rams closed -255 at Pinny vs. -220 at Bovada.Comment -
t-wizzleBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-18-09
- 38099
#43Comment -
Big BearSBR Aristocracy
- 11-01-11
- 43253
#44coiner check vegasinsider.com if u want to know who the public is on.
but be careful falling into the trap of putting too much stock in who the public is on or what the line is doing...
The public does win plenty of games too. I mean think about it..
most Americans do not bet on sports. And the ones that are willing to risk hard earned money are damn sure going to put the research in before
betting on the game.
just handicap the matchup on the field to the best of your ability and you will be alright.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#45
If the line makes no sense, there's usually a reason. I've done quite well for myself through the years employing that philosophy.
Of course Big Bear gave you points for that comment. He is a dolt who will never understand. Or win.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#47coiner check vegasinsider.com if u want to know who the public is on.
but be careful falling into the trap of putting too much stock in who the public is on or what the line is doing...
The public does win plenty of games too. I mean think about it..
most Americans do not bet on sports. And the ones that are willing to risk hard earned money are damn sure going to put the research in before
betting on the game.
just handicap the matchup on the field to the best of your ability and you will be alright.Comment -
PAYTON20SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-02-10
- 5217
#50Coiner the books know there are a lot of cappers who use your strategy, including a lot of the heavy hitters
No approach will win 100% of the time obviously, or 80, or even 70% and so on. There will always be screwballs
It's what makes gambling fun. Trying to figure all this shit out
I personally labeled the Rams as the square play because they were favored at home, and there was a massive line move in their favor. It didn't make sense to me, so I decided to go other wayComment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#51Coiner the books know there are a lot of cappers who use your strategy, including a lot of the heavy hitters
No approach will win 100% of the time obviously, or 80, or even 70% and so on. There will always be screwballs
It's what makes gambling fun. Trying to figure all this shit out
I personally labeled the Rams as the square play because they were favored at home, and there was a massive line move in their favor. It didn't make sense to me, so I decided to go other wayComment -
Jayvegas420BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-09-11
- 28213
#52Then I guess you don't know how to interpret line movement after open & before kick!
Just take the loss like a man No Coin & move onto the next!
Sharps knew this was an under. Thats why the movement was subtle.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
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t-wizzleBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-18-09
- 38099
#54
Why stray from the topic? You're misguided if you think the "public" was on Arizona. You've always put a lot of weight in those percentages though.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#55
I don't see how you could possibly assume the public was backing a 6-7 team at home at -3.5 to -6 vs. a 10-3 team that had already beaten them by double digits earlier in the season. I think you're equally "misguided" in saying so.Comment -
t-wizzleBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-18-09
- 38099
#57I put zero weight in the percentages. They vary from site to site. I didn't say anything about % in the first place, but go ahead and put words in my mouth I guess.
I don't see how you could possibly assume the public was backing a 6-7 team at home at -3.5 to -6 vs. a 10-3 team that had already beaten them by double digits earlier in the season. I think you're equally "misguided" in saying so.
Whatever. It seems you just want to argue rather than have an open discussion. You immediately got defensive in this thread.
For as many people that simply look at the records and make their play, I think there's an equal number who look at the line and automatically decide Rams must be the right side.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#58You are making just as many assumptions as I am if you think that the "public" drove the line from 3.5 to 6.Comment -
ki diceSBR MVP
- 10-31-14
- 1182
#59WOW t he amount of points rams favored six was the amount they scored in the whole came , I don't think I ever saw that before.what an easy win for Arizona.Comment -
thebestthereisSBR Posting Legend
- 03-01-09
- 11459
#60Cards have been winning with smoke and mirrors all year, number show this. Rams are very tough at home and a lot of smart bettors took the Rams thinking their D would smother the Cards offense and win and cover. It did not happen like many other games. We move on. I liked the Rams but could lay 5.5 on a losing team who find ways to lose as the Cards find ways to win despite the numbers....hence 11-3 with their magic act.Comment -
MickeyManSBR Hall of Famer
- 10-20-09
- 5091
#61coiner check vegasinsider.com if u want to know who the public is on.
but be careful falling into the trap of putting too much stock in who the public is on or what the line is doing...
The public does win plenty of games too. I mean think about it..
most Americans do not bet on sports. And the ones that are willing to risk hard earned money are damn sure going to put the research in before
betting on the game.
just handicap the matchup on the field to the best of your ability and you will be alright.Comment -
Bet10HeinekensSBR Posting Legend
- 01-10-13
- 10567
#62That's how I bet. That's how I always bet.
If the line makes no sense, there's usually a reason. I've done quite well for myself through the years employing that philosophy.
Of course Big Bear gave you points for that comment. He is a dolt who will never understand. Or win.
Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#63impossible to tell who moves the lines anymore
could of been sharps pounding ZonaComment
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