Why in god's name was Arizona +6 tonight?

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  • Sam Odom
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-30-05
    • 58063

    #36
    Originally posted by The Giant

    Probably higher than you think, but lower than 50%.

    Closer to 40 than 50%

    Gotta have one of the worse win % when betting -200 or greater Favorites
    Comment
    • TheMoneyShot
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-14-07
      • 28672

      #37
      Originally posted by The Giant
      Sammy, how many forums do you follow Brock on?
      Originally posted by Sam Odom


      4

      Follow the money
      +EV Smart
      Comment
      • PAYTON20
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-02-10
        • 5217

        #38
        Originally posted by Sam Odom


        Salud!!!
        Comment
        • PAYTON20
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-02-10
          • 5217

          #39
          Originally posted by Sam Odom
          Closer to 40 than 50%

          Gotta have one of the worse win % when betting -200 or greater Favorites
          Sammy that's too bad about your Rams Super Bowl future lol
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #40
            Rams closed -255 at Pinny vs. -220 at Bovada.
            Comment
            • Sam Odom
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-30-05
              • 58063

              #41
              Originally posted by PAYTON20
              Sammy that's too bad about your Rams Super Bowl future lol

              will force jj to reimburse or else
              Comment
              • Sam Odom
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-30-05
                • 58063

                #42
                Originally posted by No coincidences

                Rams closed -255 at Pinny vs. -220 at Bovada.

                NoCoin , why did you bet Rams since you are giving ALL of the reasons NOT to in this thread ?
                Comment
                • t-wizzle
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-18-09
                  • 38099

                  #43
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  I don't see any indication (other than Brock) that the "public" was on a 6-7 team as a favorite vs. a 10-3 team that had already beaten them by double digits once this year, but whatever.
                  The line moved from 3.5 to 6 and you don't see any indication. Wow.
                  Comment
                  • Big Bear
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-01-11
                    • 43253

                    #44
                    coiner check vegasinsider.com if u want to know who the public is on.

                    but be careful falling into the trap of putting too much stock in who the public is on or what the line is doing...

                    The public does win plenty of games too. I mean think about it..

                    most Americans do not bet on sports. And the ones that are willing to risk hard earned money are damn sure going to put the research in before
                    betting on the game.

                    just handicap the matchup on the field to the best of your ability and you will be alright.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Sam Odom
                      NoCoin , why did you bet Rams since you are giving ALL of the reasons NOT to in this thread ?
                      That's how I bet. That's how I always bet.

                      If the line makes no sense, there's usually a reason. I've done quite well for myself through the years employing that philosophy.

                      Of course Big Bear gave you points for that comment. He is a dolt who will never understand. Or win.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #46
                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                        The line moved from 3.5 to 6 and you don't see any indication. Wow.
                        I can't even respond to you anymore.

                        Delusions of grandeur.

                        Asked a long time ago what happened to you. Question stands.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                          coiner check vegasinsider.com if u want to know who the public is on.

                          but be careful falling into the trap of putting too much stock in who the public is on or what the line is doing...

                          The public does win plenty of games too. I mean think about it..

                          most Americans do not bet on sports. And the ones that are willing to risk hard earned money are damn sure going to put the research in before
                          betting on the game.

                          just handicap the matchup on the field to the best of your ability and you will be alright.
                          Shut the f\*\*k up.
                          Comment
                          • Sam Odom
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-30-05
                            • 58063

                            #48
                            Originally posted by No coincidences

                            That's how I bet. That's how I always bet.


                            Comment
                            • ajt6
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 06-22-14
                              • 105

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Sam Odom
                              Comment
                              • PAYTON20
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-02-10
                                • 5217

                                #50
                                Coiner the books know there are a lot of cappers who use your strategy, including a lot of the heavy hitters

                                No approach will win 100% of the time obviously, or 80, or even 70% and so on. There will always be screwballs

                                It's what makes gambling fun. Trying to figure all this shit out

                                I personally labeled the Rams as the square play because they were favored at home, and there was a massive line move in their favor. It didn't make sense to me, so I decided to go other way
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by PAYTON20
                                  Coiner the books know there are a lot of cappers who use your strategy, including a lot of the heavy hitters

                                  No approach will win 100% of the time obviously, or 80, or even 70% and so on. There will always be screwballs

                                  It's what makes gambling fun. Trying to figure all this shit out

                                  I personally labeled the Rams as the square play because they were favored at home, and there was a massive line move in their favor. It didn't make sense to me, so I decided to go other way
                                  Between this game and the Kings implosion, I want to beat Rudy Gay and drag him out of an elevator right now.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jayvegas420
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-09-11
                                    • 28213

                                    #52
                                    Then I guess you don't know how to interpret line movement after open & before kick!
                                    Just take the loss like a man No Coin & move onto the next!
                                    Sharps knew this was an under. Thats why the movement was subtle.
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                                      Then I guess you don't know how to interpret line movement after open & before kick!
                                      Just take the loss like a man No Coin & move onto the next!
                                      Sharps knew this was an under. Thats why the movement was subtle.
                                      Comment
                                      • t-wizzle
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-18-09
                                        • 38099

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        I can't even respond to you anymore.

                                        Delusions of grandeur.

                                        Asked a long time ago what happened to you. Question stands.
                                        Nothing. Life is good.

                                        Why stray from the topic? You're misguided if you think the "public" was on Arizona. You've always put a lot of weight in those percentages though.
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                          Nothing. Life is good.

                                          Why stray from the topic? You're misguided if you think the "public" was on Arizona. You've always put a lot of weight in those percentages though.
                                          I put zero weight in the percentages. They vary from site to site. I didn't say anything about % in the first place, but go ahead and put words in my mouth I guess.

                                          I don't see how you could possibly assume the public was backing a 6-7 team at home at -3.5 to -6 vs. a 10-3 team that had already beaten them by double digits earlier in the season. I think you're equally "misguided" in saying so.
                                          Comment
                                          • You mad bro
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-15-12
                                            • 16641

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                            A couple of bad days?
                                            more like several bad days...
                                            Comment
                                            • t-wizzle
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-18-09
                                              • 38099

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                              I put zero weight in the percentages. They vary from site to site. I didn't say anything about % in the first place, but go ahead and put words in my mouth I guess.

                                              I don't see how you could possibly assume the public was backing a 6-7 team at home at -3.5 to -6 vs. a 10-3 team that had already beaten them by double digits earlier in the season. I think you're equally "misguided" in saying so.
                                              I'm not the one making assumptions, you are. You said the public was on Arizona. That is an assumption. I said that was misguided because the line moved from 3.5 to 6.

                                              Whatever. It seems you just want to argue rather than have an open discussion. You immediately got defensive in this thread.

                                              For as many people that simply look at the records and make their play, I think there's an equal number who look at the line and automatically decide Rams must be the right side.
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                I'm not the one making assumptions, you are. You said the public was on Arizona. That is an assumption. I said that was misguided because the line moved from 3.5 to 6.
                                                You are making just as many assumptions as I am if you think that the "public" drove the line from 3.5 to 6.
                                                Comment
                                                • ki dice
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-31-14
                                                  • 1182

                                                  #59
                                                  WOW t he amount of points rams favored six was the amount they scored in the whole came , I don't think I ever saw that before.what an easy win for Arizona.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thebestthereis
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-01-09
                                                    • 11459

                                                    #60
                                                    Cards have been winning with smoke and mirrors all year, number show this. Rams are very tough at home and a lot of smart bettors took the Rams thinking their D would smother the Cards offense and win and cover. It did not happen like many other games. We move on. I liked the Rams but could lay 5.5 on a losing team who find ways to lose as the Cards find ways to win despite the numbers....hence 11-3 with their magic act.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MickeyMan
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 10-20-09
                                                      • 5091

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                      coiner check vegasinsider.com if u want to know who the public is on.

                                                      but be careful falling into the trap of putting too much stock in who the public is on or what the line is doing...

                                                      The public does win plenty of games too. I mean think about it..

                                                      most Americans do not bet on sports. And the ones that are willing to risk hard earned money are damn sure going to put the research in before
                                                      betting on the game.

                                                      just handicap the matchup on the field to the best of your ability and you will be alright.
                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                      Shut the f\*\*k up.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bet10Heinekens
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-10-13
                                                        • 10567

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                        That's how I bet. That's how I always bet.

                                                        If the line makes no sense, there's usually a reason. I've done quite well for myself through the years employing that philosophy.

                                                        Of course Big Bear gave you points for that comment. He is a dolt who will never understand. Or win.
                                                        LoL at Broke-Coins thinking he's a sharp, he thinks sports betting all about line movement
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388179

                                                          #63
                                                          impossible to tell who moves the lines anymore

                                                          could of been sharps pounding Zona
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Bet10Heinekens
                                                            LoL at Broke-Coins thinking he's a sharp, he thinks sports betting all about line movement
                                                            Would you like my complete list of season-long threads to shut you the f\*\*k up?

                                                            I'd be happy to oblige, idiot.
                                                            Comment
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