bears@packers the wager of my life

[ki dice]

d2 do you want to play a handicapping game.or are you looking for a free play to unload on.

[ki dice]

d2 I take the part about looking for a freeplay. since you work for sbr , but we can play a handicapping game for fun or a friendly bet.by bet I mean beers.

[ki dice]

sorry what I meant was you are not looking for freeplay I take that back , since you work at sbr

[Barnes & Whine]

According to vegas the packers are 7 points better than the bears.

[FlyinAir]

Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila

[Double Bogey]

First off, stop hitting on me. I'll never f\*\*k you.

Second, you're never going to make a living at sports betting because you bet like a degen.

Third, this is a horrible bet for many reasons. Home divisional rivalry game laying high juice, bears have the talent to win games if they get their sh!t together and this game may be their Superbowl this year. They are both coming off a bye, so that's irrelevant.

This play definitely has a +50% chance of winning. The problem is it's no where near the % you need to make this bet +ev.

Do yourself a favor and look through the players talk history and you will see a ton of these types of threads. As you'll notice, most do not turn out well for the OP. Use the forum also to learn money management. That is the most important thing, without it even picking winners you will go broke.

[blueghost]

buy half point and sit back and relax

[slacker00]

This game is setting up for a rare "polish middle", take Bears ML and lay the points with GB.

The reasoning is that if Rodgers is right, it's a rout, but if Rodgers really is lame then Bears win.

[lakerboy]

This pretty much guarantees a Bears win.

i doubt it. as a true bears fan you know us beating gb is not likely ever

[ki dice]

i love divisional games I win most of them.there easier to break down, and if your implying that im supposed to be afraid that the bears are going to treat this game like a superbowl guess what now I love it even more.they would choke the bears fckin suck.you should of told me the 86 bears were on the field that's the only reason I would change my mind in this game.I don't bet like a degan I bet smart im experienced.

[Double Bogey]

Ok Fredo

[jjgold]

every game has 50% chance of winning as far as point spread

[GoBlue77]

This game is setting up for a rare "polish middle", take Bears ML and lay the points with GB.

The reasoning is that if Rodgers is right, it's a rout, but if Rodgers really is lame then Bears win.

and the pack wins by 1-6 points then what

[slacker00]

and the pack wins by 1-6 points then what

Good question. That's exactly what I'm betting against. Realistically, just take your pick: GB-7 or CHI-ML.

[d2bets]

every game has 50% chance of winning as far as point spread

What about when the a spread starts at one number (say -5.5) and closes at another (say -7.5)? Which one is the 50%?

[ki dice]

if yall do gb ml like the thread sais it would be 95 percent.

[Riceboi]

Not saying Packers lose, but I thought that same thing about the 49ers last week against the Rams.

[ki dice]

true any thing can happen , but everything is in green bays favor this week.the 49ers are having issues right now some would of seen that coming.

[ManOfValue]

Try to make a case for both teams before you wager your mortgage and kids. Why do you use the word penetrate so much?

[Double Bogey]

true any thing can happen , but everything is in green bays favor this week.the 49ers are having issues right now some would of seen that coming.

Cowboys were rolling, considered superbowl favs going into the redskins game. Just something to consider before becoming homeless

[thechaoz]

Bears are trash..gb rolls

[hankcream]

Sitton & Lang are both hurting. If either one of these guys don't play I'm going heavy on the Bears.

[ki dice]

every tme I type the work f/cking that's what shows up.

[ki dice]

bogey true about the dallas game.upsets happen all the time, but from my experience I love greenbay in this game what more do you want me to say.you guys never have a feeling about a game that you really love before that you won.i sometimes have this feeling and when I do it hits most of the time.

[ki dice]

reasoning of saying put the house on it,is meant put most that you can afford on it, I would never put a house on any game.if some can afford it i would.like Floyd mayweather if hes reading this thread put 10 hoses on this sure bet.

[Playmaker]

Should be safe here...Aaron Rodgers is 11-2 vs the Bears and have won his last 8 against them..At Home on Sunday night you should be good..

[ki dice]

finally someone who agrees with me thanks play

[slacker00]

Should be safe here...Aaron Rodgers is 11-2 vs the Bears and have won his last 8 against them..At Home on Sunday night you should be good..

Wasn't it exactly one year ago when Rodgers broke his collarbone and GB lost? Do you just make up stats or what?

[Book Crook]

I never place on those ridiculous ML odds. Just asking to lose your bankroll doing that shit. (Even though I do think Packers probably win this)
If you are so certain that they will crush the living shit out of the bears, why not just lay the points and get the better odds? make more dough.

[StackinGreen]

I never place on those ridiculous ML odds. Just asking to lose your bankroll doing that shit. (Even though I do think Packers probably win this)
If you are so certain that they will crush the living shit out of the bears, why not just lay the points and get the better odds? make more dough.

Exactly. Buy some points to under 7 if you are worried at all. If the game is that close anyway they might lose ... much better to lose around -125 at a -6.5 line than sweat out and lose huge -350 on ML

[StackinGreen]

It duplicated my above post

[ki dice]

I hate to bet a game minus 7 and they win on a late field goal I.i know the packers are going to win this game for sure.there are a lot of twists and turns during the game.the bears can play a close game it wouldn't surprise me but I know for sure the packers will win.

[ki dice]

slacker your right that stat is incorrect.part of the reason why I love this game is that aaron Rodgers will not lose 2 home games in a row to this team.

[d2bets]

I hate to bet a game minus 7 and they win on a late field goal I.i know the packers are going to win this game for sure.there are a lot of twists and turns during the game.the bears can play a close game it wouldn't surprise me but I know for sure the packers will win.

I know for sure that you don't know anything for sure. That's all I'm sure about.

[DrStale]

I hate to bet a game minus 7 and they win on a late field goal I.i know the packers are going to win this game for sure.there are a lot of twists and turns during the game.the bears can play a close game it wouldn't surprise me but I know for sure the packers will win.

If this game could come down to a last second field goal then how could you possibly know "for sure" that the Packers are going to win? What if its a late field goal that the Packers miss? Or one that the Bears make? If its close at the end one tiny mistake could lead to a turnover that could completely turn the game.

This is why everyone is giving you shit. Your reasoning is absurd. Of course you could win and I sure as hell hope you do but there is nothing substantial behind your words.

The fact that you think the Packers have a 95% chance of winning this game shows how little you know about math, and nobody with that little math knowledge wins long-term.