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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94379

    #1121
    Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
    i think its more important to focus on season long trends, rather than short term such as a few weeks

    dogs seem to be doing just fine in NBA, 50.28% ATS this year

    http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pag...ue/season.html
    That 50% won't win you anything. Books got what they wanted.
    Comment
    • ZetaPsi808
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-18-08
      • 12119

      #1122
      Originally posted by lakerboy
      That 50% won't win you anything. Books got what they wanted.
      it would NOT win OR lose you anything

      nocoin said favorites were cleaning up the past few weeks

      i pointed out how thats a silly and pointless generalization because favs are hitting 50% for the season which is a more long term sample size
      Comment
      • t-wizzle
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-18-09
        • 38099

        #1123
        Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
        it would NOT win OR lose you anything

        nocoin said favorites were cleaning up the past few weeks

        i pointed out how thats a silly and pointless generalization because favs are hitting 50% for the season which is a more long term sample size
        All he did was mention that faves have cleaned up lately. I don't know how accurate that is but you're not breaking any news providing us with the 50/50 split on faves and dogs covering over the course of a season. That literally happens every year. Dumbfukk.
        Comment
        • ZetaPsi808
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-18-08
          • 12119

          #1124
          Originally posted by t-wizzle
          All he did was mention that faves have cleaned up lately. I don't know how accurate that is but you're not breaking any news providing us with the 50/50 split on faves and dogs covering over the course of a season. That literally happens every year. Dumbfukk.
          except the favs have not been cleaning up at all lately, so nocoin is incorrect there

          its just a silly generalization

          i would not expect you to realize that since you do not wager real money on games

          arizona -113 25x
          Comment
          • t-wizzle
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-18-09
            • 38099

            #1125
            And you brought up an irrelevant stat rather than correct no coin for just throwing out a "silly generalization." Good argument guy.
            Comment
            • Russian Rocket
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-02-12
              • 43910

              #1126
              Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
              except the favs have not been cleaning up at all lately, so nocoin is incorrect there

              its just a silly generalization

              i would not expect you to realize that since you do not wager real money on games

              arizona -113 25x


              Zeta don't waste your time arguing with a CLOWN
              Comment
              • t-wizzle
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-18-09
                • 38099

                #1127
                Originally posted by Russian Rocket


                Zeta don't waste your time arguing with a CLOWN
                Look at this piece of shit. Lurking around like a goddamn rat.
                Comment
                • Russian Rocket
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-02-12
                  • 43910

                  #1128
                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                  Look at this piece of shit. Lurking around like a goddamn rat.
                  rat? why would you call me a rat? Did I tell your mom on you that you ONCE AGAIN lost your entire paycheck?

                  I understand that you're upset right now...your miserable face is probably staring at that RELOAD button right now and thinking should I eat tonight or should I gamble instead--Trust me I understand your situation.

                  Many people here, including myself, are enjoying life right now...you should try to do the same.
                  Comment
                  • ZetaPsi808
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-18-08
                    • 12119

                    #1129
                    Originally posted by t-wizzle
                    And you brought up an irrelevant stat rather than correct no coin for just throwing out a "silly generalization." Good argument guy.
                    regardless, favs have not been cleaning up lately. i dare anyone to prove otherwise. who knows what he meant by "lately" anyway. 2 days, 1 week, 4 weeks, etc
                    Comment
                    • t-wizzle
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-18-09
                      • 38099

                      #1130
                      Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                      regardless, favs have not been cleaning up lately. i dare anyone to prove otherwise. who knows what he meant by "lately" anyway. 2 days, 1 week, 4 weeks, etc
                      Where did he say "lately" dumbfukk?

                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      Dogs have been getting slaughtered in the NBA for weeks now.
                      Comment
                      • ZetaPsi808
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-18-08
                        • 12119

                        #1131
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        Dogs have been getting slaughtered in the NBA for weeks now.
                        wizzle, if u believe this, no wonder u are down so many units in your thread

                        dumb fukk wizzle
                        Comment
                        • t-wizzle
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-18-09
                          • 38099

                          #1132
                          Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                          wizzle, if u believe this, no wonder u are down so many units in your thread

                          dumb fukk wizzle
                          Ahhh. The best this little shit can come up with is "hey I'm not a dumbfukk, you're a dumbfukk!"
                          Comment
                          • ZetaPsi808
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-18-08
                            • 12119

                            #1133
                            wizzle love to see u prove coin's statement correct

                            "dogs have been getting slaughtered for weeks now"

                            i already know u cant back it up with facts or data
                            Comment
                            • t-wizzle
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-18-09
                              • 38099

                              #1134
                              Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                              wizzle love to see u prove coin's statement correct

                              "dogs have been getting slaughtered for weeks now"

                              i already know u cant back it up with facts or data
                              I wouldn't mind seeing him back up his claim.

                              Actually come to think of it, I don't give a fukk. Only you seem to.
                              Comment
                              • Russian Rocket
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-02-12
                                • 43910

                                #1135
                                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                I wouldn't mind seeing him back up his claim.

                                Actually come to think of it, I don't give a fukk. Only you seem to.
                                Zeta owns you...retire from posting- like you said you would do
                                Stop embarrassing yourself...I have never seen a biggest broke dick in my life


                                You are a true clown
                                Comment
                                • t-wizzle
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-18-09
                                  • 38099

                                  #1136
                                  Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                                  Zeta owns you...retire from posting- like you said you would do
                                  Stop embarrassing yourself...I have never seen a biggest broke dick in my life


                                  You are a true clown
                                  A true clown is someone who finds a picture of a car off the Internet and tries to convince a bunch of strangers it's his car. Until we find out he's a lying fat loser who probably doesn't even own a car of his own.
                                  Comment
                                  • boeing power
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-23-10
                                    • 9698

                                    #1137
                                    Twizzle is real angry lately, what's up guy?
                                    Comment
                                    • ZetaPsi808
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-18-08
                                      • 12119

                                      #1138
                                      Originally posted by boeing power
                                      Twizzle is real angry lately, what's up guy?
                                      air bet losses
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #1139
                                        Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                                        i think its more important to focus on season long trends, rather than short term such as a few weeks

                                        dogs seem to be doing just fine in NBA, 50.28% ATS this year

                                        http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pag...ue/season.html
                                        I said for weeks, though, not the whole season.

                                        Don't have to look any further than SamsNCharge for a barometer. He's been absolutely destroying things for the past few weeks. You've seen it. Been a remarkable run for him, and he bets on dogs about as often as cats do.
                                        Comment
                                        • ZetaPsi808
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-18-08
                                          • 12119

                                          #1140
                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                          I said for weeks, though, not the whole season.

                                          Don't have to look any further than SamsNCharge for a barometer. He's been absolutely destroying things for the past few weeks. You've seen it. Been a remarkable run for him, and he bets on dogs about as often as cats do.
                                          yeah id like to see data that favs have been covering more than dogs over any time period bc i dont believe it

                                          and sammy has been doing pretty well in his thread i just gotta give him credit

                                          i know he has had some losing season long threads on sbr but he is def winning in nba this year
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #1141
                                            Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                                            yeah id like to see data that favs have been covering more than dogs over any time period bc i dont believe it

                                            and sammy has been doing pretty well in his thread i just gotta give him credit

                                            i know he has had some losing season long threads on sbr but he is def winning in nba this year
                                            NBA favorites are 58.82% ATS in the last week:

                                            NBA Scores & Matchups for June 25, 2025 including previews, scores, schedule, stats, results, betting trends, and more.


                                            Home dogs 27.78% ATS in the last week (we all know road faves are a public's bread and butter). That is atrocious:

                                            NBA Scores & Matchups for June 25, 2025 including previews, scores, schedule, stats, results, betting trends, and more.


                                            Numbers two weeks ago were similar to this as well.

                                            And we all know how well the favorites have been faring in the NCAA Tournament. It's been a public orgy. I think I saw the other day that No. 1 seeds are 13-1 overall and 11-3 ATS.
                                            Comment
                                            • ZetaPsi808
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-18-08
                                              • 12119

                                              #1142
                                              nice link i bookmarked this. so dogs are 48.66% ATS in the past 30 days, and 49.75% in the past 60 days. i figured the number would be fairly close to 50%

                                              so dogs are not getting slaughtered.
                                              Comment
                                              • ZetaPsi808
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-18-08
                                                • 12119

                                                #1143
                                                my numbers are for NBA dogs in general (includes road and home), which is the link u gave me
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #1144
                                                  Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                                                  so dogs are not getting slaughtered.
                                                  They have been for the last two weeks, yes.

                                                  Nearly 59% the last 7 days. Wish I could link last 14 days, because numbers are similar.

                                                  59% is, in fact, a huge number for favorites. Kind of like blindly betting the Warriors and Hawks all year long, which would have you at an absurd 91-54 for the season (63%). Books have done a horrible job adjusting to these teams this season.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #1145
                                                    Nearly every favorite getting hammered by the public tonight. Big NBA card.

                                                    I'd be hesitant to back any - squad tonight knowing what's been going on recently.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 1Time!
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                      • 588

                                                      #1146
                                                      I know your cue is in the rack at the moment NoCoin but any leans tonight? Your leans tend to do well when you don't play them
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #1147
                                                        Originally posted by 1Time!
                                                        I know your cue is in the rack at the moment NoCoin but any leans tonight? Your leans tend to do well when you don't play them
                                                        Bucks
                                                        Mavs
                                                        Clips
                                                        Pistons
                                                        Lakers
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 1Time!
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 588

                                                          #1148
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          Bucks
                                                          Mavs
                                                          Clips
                                                          Pistons
                                                          Lakers

                                                          Cheers NC
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #1149
                                                            Originally posted by 1Time!
                                                            Cheers NC
                                                            Good luck. I haven't made an NBA bet in a while, and really, haven't paid much attention at all lately. Just briefly glanced at the lines and this is what I got.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • t-wizzle
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-18-09
                                                              • 38099

                                                              #1150
                                                              No coin seems to have backed up his claim nicely here. Not sure why zeta can't just give it up. Why is he so insistent on trying to argue something that we all already know?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 1Time!
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 588

                                                                #1151
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                Good luck. I haven't made an NBA bet in a while, and really, haven't paid much attention at all lately. Just briefly glanced at the lines and this is what I got.
                                                                yeah i've been generally steering clear and picking spots such as 4th in 5 nights stuff.
                                                                today it's a bit of a land mine day so might just cobble together a lottery parlay job for entertainment.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ZetaPsi808
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-18-08
                                                                  • 12119

                                                                  #1152
                                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                  They have been for the last two weeks, yes.

                                                                  Nearly 59% the last 7 days. Wish I could link last 14 days, because numbers are similar.

                                                                  59% is, in fact, a huge number for favorites. Kind of like blindly betting the Warriors and Hawks all year long, which would have you at an absurd 91-54 for the season (63%). Books have done a horrible job adjusting to these teams this season.
                                                                  well on march 27th you said dogs were getting slaughtered for the past few weeks. so if u look at the link from march 1 - march 31, dogs are hitting 48-49%

                                                                  thats not getting slaughtered.

                                                                  there are always weeks in the nba season where dogs win ats 59% for a week and favs win ats 59% for a week. 59% is not a rediculous or crazy number

                                                                  so yeah, dogs have not gotten slaughtered at all
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KRIT
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-11-14
                                                                    • 12878

                                                                    #1153
                                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                    Good luck. I haven't made an NBA bet in a while, and really, haven't paid much attention at all lately. Just briefly glanced at the lines and this is what I got.
                                                                    There isn't much point of paying attention. NBA season drags out way too long. By the time March Madness starts, half the nba teams are resting and the other half are tanking.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • t-wizzle
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-18-09
                                                                      • 38099

                                                                      #1154
                                                                      Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                                                                      well on march 27th you said dogs were getting slaughtered for the past few weeks. so if u look at the link from march 1 - march 31, dogs are hitting 48-49%

                                                                      thats not getting slaughtered.

                                                                      there are always weeks in the nba season where dogs win ats 59% for a week and favs win ats 59% for a week. 59% is not a rediculous or crazy number

                                                                      so yeah, dogs have not gotten slaughtered at all
                                                                      Well no coin does that a lot. He seems to forget that it all evens out in the end. Like tonight he's saying he'd steer clear of the card because faves have been covering. As if last week's results have any effect on what will happen tonight.

                                                                      If you want to make the case that he's missing the big picture, then fine. I think he was just making an observation though in his original post.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #1155
                                                                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                                        No coin seems to have backed up his claim nicely here. Not sure why zeta can't just give it up. Why is he so insistent on trying to argue something that we all already know?
                                                                        Because if you stretch it out over a 4 or 8 week period, he's right. There's nothing unusual.

                                                                        I should have been more specific. The combination of NBA favorites and heavy NCAA chalk hitting over the last two weeks has been impressive for the public to say the least.
                                                                        Comment
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