Should I hedge? Pittsburgh +3.5 last leg of a 3 team parlay

[seaborneq]

Feedback. Or let it ride?

[Jrod124]

let it ride dipshit

[ChiLLx]

Absolutely do not hedge.

[seaborneq]

let it ride dipshit

Will do jackass.

[Ra77er]

[Dirty Sanchez]

Watch Colts rail them by 20

[seaborneq]

Watch Colts rail them by 20

Dirty, wouldn't surprise me one bit. This is gambling................not tiddlywinks.

[Dirty Sanchez]

Dirty, wouldn't surprise me one bit. This is gambling................not tiddlywinks.

I agree...my system has Colts by 8...but what the heck do I know

[seaborneq]

Yes I'm shocked by the first half score. But no one can hold a lead anymore. Sanchez they are "getting railed" by nearly 20

[seaborneq]

I agree...my system has Colts by 8...but what the heck do I know

Tweak your system a little bit Sanchez. It was off by a whole heap a bunch.

[texhooper]

so did you let it ride?

[Ra77er]

[texhooper]

You know he hedged that shit

sshhhhhh...i want to see what he says...

[STAX]

who hedges a 3 teamer?

[ChiLLx]

Why the colts were favored by 4 points is a total mystery to me.

[seaborneq]

so did you let it ride?

Sure did.

[seaborneq]

who hedges a 3 teamer?

Someone who wants to win money

[thfootball]

Someone who wants to win money

[Double Bogey]

Someone who wants to win money

False. You lose money long term

[texhooper]

Sure did.

nice!

[seaborneq]

False. You lose money long term

95% of us lose money gambling long term. You win when you can or keep from losing it all as much as you can.

[STAX]

Someone who wants to win money

then play a 2 teamer and save half the juice

[seaborneq]

then play a 2 teamer and save half the juice

"Greed is good".......wall street

[STAX]

"Greed is good".......wall street

soooooo, you are being greedy by losing money long term? or are you calling me greedy? now im just confused

[Double Bogey]

95% of us lose money gambling long term. You win when you can or keep from losing it all as much as you can.

You are ensuring that you are in the 95% if you're hedging 3 teamers on a consistent basis

[Big Bear]

You are ensuring that you are in the 95% if you're hedging 3 teamers on a consistent basis

not really. A win is a win.

profit is profit.

it all depends on how much you "need" the money. If you need the money and you got a 4 team parlay for $100 and its down to the last leg aint nothin wrong with hedging and knowin that your going to collect some money regardless of the outcome of the next game.

basically it all boils down to picking winners. IF you can pick winners then everything else will fall into place.

[Dollars2Donuts]

not really. A win is a win.

profit is profit.

it all depends on how much you "need" the money. If you need the money and you got a 4 team parlay for $100 and its down to the last leg aint nothin wrong with hedging and knowin that your going to collect some money regardless of the outcome of the next game.

basically it all boils down to picking winners. IF you can pick winners then everything else will fall into place.

Wrong Bear, your statement could not be further from the truth here.

Before you make the three team parlay, look at the times in which the games go off. Example, say two teams play that night at 7pm and one team plays at 10pm.....then imagine that the first two teams win (remember you ARE PREDICTING them to win....).

Now ask yourself, if this happens, will you want to hedge? If the answer is YES, then make a two team parlay instead. The above posters are correct, hedging out COMPLETELY kills any edge you may have in your abilities. Remember, the best guys in the world don't hit 60%.....they have a tiny margin in the long run, just enough to beat the books year round.

I hope this helps.....hedging in sports betting is just like buying insurance when playing Blackjack and the house is showing an ace. It is a house play and you always lose in the long term.....always.

[Double Bogey]

not really. A win is a win.

profit is profit.

it all depends on how much you "need" the money. If you need the money and you got a 4 team parlay for $100 and its down to the last leg aint nothin wrong with hedging and knowin that your going to collect some money regardless of the outcome of the next game.

basically it all boils down to picking winners. IF you can pick winners then everything else will fall into place.

I won't even try with you, you're beyond help. You're the guy buying points and playing -150 juice on spreads. Guys would lose a lot less money if they hadn't fallen asleep during math class.

[crustyme]

how much u win?

post the betting slip.

[Big Bear]

well my train of thought is i worked too hard handicapping these games to not come away with a profit bc of one game.

i had 2 different parlays with the last leg being saints...

i had hoped saints would come out and just blow the doors off the packers and make it a blow out from the start so i resisted hedging but when the Packers and Saints were tied at 13-13 i felt the need to pull the trigger on the hedge bc at the time the saints defense looked awful.

anyway my talent is picking winners i have a knack for it.

The money management aspect is a work in progress.

[STAX]

Wrong Bear, your statement could not be further from the truth here.

Before you make the three team parlay, look at the times in which the games go off. Example, say two teams play that night at 7pm and one team plays at 10pm.....then imagine that the first two teams win (remember you ARE PREDICTING them to win....).

Now ask yourself, if this happens, will you want to hedge? If the answer is YES, then make a two team parlay instead. The above posters are correct, hedging out COMPLETELY kills any edge you may have in your abilities. Remember, the best guys in the world don't hit 60%.....they have a tiny margin in the long run, just enough to beat the books year round.

I hope this helps.....hedging in sports betting is just like buying insurance when playing Blackjack and the house is showing an ace. It is a house play and you always lose in the long term.....always.

this sums it up perfectly, great post.

[Double Bogey]

well my train of thought is i worked too hard handicapping these games to not come away with a profit bc of one game.

i had 2 different parlays with the last leg being saints...

i had hoped saints would come out and just blow the doors off the packers and make it a blow out from the start so i resisted hedging but when the Packers and Saints were tied at 13-13 i felt the need to pull the trigger on the hedge bc at the time the saints defense looked awful.

anyway my talent is picking winners i have a knack for it.

The money management aspect is a work in progress.

wtf are you doing parlays for anyway? I can't imagine you are running into limits. If you pick winners, bet them all separately doubling or tripling your bets when you want. Parlays are only for guys to get by limit restrictions or don't have the cash to put down on each bet. If those don't apply, you should not be parlaying anything. Especially if you're hedging. Do some math and see how much you are losing doing that.

[Ra77er]

My favorite all time hedge post was when the luckbox hit an open 25 team parlay for 250k and then the fever spread on sbr. Some clown starts his own 25 team open parlay and asked for hedging advice on the third pick I wish I could find that.

[Smoke]

Did he win?

[Ra77er]

I have no idea