Does Kershaw have a brain fart tonight?

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 66108

    #1
    Does Kershaw have a brain fart tonight?
    Cards +162 home dog.
    Mighty tough to go into St. Louis and beat them in their own back yard.

    2 things though, it's Kershaw, and if was anyone else besides Carlos Martinez, I would consider it.

    Cards against Kershaw lifeime, overall .281/.361 with a gigantic sample size.

    A bet I really, really like is Cards run line, first five.
    Tie wins at +1/2
    1-1 after 5 innings is a winner.


    <small>Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals</small>
    Sun 7/20 963 Los Angeles Dodgers C Kershaw - L <input id="editx" name="S1_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> <select id="altS1_5" name="altS1_5" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"><option value="0" selected="">-½ -125</option><option value="1">+½ -250</option></select> <input id="editx" name="M1_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -185 <input id="editx" name="L1_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> <select id="altL1_5" name="altL1_5" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"><option value="0" selected="">o3½ +120</option><option value="1">o3 -115</option></select>
    8:05PM 964 St. Louis Cardinals C Martinez - R <input id="editx" name="S2_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> <select id="altS2_5" name="altS2_5" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"><option value="0" selected="">+½ +105</option><option value="1">-½ +210</option></select> <input id="editx" name="M2_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +168 <input id="editx" name="L2_5" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> <select id="altL2_5" name="altL2_5" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"><option value="0" selected="">u3½ -140</option><option value="1">u3 -105</option></select>
  • Fidel_CashFlow
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-03-12
    • 53972

    #2
    Car-Mo is not a bad pitcher. Been doing exceedingly well since taking over a starting role.

    Bad news is , he can be a bit of a head case and let certain variables mess with him.

    Im afraid if he lets the pressure of facing Kershaw get to him you will see some erratic behavior out there tonight.

    Neither lineup today looks too fearsome. As with most baseball, avoiding the "bloop and a blast "

    is going to make or break that first 5 bet. Hopefully the Cards get a bloop(or a walk)

    and a blast from someone on their side and you cash this one 2-2

    Cards have had success agaisnt Kershaw as you said, especially at home.

    But he is so damn good you cant go with past scenarios when it comes to Kershaw.

    As a fan, im very interested in this game tonight.

    A sweep of the Dodgers after the break would be monumental,

    sucks that Kershaw is a expert at spoiling another teams party plans
    Comment
    • pimike
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-23-08
      • 37139

      #3
      Dodgers
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 66108

        #4
        @Fidel


        My wife (gigantic baseball fan, know baseball better than 1/2 the dudes) says "Kershaw is due to shit the bed"

        I tell her "I have seen many a bankroll crippled on people betting the "they are due to lose" theory.

        DSI has the FF run line at +110
        I put in 1/2 * St. Louis 50 wins 55
        Comment
        • Cuse0323
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-09-09
          • 30169

          #5
          FF sounds good to me, so it probably loses.
          Comment
          • Fidel_CashFlow
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-03-12
            • 53972

            #6
            lol

            Kershaw IS eventually due to shit the bed,

            but no way should someone bet on his start by starts by that theory lol.

            My way of not losing on Kershaws game is not betting on (or against) him .

            The lines are usually so inflated if you back him and its normally suicide if you take the tasty dog

            and go against him. Hes kind of a greedy prick.

            He rarely even gets himself in trouble with baserunners.

            If he does not get injured its easy to assume he will be top 5 pitchers of all time (stat wise).

            Hope you win this one though. Noticed there is only 2 lefties in the lineup today for the Cards.

            Here is to the Redbirds fouling off those tough pitches and staying alive to find a pitch to work with.

            I mean cuz really, thats all you can hope for against Clayton.

            Well that, and the hope that the pitcher facing him has a career day

            Im going to say if the Cards can grunt out 2 runs on ole Clayton Bigsby that this one cashes in first 5
            Comment
            • 44 Mag
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 10-14-13
              • 34491

              #7
              Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
              Car-Mo is not a bad pitcher. Been doing exceedingly well since taking over a starting role.

              Bad news is , he can be a bit of a head case and let certain variables mess with him.

              Im afraid if he lets the pressure of facing Kershaw get to him you will see some erratic behavior out there tonight.

              Neither lineup today looks too fearsome. As with most baseball, avoiding the "bloop and a blast "

              is going to make or break that first 5 bet. Hopefully the Cards get a bloop(or a walk)

              and a blast from someone on their side and you cash this one 2-2

              Cards have had success agaisnt Kershaw as you said, especially at home.

              But he is so damn good you cant go with past scenarios when it comes to Kershaw.

              As a fan, im very interested in this game tonight.

              A sweep of the Dodgers after the break would be monumental,

              sucks that Kershaw is a expert at spoiling another teams party plans
              Kershaw is in the " Zone". Enter at your own risk. That BS about do to lose??? Man I wouldn't bet against him right now. If you aren't sure just do what Fidel says, watch the game and enjoy it and keep your wallet in place.
              Comment
              • easyliving
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-25-12
                • 8876

                #8
                Cardinals -.5 +210 for the FF looks good
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 66108

                  #9
                  Originally posted by easyliving
                  Cardinals -.5 +210 for the FF looks good
                  I hear you, I took the safe route though
                  Comment
                  • Plaza23
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-29-13
                    • 7392

                    #10
                    The problem with playing the first 5 innings and Dodger games is that when the Dodgers win, they almost always win the first 5 innings. Dodgers are like 0-39 when trailing after 7 innings, so they hardly ever come back.

                    Basically, if you think the Cardinals will win or even tie the first 5 innings, then take them to win the game also because the Dodgers never come back and their bullpen also sucks. Likewise, if you think the Dodgers are going to win, then take the whatever is the better ML value (either 5 innings) or the full game.

                    I like Kershaw to win even at -185.
                    But Cardinals -200 at a 2.5 RL is lot of value too.
                    Comment
                    • Fidel_CashFlow
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-03-12
                      • 53972

                      #11
                      yup .44 lol. I wont bet this one, will be rooting more then ever for them birds tonight knowing some peeps here

                      are rolling with the Cards against this pitching assassin .

                      Specially after the Cards combined performances in the All Star game.

                      Would be nice for them to sweep the Dodgers, and win some coin for the people crazy enough to back emm against Clayton.

                      5 innings goes by quickly . Here is a funny scenario, since Dodgers A- lineup is not out there tonight.

                      How bout Carlos Martinez throws 5 shut out innings

                      and you dont have to worry bout what the redbirds do against Kershaw anyways

                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 66108

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                        How bout Carlos Martinez throws 5 shut out innings


                        Carlos does that, I can not lose.
                        Comment
                        • OptimistPrime
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 07-04-14
                          • 268

                          #13
                          Everyone is do to regress, but i don't see Kershaw doing it tonight vs the cards. The cards have a terrible offense this year.
                          I just bet on this player prop that i love a-lot. More total bases between Hanely Rameriez and Matt Carpenter. Hanley Rameriez -120.
                          Matt Carpenter, is 0/10 in his last 10 at bats, has came back down to earth, and now has to face the best pitcher in the game. Good Luck to him.

                          Don't know about this nonsense that cards are so great at home. they are 9 games above .500, which is good. not great. Again, this isn't last year, or two years ago. The cards are not even close to being the same offense they are 29th in runs.
                          Comment
                          • Fidel_CashFlow
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-03-12
                            • 53972

                            #14





                            Comment
                            • boss_of_um
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-18-11
                              • 1092

                              #15
                              Is there another SP in the entire league you would want on the mound to avoid a SWEEP other than Kershaw? I didn't think so.
                              Comment
                              • stevenash
                                Moderator
                                • 01-17-11
                                • 66108

                                #16
                                @Fidel
                                The top gif is what I will be seeing in the fifth inning after 3 shots and beers
                                Comment
                                • OptimistPrime
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 07-04-14
                                  • 268

                                  #17
                                  Also forgot that Matt Carpenter bats left handed. Kershaw vs leftys this year, they avg .167 off of him, and he has given up 0 hrs to them, and only 2 extra base hits. (72 at bats)
                                  Comment
                                  • TonyTall
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-21-13
                                    • 3551

                                    #18
                                    holiday playing?
                                    Comment
                                    • Fidel_CashFlow
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-03-12
                                      • 53972

                                      #19
                                      pretty even lineups....yeah Holliday is playing, and he is on fire lately. Will he be the "blast" we need ?

                                      1. D. Gordon, 2B M. Carpenter, 3B
                                      2. H. Ramirez, SS P. Bourjos, CF
                                      3. A. Gonzalez, 1B M. Holliday, LF
                                      4. M. Kemp, LF J. Peralta, SS
                                      5. A. Ethier, RF M. Adams, 1B
                                      6. S. Van Slyke, CF A. Craig, RF
                                      7. J. Uribe, 3B M. Ellis, 2B
                                      8. A. Ellis, C T. Cruz, C
                                      9. C. Kershaw, P C. Martinez, P
                                      Comment
                                      • Mike Huntertz
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-19-09
                                        • 11242

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by TonyTall
                                        holiday playing?
                                        Yup!
                                        Comment
                                        • Plaza23
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-29-13
                                          • 7392

                                          #21
                                          No Puig, and only 3 lefties in the lineup for the dodgers. Carlos Martinez is awful vs left handed batters, but dominates righties. I dont think the Cardinals win this game, but I definitely think its within the 2.5 run line.

                                          I'll go 21 to win 10 on the Cards not losing by 3 runs or more.
                                          Comment
                                          • TonyTall
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-21-13
                                            • 3551

                                            #22
                                            i want to bet stlouis but kershaw a 0.41 era this month. this is suicide betting against him
                                            Comment
                                            • Fidel_CashFlow
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-03-12
                                              • 53972

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by stevenash
                                              @Fidel
                                              The top gif is what I will be seeing in the fifth inning after 3 shots and beers

                                              I can see SteveNash's wife running back n forth from the game to the fridge , grabbing alcohol for him







                                              Win or lose, its a good day to be alive, lets enjoy the Sunday nighter
                                              Comment
                                              • TonyTall
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-21-13
                                                • 3551

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Plaza23
                                                No Puig, and only 3 lefties in the lineup for the dodgers. Carlos Martinez is awful vs left handed batters, but dominates righties. I dont think the Cardinals win this game, but I definitely think its within the 2.5 run line.

                                                I'll go 21 to win 10 on the Cards not losing by 3 runs or more.

                                                +2.5 -185 available at Betonline
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 66108

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                                                  I can see SteveNash's wife running back n forth from the game to the fridge , grabbing alcohol for him







                                                  Win or lose, its a good day to be alive, lets enjoy the Sunday nighter

                                                  *true story

                                                  Tuesday night, she gets frisky, calls me in, I say "Jeter's up"
                                                  (she wants sex in inning one of the All-Star game)

                                                  Did Nasher cave in and pleasure his wife? Guess correctly, win valuable prizes
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TonyTall
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-21-13
                                                    • 3551

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by stevenash
                                                    @Fidel
                                                    The top gif is what I will be seeing in the fifth inning after 3 shots and beers

                                                    sunday night drinking. i dont miss it at all. sucks to wake up monday with a hangover
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388208

                                                      #27
                                                      Never bet against Hot pitchers

                                                      Pass of anything
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jay89
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 08-04-13
                                                        • 671

                                                        #28
                                                        wouldn't bet against it. Dodgers have won in his last 8 starts. He did not allow a run in the last sunday nighter vs the cards on June 29 vs the cards, 7 innings, 13 k's. good luck
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by stevenash
                                                          *true story

                                                          Tuesday night, she gets frisky, calls me in, I say "Jeter's up"
                                                          (she wants sex in inning one of the All-Star game)

                                                          Did Nasher cave in and pleasure his wife? Guess correctly, win valuable prizes
                                                          A good husband always does. Period. 110% of the time.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mcdonae101
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-02-14
                                                            • 3646

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by stevenash
                                                            *true story

                                                            Tuesday night, she gets frisky, calls me in, I say "Jeter's up"
                                                            (she wants sex in inning one of the All-Star game)

                                                            Did Nasher cave in and pleasure his wife? Guess correctly, win valuable prizes
                                                            I guess u watched the game
                                                            Comment
                                                            • You mad bro
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-15-12
                                                              • 16641

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                              A good husband always does. Period. 110% of the time.
                                                              she must love when you bitch and moan on an internet forum instead of spending time with your kids
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ParlayininHTown
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 06-27-10
                                                                • 7561

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                Did Nasher cave in and pleasure his wife? Guess correctly, win valuable prizes
                                                                As a guy who has not even touched a women a years, the answer better damn well be yes.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-03-12
                                                                  • 53972

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                  *true story

                                                                  Tuesday night, she gets frisky, calls me in, I say "Jeter's up"
                                                                  (she wants sex in inning one of the All-Star game)

                                                                  Did Nasher cave in and pleasure his wife? Guess correctly, win valuable prizes

                                                                  you better of pleasured her

                                                                  Jeter can wait ... he already gets his butt eaten by Arod anyways

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • You mad bro
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-15-12
                                                                    • 16641

                                                                    #34
                                                                    took cards RL -103

                                                                    took cards ML +168
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • stevenash
                                                                      Moderator
                                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                                      • 66108

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by TonyTall
                                                                      sunday night drinking. i dont miss it at all. sucks to wake up monday with a hangover
                                                                      Only reason is I am using a vacay day tommorow
                                                                      (got a contractor doing some work in my kitchen, I am not good at plumbing)
                                                                      Comment
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