raonic is going to roll past federer tomorrow

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  • thestrategist
    SBR Hustler
    • 07-01-14
    • 81

    #1
    raonic is going to roll past federer tomorrow
    this guy is all power and is on the upswing.....Federer is getting older and been through some grueling matches as of late. they have played 4 times head to head where federer is 3-1 but these matches were all 2013 and earlier....additionally raonic was competitive
    in these matches.grab raonic now at around +200
  • cashaholic
    Restricted User
    • 07-16-13
    • 558

    #2
    Tough call fed is hungry for this ...I would say this you have a 50 50 chance so taking the dog might make scence
    Comment
    • Spinny
      SBR High Roller
      • 01-28-14
      • 165

      #3
      old won't mean much, it will be a lot of short points in this match. I think federer being the better returner will sneak an early break
      Comment
      • JC1186
        SBR MVP
        • 02-21-14
        • 1070

        #4
        For all those jumping on the Raonic train.

        1) Look at who he has beaten this week. A dream draw for sure.
        2) Kyrios was mentally, emotionally and physically beat. And it showed on court. He played very poorly. Yet Giraffe was still pushed to a 4th set breaker.

        Going from playing "that" Kyrios (And Nishikori who has been rubbish for a few months now) to playing Fed in this form will be somewhat of a wake up call.

        Roanic has been serving very well. He'll have to serve just as well to have a chance here. Anything less and he won't win in a best of 5.
        Comment
        • thestrategist
          SBR Hustler
          • 07-01-14
          • 81

          #5
          im just looking at the odds and I think Federer is way too overpriced here...I like raonic's game and I like his price even more +185-+235 in all the shops..if his serve is working his confidence will be high. Federer is past his prime. the odds are based on his name not his current game.
          Comment
          • thestrategist
            SBR Hustler
            • 07-01-14
            • 81

            #6
            lets put it this way I wouldn't place a bet even with your money on Federer -300. he might win but -300?
            Comment
            • JC1186
              SBR MVP
              • 02-21-14
              • 1070

              #7
              Oh dear. "Past his prime" comments are so redundant.

              Yes you're right. Millions and millions and millions of dollars are on Federer because of "his name" lmao.
              Comment
              • easyliving
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-25-12
                • 8876

                #8
                like Raonic as well too much value to pass up on +240
                Comment
                • JC1186
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-21-14
                  • 1070

                  #9
                  I wouldn't back Federer here either. I'm wondering if Raonic can win this or go 2-1 sets up for a good trade.

                  I think the odds are about right though. Fed may be just a touch too short. Nothing too off though imo.
                  Comment
                  • cashaholic
                    Restricted User
                    • 07-16-13
                    • 558

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JC1186
                    For all those jumping on the Raonic train.

                    1) Look at who he has beaten this week. A dream draw for sure.
                    2) Kyrios was mentally, emotionally and physically beat. And it showed on court. He played very poorly. Yet Giraffe was still pushed to a 4th set breaker.

                    Going from playing "that" Kyrios (And Nishikori who has been rubbish for a few months now) to playing Fed in this form will be somewhat of a wake up call.

                    Roanic has been serving very well. He'll have to serve just as well to have a chance here. Anything less and he won't win in a best of 5.
                    I have to agree with JC raonic can be unreliable and I think fed Is playing very well atm I think you have a better shot with dimitrov in my opinion
                    Comment
                    • cashaholic
                      Restricted User
                      • 07-16-13
                      • 558

                      #11
                      This game is a no play for me
                      Comment
                      • cashaholic
                        Restricted User
                        • 07-16-13
                        • 558

                        #12
                        Goodluck everyone
                        Comment
                        • Spinny
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-28-14
                          • 165

                          #13
                          Fed/Joker combo at 1.60 is what I went
                          Comment
                          • homie1975
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-24-13
                            • 15289

                            #14
                            Originally posted by cashaholic
                            Tough call fed is hungry for this ...I would say this you have a 50 50 chance so taking the dog might make scence
                            I hate when people use the hungry angle. Feds been hungry the last 4 years and has just 1 slam in the time. The hunger angle is the most overused term in betting.
                            Comment
                            • brodie
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-25-13
                              • 2212

                              #15
                              fed to drop 1 set at -255 is a steal... it's my only play on the match out of respect for fed. i really hope he wins in 5
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #16
                                Grueling matches? The guy has dropped one set in five rounds.
                                Comment
                                • cashaholic
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 07-16-13
                                  • 558

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                  I hate when people use tomorowungry angle. Feds been hungry the last 4 years and has just 1 slam in the time. The hunger angle is the most overused term in betting.

                                  I said taking the dog would make scence here but I dont see it happening after fed got tossed around last year here in wimbeldon so he will be hungry for redemption just my two cents


                                  However I aint playing this game I have dimitrov tomorow cause I think hes the hungriest out of the 4 of them
                                  Comment
                                  • Jayvegas420
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-09-11
                                    • 28229

                                    #18
                                    milos
                                    Comment
                                    • homie1975
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-24-13
                                      • 15289

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by cashaholic
                                      I said taking the dog would make scence here but I dont see it happening after fed got tossed around last year here in wimbeldon so he will be hungry for redemption just my two cents


                                      However I aint playing this game I have dimitrov tomorow cause I think hes the hungriest out of the 4 of them
                                      Right but he's gotten bullied in the later rds at the slams for the last 4 calendar years why would he be hungrier tomorrow than he has the last 4 years.

                                      If he wins tomorrow its more because raonic is not ready for the moment imo. I do think raonic is a very very live dog
                                      Comment
                                      • matt1216
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-27-11
                                        • 14683

                                        #20
                                        This is going 5 sets, everybody expect Fed to roll... If Raonic serves like he did vs Kyrgios, Raonic can win 3/4 in tiebreaker ... I expect Fed to win a set 6-4 or 6-3... 5 sets Fed may still win, but remember he chokes under pressure as well lately
                                        Comment
                                        • cashaholic
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 07-16-13
                                          • 558

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by homie1975
                                          Right but he's gotten bullied in the later rds at the slams for the last 4 calendar years why would he be hungrier tomorrow than he has the last 4 years.

                                          If he wins tomorrow its more because raonic is not ready for the moment imo. I do think raonic is a very very live dog

                                          Raonic will choke he gets nervous very quickly feds going to make it real hard for him either way my $ is on dimitrov I hope milos wins but I dont see it happening just my 2 cents
                                          Comment
                                          • Steamroller
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-30-12
                                            • 1003

                                            #22
                                            Federed has been terrible for quite long now. I don't see why would anyone bet Federer. Winning craprinka means nothing.
                                            Comment
                                            • homie1975
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-24-13
                                              • 15289

                                              #23
                                              Heres some easy insight.

                                              the wimbledon grass is playing as fast this year as it used to about 10 years ago. Thats y big servers like dimitrov and raonic are in the semis. And also y kyrgios another big server made the quarterfinals beating rafa. And lastly its why fed, one of the greatest grass courters in history, is back in the semis after a few years of weak showings
                                              Comment
                                              • homie1975
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-24-13
                                                • 15289

                                                #24
                                                Fast grass favors the big servers. Raonic and dimitrov are live dogs but raonic has a much better shot to win based on opponent as roger has slipped considerably
                                                Comment
                                                • cashaholic
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 07-16-13
                                                  • 558

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by is somie1975
                                                  Fast grass favors the big iervers. Raonic and dimitrov are live dogs but raonic has a much better shot to win based on opponent as roger has slipped considerably

                                                  Dimitrov has a better chance he hasnt lost on grass all year

                                                  Something to think about

                                                  Raonic Is suspect he lacks a certain degree of confidence in the semis against top players
                                                  Comment
                                                  • homie1975
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-24-13
                                                    • 15289

                                                    #26
                                                    Raonic has never made the semis in a slam. Neither has dimitrov for that matter.

                                                    The odds clearly show that that raonic is almost half the dog that dimitrov is. I would love to see dimitrov win but that might get ugly.

                                                    when raonic gives fed a way better natch and likely wins it, come back tomorrow and get your medicine bro. U are so off on this one
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kenz
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-09-12
                                                      • 4879

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by cashaholic
                                                      Dimitrov has a better chance he hasnt lost on grass all year

                                                      Something to think about

                                                      Raonic Is suspect he lacks a certain degree of confidence in the semis against top players
                                                      Dimitrov does not have a wow factor this week. He had in Queen's

                                                      Raonic sure has a wow factor
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kenz
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-09-12
                                                        • 4879

                                                        #28
                                                        Kei and Kyrgios lost their concentration when they faced all those serves and forehands.

                                                        Federer is sure more experienced + he is also one of the GOATs, and he might also get demoralized with how the legend he is looks out there helpless if Raonic serves godly again
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mewalke11
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 06-14-14
                                                          • 101

                                                          #29
                                                          On grass Ill take Fed over anyone. He's played good this year and thats with him using new equipment.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cankid
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-22-08
                                                            • 7260

                                                            #30
                                                            Maybe the better bet is Raonic +1.5 sets or +4 in games, would be cool to see the 2 Canadiens do well
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kenz
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-09-12
                                                              • 4879

                                                              #31
                                                              Had invested quite a sum on Raonic 2 days ago with early prices on Marathonbet, fingers crossed

                                                              over 42.5 @1.90 3.5 units (market price is around @1.72 right now)
                                                              Raonic +4 @1.90 1 unit (market price is around @1.65 right now)
                                                              Raonic +1.5 sets @2.30 1 unit (market around @2.25, not much difference)
                                                              Raonic ML @3.50 0.5 units (market around @3.30, not much difference)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • homie1975
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-24-13
                                                                • 15289

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by mewalke11
                                                                On grass Ill take Fed over anyone. He's played good this year and thats with him using new equipment.
                                                                2010: wimby quarters
                                                                2011. Quarters
                                                                2013: 2nd rd

                                                                3 out of the last 4 he lost qtrs or earlier.

                                                                go do what u do
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cankid
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-22-08
                                                                  • 7260

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by kenz
                                                                  Had invested quite a sum on Raonic 2 days ago with early prices on Marathonbet, fingers crossed

                                                                  over 42.5 @1.90 3.5 units (market price is around @1.72 right now)
                                                                  Raonic +4 @1.90 1 unit (market price is around @1.65 right now)
                                                                  Raonic +1.5 sets @2.30 1 unit (market around @2.25, not much difference)
                                                                  Raonic ML @3.50 0.5 units (market around @3.30, not much difference)

                                                                  Have similar wagers, GLuck I think Bouchard in the Women's has good value also at +130
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MUHerd37
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                                    • 12816

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Federer is too experienced for Raonic I think. You need more than a big serve to beat Fed. It could get tight but I think Fed takes it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kenz
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-09-12
                                                                      • 4879

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by cankid
                                                                      Have similar wagers, GLuck I think Bouchard in the Women's has good value also at +130
                                                                      Thanks and BOL to you too Agreed
                                                                      Comment
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