Does anyone actually bet outrageous favored lines in tennis?

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  • BigBusiness
    SBR MVP
    • 09-16-12
    • 3226

    #1
    Does anyone actually bet outrageous favored lines in tennis?
    So I'm looking at the odds for upcoming tennis matches and they have Serena -10000, Sharapova -10000 and Rodger Federer at -15000!

    I am assuming all of their opponents are scrubs, but do people actually lay this amount just to win $100!?

    and how often do upsets happen when the lines are this high?
  • Otters27
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 07-14-07
    • 30760

    #2
    I usually lay these.
    Comment
    • Cappinpicks
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-11-10
      • 14986

      #3
      upsets happen all the time all 3 went out last year wimbledon lmao
      Comment
      • bruceBRUCEbruce
        SBR MVP
        • 06-20-09
        • 2560

        #4
        Originally posted by BigBusiness
        So I'm looking at the odds for upcoming tennis matches and they have Serena -10000, Sharapova -10000 and Rodger Federer at -15000!

        I am assuming all of their opponents are scrubs, but do people actually lay this amount just to win $100!?

        and how often do upsets happen when the lines are this high?
        there is/was a poster in the tennis subforum who almost exclusively parlayed big favs together, I forget who
        he had a very bad year last year and disappeared
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        • mcdonae101
          SBR MVP
          • 03-02-14
          • 3646

          #5
          He wasn't parlaying -10000 favs. Those don't lose. He was parlaying -500 and stuff like that
          Comment
          • beermankirk
            SBR MVP
            • 11-17-09
            • 1512

            #6
            multiple -5000 to -10000 have lost
            Comment
            • FoxMulder
              SBR MVP
              • 05-02-13
              • 1139

              #7
              Nope
              Comment
              • bruceBRUCEbruce
                SBR MVP
                • 06-20-09
                • 2560

                #8
                Originally posted by mcdonae101
                He wasn't parlaying -10000 favs. Those don't lose. He was parlaying -500 and stuff like that
                funny you post this on day 1 of wimbledon, how soon we forget what's happened in the not-so-distant past:
                Two-time Wimbledon champion Rafael Nadal, seeded No. 5 this year, was upset Monday by 135th-ranked Steve Darcis of Belgium on Court No. 1 at the All England Club on Monday.


                plenty of other examples
                Comment
                • zec
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-03-14
                  • 548

                  #9
                  I do but the only reason is that my local bookie offers me better odds on a certain match if I have 5 matches on the ticket. For example: Karlovic might be 1.40 tomorrow instead of 1.35 so I usually add one more reasonable favorite at around 1.20 and then Djokovic, Federer, Murray, etc.
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    No

                    Some of them lose and kill your parlays . I think you will win some in early rounds but eventually big favs get you.
                    Comment
                    • mcdonae101
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-02-14
                      • 3646

                      #11
                      If u have the money, it's worth betting in the first rounds. If ur a brokedik, then don't do it
                      Comment
                      • killawookie
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-25-09
                        • 3457

                        #12
                        I always though it was just an option to give but the focus was on the other side and betting the upset.
                        Comment
                        • Goat Milk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 25850

                          #13
                          Originally posted by beermankirk
                          multiple -5000 to -10000 have lost
                          I don't think a -10,000 favorite has every lost at Wimbledon on the men's side. Correct me if I'm wrong. There's just no way I can see a -10 grand fav losing.
                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                          Comment
                          • Cappinpicks
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-11-10
                            • 14986

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Goat Milk
                            I don't think a -10,000 favorite has every lost at Wimbledon on the men's side. Correct me if I'm wrong. There's just no way I can see a -10 grand fav losing.
                            just like you couldn't see the heat losing every game in the finals
                            Comment
                            • MUHerd37
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-23-09
                              • 12816

                              #15
                              Lots of us do outrageous parlays at the start of every grand slam. It's an SBR tradition.
                              Comment
                              • baconbets
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 05-11-13
                                • 329

                                #16
                                most people on this board wouldnt bet a -10000 line because we dont have the principal to make a meaningful win from that. but there are people who can. you have to keep in mind that vegas will take 6 or 7 figure bets, so the lines have to be able to accommodate those kinds of wagers while offering the same line to all public bettors.
                                Comment
                                • paco
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-07-09
                                  • 62873

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                  I don't think a -10,000 favorite has every lost at Wimbledon on the men's side. Correct me if I'm wrong. There's just no way I can see a -10 grand fav losing.
                                  Roger Federer lost as a -10000 to stakhovsky last year
                                  Comment
                                  • LVHerbie
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-15-05
                                    • 6344

                                    #18
                                    If they are +EV bet them yes if not no...
                                    Comment
                                    • Cappinpicks
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-11-10
                                      • 14986

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by paco
                                      Roger Federer lost as a -10000 to stakhovsky last year
                                      hes jumping at the chance to lose 10,000 to win a measly bill...
                                      Comment
                                      • Goat Milk
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-24-10
                                        • 25850

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by paco
                                        Roger Federer lost as a -10000 to stakhovsky last year
                                        Federer was -10 grand to Staakhovsky? For sure? Cause Stakhovsky is a decent player, I would think Fedex like -3 grand at most at wimbledon in a match like that.
                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Books love big chalk players

                                          all the clerks laugh when the bets come in
                                          Comment
                                          • Cappinpicks
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-11-10
                                            • 14986

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                            Federer was -10 grand to Staakhovsky? For sure? Cause Stakhovsky is a decent player, I would think Fedex like -3 grand at most at wimbledon in a match like that.
                                            Darcis killed nadal in straights get a clue
                                            Comment
                                            • mcdonae101
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-02-14
                                              • 3646

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                              Books love big chalk players

                                              all the clerks laugh when the bets come in

                                              Problem for for the books is if u have the money to back it up, the player can't lose. Come with me to Vegas jj and I'll prove it to u
                                              Comment
                                              • HeeeHAWWWW
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-13-08
                                                • 5487

                                                #24
                                                At decent books (ie pinnacle), it's actually the reverse: most of the juice is loaded on the underdog. That's even more true at slams than the rest of the year.

                                                At Wimbledon you'd actually have made a decent profit if you bet everything shorter than 1.50 (-200), about 4% iirc. A few high profile underdog wins doesn't change that.
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388179

                                                  #25
                                                  You live there Mac??
                                                  I will be there in mid July

                                                  Originally posted by mcdonae101
                                                  Problem for for the books is if u have the money to back it up, the player can't lose. Come with me to Vegas jj and I'll prove it to u
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shari91
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-23-10
                                                    • 32661

                                                    #26
                                                    If they didn't, the books wouldn't bother offering them. Problem is you need to have a massive bankroll to make any $ from it and of course to be able to sustain the loss when one falls. For the average bettor though, those -10000 lines are useless but serve as useful parlay killers for books occasionally so it makes it all worth it for them.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • AimePor
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 06-14-14
                                                      • 72

                                                      #27
                                                      Me certainly not not because i am a beginner in all this but just because i can't afford that money
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388179

                                                        #28
                                                        Shari buried me in tennis 2 years ago with chalk parlays


                                                        Most people do not have unlimited bankrolls
                                                        Comment
                                                        • paco
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-07-09
                                                          • 62873

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                          Federer was -10 grand to Staakhovsky? For sure? Cause Stakhovsky is a decent player, I would think Fedex like -3 grand at most at wimbledon in a match like that.
                                                          Yes I'm sure, cuz I had $50 on stav that day. It was right after sharapova lost as a -10000 fav. Me, Shari, and few others were rooting it in lol
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shari91
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 02-23-10
                                                            • 32661

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                                            Shari buried me in tennis 2 years ago with chalk parlays


                                                            Most people do not have unlimited bankrolls
                                                            Full of shit.

                                                            The day I stick a -10000 in a parlay of mine or even something anywhere close to that is the day I can take the hit and not feel the pain if it loses. Unless I win lotto it ain't happening.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shari91
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-23-10
                                                              • 32661

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by paco
                                                              Yes I'm sure, cuz I had $50 on stav that day. It was right after sharapova lost as a -10000 fav. Me, Shari, and few others were rooting it in lol

                                                              Pinny lines

                                                              Comment
                                                              • mcdonae101
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-02-14
                                                                • 3646

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                You live there Mac??
                                                                I will be there in mid July
                                                                Live in dallas, but go to Vegas 4-5 times a year
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Sam Odom
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-30-05
                                                                  • 58063

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Not here , just the opposite
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigBusiness
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-16-12
                                                                    • 3226

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by shari91
                                                                    If they didn't, the books wouldn't bother offering them. Problem is you need to have a massive bankroll to make any $ from it and of course to be able to sustain the loss when one falls. For the average bettor though, those -10000 lines are useless but serve as useful parlay killers for books occasionally so it makes it all worth it for them.

                                                                    That must suck to lose one of those
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MoMoneyMoVaughn
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-08-14
                                                                      • 14988

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I last bet tennis 6 years ago.

                                                                      -1700 lost and I never bet tennis again.
                                                                      Comment
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