How long should you give capper before tailing them?
is 50 games enough, 100?
You never want to wait too long and miss out but if you dive in too early it might cost you
Darkside Magick
SBR Posting Legend
05-28-10
12638
#2
Depends on your needs.....if you in for the super long haul....then at least 2000 picks with a z score of 2.
For quick read during a season I would say 75
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James D
SBR MVP
01-03-13
2040
#3
Interesting question. Does the same number of games apply for both tailing and fading?
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KiDBaZkiT
SBR Posting Legend
10-20-09
14962
#4
Take a few big bong hits and cap the games yourself. I seen jjgold go 7-0 before so anybody can.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#5
no such thing
wait for someone to go into a a bad losing streak then stat tailing
wait for a guy to go on a big win streak and then fade
best method out there
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eidolon
SBR Hall of Famer
01-02-08
9531
#6
2 years ~2000+ picks
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biggie12
SBR Posting Legend
12-30-05
13792
#7
Originally posted by jjgold
no such thing
wait for someone to go into a a bad losing streak then stat tailing
wait for a guy to go on a big win streak and then fade
best method out there
Your best post of the month.
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easyliving
SBR Hall of Famer
06-25-12
8876
#8
if your looking to tail other cappers to make money then betting isn't for you its time for a new hobby.
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Jcole94
SBR Wise Guy
04-06-14
624
#9
Originally posted by easyliving
if your looking to tail other cappers to make money then betting isn't for you its time for a new hobby.
uh no. If you tail cappers who are hitting 60%(at good odds) then you will make money. you're dumb as phuck haha
most people that do it themselves lose
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GUMMO77
SBR Hall of Famer
08-23-10
9294
#10
Originally posted by Jcole94
uh no. If you tail cappers who are hitting 60%(at good odds) then you will make money. you're dumb as phuck haha
most people that do it themselves lose
If you are going to follow cappers, just make sure their record of posted plays are accurate. A lot of wanna be touts come and go around here using various handles.
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Darkside Magick
SBR Posting Legend
05-28-10
12638
#11
Originally posted by Jcole94
uh no. If you tail cappers who are hitting 60%(at good odds) then you will make money. you're dumb as phuck haha
most people that do it themselves lose
You don't even need that much....you could follow a capper who is 50% but the avg plays are+130 which is still more than 60%@-110
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GUMMO77
SBR Hall of Famer
08-23-10
9294
#12
Or just fade cappers. That seems the best method with the majority (including myself) around here.
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Jcole94
SBR Wise Guy
04-06-14
624
#13
Originally posted by GUMMO77
If you are going to follow cappers, just make sure their record of posted plays are accurate. A lot of wanna be touts come and go around here using various handles.
of course. they have to post their plays before the games and there has be be evidence of their record
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Jcole94
SBR Wise Guy
04-06-14
624
#14
Originally posted by Darkside Magick
You don't even need that much....you could follow a capper who is 50% but the avg plays are+130 which is still more than 60%@-110
uh no. If you tail cappers who are hitting 60%(at good odds) then you will make money. you're dumb as phuck haha
most people that do it themselves lose
I don't think there is a single person on the planet that hits 60% against -110 long term. However, if someone IS hitting 60% short term I would make sure they have AT LEAST 200 picks documented before you tail them. Btw, who are you considering tailing? Tell me their record and I'll tell if it's a good idea to tail them.
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Ralphie Halves
SBR MVP
12-13-09
4507
#16
Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
I don't think there is a single person on the planet that hits 60% against -110 long term. However, if someone IS hitting 60% short term I would make sure they have AT LEAST 200 picks documented before you tail them. Btw, who are you considering tailing? Tell me their record and I'll tell if it's a good idea to tail them.
That is incredibly impressive indeed. Anyone here use this service? How much has the line generally moved by the time he releases his picks?
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james francis
SBR Rookie
05-24-14
40
#18
I think only way to go is with a capper who is monitored and one who shows discipline long term. Not some 30-10 month.
Also, be prepared to ride them out. If they lose, and they will, don't jump off be cause you will be skipping and that don't work.
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Jcole94
SBR Wise Guy
04-06-14
624
#19
Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
I don't think there is a single person on the planet that hits 60% against -110 long term. However, if someone IS hitting 60% short term I would make sure they have AT LEAST 200 picks documented before you tail them. Btw, who are you considering tailing? Tell me their record and I'll tell if it's a good idea to tail them.
What's his overall record and what's his average juice? I only looked at his twitter briefly but all I could find was 133-75 for his record. This is very impressive. If his average juice was -110 I'd probably tail him myself. But it looks like his average juice is around -125(maybe more) or so. Too small of a sample size and too much juice for me to tail. But that's just me. He may end up making you a lot of money. I'd be more interested if I knew what his overall record was and if I knew what his average juice was.
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Jcole94
SBR Wise Guy
04-06-14
624
#21
Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
What's his overall record and what's his average juice? I only looked at his twitter briefly but all I could find was 133-75 for his record. This is very impressive. If his average juice was -110 I'd probably tail him myself. But it looks like his average juice is around -125(maybe more) or so. Too small of a sample size and too much juice for me to tail. But that's just me. He may end up making you a lot of money. I'd be more interested if I knew what his overall record was and if I knew what his average juice was.
he said he won over 200 units last season. his juice isn't too bad from memory can't tell you what it is exactly i'll look closer the next few games he picks.