How long should you give capper before tailing them?

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  • Jcole94
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-06-14
    • 624

    #1
    How long should you give capper before tailing them?
    is 50 games enough, 100?

    You never want to wait too long and miss out but if you dive in too early it might cost you
  • Darkside Magick
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-28-10
    • 12638

    #2
    Depends on your needs.....if you in for the super long haul....then at least 2000 picks with a z score of 2.

    For quick read during a season I would say 75
    Comment
    • James D
      SBR MVP
      • 01-03-13
      • 2040

      #3
      Interesting question. Does the same number of games apply for both tailing and fading?
      Comment
      • KiDBaZkiT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-20-09
        • 14962

        #4
        Take a few big bong hits and cap the games yourself. I seen jjgold go 7-0 before so anybody can.
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          no such thing

          wait for someone to go into a a bad losing streak then stat tailing

          wait for a guy to go on a big win streak and then fade

          best method out there
          Comment
          • eidolon
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-02-08
            • 9531

            #6
            2 years ~2000+ picks
            Comment
            • biggie12
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-30-05
              • 13792

              #7
              Originally posted by jjgold
              no such thing

              wait for someone to go into a a bad losing streak then stat tailing

              wait for a guy to go on a big win streak and then fade

              best method out there

              Your best post of the month.
              Comment
              • easyliving
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-25-12
                • 8876

                #8
                if your looking to tail other cappers to make money then betting isn't for you its time for a new hobby.
                Comment
                • Jcole94
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 04-06-14
                  • 624

                  #9
                  Originally posted by easyliving
                  if your looking to tail other cappers to make money then betting isn't for you its time for a new hobby.
                  uh no. If you tail cappers who are hitting 60%(at good odds) then you will make money. you're dumb as phuck haha

                  most people that do it themselves lose
                  Comment
                  • GUMMO77
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-23-10
                    • 9294

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Jcole94
                    uh no. If you tail cappers who are hitting 60%(at good odds) then you will make money. you're dumb as phuck haha

                    most people that do it themselves lose
                    If you are going to follow cappers, just make sure their record of posted plays are accurate. A lot of wanna be touts come and go around here using various handles.
                    Comment
                    • Darkside Magick
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-28-10
                      • 12638

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Jcole94
                      uh no. If you tail cappers who are hitting 60%(at good odds) then you will make money. you're dumb as phuck haha

                      most people that do it themselves lose

                      You don't even need that much....you could follow a capper who is 50% but the avg plays are+130 which is still more than 60%@-110
                      Comment
                      • GUMMO77
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-23-10
                        • 9294

                        #12
                        Or just fade cappers. That seems the best method with the majority (including myself) around here.
                        Comment
                        • Jcole94
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 04-06-14
                          • 624

                          #13
                          Originally posted by GUMMO77
                          If you are going to follow cappers, just make sure their record of posted plays are accurate. A lot of wanna be touts come and go around here using various handles.
                          of course. they have to post their plays before the games and there has be be evidence of their record
                          Comment
                          • Jcole94
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 04-06-14
                            • 624

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Darkside Magick
                            You don't even need that much....you could follow a capper who is 50% but the avg plays are+130 which is still more than 60%@-110
                            like this guy https://twitter.com/TaySpeaksMLB/sta...15192172257280

                            lol
                            Comment
                            • JohnGalt2341
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-31-09
                              • 9138

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Jcole94
                              uh no. If you tail cappers who are hitting 60%(at good odds) then you will make money. you're dumb as phuck haha

                              most people that do it themselves lose
                              I don't think there is a single person on the planet that hits 60% against -110 long term. However, if someone IS hitting 60% short term I would make sure they have AT LEAST 200 picks documented before you tail them. Btw, who are you considering tailing? Tell me their record and I'll tell if it's a good idea to tail them.
                              Comment
                              • Ralphie Halves
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-13-09
                                • 4507

                                #16
                                Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                I don't think there is a single person on the planet that hits 60% against -110 long term. However, if someone IS hitting 60% short term I would make sure they have AT LEAST 200 picks documented before you tail them. Btw, who are you considering tailing? Tell me their record and I'll tell if it's a good idea to tail them.
                                Comment
                                • JohnGalt2341
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-31-09
                                  • 9138

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Ralphie Halves
                                  That is incredibly impressive indeed. Anyone here use this service? How much has the line generally moved by the time he releases his picks?
                                  Comment
                                  • james francis
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 05-24-14
                                    • 40

                                    #18
                                    I think only way to go is with a capper who is monitored and one who shows discipline long term. Not some 30-10 month.

                                    Also, be prepared to ride them out. If they lose, and they will, don't jump off be cause you will be skipping and that don't work.
                                    Comment
                                    • Jcole94
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 04-06-14
                                      • 624

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                      I don't think there is a single person on the planet that hits 60% against -110 long term. However, if someone IS hitting 60% short term I would make sure they have AT LEAST 200 picks documented before you tail them. Btw, who are you considering tailing? Tell me their record and I'll tell if it's a good idea to tail them.
                                      this guy hits over 60% https://twitter.com/bigbodybelfrey
                                      Comment
                                      • JohnGalt2341
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-31-09
                                        • 9138

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Jcole94
                                        this guy hits over 60% https://twitter.com/bigbodybelfrey
                                        What's his overall record and what's his average juice? I only looked at his twitter briefly but all I could find was 133-75 for his record. This is very impressive. If his average juice was -110 I'd probably tail him myself. But it looks like his average juice is around -125(maybe more) or so. Too small of a sample size and too much juice for me to tail. But that's just me. He may end up making you a lot of money. I'd be more interested if I knew what his overall record was and if I knew what his average juice was.
                                        Comment
                                        • Jcole94
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 04-06-14
                                          • 624

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                          What's his overall record and what's his average juice? I only looked at his twitter briefly but all I could find was 133-75 for his record. This is very impressive. If his average juice was -110 I'd probably tail him myself. But it looks like his average juice is around -125(maybe more) or so. Too small of a sample size and too much juice for me to tail. But that's just me. He may end up making you a lot of money. I'd be more interested if I knew what his overall record was and if I knew what his average juice was.
                                          he said he won over 200 units last season. his juice isn't too bad from memory can't tell you what it is exactly i'll look closer the next few games he picks.
                                          Comment
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