I Look At Baseball Cards Daily..Where Do You Start Anymore??

[jjgold]

All I am doing is betting hunches and stabs now

I glance at pitchers and records real quick and that is about it

[minet123]

1st 5 ...Astros
can't pass that price

[Jayvegas420]

Lineups

[jjgold]

worn down from hoops
cannot quit..losers do that

Help me

[flyingillini]

I always bet against Ace pitchers at home...

[jjgold]

Illini not bad..I wonder what ML stats are on that??

[unusialsusp5]

road team underdogs with a marginal starting pitching edge. best whip differential works better than most think. find road team underdog starting pitcher vs home teams with the lower whip. putting less runners on base important. forget lineups or injuries to batters or past matchups. too much legwork to do there. all that matters is how your starter is doing currently. or how bad the opponent starter is doing whip wise.

[TheMoneyShot]

I think MLB is the hardest to cap. Reason why... you have to factor in a lot of juice on your losses. And that doggie doesn't bark at times when you take him. It's a marathon not a sprint. But if you really need a baseball fix daily... I look at the career avgs of the players going against the starting pitcher. If one team is off by .80 to .100 I hammer it. MLB is the only sport where stats count... and technically you can't fix a baseball game. O/U yes... there's a possibility. But picking home and away... well... take a side hard to rig. And you factor in a little bit of line movement. But that's about it.

It's great to know people are excited about MLB/baseball. Every thread you go to here... posters are excited. That's great and all... but there's no way you guys are + at the end of the year in this sport. Maybe 1% of you.

Baseball is a zero profit sport.

[jjgold]

I think MLB is the hardest to cap. Reason why... you have to factor in a lot of juice on your losses. And that doggie doesn't bark at times when you take him. It's a marathon not a sprint. But if you really need a baseball fix daily... I look at the career avgs of the players going against the starting pitcher. If one team is off by .80 to .100 I hammer it. MLB is the only sport where stats count... and technically you can't fix a baseball game. O/U yes... there's a possibility. But picking home and away... well... take a side hard to rig. And you factor in a little bit of line movement. But that's about it.

It's great to know people are excited about MLB/baseball. Every thread you go to here... posters are excited. That's great and all... but there's no way you guys are + at the end of the year in this sport. Maybe 1% of you.

Baseball is a zero profit sport.

Its sort of like hockey..juice kills

great post guy

[jay89]

betting on bias on the first 2 weeks will kill you. hard to know how each team will play or start off. its all in the numbers

[Big Bear]

ride the starting pitchers who are currently pitching well

Tim Hudson
Felix Hernandez
Chris Archer
Gio Gonzalez
that Eovaldi dude on the Marlins
Peralta from the Brewers- he might have the best stuff on the staff
who am i missing there are some locked in pitchers right now

[jjgold]

It seems if you're going to Cape anything it has to be the pitcher kind of like what the quarterback is too and NFL team

[stealthyburrito]

SP is an essential component no doubt but you gotta take into account bullpens - which guys are rested, overworked, unavailable and whether or not they have match-up guys (i.e. lefty v. lefty) spot pitchers.

[bruins35]

mlb is a books cash cow. we cant predict the most unpredictable sport

[upscope]

Its sort of like hockey..juice kills

great post guy

Juice only kills if u let it. I rarely lay more than -130. I just pass & wait for better spot. Long season so there will be plenty of spots. If u don't wanna take the time to look into all the stats & matchups just find the small plus $$ dogs & ask yourself a question "If they play this game 100x's the end result will be 50/50 plus or minus a couple"
If you believe the answer to be true to that question then why not take plus money??

Takes alot of variance & stress out of sweating out big favs (& big dogs for that matter) & gives you action where you won't win or lose much & allows u to stay in action & wait out the season for the really good spots that will certainly arise over the course of the (long) season.
This is my approach

[jjgold]

upscops great post man

great advice in the thread

maybe I will be a better capper for it

[unluckysob]

Must play dogs, or favs -1.5-----problem is every year there is about a 3 week drought, when I get buried---if you can avoid that.....

[Big Bear]

ride the starting pitchers who are currently pitching well

Tim Hudson
Felix Hernandez
Chris Archer
Gio Gonzalez
that Eovaldi dude on the Marlins
Peralta from the Brewers- he might have the best stuff on the staff
who am i missing there are some locked in pitchers right now

okay so Eovaldi needs to be taken off this list. Guy has had back to back mediocre starts after 2 really good ones.

I will be riding Tim Hudson and the Giants again today.

[Dirty Sanchez]

There's a fine line I walk early in the season because of the managers and their tendency to give players rest...so I play extra attention to the lineups because some I feel sacrifice games early on in the name of rest. You can't survive betting baseball only betting favorites...but people have to also realize totals are also a viable option. Also, you can't wager 5-6 games a day and expect to be around very long...I find 1 game, and possible a 2nd I really like and that's it for the day

[lesterdymond]

It's the summer grind. The mental beatings never stop and your begging for football by July.
Put on your hard hat Gold and tough it out.

[jbart28]

Baseball is the easiest sport to win at. The data is all available. This sport has the most information available to lead you to the W. you just have to use a capping checklist and have 10 tabs open to use all the necessary stats and data. Price shopping is huge. 5d is a must. Overnight capping saves thousands of dollars. .05 juice is a must.

[NYSportsGuy210]

Jose Fernandez on the Marlins has the filthiest stuff in baseball right now.

[stealthyburrito]

Sundays are the worst in baseball. Early games everywhere lot of line-up up changes and guys become unavailable.

[Big Bear]

Jose Fernandez on the Marlins has the filthiest stuff in baseball right now.

Zach Greinke is pretty filthy too. Chris Archer throws 96 with nice tail action.

[jjgold]

Bear where did you learn to handicap I am interested in who taught you because you're pretty darn good as far as baseball .

[sourtwist]

Why did the end of the title say "anymore"? Who talks like that? Its def not jjgold himself. Hes from jerseyand people from the east coast dont use the word "anymore" in that context.

[Dirty Sanchez]

Jose Fernandez on the Marlins has the filthiest stuff in baseball right now.

Phillies slapped him around the other day...so not really

[stevenash]

I think MLB is the hardest to cap. Reason why... you have to factor in a lot of juice on your losses. And that doggie doesn't bark at times when you take him. It's a marathon not a sprint. But if you really need a baseball fix daily... I look at the career avgs of the players going against the starting pitcher. If one team is off by .80 to .100 I hammer it. MLB is the only sport where stats count... and technically you can't fix a baseball game. O/U yes... there's a possibility. But picking home and away... well... take a side hard to rig. And you factor in a little bit of line movement. But that's about it.

It's great to know people are excited about MLB/baseball. Every thread you go to here... posters are excited. That's great and all... but there's no way you guys are + at the end of the year in this sport. Maybe 1% of you.

Baseball is a zero profit sport.

Baseball is easy to cap, if you have 90 minutes to devote daily.
Dogs don't always bark, but if you do your homework you can go 50/50 betting +money, do that, well, you do the math.
Career avg. versus pitchers is indeed a good place to start to 'cap.
You can not really fix a game, you can try with the HPU, pay attention to 2-2 counts, often an apparant strike 3 call is called ball 3 to make a full count out of what would have been strike 3.

[NYSportsGuy210]

Phillies slapped him around the other day...so not really

One game means nothing. Everyone has an off game here and there.

[jjgold]

I will not quit though, I need to hang around and then make my run

God Bless all

[icecapper]

Have to just pick your spots with moneyline dogs. This is a good read. http://www.sportswagers.ca/betting-a...icle.php?aID=3

[jjgold]

Thanks I Scaper

[Emancipator]

I think MLB is the hardest to cap. Reason why... you have to factor in a lot of juice on your losses. And that doggie doesn't bark at times when you take him. It's a marathon not a sprint. But if you really need a baseball fix daily... I look at the career avgs of the players going against the starting pitcher. If one team is off by .80 to .100 I hammer it. MLB is the only sport where stats count... and technically you can't fix a baseball game. O/U yes... there's a possibility. But picking home and away... well... take a side hard to rig. And you factor in a little bit of line movement. But that's about it.

It's great to know people are excited about MLB/baseball. Every thread you go to here... posters are excited. That's great and all... but there's no way you guys are + at the end of the year in this sport. Maybe 1% of you.

Baseball is a zero profit sport.

Baseball isn't my favorite sport, but IMO its the best and easiest to cap. As your pretty much only worried about who will win and not thinking about point spreads. Second, its much easier tp isolate the variables in baseball than in other sports. Because the interactions jappen sequentially and not at the same time like other team sports. Thirdly, capping baseball is mostly about pitching.

After writing this though, I would say its tied with the NFL for easiest sports to handicap/bet on.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

Have to just pick your spots with moneyline dogs. This is a good read. http://www.sportswagers.ca/betting-a...icle.php?aID=3

ya thats what im trying to work on. anyone got a get set of guidelines i can use to help with discipline and money management?

[jjgold]

might cut down number of plays next week and see if that helps