False.... Dogs were 6-3 +5.93x last night alone. You pick Dogs in hockey or long term you will lose.Originally Posted by jjgold
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10-26-11 05:52 AM #211
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10-26-11 08:08 AM #212
Lol...whatever you say buddy. I like the Avs today, much better value in the odds. I think both Avs/Flyers have around the same chance of winning, yet Avs are + while Flyers are -140. Originally Posted by dontbuythehook
Okay, so you state Philly is a huge public play and -140 is too much, then you turn around and take a dog b/c you assume getting + points = sharp, yet avs are obviously going to be a bigger public play here:
Percentages broken down of current bets on both games:
Game 1:
Flyers: 70%
Montreal: 30%
Game 2:
Avalanche: 84%
Calgary: 16%
So, it is more square to take Philly @ 70% on the ML, but it's totally sharp to take Avs +110 @ 84%
******* mush just refuses to lay juice but tries to make agreeable 'sharp' picks yet he's completely in denial about where the money is obviously going to go.
As for your %...just based on SBR Odds alone, im seeing 53% on the Avs.
You can do what you want man, just letting you know i think the value is on the Candiens and Avs. Obviously i might be wrong, but you dont have to be a dick about it? Theres a huge difference between a team being +110 and -140, long term, especially if i think both have similar chances to win.
Lol, this is one of the reasons why i dont post my picks here every day. People always hating, and most have no idea what their even hating about.Last edited by Cicima6709; 10-26-11 at 08:24 AM.
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10-26-11 08:16 AM #213
coyotes were the favorites. rod is stuck in last year like the books. Originally Posted by jjgold
i think he'll maybe be able to pick ok later in the year when he realizes how much all these teams have changed.
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10-26-11 08:36 AM #214
Forget betting percentages they mean nothing
Fading so called public plays is so square it is not even funny
Watch the fukkin games, know the players, goalies, injuries, home ice advantage
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10-26-11 08:41 AM #215
Agreed. Originally Posted by jjgold
I dont care what people consider sharp or square...ill gladly eat the high juice if i think its worth it and has value. It all comes down to value. I'll take a -200 if i think the real line should be -300.
In this case i was just showing the guy who thinks COL is a huge public play, that it isnt.
Anyways, i like the Canadiens today. Think Price has a huge game...
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10-26-11 08:45 AM #216
betting percentage should only matter if the lines moving the wrong way in proportion to betting volume.
90 percent on a team but the odds to take them are becoming more favorable.
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10-26-11 10:04 AM #217
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10-26-11 10:05 AM #218
No
No such thing as a must bet NHL game
Look for off sports for this type of bet
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10-26-11 10:33 AM #219
They'll fade just like last year. Lose 30-40 games at least. Originally Posted by opie1988
FUKK YES BITCHES!!!!
We kick ass.
Fade these Stars and its gonna be a long godd*m year.
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10-26-11 10:39 AM #220
That was the better idea. Originally Posted by k13
Shitty loss though Rod, hate when a team chokes in the last minute.
Then you know they lose for sure in OT.
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10-26-11 10:41 AM #221
Why don't we make a wager about this? Originally Posted by k13
SBR
Poster of
Year 2011
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10-26-11 10:45 AM #222
WTF happen? The last I checked the score was 2-1 Coyotes with 2 minutes left.
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10-26-11 10:48 AM #223
Sucks. Rod we need a winner pal. Originally Posted by onlooker
WTF happen? The last I checked the score was 2-1 Coyotes with 2 minutes left.
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10-26-11 10:50 AM #224
Originally Posted by opie1988
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10-26-11 10:51 AM #225
ever since JJ told everyone Rod and TTrace were the best cappers he has been ice cold....
hopefully TTrace will keep up the hot streak
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10-26-11 10:55 AM #226
Ok. Originally Posted by opie1988
What's the exact line you think is fair or want to take at?
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10-26-11 11:21 AM #227
225 replies
No time to read it all
Can't catch a fukkin break these days, TIME TO REGROUP. Let's go!!!!
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10-26-11 11:43 AM #228
Opie, how's 47.5 o/u on wins?
That's right in the middle of what I said. (35 losses)
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10-26-11 12:28 PM #229
SBR Odds is inaccurate, and you should only gather betting percentages from sites you actually pay for the service for. Via SportsInsights: Originally Posted by Cicima6709
Colorado Avalance (ML): 67%
Calgary Flames (ML): 33%
gg.
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10-26-11 12:35 PM #230
On my phone, but I'll look as soon as I get back to office. I'll definitely do something with you on this. Originally Posted by k13
SBR
Poster of
Year 2011
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10-26-11 08:34 PM #231
Originally Posted by dontbuythehook
Okay, so you state Philly is a huge public play and -140 is too much, then you turn around and take a dog b/c you assume getting + points = sharp, yet avs are obviously going to be a bigger public play here:
Percentages broken down of current bets on both games:
Game 1:
Flyers: 70%
Montreal: 30%
Game 2:
Avalanche: 84%
Calgary: 16%
So, it is more square to take Philly @ 70% on the ML, but it's totally sharp to take Avs +110 @ 84%
******* mush just refuses to lay juice but tries to make agreeable 'sharp' picks yet he's completely in denial about where the money is obviously going to go.
Habs up 4-1. Originally Posted by dontbuythehook
ggLast edited by Cicima6709; 10-26-11 at 08:37 PM.
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10-26-11 08:42 PM #232
I have the Habs you ******* idiot lol. I just said the Avs would get smoked though.
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10-26-11 08:43 PM #233
nice edit lol, wtf did you edit you typed 'Habs up 4-1. gg' Did you manage to spell wrong? LOL
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10-26-11 08:48 PM #234
just put your other quote in... Originally Posted by dontbuythehook
Lol, sure you have the Habs.
I was just telling people that both the Habs game and Avs games are 50/50 games...so take the dog in both. I dont care about %s and all that sharp/square bull shit. I was just warning the high % of people that were paying high juice for the Flyers, that they shouldnt do it. Dont know what your problem is, and why so many people here start all these E-fights. Sorry for trying to warn -140 Flyers backers that their bet wasnt good value.
Anyways, if you were on Habs, congrats on (most likely) cashing the + ticket.
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