Dollars2Donuts Daily NBA, NHL and NFL wagers

**Slurms McKenzie** · 12-17-13, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

I second that one!
I just Balty to win 1 more game and I will be collecting on my bet of Over 8.5 wins.
Also picked Philly to win 7.5 and they got that done already.
I shouldn't have listened to the experts and posters who doubted the Ravens...I was going to make a play on the spread, but didn't.

Wow you people are insane... I wasn't going to respond to any of the comments referring to mine, but this is getting ridiculous. I said I preferred the +6 or +7 seeing as -118 and -145 aren't that far off from -107. I never said the +5.5 wasn't going to land and still stand by my pick as it was the safer play for me.

Originally posted by dugdogg

why do people question lines because players are back or not? do people not realize that the lines have adjusted to that already? cracks me up

Wow so the lines accounted for the Nets being -35 and the Hawks -13.... Way to go dugdogg. Its not like what I said was even out of line. Its like everyone here is in some sort of a cult.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 12-17-13, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by Slurms McKenzie

Wow you people are insane... I wasn't going to respond to any of the comments referring to mine, but this is getting ridiculous. I said I preferred the +6 or +7 seeing as -118 and -145 aren't that far off from -107. I never said the +5.5 wasn't going to land and still stand by my pick as it was the safer play for me.

Wow so the lines accounted for the Nets being -35 and the Hawks -13.... Way to go dugdogg. Its not like what I said was even out of line. Its like everyone here is in some sort of a cult.

I don't think one person questioned your Baltimore response directly....I only said I thought they had a good shot straight up.

As for the NBA games.....again, nobody went off on you, all I said was that certain players being in or out are already accounted for in the line. I didn't say you were an idiot or that your pick was wrong....and I don't think anyone else did either. Getting Ridiculous Slurms? Come on now, nobody reacted to you at all.

As for people being in a cult, you are obviously trying to exaggerate....if you look back and read the posts you will realize you didn't need to be so defensive. And who's ghost are you anyway?

Anyway, best of luck either way.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 12-17-13, 01:58 PM

Today's picks fellas:

216836399-1	12/17/13 10:27am	$55.00	$50.00	Pending	12/17/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 51 Winnipeg Jets -110* <small>vs</small> Buffalo Sabres
216836399-2	12/17/13 10:27am	$57.50	$50.00	Pending	12/17/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 51 Winnipeg Jets/Buffalo Sabres Over 5 -115*
216836399-3	12/17/13 10:27am	$157.50	$150.00	Pending	12/17/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 55 Florida Panthers/Toronto Maple Leafs Under 5½ -105*
216836399-4	12/17/13 10:27am	$57.50	$50.00	Pending	12/17/13 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 66 St. Louis Blues -115* <small>vs</small> San Jose Sharks
216836399-5	12/17/13 10:27am	$50.00	$137.50	Pending	12/17/13 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 68 Minnesota Wild -1½ +275* <small>vs</small> Vancouver Canucks
216836399-6	12/17/13 10:27am	$52.50	$50.00	Pending	12/17/13 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 68 Minnesota Wild -105* <small>vs</small> Vancouver Canucks
216836399-7	12/17/13 10:27am	$65.00	$50.00	Pending	12/17/13 10:35pm Reduced Hockey 73 Edmonton Oilers/Los Angeles Kings Under 5½ -130*

216836191-1	12/17/13 10:21am	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	12/17/13 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 501 Portland Trailblazers -4½ -105* <small>vs</small> Cleveland Cavaliers
216836191-2	12/17/13 10:21am	$140.00	$100.00	Pending	12/17/13 9:05pm Reduced Basketball 507 Oklahoma City Thunder -140* <small>vs</small> Denver Nuggets
216836191-3	12/17/13 10:21am	$52.50	$50.00	Pending	12/17/13 9:05pm Reduced Basketball 507 Oklahoma City Thunder/Denver Nuggets Over 208 -105*

Panther/Leafs under is our POD. Go get 'em!

D2D

**CatHawk** · 12-17-13, 02:05 PM

I'm feelin ya on the Wild! Good luck tonight D2D!!

**f3lis0** · 12-17-13, 02:09 PM

I can not see the plays in my smartphone. Which are them?

**Bill_Hicks** · 12-17-13, 04:06 PM

Originally posted by f3lis0

I can not see the plays in my smartphone. Which are them?

Rotate phone bud

**inZane** · 12-17-13, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by Bill_Hicks

Rotate phone bud

How many times are you gonna have to tell these people this Bill? It's pretty sad when the tools become smarter than the people using them...

**RollinDo** · 12-17-13, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by Bill_Hicks

Rotate phone bud

Doesn't always work for me even doing that.

**vancapper** · 12-17-13, 04:30 PM

I believe it depends on what browser your smartphone is using.

**gvo** · 12-17-13, 04:41 PM

Download Chrome on your phone, then rotate(it's a better browser anyways)

You can also scroll right to the bottom and select "full site"

**RollinDo** · 12-17-13, 05:57 PM

Ok Dollars.
Because I didn't play your Balty pick yesterday, goin with your POD!

**ClutchOnandWin** · 12-17-13, 06:03 PM

Keep this going, certainly a fan of a punter that chooses value over "safe plays", the only way to become prosporous over books long term IMO. Even short term actually. Especially for sports like NBA, where teams get very little rest between matches.

All about the bigger picture and leaving yourself an edge.

**acehole** · 12-17-13, 06:12 PM

thanks d2d

**tto827** · 12-17-13, 09:26 PM

Damian Lillard..... fukk you

**Dollars2Donuts** · 12-17-13, 09:26 PM

So funny. Portland goes up 10, Irving goes out of his mind to tie the game, but they were not going to win it. All Irving really did was get them to cover the spread. Rough luck for us...again. Irving is a great young player, but Portland blew this one.

One last note....I had to watch the Cav's feed for this game. I don't mind a homer for an announcer, but those guys were actually painful to listen to.

Oops....one more note. Winnipeg up 2-0 and then down 4-2....what the heck. We haven't held a lead in two weeks.

**tto827** · 12-17-13, 09:34 PM

Cleveland announcers are terrible D2D. They make Stacey King here in Chicago seem unbiased.

At least Winnipeg gave up another goal so we win the over lol

up 2-0 then losing 3-2 and pushing the over would have really hurt.

Hopefully St. Louis digs themselves all the way back

**fitguy67** · 12-17-13, 09:42 PM

had to pop in for yet another "where amazing happens" gnashing-of-teeth session...a number of days back i declared that i'd had it for any negative spreads in the NBA...because of shit like this...(POR -4.5)...they're up comfortably by 7 points with 34 seconds left...then manage to get tied AND then win by 3 points..(first of all, how is it even possible to blow a 7-point lead in 34 seconds in a game with a 29-second shot clock and guys who presumably are no strangers to shooting fouls?)...the size of the spread is not a secret to anyone on the floor...game smells like bad fish on an increasingly-regular basis

having the anti-amazing shield in place (ie. the ML) is an expensive way to go...but it's protected me from putting a brick thru my monitor more than once since i made this vow

I notice you're moving in this direction too as i've noticed NBA ML's popping up more and more on your cards...

to make such a practice easier to swallow, i risk exactly one unit on such a play and treat it as if it were simply the first leg of a one-unit multi-leg BB-fave ml open-spot parlay...

FAR BETTER to get to keep your 100 and make 50 bucks with a smile on your face...than feel like you've had 110 stolen AND been gang-raped at the same time

**EasyPicks** · 12-17-13, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by Grunch

He's not tracking just ATS, he's also tracking ML bets. Just today there are 2 -130 ML bets. If a +157 bet shouldn't count because it's not a 50% bet then neither should all those fav's MLs. What matters in the end is the ROI.

What kind of record tracking rules are these? Why does the guy that keeps track of D2D plays doesnt post here for the past 5 days??

**burtonrider726** · 12-17-13, 10:11 PM

awesome pick of the day d2d! Panthers and Maple leafs ended up with 4 goals! Thanks for all the insight and all the picks.

**ClutchOnandWin** · 12-17-13, 10:26 PM

I'm taking it all or atleast most of you're American? Right? I feel a bit sorry for you guys interms of betting on sports like NBA, which can be a very streaky, up and down sport. A team can be trailing 7 points and be as far back as 3.5 underdog and then before what, actually know it, 3 pointer, turnover, 3 pointer, turnover again and it's back in the balance again. This leaves so much value for "inplay betting".

It's worse when you guys bet prematch though I imagine, as you have to make a pick and stick to it. Your team can be 15 points up and still lose the match for you to meaning you get nothing at the end and after all that crap. With inplay you can cover, hedge or whatever. D2D, I had a brief look in here over a week back when you backed Raptors +7.5 and because of the momentum of the comeback, they didn't even cover the spread.

It's cruelty for you guys not to have inplay betting, I know some of you do, but there are others whom have to rely on their prematch selection, which sometimes you may not like during the game. Especially if player's like Tony Parker are getting injured in 3rd quarters.

There's a thing called betfair for UK and Australian betters, it automatically allows you to "trade/cash out" your bet for the maximum amount you could get for a perfect hedge. It's an exchange site and it's ideal for NBA, not only because there are somany shifts in scorelines but because it calculates the hedge for you in the click of a button.

D2D, had you backed Raptors +7.5 with Betfair, you would have had the opportunity to cash out with a computer calculated hedge which would have lost you a couple of pounds / dollars at most if you just let it run and it wins. You would have basically been backing -7.5 warriors with the raptors leading by 20 points in the 3rd quarter. Imagine the odds for -7.5 warriors at that point? A trade out/cash out with betfair means you'd have gotten atleast 95% of your potential winning from that bet in the 3rd quarter just by clicking "cash out".

Why is there nothing like this sort of inplay trading exchange site in the united states? and which states are limited from inplay betting? Feel sorry for you guys having to put up with horrible beats every now and again. Those with Cavs ML for example would have been devasted when Damien hit that 3 pointer, but with betfair, easy trade and cash for may be 60-70% of their potential winnings whilst the cavs had up 8 or 10?

**fitguy67** · 12-17-13, 10:54 PM

because the nickname of the good ole' US of A..."land of the free" somehow does not apply to how to spend your own money

D2D, myself and many others on this thread are, like you, lucky enough (with regard to gambling options) to be non-US'rs (who really do get the shit end of the stick by being forced into a "grey market")...still many of the really good contributors on this site do amazingly well despite this handicap...and if they ever get to operate away from an American IP address and really become able to line-shop, look out...they'll be like athletes who've grown up at altitude...

**Dollars2Donuts** · 12-17-13, 11:22 PM

To the gent that posted earlier...win/loss record means nothing to me. As FitGuy said ROI is the important stat...and total units ahead.

Yes, I do bet - games, but I also bet + games (tonight I had a +275 game on the card. If I hit 48% but could be hitting 4% ROI I would be more than happy.

Frankly, all last year I averaged $2000 wagered per day, but am only at around $1200 a day so far this year. I just need to get my total base dollars up.....anyway, I am just rambling. It has been a tough run here lately, but we are up 20 units through all of these tough days....that's awesome.

One last thing, my model for scoring in the NBA is WAY off still... This year scoring is way up and my totals have been terrible.. And last year it was my bread and butter.

Go OKC.

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 12-17-13, 11:26 PM

Originally posted by EasyPicks

What kind of record tracking rules are these? Why does the guy that keeps track of D2D plays doesnt post here for the past 5 days??

Anyone is free to post the D2D record updates...just copy and paste whenever and whatever you like.

**chs13021986** · 12-17-13, 11:54 PM

I could do it if u show me how to do it. For me would be great as I can do it in the afternoon ( Aus time). So when u wake up the records are ready

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 12-17-13, 11:59 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Here is HE's link for my stats:

http://www.advisortracking.com/p/st-dollars2donuts.html

link to record

**Shazzadude** · 12-18-13, 12:11 AM

Good to see your PODs are off to a good start.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 12-18-13, 12:53 AM

Well, another ok day....almost 2 units worth of profit, but technically we went 4-4. Another NHL team crapping the bed after leading, and an NBA game where we were up 10 with a couple of minutes left. We seem to be running into bad beats and close losses every day and rarely, if ever do we come from behind, get late goals, or erase large leads....BUT, the great thing is that all equals out.

And of course, the POD started out with a win. last year we hot 65% over 60+ picks, so hopefully we can replicate that this year!

Tomorrow will be a good day in the NBA....until then, peace out.

D2D

**ParlayBricker** · 12-18-13, 08:59 AM

I hear ya on the Cav's announcers , I actually muted the game at half time, much more enjoyable after that aside from Portland choking.

**EasyPicks** · 12-18-13, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by High3rEl3m3nt

link to record

thx for the link.

but it's confusing, just my opinion.

**RollinDo** · 12-18-13, 09:29 AM

Originally posted by burtonrider726

awesome pick of the day d2d! Panthers and Maple leafs ended up with 4 goals! Thanks for all the insight and all the picks.

Amen to that! I tailed ya' on the POD and cashed (just a little). Thanks!

**DEUCED** · 12-18-13, 11:01 AM

Any early leans on nhl tonight D2D?

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 12-18-13, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by EasyPicks

thx for the link.

but it's confusing, just my opinion.

Could you explain in further detail? I am a little limited in the ways that I can provide excel data publicly. Thanks, maybe I can improve it.

**tto827** · 12-18-13, 02:12 PM

Higher, possibly he is referring to the same thing I'm a bit confused about.

If you look at D2D units by week he is +4.81, -25.34, +7.58, and -1.65 for a grand total of -14.6

If you look at D2D units by sport he is +4.28, +6.34, +13.06, and -2.07 for a grand total of 20.98.

Just realized it cause he was +35ish in November and that you can manipulate some of the column headers, which is a nice feature but you should make a note somewhere that it is a user-controlled interface. Because I looked at them for a solid 5 minutes trying to figure out how it made any sense at all lol

Also, not sure if its possible. But in the month selections, you should remove the "blank" option. Because if you hit select all, it shows an error because it cannot show blank and months at the same time, but if you hit select all, then unselect blank, it works as it should.

Just found all these neat little features out today, quite a nice site you got going

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 12-18-13, 02:16 PM

Look at the best of SBR thread and let me know if you can think of any more links to add.

Also, Excel does some things really great and other things really poorly. The reason it shows "blank" is because I have predesignated cells that will be filled in with picks in the near future. If I didn't do this, I would have to manually reconfigure the pivot table on a daily basis, which would be a pain in the rear. I will include a note about selecting the month and week...thank you gents for the feedback..I appreciate it.

**EasyPicks** · 12-18-13, 02:27 PM

Originally posted by High3rEl3m3nt

Could you explain in further detail? I am a little limited in the ways that I can provide excel data publicly. Thanks, maybe I can improve it.

the week thing is confusing, how is a week in november number 5 and then a week in December number 2 or 3...

Also, imo, more important than unit +- by sport would be the amount of plays and W/L ratio per sport.