World Chess Championship - Big line adjustment
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sandoSBR MVP
- 04-30-12
- 3723
#36Comment -
sbrhedgeSBR MVP
- 01-18-11
- 1354
#37Carlsen was listed as the -400 favorite, and today he's down to -260. Curious as to what size bets they are taking on this, and what prompted the sudden odds drop (was the line that bad?). Is this one of those novelty offerings with a few hundred max before adjustments, or are they taking 1k+ bets on this? -
I think that's why the line was dropping - Carlsen has a habit of lagging and doing too many moves to take out his opponents. Anand pushes really fast or dumps (I don't know what they fookin terminology is, so chess guys whatever you say)
Carlsen -400 was way too high ... and not because he's playing Anand. it's now @ -350 ... my 2 cents.Comment -
ChalkyDogSBR Hall of Famer
- 10-02-11
- 9598
#38
I would say the biggest issue I run into against those top guys are a disadvantage around move 30-40 where they have an obvious pawn advantage on the queen side. Give anyone like an IM that kind of advantage, and it's over. I'm stubborn though, I rarely resign until it's painfully obvious.
Anyway, I fell back into the u2000's, and haven't played in a legit tournament in years. Last one I played in was the open in Vegas, played in the open section, got my ass kicked, but got my entry fee back via the side room.
There is always some group of black dudes in there trying to hustle. I would take them for a lot more when I was a kid, now not so much - they can smell me a mile away.Comment -
sandoSBR MVP
- 04-30-12
- 3723
#39I peaked right at the "expert" level. Got into the 2000's. Beat a lot of guys while I was in school ranked as high as 2400, as I would play them often. In tournament setting I can't beat an IM or a GM obviously. I used to be able to at least hang for a while with a lot of the IM's because my openings are pretty strong. Theirs are just stronger and by midgame, my position is just bad enough for them to get an advantage.
I would say the biggest issue I run into against those top guys are a disadvantage around move 30-40 where they have an obvious pawn advantage on the queen side. Give anyone like an IM that kind of advantage, and it's over. I'm stubborn though, I rarely resign until it's painfully obvious.
Anyway, I fell back into the u2000's, and haven't played in a legit tournament in years. Last one I played in was the open in Vegas, played in the open section, got my ass kicked, but got my entry fee back via the side room.
There is always some group of black dudes in there trying to hustle. I would take them for a lot more when I was a kid, now not so much - they can smell me a mile away.Comment -
bubblebuttluvSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-13-12
- 5179
#41Bump
5Dimes released the line for the match and it says it takes place at 4:30 AM this morning.
Carlsen is at -390 and Anand is at +320.
I didn't realize this thing could take days to play out:
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pinnacle420SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-01-12
- 6254
#42Bump
5Dimes released the line for the match and it says it takes place at 4:30 AM this morning.
Carlsen is at -390 and Anand is at +320.
I didn't realize this thing could take days to play out:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/...w/25469177.cmsComment -
Cookie MonsterSBR MVP
- 12-05-08
- 2251
#43First game drawn. Moral victory for Anand, with black pieces, forcing a repetition in just 16 moves. As expected, Carlsen played his usual solid offbeat opening, aiming for a long game. Anand opted for a Grünfeld defense. An inaccuracy by Carlsen let Anand grab an small advantage, but he opted for the quick draw instead of pressing. Disappointing game for the public. Many servers (even the official one) were down due to the heavy load of millions of players trying to watch the live video.
I did not notice line was up to +320, it is a lot of value for Anand. My estimated line is around +250.Comment -
sweepSBR Posting Legend
- 10-09-10
- 16755
#44this is fukkin greatComment -
broadway6SBR Posting Legend
- 11-14-09
- 13337
#45I forgot to TiVoComment -
Cookie MonsterSBR MVP
- 12-05-08
- 2251
#46Second game ongoing. Anand chose e4, and Carlsen countered with a Caro-Kann. Small surprise, as he had been playing e5 more often, willing to enter into Ruy Lopez (usually var. Berlin or Breyer). Caro Kann is a drawish defense, black gets a solid position, white gets a spacial advantage. After 15 moves, we are still on book, and the character of position is the usual Caro Kann. My best guess, Anand will try to press without forcing things, so draw is most likely.Comment -
Cookie MonsterSBR MVP
- 12-05-08
- 2251
#47Another easy draw. Anand chose to exchange queens in move 16, instead of trying to press with Qg4. So, an equal endgame was reached, and drawn in 24 moves. Another disappointing game. Tomorrow is a rest day.Comment -
smitch124SBR Posting Legend
- 05-19-08
- 12566
#48Yes they've made 40 moves in 2 games, time to rest.Comment -
BennyBigNutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-16-12
- 8700
#49Aren't those kind of matches a best of 3 or 5 series?Comment -
C-GoldSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-04-10
- 6808
#50
Great thread, I like chess too.Comment -
ChuckyTheGoatBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 04-04-11
- 37692
#51Dumb Q. Is every match here going to end in draw?Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
Cookie MonsterSBR MVP
- 12-05-08
- 2251
#53At normal GM level, about 60% of games end in draws. At world championship level, maybe close to 70%. Last WCH Anand-Gelfand 2012 went 1-1-10. Previous one, Anand-Topalov 2010 was 3-2-7. Anand-Kraminik 2008 was 3-1-7 (12th game not needed).Comment -
thetrinitySBR Posting Legend
- 01-25-11
- 22432
#54chess way too sophisticated for 99.9% of sbrComment -
RealSlimShadySBR Hall of Famer
- 12-24-07
- 6249
#55CookieMonster, what's your chess rating?Comment -
BriGuySBR MVP
- 12-06-11
- 1556
#56I would say the biggest issue I run into against those top guys are a disadvantage around move 30-40 where they have an obvious pawn advantage on the queen side. Give anyone like an IM that kind of advantage, and it's over. I'm stubborn though, I rarely resign until it's painfully obvious.Comment -
ChuckyTheGoatBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 04-04-11
- 37692
#57Cool, man, thx. I wonder if there's defensive strategy such that a guy could bring his Loss % down to almost zero. I could see the Indian closing the door on the Norwegian, just to spit him. Could see it ending: 2 Anand wins, 10 draws and then Anand flipping the kid off.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
ChuckyTheGoatBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 04-04-11
- 37692
#58Cool, man, thx. I wonder if there's defensive strategy such that a guy could bring his Loss % down to almost zero. I could see the Indian closing the door on the Norwegian, just to spite him. Could see it ending: 2 Anand wins, 10 draws and then Anand flipping the kid off.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
ChalkyDogSBR Hall of Famer
- 10-02-11
- 9598
#59
Big fan of Frank Marshall's game. Reading a book about him is what really got me going.
I have a pawn advantage on the king side, but it isn't worth nearly as much.
The amount of hours I have spent during my life trying to figure out how to deal with this is far too high to admit. This thread sent me back into thinking about it, the whole isolated queen pawn, unreal.
I should give up gambling and get back into chess. Much more healthy than screaming at teenagers because they backdoored on a prayer.Comment -
Cookie MonsterSBR MVP
- 12-05-08
- 2251
#61Cool, man, thx. I wonder if there's defensive strategy such that a guy could bring his Loss % down to almost zero. I could see the Indian closing the door on the Norwegian, just to spit him. Could see it ending: 2 Anand wins, 10 draws and then Anand flipping the kid off.
With white, it is fairly easy to get drawish positions. If forced to win, black may counter with a risky defense (Dutch, Alekhine, etc) but such lines are widely considered inferior for black, so often end taking a draw in a bad position, or losing outright. In a match, most players are eager to take a draw with black, and try to win with white. Of course, it is not so easy to get draws as black. There are solid defenses as the Caro-Kann, with fairly high draw%, but white has a small advantage all the way and can try press for a win a long time with little risk. Not everyone is Karpov, enjoying to defend such positions.
Your example of 2-0-10 is hard to achieve, it would need Anand to win 12th game on a 1-0-10 match (of course, he would offer a draw even with big advantage); else, the match would end 2-0-9 after the 11th game.
I had over 2100 rating 20 years ago, and retired of competition. I am still close to chess as tournament director and arbiter, but my current level should be closer to 2000. I have not played a serious game for many years, just friendly blitzes, and I make too many blunders.Comment -
sandoSBR MVP
- 04-30-12
- 3723
#62Originally posted by Evir27I would like to learn how to play chess professionally)
Stay away from the shitty social sites and stick to somewhere like Chess.com or Chess CubeComment -
RealSlimShadySBR Hall of Famer
- 12-24-07
- 6249
#63Originally posted by Evir27I would like to learn how to play chess professionally)Comment -
The GiantSBR Posting Legend
- 01-21-12
- 21480
#64Are there any sites where you can play chess for money?
....or would it somehow be manipulated by bots?Comment -
ChuckyTheGoatBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 04-04-11
- 37692
#65Cookie, I don't know squat about chess. Props to u guys who understand it. Can we watch the match live?Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
ChuckyTheGoatBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 04-04-11
- 37692
Comment -
vyomguySBR Hall of Famer
- 12-08-09
- 5794
#67I will take Anand +320
Too much pressure on Carlsen.Comment -
smitch124SBR Posting Legend
- 05-19-08
- 12566
#68Comment -
Cookie MonsterSBR MVP
- 12-05-08
- 2251
#69You can watch live video with comments at official site: http://chennai2013.fide.com/
Games start 4:30 AM EST.Comment -
sandoSBR MVP
- 04-30-12
- 3723
#70There are Giant but 90% hustlers. I tried once, played against a guy - 1400 ranking. Played 3 games and in theory I should have won every game, however he destroyed me, got hustled. Guys deliberately will manipulate their rankings. Maybe have an IM getting around under a 1450 ranking, it's brutal...Comment
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