Florida State is favored, on the road, at night, with a freshman QB, in Death Valley?

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  • thetrinity
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-25-11
    • 22430

    #106
    too early in the week to worry about what the line IMO could easily go back down
    Comment
    • Ernie Mccracken
      SBR MVP
      • 09-11-11
      • 1986

      #107
      FSU is the play. They will hang around for a couple quarters, but there is a much bigger talent gap than most seem to realize.
      Comment
      • TPowell
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-21-08
        • 18842

        #108
        Originally posted by t-wizzle
        I think most rec bettors are on or are going to be on Clemson. It will probably be close to split though come Saturday. I think most sharp money is on FSU.
        I would agree but real SQUARES will see Florida State at 5 and giving only 3 and say, Clemson is never that good
        Comment
        • thetrinity
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-25-11
          • 22430

          #109
          probably be fairly split money. im a little surprised this is -3 fsu i thought itd be a pickem
          Comment
          • t-wizzle
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-18-09
            • 38099

            #110
            Originally posted by TPowell
            I would agree but real SQUARES will see Florida State at 5 and giving only 3 and say, Clemson is never that good

            True which is why I said I think it will be virtually split come Saturday. You have the squares who will just look at the higher-ranked team with a lot of hype this year getting points and then you have the squares who automatically think FSU is the play and who love betting faves.

            Which is why I will just watch the line at Pinnacle and see what they do. Also will keep an eye on the Greek.
            Comment
            • JabooFootball
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-09-13
              • 758

              #111
              Squares think Clemson dog at death valley... thats it. Squares love a home team ranked higher getting +... Think about it, Squares dont bet on Monday but the line moved .5 signaling money on FSU. FSU has been cashing tickets all year.
              Comment
              • M.W.
                SBR MVP
                • 09-07-08
                • 1668

                #112
                The line didn't move. It opened at three, and it's three now. Looks like Pinnacle took a side and asked for FSU money. They got it and moved their number. To match everybody else.
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82839

                  #113
                  So basically a freshman QB can't win in Death Valley at night. I suppose is past his bedtime.
                  Comment
                  • TPowell
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-21-08
                    • 18842

                    #114
                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                    So basically a freshman QB can't win at Death Valley at night. I suppose is passed his bedtime.
                    common Paver
                    Comment
                    • Noles1992
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-15-11
                      • 4142

                      #115
                      This is a stay the away game for myself. FSU hasn't won there in 6 tries and when we did win there 6 in a row 1988-2000 era with "great teams" the games were very very close. I used to say the same when we played down in Miami back in the day, and if we were favored I actually would take the Canes, hoping like hell I would lose my $ but never did. GL in what you guys chose! GO NOLES!
                      Comment
                      • thetrinity
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-25-11
                        • 22430

                        #116
                        like wizzle said youll get square money that never takes points and square money that takes the points with the higher ranked team at home, even the squares are gona be divided on this game
                        Comment
                        • Noles1992
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-15-11
                          • 4142

                          #117
                          Originally posted by thetrinity
                          id feel much better about laying 10 with fsu at home

                          cant wait to hear what musberger says u know hell bring up fsu being favored during this one
                          Couldn't agree more Trinity, about laying that number in Tally would be better than 3 in Death Valley!
                          Thinking Musberger will mention the spread more than once , especially if there is a score at the end that benefits the betters in one way or another!
                          Comment
                          • King000
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-26-13
                            • 113

                            #118
                            Originally posted by JabooFootball
                            Currently trying to find, and if i cant find, compile a decade long history of FSU ATS on college gameday games... not because i think such a hokey stat would be indicative of the games outcome (although theres a 50% chance i could claim it did and act sharp like some people in the forum) but because i've got nothing to do tonight. This is what happens when I dont take action for a night.
                            Lmao! Really? Thats how u feel
                            Comment
                            • King000
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-26-13
                              • 113

                              #119
                              Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                              LeBron will be attendance,

                              Just watched Tajh Boyd Interview on CFB Daily

                              Just zero chance I could bet FSU here
                              Miami Heat have preseason home game 10/19 730 pm
                              Comment
                              • Louisvillekid1
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-17-07
                                • 52143

                                #120
                                Originally posted by King000
                                Miami Heat have preseason home game 10/19 730 pm
                                On CFB Daily they were making a big deal out of it for w/e reason was just sharing the info
                                Comment
                                • Jaug
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-11-09
                                  • 3087

                                  #121
                                  FS from -3 to -3.5 Something is up here for sure. Close to pulling the trigger on FS -3.5
                                  Comment
                                  • k13
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-16-10
                                    • 18104

                                    #122
                                    public home dog, very rare, even more so in a big game like this.
                                    Comment
                                    • suicidekings
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-23-09
                                      • 9962

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by Jaug
                                      FS from -3 to -3.5 Something is up here for sure. Close to pulling the trigger on FS -3.5
                                      Assuming sharp money pushed it up there in the first place, remember that the sharp money wasn't laying -3.5. That's a very different bet than -2.5.

                                      This game reeks of line manipulation.
                                      Comment
                                      • Huckleberry Pig
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-07-13
                                        • 2564

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by k13
                                        public home dog, very rare, even more so in a big game like this.
                                        line looks like a trap but i took the bait. on clemson +pts at home

                                        Comment
                                        • Huckleberry Pig
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-07-13
                                          • 2564

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by suicidekings
                                          Assuming sharp money pushed it up there in the first place, remember that the sharp money wasn't laying -3.5. That's a very different bet than -2.5.

                                          This game reeks of line manipulation.

                                          Comment
                                          • KiDBaZkiT
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-20-09
                                            • 14962

                                            #126
                                            Winston is a Freshman only on paper. Kid imo has the biggest upside or NFL credentials in Ncaff. Well 2nd to Mariota, that kid is just different. Some of the throws he's made I have never seen a freshman make. Not even Manziel. Winston has NFL touch, he has better placement and feel than prob 5 a the NFL starters. Lmao he kinda reminds me of Favre to be honest. Not saying he throws picks on 3rd n long but his arm.
                                            Comment
                                            • thebestthereis
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-01-09
                                              • 11459

                                              #127
                                              smart people got this game at 2.5 or 3 max then went to the buffet. they are no longer looking at fsu at 3.5 period. they are napping after stuffing their face.
                                              Comment
                                              • JabooFootball
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-09-13
                                                • 758

                                                #128
                                                If you didn't jump on fsu prior to 3 I'd reccomend the over. FSU is gonna win by lighting up the scoreboard, but Clemson will keep it close.
                                                Comment
                                                • TexasJayhawk
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 10-02-13
                                                  • 181

                                                  #129
                                                  Squares all over FSU right now.....
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JabooFootball
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-09-13
                                                    • 758

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by TexasJayhawk
                                                    Squares all over FSU right now.....
                                                    You really don't know what you're talking about do you? Early line jump indicates sharp money on noles. 70% of public on Clemson. Sharp ass public
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TexasJayhawk
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 10-02-13
                                                      • 181

                                                      #131
                                                      70% of what...quantity of bets? Those numbers don't mean s**t. It's the not the qty of the bets, its the $$ behind those bets...which you and I will never really know.

                                                      But I guess that was sharp money on Louisville when it got bet up from 12.5 to 14....right?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TexasJayhawk
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 10-02-13
                                                        • 181

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by JabooFootball
                                                        You really don't know what you're talking about do you? Early line jump indicates sharp money on noles. 70% of public on Clemson. Sharp ass public
                                                        70% of what...quantity of bets? Those numbers don't mean s**t. It's the not the qty of the bets, its the $$ behind those bets...which you and I will never really know.

                                                        But I guess that was sharp money on Louisville when it got bet up from 12.5 to 14....right?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 15805
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-10-12
                                                          • 3604

                                                          #133
                                                          I'm not betting this game but rooting for Fla. St. because:

                                                          Future Wager 09/03/13 00:09 ET
                                                          bet 20.00 to win 200.00 Result: Pending
                                                          2013 Heisman Trophy - Odds To Win (All Bets Action)
                                                          Jameis Winston (Florida St) 12/07/13(19:00 ET)
                                                          +1000

                                                          Internet / -1 Sep 1003:28 PM TNT ODDS TO WIN THE ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE
                                                          [89116] FLORIDA STATE +175
                                                          30 / 53
                                                          Comment
                                                          • k13
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-16-10
                                                            • 18104

                                                            #134
                                                            -5.5 now

                                                            Should be interesting.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • hustlehard617
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-05-12
                                                              • 574

                                                              #135
                                                              Line jumped to -4.5 at herritage
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjgold
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-20-05
                                                                • 388179

                                                                #136
                                                                squares all over Flor St

                                                                We are on Clemson
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Smoke
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-09-09
                                                                  • 48111

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Squares like no coin on clemson

                                                                  Sharp money moved line

                                                                  Fl st by 6
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JabooFootball
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 10-09-13
                                                                    • 758

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by TexasJayhawk
                                                                    70% of what...quantity of bets? Those numbers don't mean s**t. It's the not the qty of the bets, its the $$ behind those bets...which you and I will never really know.

                                                                    But I guess that was sharp money on Louisville when it got bet up from 12.5 to 14....right?
                                                                    no no genius I was talking about the initial line movement on Monday. That was sharps moving the line. This retarded climb now is the public squares which heard that fsu was a sharp play but got in way too late. Fun fact - games between these two have only been decided by less than 6 twice in the last decade
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Simon Gruber
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-02-13
                                                                      • 2342

                                                                      #139
                                                                      asdkjsaldj
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JabooFootball
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-09-13
                                                                        • 758

                                                                        #140
                                                                        14 point dog 12 point dog and 7 point dog all won in the last 24. Anyone who tells you they know what's gonna happen in Death Valley is smoking bleach. Gonna be a good one tonight fellas. BoL to all! (But go noles- not where my money is where my heart is)
                                                                        Comment
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