Glad to see tennis posted, I decided against being that whiny bitch and asking for tennis leans before I went to bed, but you apparently posted the plays while I was typing
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I think you must only get those tennis lines or tennis props on 5dimes. Sportsbook.com only has the straight up matchs. Are you confident enough in Granollers for me to take him straight up at +160?Comment -
Jesus the Nadal -4.5 line has already shifted to -130...Comment -
Well, I think he is a pick'em here, so 50/50.....if I could make +160 on a coin flip I would be all over it....now remember this is a value play, not any sort of 'sure thing'....as always, buyer beware....
Also, you need to get onto a book with all the options....Comment -
great job today tyComment -
With the low max bets on tennis and other obscure sports, any $100+ wager has the potential to move lines, especially if made more than a day before the match (which you don't do often, or at all)
Also... I haven't looked into it, but seeing the steady win percentage and BR growth, I would assume you beat the closing line more often than not. You find value, and bet accordingly, there's rarely value in a line if it finishes significantly worse than the closer. Once the line moves, it's possible the value is gone. (Sorry I'm tired, can't think of how to explain it, if it doesn't make sense I'll do a better job in the morning)
Look at the total amount you have wagered, and if your lines were 10 cents worse on every pick, you are probably down money, and that's the difference between a winner and a loser long-term.Comment -
Granollers down 6-1 , 5-0
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Well, we certainly cannot win everything guys.....that was what I was worried about. These two were very equally matched up.....and Granollers was happy with getting here. I mean you don't lose 6-1, 6-0 if you care at all. Sad but exactly what I worry about at this point of an ATP tour event like this one.Comment -
good that I overslept that bet cause of night shift
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found that sweet spot again, huh Donuts? Good job bud.... Hope some of these guys around here are learning something.... "Give a man a fish, and you feed him for a day; show him how to catch fish, and you feed him for a lifetime."Comment -
wow i read it wrong and picked paire guess i got lucky... but its ok looking forward to the rest of the day playsssComment -
Hey all! Just found this website googling on betting and decided to make a couple bets last night from this thread. Up 200 so I'm happy! Will follow your bets! Thanks!Comment -
Yep, Nadal bet done too. Kind of what I was worried about....hard to start gauging guys levels of motivation.
Well let's get it back tonight!Comment -
who/what do you like in the nhl game tonight D2D?Comment -
Perhaps my math isn't the best in the world, but I still feel we can win this bet. Will just depend on this final set. 6-0 or 6-1 Nadal, should win this bet for us. Happened before, might happen now.
Update:
Ferrer won first game. Now we just need Nadal to win the next 6 games and we win the bet. Hard, but not impossible.
Update:
Now Nadal just needs to win the next 4 games and we cash. Still hard, but not as hard as the 6 before.
Update:
Now Nadal just needs to hold his serve and break the next game, and we Cash. Still not easy, but much easier then a few updates ago!!
Update:
Now Nadal just needs to break this next game, and we cash. Still hard, but compared to what we had before, very possible.
Update:
We lost. But least I didn't give up hope till the end. Nadal knew he was way ahead, and didn't really need that game to win the match. Ferrer on the other side, knew he needed it else it was over.
O well. On to the other upcoming lines. Can't win them all.Last edited by bald_guy; 05-17-13, 12:37 PM.Comment -
Correct. If Nadal can win this set 6-0 or 6-1 we cash.Comment -
I dont know what everyone was talking about yesterday. I am almost positive the line on Cincinnati opened at -155 give or take a few.. Not that it matters, its cash money now
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Well boys and girls....a funny night for sure. I am going to grab the Pens in Regulation, because that is the only playable line associated with the NHL tonight (even though I do not love it, lol), nothing in the NBA, so our focus is in MLB....we have been hitting nicely lately, but tonight there is really none of our 'bread and butter' plays. I really like the over in the Jays game.....that is probably my highest rated play, but nothing got huge $$$ thrown at it.
Let's enjoy all of these games and squeek out a profit, and get back to being serious tomorrow!
GL
180028263-1 5/17/13 1:16pm $100.00 $100.00 Pending 5/17/13 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 917 Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees Over 8½ +100* (M Buehrle - L must Start H Kuroda - R must Start) 180028263-2 5/17/13 1:16pm $50.00 $52.50 Pending 5/17/13 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 923 Boston Red Sox/Minnesota Twins Over 8½ +105* (C Buchholz - R must Start V Worley - R must Start) 180028263-3 5/17/13 1:16pm $52.50 $50.00 Pending 5/17/13 10:05pm Reduced Baseball 925 Kansas City Royals/Oakland Athletics Over 7 -105* (J Shields - R must Start J Parker - R must Start) 180028223-1 5/17/13 1:15pm $50.00 $90.00 Pending 5/17/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 904 Philadelphia Phillies -1½ +180* <small>vs</small> Cincinnati Reds (T Cingrani - L must Start C Lee - L must Start) 180028223-2 5/17/13 1:15pm $57.50 $50.00 Pending 5/17/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 904 Philadelphia Phillies -115* <small>vs</small> Cincinnati Reds (T Cingrani - L must Start C Lee - L must Start) 180028223-3 5/17/13 1:15pm $50.00 $60.50 Pending 5/17/13 7:30pm MLB Baseball 907 Los Angeles Dodgers +121* <small>vs</small> Atlanta Braves (H Ryu - L must Start P Maholm - L must Start) 180028223-4 5/17/13 1:15pm $119.00 $100.00 Pending 5/17/13 8:15pm MLB Baseball 910 St. Louis Cardinals -1 -119* <small>vs</small> Milwaukee Brewers (W Peralta - R must Start J Garcia - L must Start) 180028223-5 5/17/13 1:15pm $50.00 $51.00 Pending 5/17/13 8:40pm MLB Baseball 912 Colorado Rockies +102* <small>vs</small> San Francisco Giants (M Bumgarner - L must Start J De La Rosa - L must Start) 180028223-6 5/17/13 1:15pm $50.00 $65.00 Pending 5/17/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 917 Toronto Blue Jays +130* <small>vs</small> New York Yankees (M Buehrle - L must Start H Kuroda - R must Start) 180028223-7 5/17/13 1:15pm $124.00 $100.00 Pending 5/17/13 8:05pm MLB Baseball 922 Texas Rangers -124* <small>vs</small> Detroit Tigers (R Porcello - R must Start N Tepesch - R must Start) 180028223-8 5/17/13 1:15pm $141.00 $100.00 Pending 5/17/13 8:10pm MLB Baseball 923 Boston Red Sox -141* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Twins (C Buchholz - R must Start V Worley - R must Start) 180028223-9 5/17/13 1:15pm $110.00 $100.00 Pending 5/17/13 10:05pm MLB Baseball 925 Kansas City Royals -110* <small>vs</small> Oakland Athletics (J Shields - R must Start J Parker - R must Start) 180028223-10 5/17/13 1:15pm $50.00 $52.50 Pending 5/17/13 10:05pm MLB Baseball 927 Chicago White Sox +105* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Angels (C Sale - L must Start C Wilson - L must Start) 180028223-11 5/17/13 1:15pm $135.00 $100.00 Pending 5/17/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 930 Pittsburgh Pirates -1 -135* <small>vs</small> Houston Astros (J Lyles - R must Start J Gomez - R must Start) 180027082-1 5/17/13 12:58pm $119.00 $100.00 Pending 5/17/13 7:35pm NHL Hockey 12 Pittsburgh Penguins (1st 60 min) -½ -119* <small>vs</small> Ottawa Senators (1st 60 min) Comment -
Nadal 3-1. 3 more games Rafa. cmonnnnnComment -
Nadal....such a tease. I thought after Ferrer worked Nadal's service game that he would give it back to him and close it out......but he preferred to serve it out.....we lose by .5 game....oh well, I had written the wager off an hour ago anyway....it was like free rolling.Comment -
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hopping on board, if you dont mind D2D.
big card of baseball you have. Lets get some cash
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Ok....be a little cautious tonight....this is not a card that will go 10-2 or anything....today we are looking to grind out more $ than we give away....so just play today with moderate units....that goes for everyone!! To feel great about any day we need more NHL and NBA....not that MLB is terrible for me....all I am saying is that I am not as confident in tonight as I have been about everything lately.
Cheers, welcome to the thread and GL!!!Comment -
Late addition!! This game goes off in 5 minutes and was originally not enough +$, but the line has kept moving....the cubs have won 10 of 14 from NY, the Cubs are tearing the cover off of the ball, Jackson was great in his last outing for his first win and the Cubs ar`e at home....
I could have had it at +132, but would rather take the run for some insurance at even money in case of a close loss!!!
GL
180034686-1 5/17/13 2:13pm $50.00 $50.00 Pending 5/17/13 2:20pm MLB Baseball 902 Chicago Cubs +1 +100* <small>vs</small> New York Mets (M Harvey - R must Start E Jackson - R must Start) Comment -
i agree with most of your plays. just wanted to hear your thoughts on the phillies play. everytime i bet against cingrani pitching i lose.Comment -
Cingrani has a 2.89 ERA and .96 WHIP including a 7BB/37K ratio. I'm not sure why you would bet against a tough young lefty who most teams haven't seen pitch yet. Lets not forget he has a potent offense on his side as well.Comment -
D2D... Wanted to pick your brain. Been following your post and I think your a great capper with beyond sound plans and methods.... But my question pertains to Wash vs SD tonight. Gio -125 against a rookie who couldn't survive 2 innings in his first career start. @ petco... Gio coming off shut out, bats are Luke warm but Strasburg just iced the padres last night, Nats always win there, there staff owns that lineup, the Bats hit there and Gio is major due being a Cali boy pitching down in sd. I think this is phenomenal value, do you agree? Or can you show me another side to this equation. Thx bro sorry for loading up your thread. ThxComment -
Also if I may ask what you think about AZ. Mia blew there once a week win yesterday and if Cahill has that sinker going, well Miami is in trouble. Not to mention AZ has best road record in MLBComment -
lets cash todayComment
O well.
