D2D's NBA, NHL and MLB Daily wagers.......

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 01:57 PM

So weird.....I have watched well over 60% of the games in the last week go over, and then, in nice weather conditions, on a Saturday afternoon which is +++ run conditions.....NOBODY IS SCORING!! I waited all week to make sure I liked the trend and then picked quite a number of totals (all overs) and thought at WORST I would break even.

Let's hope the bats get loose here boys!

**Potentate** · 05-12-13, 01:58 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Thanks man.....I am not sure about the hardest working, but it is much appreciated. I would wager (ha) that there are a load of people that spend more time looking into trends and historical data then I do....I find that there is a point where people overanalyze data, and that you need to have a nice balance of recent history, trends and more than anything, the psychological side of things to make good decisions.

As I have said many times....we can all talk ourselves onto either side, especially with the more data we read. The key is to see the important things, then make a decision and stick with it.

An another note, I hope everyone got on the ATP again today (wagers were posted last night)....a nice start to a Sunday for us at 4-0, and 7-1 since the Almagro debacle (I will not make that mistake again).

179300271-1	5/12/13 3:43am	$125.00	$100.00	$225.00	Win	5/12/13 10:00am ATP Tennis 4 R.Nadal Games Won -4½ -125* <small>vs</small> S.Wawrinka Games Won
179300271-2	5/12/13 3:43am	$130.00	$100.00	$230.00	Win	5/12/13 8:15am ATP Tennis 119 K.Anderson Games Won -3 -130* <small>vs</small> J.Melzer Games Won
179300271-3	5/12/13 3:43am	$125.00	$100.00	$225.00	Win	5/12/13 7:00am ATP Tennis 123 D.Istomin Games Won +3 -125* <small>vs</small> J.Isner Games Won
179300271-4	5/12/13 3:43am	$52.50	$50.00	$102.50	Win	5/12/13 8:15am ATP Tennis 184 R.Gasquet Games Won -4½ -105* <small>vs</small> S.Querrey Games Won

All of these wins were truly easy and we didn't break a sweat in any of them....

UGH.... I've been waiting and waiting since Almagro for your next big ATP day and I was away for one night and missed it. Great job as usual and congrats to everyone.

But DAMNIT!!! I can't believe I missed it. My BR has been heading the wrong direction for a while.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by Potentate

UGH.... I've been waiting and waiting since Almagro for your next big ATP day and I was away for one night and missed it. Great job as usual and congrats to everyone.

But DAMNIT!!! I can't believe I missed it. My BR has been heading the wrong direction for a while.

That blows.....I was 3-1 yesterday in the ATP as well, and only lost the smallest play.

Welcome back though! Let's get it turned around for you.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 02:49 PM

I would have bet this harder, but I couldn't get it at 198.5 like I wanted. Adding:

179356336-1

5/12/13 3:47pm

$55.00

$50.00

Pending

5/12/13 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9725 San Antonio Spurs/Golden State Warriors Under 196½ -110*

**Bill_Hicks** · 05-12-13, 02:52 PM

Hey, D2D, ever think about having a certain social media account? (rhymes with critter)

It would be awesome for live plays and just an update on whenever you post your plays for the day. Sorry if this has been asked before.

GO JAYS!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 03:27 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

I would have bet this harder, but I couldn't get it at 198.5 like I wanted. Adding:

179356336-1

5/12/13 3:47pm

$55.00

$50.00

Pending

5/12/13 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9725 San Antonio Spurs/Golden State Warriors Under 196½ -110*

Time to live bet and lay off this bet. We have a 4 point window for a middle and I don't mind risking the $5. Both teams are starting to look better and there are a few other things telling me that scoring is going to pick up.....

179363695-1

5/12/13 4:25pm

$55.00

$50.00

Pending

5/12/13 3:30pm Live In-Play Basketball 9725 San Antonio Spurs/Golden State Warriors Over 192 -110*

**Bawth** · 05-12-13, 03:31 PM

Originally posted by Bill_Hicks

Hey, D2D, ever think about having a certain social media account? (rhymes with critter)

It would be awesome for live plays and just an update on whenever you post your plays for the day. Sorry if this has been asked before.

GO JAYS!

Yeah i was thinking the same thing. If you had twitter i would never miss another bet again. Right now im checking this forums at least 15 times a day (lol!)
It be convenient if you tweet every time you post new plays, so this way id get phone a notification and never miss another bet again.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 03:31 PM

Well, I clearly did it too soon....anyone else doing it now can get a MUCH better number (188)....

**SpreadSniper** · 05-12-13, 03:36 PM

Do you only bet @ 5d? If so, I suggest opening a couple other accounts in order to catch those #'s you are after - could've gotten 198.5 easily

**thes0vereign** · 05-12-13, 03:43 PM

Gotta thank you for the 7-team parlay idea. I filled it out yesterday with Memphis and Pittsburgh, so now I'm just waiting on the Bruins to finish off the Leafs.

Speaking of hockey, I was happy to see us on the same plays today. Let's go Caps and let's go Bruins!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by thes0vereign

Gotta thank you for the 7-team parlay idea. I filled it out yesterday with Memphis and Pittsburgh, so now I'm just waiting on the Bruins to finish off the Leafs.

Speaking of hockey, I was happy to see us on the same plays today. Let's go Caps and let's go Bruins!

Congrats dude....as long as the Bruins can close it out of course!!

EDIT: and you are welcome....as everyone knows I RARELY throw in a parlay.....way prefer straight bets, BUT that one.....well, it just had a life of it's own.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by SpreadSniper

Do you only bet @ 5d? If so, I suggest opening a couple other accounts in order to catch those #'s you are after - could've gotten 198.5 easily

For sure. I actually have an account with Pinnacle and on that account I only bet my PODs. I decided to keep that account and it's numbers private because I don't want any book to know who I am (not that 5d can't figure it out.

I had a Bodog account but closed it out 90 days ago....lines were always crap. I will start an account with one more book, you are right, definitely + EV

**bostonphoenix** · 05-12-13, 04:01 PM

I'm damn glad your POD is Boston, I took them today and you have a much better record than I do of late.

Good luck.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by bostonphoenix

I'm damn glad your POD is Boston, I took them today and you have a much better record than I do of late.

Good luck.

The game still scares me.

**SpreadSniper** · 05-12-13, 04:19 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

The game still scares me.

sorry bro, but I hope you take it in the pooper on that one

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by SpreadSniper

sorry bro, but I hope you take it in the pooper on that one

I understand....but my feeling is that this works exactly the same way as the Pens/Isles series. The game will be close, but I have a hard time believing the Bruins will let it get back to Boston.

GL though man....and I mean it.

**bostonphoenix** · 05-12-13, 04:48 PM

Except the Bruins are a "stronger" team than the Isles. I wouldn't be surprised to see 4-2.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 04:57 PM

Warriors at +335.....HMMMM.......

**hopper** · 05-12-13, 05:00 PM

I can't decide it too...

**Potentate** · 05-12-13, 05:03 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Warriors at +335.....HMMMM.......

$25 won't hurt anything....

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 05:13 PM

Well, OT brings my middle back into play on the o/u....and if I had the Spurs as a pick'em I would lay that bet off.....but at -1 I won't put myself in a position if SA wins by 1 to be middled myself.

GL everyone...this should be fun....or something, lol.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 05:21 PM

So much for that....lol. I needed 25 in OT for the middle and on 5D the o/u for OT was 24.5....

Also, clearly the game isn't going well.....I am not going to whine about calls at all, but I am not sure how, in a day and age where they go to the replay monitor all the time late in games, they didn't go to it when Bogut was standing out of bounds. SA gets the ball with 16 seconds left and they win the game 3/4 times without OT.

**bald_guy** · 05-12-13, 06:06 PM

Losing Washington and San Antonio was a bit of a disappointment, BUT should mean we will get the Ducks and Boston, which is even more important as the Ducks is in a parlay and Boston I got 2 times for some reason. I got good feelings now the next 2 non MLB plays will go our way.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 06:11 PM

OK, so at this point we are up $183 for the day after tough losses with the Spurs and Capitals, but it really comes down to tonight......Anaheim and the Bruins are both very important to us as we have Anaheim in the Series, Anaheim in the series in a parlay and Anaheim straight up in another parlay.....then we have the Bruins in a series bet, in a series bet in a parlay and bet straight up as well.....

In other words if these two teams close things out tonight we will have a very nice day....and if they don't....

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 06:20 PM

Also, check in late tonight as I will be posting ATP picks for tomorrow am.....

**Potentate** · 05-12-13, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Also, check in late tonight as I will be posting ATP picks for tomorrow am.....

Thanks for the heads up D2D

**Bill_Hicks** · 05-12-13, 06:38 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Also, check in late tonight as I will be posting ATP picks for tomorrow am.....

Sorry to pester, have an approx. time D2D?

On the east coast here. I see some matches starting at 5 and 6 AM EST.

Thanks again, let's go BRUINS!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-12-13, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by Bill_Hicks

Sorry to pester, have an approx. time D2D?

On the east coast here. I see some matches starting at 5 and 6 AM EST.

Thanks again, let's go BRUINS!

Lol, probably about midnight PST.....so 3am your time. I wish I could do better, but there are a number of factors that keep me from posting them earlier (one of which is 5d not posting whole lines early enough)....I never want my picks (if I post ahead of time) to affect the lines that I am betting....

No doubt, go Bruins!!

**Bill_Hicks** · 05-12-13, 07:27 PM

OK, thanks D2D. Pretty lame 1st period there. Couple big hits from Toronto, not much else.

**Gus Fring** · 05-12-13, 07:51 PM

Originally posted by bostonphoenix

Except the Bruins are a "stronger" team than the Isles. I wouldn't be surprised to see 4-2.

More like a 1-0 final

**bald_guy** · 05-12-13, 08:53 PM

Sadly the Boston game isn't looking too good. :-(. Seems I just can't win for losing.

**Gus Fring** · 05-12-13, 08:57 PM

Bruins

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 05-12-13, 09:09 PM

Edit: I'm drunk

**Overbettor** · 05-12-13, 10:48 PM

Fuk the red wings

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-13-13, 12:10 AM

A rough night for Donut Nation.

Will post results and ATP picks later tonight.

I cannot believe I am going to say this, but the ATP and MLB have been our saviour this last few days.