Look What I Just Got In On

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  • PhillyFlyers
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-27-11
    • 8245

    #1
    Look What I Just Got In On
    NCAA Men's Basketball Championship

    DUKE +500


  • Sportsbetting123
    SBR MVP
    • 03-01-08
    • 1400

    #2
    It is worth a small wager..crazier things have happened
    Comment
    • PhillyFlyers
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-27-11
      • 8245

      #3
      Originally posted by Sportsbetting123
      It is worth a small wager..crazier things have happened
      That's what I figure. Plus, when do you ever see a team as good as Duke get +500 odds?
      Comment
      • Justin3587
        SBR MVP
        • 08-29-12
        • 2566

        #4
        Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
        That's what I figure. Plus, when do you ever see a team as good as Duke get +500 odds?
        Best of luck. To me, Duke plays either really well or absolutely terrible.
        Comment
        • PhillyFlyers
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-27-11
          • 8245

          #5
          Originally posted by Justin3587
          Best of luck. To me, Duke plays either really well or absolutely terrible.
          Fair point but remember, the Tournament is only 2 games per weekend if you make it through and K is the best Tournament coach ever. They should be ready.
          Comment
          • SamDiamond
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-19-12
            • 6107

            #6
            Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
            That's what I figure. Plus, when do you ever see a team as good as Duke get +500 odds?
            It's a good bet but I think there are some just as good.

            Indiana is going off at 4.5-1, or 5-1, and they will be the #1 overall seed.

            Louisville is going off at 7-1 right now. I think they're better than Duke.

            How about Michigan at 10-1?

            And Georgetown is at 12-1.

            I think all of those are the same value as Duke at 5-1.

            It's tough to bet these without a bracket in front of you. If Duke/Gonzaga/Kansas/Indiana are the #1 seeds, Michigan/Michigan State/Georgetown could be a pain in the ass, especially of 2-3 of those teams are in a given region.

            Good luck with your bet.
            Comment
            • MagicDiceFlow
              SBR MVP
              • 01-15-12
              • 4585

              #7
              You're better off taking Duke moneyline in every game in the big tourney and parlaying each win to the next game. You'll get better odds than +500 .........+500 doesnt seem like enough odds imo.

              Good luck though
              Comment
              • PhillyFlyers
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-27-11
                • 8245

                #8
                Originally posted by SamDiamond
                It's a good bet but I think there are some just as good.

                Indiana is going off at 4.5-1, or 5-1, and they will be the #1 overall seed.

                Louisville is going off at 7-1 right now. I think they're better than Duke.

                How about Michigan at 10-1?

                And Georgetown is at 12-1.

                I think all of those are the same value as Duke at 5-1.

                It's tough to bet these without a bracket in front of you. If Duke/Gonzaga/Kansas/Indiana are the #1 seeds, Michigan/Michigan State/Georgetown could be a pain in the ass, especially of 2-3 of those teams are in a given region.

                Good luck with your bet.
                Duke beat them.
                Comment
                • Emily_Haines
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-14-09
                  • 15917

                  #9
                  Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                  You're better off taking Duke moneyline in every game in the big tourney and parlaying each win to the next game. You'll get better odds than +500 .........+500 doesnt seem like enough odds imo.

                  Good luck though
                  Unless your getting at least 50 to 1 all these future bets are rip offs
                  Comment
                  • SamDiamond
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-19-12
                    • 6107

                    #10
                    Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
                    Duke beat them.
                    4 months ago, right? And, the best part about that game, the largest lead for either team was 4 points until the last 30 seconds.

                    So, while Duke won-- I think you can make a case that Louisville is every bit as good.

                    You think Louisville is the same team?

                    Duke lost to Miami, FL--- 7 weeks ago, and I don't think Miami is anywhere near as good as they were playing in January.

                    So the question-- 2 teams, both played to the wire one time in November-- one is going off at 5-1, the other at 7-1, don't ya think the same value is in Louisville that you see in Duke?
                    Comment
                    • mdunlap3
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-18-13
                      • 1847

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Emily_Haines
                      Unless your getting at least 50 to 1 all these future bets are rip offs
                      Tell that to the guy who took the ravens pre-season for 10 bucks and won like $1500 lol
                      Comment
                      • k13
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-16-10
                        • 18104

                        #12
                        Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
                        That's what I figure. Plus, when do you ever see a team as good as Duke get +500 odds?
                        You can't be serious?
                        Comment
                        • MagicDiceFlow
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-15-12
                          • 4585

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Emily_Haines
                          Unless your getting at least 50 to 1 all these future bets are rip offs
                          Most futures bets are sucker bets gladly offered by books imo. You can always can get a better number by betting the playoff game individually.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Originally posted by SamDiamond
                            It's a good bet but I think there are some just as good.

                            Indiana is going off at 4.5-1, or 5-1, and they will be the #1 overall seed.

                            Louisville is going off at 7-1 right now. I think they're better than Duke.

                            How about Michigan at 10-1?

                            And Georgetown is at 12-1.

                            I think all of those are the same value as Duke at 5-1.

                            It's tough to bet these without a bracket in front of you. If Duke/Gonzaga/Kansas/Indiana are the #1 seeds, Michigan/Michigan State/Georgetown could be a pain in the ass, especially of 2-3 of those teams are in a given region.

                            Good luck with your bet.
                            Burke and Co. gagged vs. Ohio U in the first round last year, then gagged with the Big Ten title on the line this year. I'd be more interested in a one- or two-and-done prop re: Michigan than them making a push for the NC.
                            Comment
                            • k13
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-16-10
                              • 18104

                              #15
                              Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                              Most futures bets are sucker bets gladly offered by books imo. You can always can get a better number by betting the playoff game individually.
                              Can you get Miami 200-1 by betting each individual game?

                              Suckers bet futures at the wrong time and on shitty odds.
                              Comment
                              • stikymess
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-19-10
                                • 3288

                                #16
                                Depends on their bracket. Love em or hate em, they make good ratings, so they may get an easy road.
                                Comment
                                • qb1789
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-22-12
                                  • 497

                                  #17
                                  It's all about LVILLE +600. Duke is not physical enough to win the NC this year mark my words.
                                  Comment
                                  • SamDiamond
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-19-12
                                    • 6107

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                    Burke and Co. gagged vs. Ohio U in the first round last year, then gagged with the Big Ten title on the line this year. I'd be more interested in a one- or two-and-done prop re: Michigan than them making a push for the NC.
                                    I don't think Michigan will win it at all, it was going to my point about "value".

                                    Let me ask it this way. Do you think Duke is much better than Michigan? I don't. Duke's soft, and Michigan doesn't play defense very well.

                                    They are basically the same team in different colored uniforms, one going off at +500, the other at +1200.

                                    The OP was excited about percieved "value" in getting Duke +500, I used Michigan as an example of better value.

                                    I think Duke at +500 is an absolute rip off. But the public will hit that number, just watch.
                                    Comment
                                    • GIVEMETHEMONEY
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-13-12
                                      • 8428

                                      #19
                                      Who do you think will win Sam Diamond?

                                      Who is your favorite to win it all and why?

                                      You gave very good valid reasons for the others not to win it.
                                      Comment
                                      • SamDiamond
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-19-12
                                        • 6107

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by GIVEMETHEMONEY
                                        Who is your favorite to win it all and why?

                                        You gave very good valid reasons for the others not to win it.
                                        I love Louisville, and I also love Indiana.

                                        Because their bigs can shoot, and handle the ball, and both teams rebound well.

                                        Indiana is a great FT shooting team, hitting something like 75%, they also lead the Big 10 in FG % (something like 48%), and are second in FG% defense, the lead the Big 10 in 3-pt %, and are in the Top 3 in offensive and defensive rebounding.

                                        What more do I have to say?

                                        I think Indiana is one of those teams that can turn/on, turn/off.

                                        I don't like futures-- for the many reasons pointed out in this thread. But if I were forced to buy one-- Indiana the team, with Louisville 2nd.
                                        Comment
                                        • tto827
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-01-12
                                          • 9078

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by SamDiamond
                                          4 months ago, right? And, the best part about that game, the largest lead for either team was 4 points until the last 30 seconds.

                                          So, while Duke won-- I think you can make a case that Louisville is every bit as good.

                                          You think Louisville is the same team?

                                          Duke lost to Miami, FL--- 7 weeks ago, and I don't think Miami is anywhere near as good as they were playing in January.

                                          So the question-- 2 teams, both played to the wire one time in November-- one is going off at 5-1, the other at 7-1, don't ya think the same value is in Louisville that you see in Duke?
                                          Except Duke's most important player didn't play in Miami.

                                          Duke is still the only team that is undefeated while healthy, and you look at the teams they've played with Kelly, and its crazy they haven't lost.

                                          I don't know how much value there is at 5-1, but they are without a doubt my favorite to win it, with Indiana a close second, I don't think anyone else is really close (maybe Louisville is a bit above the rest of the pack)
                                          Comment
                                          • tto827
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-01-12
                                            • 9078

                                            #22
                                            Kentucky, Minnesota, VCU, Louisville, OSU.....

                                            And now since he has returned Miami and UNC.
                                            Comment
                                            • PhillyFlyers
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-27-11
                                              • 8245

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by SamDiamond
                                              4 months ago, right? And, the best part about that game, the largest lead for either team was 4 points until the last 30 seconds.

                                              So, while Duke won-- I think you can make a case that Louisville is every bit as good.

                                              You think Louisville is the same team?

                                              Duke lost to Miami, FL--- 7 weeks ago, and I don't think Miami is anywhere near as good as they were playing in January.

                                              So the question-- 2 teams, both played to the wire one time in November-- one is going off at 5-1, the other at 7-1, don't ya think the same value is in Louisville that you see in Duke?
                                              Yeah but Duke ain't the same team, either. Ryan Kelly just came back and now Marshall Plumlee is coming off the bench and has worked himself into the rotation.
                                              Comment
                                              • k13
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-16-10
                                                • 18104

                                                #24
                                                Nice Mush already.

                                                Comment
                                                • detroitlionsfan
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-30-12
                                                  • 1895

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
                                                  NCAA Men's Basketball Championship

                                                  DUKE +500


                                                  worst bet ever
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SamDiamond
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-19-12
                                                    • 6107

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
                                                    Yeah but Duke ain't the same team, either. Ryan Kelly just came back and now Marshall Plumlee is coming off the bench and has worked himself into the rotation.
                                                    Even with Ryan Kelly--- Duke just demonstrated how soft they are.

                                                    Maryland won--- from start to finish. In fact, Duke never led. Not for a single second.

                                                    Indiana would bend Duke over Deliverance-Style.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mikeyanks23
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-30-10
                                                      • 4517

                                                      #27
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ThaTopMoron
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 04-30-10
                                                        • 27020

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
                                                        NCAA Men's Basketball Championship

                                                        DUKE +500
                                                        in your dreams... 3 ball don't fall and they suck on D
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Powderguy
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-18-09
                                                          • 6939

                                                          #29
                                                          well price is better now lol
                                                          Comment
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