Packers +5.5 vs Houston...Thoughts

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  • k13
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-16-10
    • 18104

    #1
    Packers +5.5 vs Houston...Thoughts
    Probably good idea to get this line now even if you don't like the play.

    Texans are viewed at the top of perception right now, expected to crush the Jets.
    There is no higher ceiling for them even if they win easily.

    If they look average against the Jets or somehow lose or a big injury happens, line will go down.

    I'm still not 100% sure on this play but grabbed the points already, will wait till game time.
    It's a good/bad spot for the Packers, some things I don't like about it.

    Good game for once.
  • Iwinyourmoney
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-18-07
    • 18368

    #2
    Why would you bet now? What if key players get hurt tonight, or someone gets suspended?

    Stupid if you even consider a bet on this
    Comment
    • BIGDAY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 02-17-10
      • 48245

      #3
      Packers Suck
      Comment
      • p19101
        SBR MVP
        • 11-17-11
        • 1419

        #4
        Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
        Why would you bet now? What if key players get hurt tonight, or someone gets suspended?

        Stupid if you even consider a bet on this
        Did you even read what he typed? He is on GB, his point was that there is no outcome of this game that can worsen his bet.
        Comment
        • Monitor-Tan
          SBR MVP
          • 02-20-11
          • 4460

          #5
          Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
          Why would you bet now? What if key players get hurt tonight, or someone gets suspended?

          Stupid if you even consider a bet on this
          If a key player gets hurt, would that be advantageous to you tobet now since then the packers line would drop?
          Comment
          • Iwinyourmoney
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-18-07
            • 18368

            #6
            Didn't read the whole thread.

            My bad
            Comment
            • k13
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-16-10
              • 18104

              #7
              Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
              Why would you bet now? What if key players get hurt tonight, or someone gets suspended?

              Stupid if you even consider a bet on this
              Sober up Iwin.

              We want injuries/suspensions here.
              Comment
              • ermzzy
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-22-12
                • 863

                #8
                texans will cover, packers still dont have thier best WR jennings in the squad, i can see houston blowing them out pretty bad, look bad how bad they struggled vs colts good god.
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
                  Why would you bet now? What if key players get hurt tonight, or someone gets suspended?

                  Stupid if you even consider a bet on this
                  Comment
                  • hockey216
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-20-08
                    • 4583

                    #10
                    if you think houston will lose get it now. if you think houstin will win big get it later. if houston blows out the jets, this line will go up. the line on jacksonville was 3 last week before the monday night game. after chicago beat dallas it shot up to 6.
                    Comment
                    • Stevedore
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-10-10
                      • 1218

                      #11
                      Houston is only -2.5 on a neutral field? Line is way off IMO, Houston should be favored by at least 7-10 points.
                      Comment
                      • Louisvillekid1
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-17-07
                        • 52143

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ermzzy
                        texans will cover, packers still dont have thier best WR jennings in the squad, i can see houston blowing them out pretty bad, look bad how bad they struggled vs colts good god.
                        This logic is just so far off my man. First the Colts punched them in the mouth in that second half and they are not a bad team. The Packers are only slightly better. Also betting on a team before they have played their game from the previous week is -EV...

                        However good luck with your plays...

                        k13 sharp as always pal
                        Comment
                        • SBR Lou
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-02-07
                          • 37863

                          #13
                          Guys intending to take GB are probably hoping for a Houston blowout tonight.
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            Originally posted by hockey216
                            if you think houston will lose get it now. if you think houstin will win big get it later. if houston blows out the jets, this line will go up. the line on jacksonville was 3 last week before the monday night game. after chicago beat dallas it shot up to 6.
                            I don't see how blowing out the jets would make the line go up
                            Comment
                            • Sunde91
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-26-09
                              • 8325

                              #15
                              I'd see the most valuable situation as hoping Texans blow Jets out and you get a better line and get to fade off the charts perception that crashes down on SNF.

                              It's more likely Texans lose or struggle, but in that case you might only get a useless +5.5 vs a +4.5 at kick. If they lose I guess +3.5
                              Comment
                              • k13
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-16-10
                                • 18104

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Sunde91
                                I'd see the most valuable situation as hoping Texans blow Jets out and you get a better line and get to fade off the charts perception that crashes down on SNF.

                                It's more likely Texans lose or struggle, but in that case you might only get a useless +5.5 vs a +4.5 at kick. If they lose I guess +3.5
                                I'd rather just have a +200 plus moneyline since to me its basically a 50/50 game.
                                Comment
                                • k13
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-16-10
                                  • 18104

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Stevedore
                                  Houston is only -2.5 on a neutral field? Line is way off IMO, Houston should be favored by at least 7-10 points.
                                  Funny how Packers fans lost their cockiness...lol

                                  This line was -1.5 Packers not too long ago. 7 point swing.
                                  Comment
                                  • NYSportsGuy210
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-07-09
                                    • 11347

                                    #18
                                    Turnover can swing this game either way and deciding the outcome of this spread. I would stay way or play the OVER.
                                    Comment
                                    • k13
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-16-10
                                      • 18104

                                      #19
                                      Lines taken off. I saw at least one decent injury.

                                      Do you guys expect much change?
                                      Comment
                                      • slacker00
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-06-05
                                        • 12262

                                        #20
                                        I wouldn't touch GB unless I at least knew Raji was good to go against that fierce HOU running attack.
                                        Comment
                                        • t-wizzle
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-18-09
                                          • 38099

                                          #21
                                          Texans are the superior team. They should win and cover but don't like the short week.
                                          Comment
                                          • Vegas39
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 09-22-11
                                            • 30686

                                            #22
                                            Benson out hurts Packs running game ( what little they have )
                                            Comment
                                            • quantifyTHAT
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 09-27-12
                                              • 98

                                              #23
                                              GB wins this game straight up... ML play imo
                                              Comment
                                              • Titanup28
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 10-02-12
                                                • 438

                                                #24
                                                Pack 0-3 vs the spread last 3 weeks, I'm taking packers with the points and ML
                                                Comment
                                                • beermankirk
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-17-09
                                                  • 1512

                                                  #25
                                                  Really like the Texans , the fact Bennson is done helps...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • quantifyTHAT
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 09-27-12
                                                    • 98

                                                    #26
                                                    People are forgetting GB is a season removed from being a 15-1 team. The Packers can't hang with the Texans? Since when? Clay Matthews can't rattle Schaub? GB can't win on the road? Anybody taking Houston is leaving value on the table.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • NYSportsGuy210
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                      • 11347

                                                      #27
                                                      OVER or no play. Better games to choose from.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Ernie Mccracken
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-11-11
                                                        • 1986

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by quantifyTHAT
                                                        People are forgetting GB is a season removed from being a 15-1 team. The Packers can't hang with the Texans? Since when?
                                                        Since they traded in their offensive line for some cardboard cutouts. What a difference.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ronzer
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-31-10
                                                          • 1580

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                          OVER or no play. Better games to choose from.
                                                          i agree
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SmittyZ28
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-04-12
                                                            • 1469

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                            OVER or no play. Better games to choose from.
                                                            Whats the over? Anything under 52 it would be a solid play, maybe GB ML/over parlay for a small play too
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Vegas39
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-22-11
                                                              • 30686

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                                                              Whats the over? Anything under 52 it would be a solid play, maybe GB ML/over parlay for a small play too

                                                              Looks like 47 to open
                                                              Comment
                                                              • rm18
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 09-20-05
                                                                • 22291

                                                                #32
                                                                GB the better team but most of their good players are hurt
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SmittyZ28
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-04-12
                                                                  • 1469

                                                                  #33
                                                                  47 looks good to me, will prob grab that as soon as its open. I REALLY like the Over 44 on Giants/9ers next week, I know SF has a tough D but they will score on the weak NY secondary. Cannot see Manning not keeping this close which means he will have to score to keep up. Both teams have been scoring a TON of points.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • A4K
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-08-12
                                                                    • 5243

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Current line as of 10:30 PST, is Texans -5 @ 5Dimes. I can see this moving to -6.5 by game day. Might bite at 5 and hope it moves upwards in hopes of a middle.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shocka1212
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-06-12
                                                                      • 16788

                                                                      #35
                                                                      call me biased toward my squad (NY FOOTBALL GIANTS) but i dont see the packers winning this game... im hoping that line drops a little more so i can take the texans to cover. GB's Defense is not all its cracked up to be.. their only chance is to get some pressure but the Texans O-Line should be able to contain and chip Clay Matthews who sometimes looks like the only player that is aware that he plays Defense. On the other side.. JJ Watt is the defensive version of Vernon Davis.. an absolute beast. Packers are suspect against teams that can generate a decent pass rush (Seahawks, Giants, TEXANS, Lions) and this disrupts their timing on offense. this is my reasoning as to why i see a high scoring, but double digit win.. Packers barely got by the Saints who cant stop a nosebleed. Texans -5.5 (wait till sunday to see if that line drops... wont go up)
                                                                      Comment
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