That is a 10* play OVER Buffalo-Miami lined at 45 points.
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Ok, here we go for the Sunday card.
20* Detroit + 3 -105 over Green Bay
10* Oakland using the MONEY LINE ONLY - The simulator shows a high probability that Oakland will lose this game by four or fewer points and has an excellent shot an upset bid. The sim shows that Oakland will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games, the Saints are 4-11 ATS the past three seasons and 18-83 ATS when their defense has allowed 28 or more points. Oakland is a rock solid 9-2 ATS the past three seasons and 57-10 ATS since 1992 when they have scored 28 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a remarkable 23-5 ATS mark for 82% winners since 1983. This 30-year system system has stood the test of time and supports the grading of the sim. It is not a lone reason we are making any play. Play on home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two poor rushing teams averaging between 70-95 RYPG and after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games. I rarely use the money line as an exclusive bet on any game and prefer to always use a form of combination bet with the greatest amount risked being on the line and the smaller amount using the money line. In this case I am calling for the upset win by the Raiders and will play it as a money line play only.Comment -
5* Washington Redskins - 3 1/2 +100 over Philadelphia
20* OVER Bengals-Kansas City 43 -110
5* graded play on the Jacksonville Jaguars + 16 -110 as they take on the Houston Texans set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that JAX will lose this game by 14 or fewer points. The best against the worst and I am backing the worst. Stands to reason given the public is all over the Texans in this apparent blowout situation. The most important item that the betting public is overlooking is that Houston is on a very short week with their Week 12 matchup set to take place against a much greater opponent in Detroit Thanksgiving Day. What I anticipate will happen in this game, is that workhorse running back Arian Foster will see far less touches than his 25 carries per game average. This will be to keep him fresh for the Lions game. Justin Forsett will see far more action in the Houston backfield in this game. Look for the Jags, who are coming off a long week of rest after their loss to the Colts last Thursday to open up the offense featuring the no-huddle attack. Gabbert makes his best decisions and reads in the faster paced style of play calling and this will keep J.J. Watts and the Texans pressure out of Gabbert’s line of vision. I think the Texans win the game, but JAX will keep it within 10 or fewer points.Comment -
I will be back at 3:30 PM ET for the later games. BOL.Comment -
I have watched this thread for over a year now and I can say this is a gamblers nightmare trying to go with your picks.. You have cost everybody who has followed you alot of money..I know its my own decision to follow or not follow. I would just like you to make all your picks 20* so i can go against them and finally redeem some of my money.. Thanks in advanceComment -
If you followed him last year you should know he's not a winning handicapper, no point in complaining that his picks aren't hitting.Comment -
I do understand that but it wasnt 1/2 as bad as it is this year..Makes me chuckle watching all these bigger *picks that continue to lose..Maybe we are supposed to do the opposite of what he posts hell, then we would be richComment -
Boys, I can tell you this, John has made me money the last couple years. It's true this year is down but, I appreciate his insight on games and I Always look at it. And sometimes I don't roll with John but I can tell you I've been bailed out on some holes by looking at his insight. Thanks John!, and if you don't want to follow a pick, Don't! Use your own judgement and when you agree whith John's insight use it as a tool. All I know is sometimes when I have agreed with his opinion I have used it to come back on a big note. I guess you should just leave the thread or appreciate John's work and insight because sometimes it can make you alot of money! It's free,! and I can tell you that if you use your own opinion and research it is a good tool! Again, John I use your opinion and appreciate you time. I'm dissapointed at the people that all they want to do is come on this site and whine about picks. Maybe they should start there own thread, but again, I wouldn't be looking at that... John we still have some good footall left, Please keep up your hard work, Alot of us use it as a Tool!!!! Thanks Again!Comment -
This Week (Pending MNF)
10* Miami/Buffalo OVER 45 LOSS
20* Detroit +3 (-105) LOSS
10* Oakland ML (+210) LOSS
5* Washington -3.5 (+100) WIN
20* Cinn/KC OVER 43 LOSS
5* Jacksonville +16 WIN
Week 11: 2-4 -52 units
Total: 34-45-1 -120.35 unitsComment -
Not winning last year? wow, you must have me confused with someone else. Yes, this year has been a struggle on the thread, but my private client plays are hitting big. in fact they went 7-1 ATS since Friday in All Sports. Many of the posters that talk proudly about my service are quite familiar with that end of my business. Sorry, but i will challenge anyone to a head-to-head contest over the remainder of the NFL season and will go head-to head in the bowl games (12 bowl picks total) what do you think? any takers?
It is easy to cast a finger at a struggling soul - like Philadelphia fans are doing to Andy Ried. Is it truly his fault? or is it perhaps the owner Jeffrey Lurie? or is it that the team put together is a bunch of selfish - do it for me and my next contract- players. But until you walk in that man's shoes - or mine for that matter - try not to judge lest you be judged yourself.Comment -
10* OVER 34 1/2
These are still two quality quarterbacks and also did you notice that NE had two interception returns for TD's yesterday. There is so much more to the game of football, then simply betting the UNDER because of two backup quarterbacks. Pretty good WR and RB on both teams .Comment -
Do you like chicago or sf also, or just the total?Comment -
10* on over 34.5! Great call JR im with your on this, back up QBs or not they are NFL QBs can score on any given day!!! Also defense can scores as well if they happen to throw a couples of "Pick 6s" loll all in on the over!!!Comment -
I dont think theres going to be any pick 6's at all, especially not from san frans back up qb.Comment -
Sorry, in a hurry I meant " Over 34". Don't see this opportunity too often... I'm IN....Comment -
hey john - how do we become your private clients? I followed your thread diligently last year and did not finish positive units after vig. I would like to know how to get your winning plays.Comment -
Week 11:
10* Miami/Buffalo OVER 45 LOSS
20* Detroit +3 (-105) LOSS
10* Oakland ML (+210) LOSS
5* Washington -3.5 (+100) WIN
20* Cinn/KC OVER 43 LOSS
5* Jacksonville +16 WIN
10* Chicago/SF Over 34.5 WIN
Week 11: 3-4 -44 units
Season:
20* 3-6 -71 units
10* 19-19-1 -16.80 units
5* 13-12 - 0.25 units
3* 0-8 -24.30 units
Total: 35-45-1 -112.35 unitsComment -
NFL 10* Patriots -7 -110
Head Coach Ryan will certainly throw the offensive playbook at the Patriots and I do believe he will insert Tebow far more often in the Wild Cat to try and exploit favorable matchups. Problem is that this is a very short week and there just is not enough time to perfect the scheme that may work. So, Ryan will look to be far more creative on offense, but that is just not going to work against the Patriots defense. In addition, the Jets must get running back Greene off to a strong start. By establishing the run even modestly, Sanchez can then use play action to gain extra time to throw out of the pocket where he has always been his best. His TE Keller will be featured too as a ball control ‘move the chains’ type of safety valve. The Patriots will give that underneath pass all day knowing their job is not to give up the big play and force the Jets to work methodically down the field to get points on the board. The Patriots know they can win this game simply by not allowing big plays on defense and moving the ball down the field with a steady dose of RB Ridley and quick pass completions to Welker.Comment -
I'm going with Detroit/Texans Under 51, really like this play I think texans will try and limit their defensive mistakes from last week, and after coming off a huge offensive game then a short week this one will land in the high 40s by the end. Like Dallas -3 for some strange reason but not sure if I can pull the trigger on the completely undependable cowgirls even though they are my team. Kind of like the over 48 in cowboys game, and thoughts on this one JR?Comment -
10* graded play on the Oakland Raiders as they take on the Cincinnati Bengals set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Oakland will lose this game by fewer than 8 points. Oakland has had another disappointing season, but they have the opportunity to get a win against a foe that with a 5-5 record has all the pressure of the NFL playoff contention riding hard on their shoulders. The Bengals defense is not that strong of a unit ranking 25th in opponent red zone TD percentage, 25th allowing 4.4 rushing yards per carry, and 29th facing 67% passing plays by opponents. No doubt, Palmer and the offense will look to connect on several deep vertical routes to either Denarius Moore or Darrius Heyward-Bey. Bengals have been scorched in past games with blown coverages. If the Bengals choose to guard against giving up the big play, then the Raiders will be able to establish the running game. Palmer, then will have the luxury of reading safety position on the field pre-snap and then use play action to set up those vertical routes where he knows will be only man coverage. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 ATS mark for 82% winners since 2006. Play on road teams after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games with the game taking place in weeks 10 through 13. Take the Raiders.Comment -
10* graded play on the Pittsburgh Steelers as they take on the Cleveland Browns set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The best news for the Steelers this week is that they have a short drive on the turnpike to play the Browns. The Steelers are beat up across the board, no doubt, but it is being exaggerated and the public sentiment is giving far too much credit to the injury woes. The Steelers retained Dennis Dixon as the backup for the ‘old man’ Charlie Batch. I believe that Batch will do a great job running the offense led by the power running game setting up easy to read and execute play action pass plays. Moreover, Batch is 16-1 SU when facing the Browns in his career. Despite, the injuries, HC Tomlin and his staff make the necessary adjustments on both sides of the ball after a poor game. Steelers are a perfect 8-0 ATS mark after scoring 14 or fewer points and facing an opponent off a SU loss and are 10-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. The simulator shows a high probability that the Steelers will win this game by three or more points. Steelers are also a rock solid 32-17 ATS when facing struggling passing defenses allowing 235 or more passing yards per game since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-3 ATS mark for 90% winners since 1983. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having lost 8 or more out of their last 10 games with the game taking place in weeks 10 through 13. Take the Steelers.Comment -
10* Oakland +9 -110
10* Pittsburgh -2 -110
10* UNDER TB-Atlanta 52 1/2 -110
20* New York Giants - 2 1/2 -110
BOL to everyone and hope you had a great Thanksgiving weekend.Comment -
3* amount wagering Oakland +315 and KC +425 using the Money Lines. This will payout 20.78 units per one unit wagered. So, this 3* amount will pay off 62.34 units. Long shot, of course, but it is a great opportunity and once you look at some of the matchups, not that far fetched. I would not take Denver as my Eliminator team today.Comment -
Love the Pitt analysis John. Best of luck today pal.
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Naaaiiiice play on NY!Comment -
Anyone on the under for tonight's game?Comment
