Thanks, guys. Congrats on yet another profitable night.
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#807
Originally posted by Donkwin47
NCAAF Thursday, September 22nd:
DONK 3* Cincinnati TT Over 33.5 WIN
2* CIN/NCSU Over 60 (-105) LOSS
1.5* Cincinnati 1H TT Over 17 (-115) WIN
1* CIN/NCSU 1H Over 30 (-118) WIN
3-1 +$340. Well, I was right about the track meet for Cincy and they put up 44, but we missed the sweep by a field goal.. Oh well. Probably passing tonight, back at it on Saturday, GL to all.
NFL Preseason: 35-14 +$3,253
(Not included in Overall, No DONK Plays)
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#809
NFL Sunday, September 25th:
DONK 4* Cardinals -3 (-129)
Comment
miguelj
SBR Hustler
02-22-11
52
#810
any thought on friday game? byu or cfu or o/u
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#811
Originally posted by miguelj
any thought on friday game? byu or cfu or o/u
Not touching it. GL.
Comment
Mukatsuku
SBR Rookie
07-22-10
4
#812
Re: Cardinals, though I couldn't of course take the hawks, what concerns me is that now Seahawks home (former Qwest field BIG advantage historically), Syndey Rice back, AND I THINK they'll let Tavaris RUN, which they haven't the last few weeks. AZ defense pretty bad too. Like the under better I THINK....
thanks
ALSO, Seahawks defense not bag AND looks like Beanie may be out, at least hampered with hammy
Comment
Blackroc78
SBR MVP
08-15-11
1189
#813
Donkwin47 You are the man!
Comment
Blackroc78
SBR MVP
08-15-11
1189
#814
Got a good feeling about this weekend! So ******* pumped!
Comment
TMoney33
SBR Sharp
08-29-10
388
#815
Can't wait for Sunday. I'm all about the ARI pick. GL on your plays.
Comment
sporty1
SBR Hustler
11-25-10
78
#816
Originally posted by Donkwin47
NFL Sunday, September 25th:
DONK 4* Cardinals -3 (-129)
Hey bro .. I take a look at your plays weekly , much respect !!!
I'm not a big trend player and I'm sure there is a big trend on every game in the NFL if you dig a bit ..
Favorites of less than 7 points , with rest of a minimum 6 days are 0-18 ATS if they had a bad defense (allowing 430 yards or more per game) and scored less than 36 points in their last game . They are 4-14 SU with all 4 wins being by 3 points . so when they win it's by 3 points and when they lose it cab be by as many as 28 .
Really hard for me to back Seattle here , because of how bad they've looked but that's the Trend .. Seattle + 3 1/2 ...
I'm still not sure if I'm playing the Hawks !! Good Luck !!!
Comment
HVACMAN29710
SBR Rookie
08-30-11
33
#817
Gotta trust Donk..... Im all in
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#818
NCAAF Saturday, September 22nd:
DONK 3* 5-Team ML Parlay: Miami Florida, SMU, Florida, Oklahoma, Mississippi State (-159)
1.5* Oregon 1H TT Over 21 (-120)
1.5* SDSU TT Over 23.5
1.5* Georgia Tech -6.5
1.5* MTSU/Troy Over 64 (-102)
1* Georgia Tech TT Over 32.5
1* Miami Florida -12.5 (107)
1* 2-Team ML Parlay: Georgia Tech, Miami Florida (-150)
Keeping the card small today and passing a lot of other games I may otherwise be playing. This is because today is the biggest sports betting day of my life, and I will be floating over 100* on UFC fights tonight. (I have what would be the equivalent to at least 3 DONK 10* plays going, and I have already moved lines by maxing them out, literally..) I will be back on focus tomorrow for NFL, so see ya then and GL, guys!
Comment
JustCover
SBR High Roller
11-14-09
126
#819
Will you be posting your UFC plays? I would be intetested.
Comment
sleezy
SBR Rookie
09-09-10
11
#820
Donk are you going to post the ufc plays?
Comment
BookieOweMe
SBR MVP
05-01-10
2106
#821
where can you find the UFC plays?
Comment
HKT
SBR High Roller
05-11-11
111
#822
Break with those UFC plays bro!
Comment
oscar4122
SBR High Roller
07-17-09
227
#823
Keep it up!
Comment
aussieH
SBR MVP
02-04-11
1188
#824
Cannot see that he has posted UFC anywhere else.
Comment
solecrazy
SBR Wise Guy
09-21-10
570
#825
Miami florida needs to step it up!
Comment
esbenp
SBR Rookie
09-14-11
12
#826
Originally posted by solecrazy
Miami florida needs to step it up!
Word! Good start on second half though!
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#827
Okay, here's the deal with the UFC picks.. One of my best friends who is my age and who I have been betting on sports with since we were 12 years old is now a professional poker player who lives in Las Vegas. He is my source for MMA. In my opinion, he is a legitimate MMA/Boxing sharp and I value his picks more than any and I play them much larger than I play my own picks. I have made a killing off his picks, recently suffering a loss on Luiz Cane a couple weeks ago which was literally our first loss on a big play since last spring..
I haven't been posting the plays here since there seems to be a very limited interest in MMA/Boxing around here, but my brother started a thread with some of the picks in the MMA forum (He is Jcubs55).. The record for the plays with how he rated them is (15-6 +20.18 Units) but he hasn't been on all the plays and IMO hasn't properly rated them.. (Had 2 units on a play I had 2 dimes/20 units on..) Anyways, today is the biggest card of all time for us, and I'm unloading on 3 plays along with my buddy.. The smallest play I have is to win 10 units.. I'm tossing around dimes tonight, you don't even wanna know what my buddy is throwing over in Vegas.. I will post the plays and how I'm personally playing them in a little bit.. Just know that close to my effective online bankroll will be going on the top play, and if the other 2 plays win, they will roll over onto that play as well.
Comment
Blackroc78
SBR MVP
08-15-11
1189
#828
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#829
Just got robbed with Miami.. 1st and goal from the 2.. Horrible play calling and exectution, they scored on 4th down, but the play is under review and I already turned it off because I know his knee was down, they're about to overturn it, that will rip 10+ units out of my hands, and that's really 15-20 units because that would have all been on the UFC fights. Way to ruin a f*cking day.
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#830
NFL Sunday, September 25th:
DONK 5* 3-Team ML Parlay: Eagles ML, Jon Jones (UFC), Ben Rothwell (UFC) (-120)
DONK 4* Cardinals -3 (-129)
Comment
Scully
SBR MVP
09-21-06
1276
#831
Just know that close to my effective online bankroll will be going on the top play, and if the other 2 plays win, they will roll over onto that play as well.
Hi Donkwin. I don't mean to come across rude but can you explain what you mean by your comment above as I don't understand exactly what you mean?
Comment
BMaddz
SBR Sharp
12-10-10
449
#832
not as bad as me i had miami -2.5 to cash a teaser and ontop of tht i had the over in cal/washington which was also 1st n goal from the 2 nd cal didnt score..worst luck haha
Comment
Scully
SBR MVP
09-21-06
1276
#833
Either way bol with your plays tonight Donkwin.
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#834
As I said, this is our biggest card ever. Try not to overlooks this, as we usually play to win 2-5 units.. (Last play was last Saturday.. Mayweather by TKO/KO/DQ +214, risking ~2.5 to win 5).. Here is what is on tap for tonight. 3 plays:
1) Tim Boetsch -152. I risked 15.2 units to win 10. This is a huge play, but the smallest of the night. The line has since moved to the -180 range.. Still a play.
2) Ben Rothwell. I bet the maximum on 5dimes last night on the prop for Rothwell inside the distance at -175.. I waited for them to reset my limit/move the line, and they did so, posting -195.. I then bet the max on that.. They then moved the line to -245, so I waited.. I woke up this morning and it was back to -185, so I bet the maximum again on that, and they moevd it back to -200. Anything under -200 has good value. The rest of my bet will be on the straight ML/in parlays. To win AT LEAST 10 units, will add on if/when Boetsch wins.
3) Jon "Bones" Jones. Plain and simple here. Jon "Bones" Jones is the best fighter of all time in any weight class. Few realize it right now, but many will soon enough. Any time he fights, it's a 10+ unit play no matter what the line is. This is the biggest play. If the first 2 win, they're both going on Jones. Playing at least 5-6 dimes (50-60 units) on the ML, have him in parlays, everything liquid is going down on JBJ. The line has climbed from -340 to -600 in some spots, so I'm waiting til very close to fight time to fully get down because I'm hoping recreational bettors will come and bet Rampage hoping for that "fighter's chance" with the mentality that "it only takes 1 swing for it to be all over and we cash a huge dog!".. Not gonna happen. GL.
Trying to keep it simple.. You will regret missing this card. When you see the results over the long haul, you're going to look back at this 1st post and be like "Damn! I wish I knew how strong those plays really were, when will there be another card like that!?" It won't be for a while. GL, guys.
Comment
painter10
SBR Sharp
12-30-09
457
#835
big favorites wow!!!!
Comment
TPA
SBR High Roller
08-19-11
177
#836
you think parlay the the three to cut the juice???? is at +140 for the three
Comment
Scully
SBR MVP
09-21-06
1276
#837
Ok what do you mean by keep it simple? The odds on these fighters, including the prop on Rothwell, are very high.
Comment
Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#838
Originally posted by TPA
you think parlay the the three to cut the juice???? is at +140 for the three
Yes, I also have a parlay with those 3 and Nate Diaz that pays higher than 2-1..
Comment
Nine Dollars
SBR Rookie
09-17-11
9
#839
Originally posted by Donkwin47
As I said, this is our biggest card ever. Try not to overlooks this, as we usually play to win 2-5 units.. (Last play was last Saturday.. Mayweather by TKO/KO/DQ +214, risking ~2.5 to win 5).. Here is what is on tap for tonight. 3 plays:
1) Tim Boetsch -152. I risked 15.2 units to win 10. This is a huge play, but the smallest of the night. The line has since moved to the -180 range.. Still a play.
2) Ben Rothwell. I bet the maximum on 5dimes last night on the prop for Rothwell inside the distance at -175.. I waited for them to reset my limit/move the line, and they did so, posting -195.. I then bet the max on that.. They then moved the line to -245, so I waited.. I woke up this morning and it was back to -185, so I bet the maximum again on that, and they moevd it back to -200. Anything under -200 has good value. The rest of my bet will be on the straight ML/in parlays. To win AT LEAST 10 units, will add on if/when Boetsch wins.
3) Jon "Bones" Jones. Plain and simple here. Jon "Bones" Jones is the best fighter of all time in any weight class. Few realize it right now, but many will soon enough. Any time he fights, it's a 10+ unit play no matter what the line is. This is the biggest play. If the first 2 win, they're both going on Jones. Playing at least 5-6 dimes (50-60 units) on the ML, have him in parlays, everything liquid is going down on JBJ. The line has climbed from -340 to -600 in some spots, so I'm waiting til very close to fight time to fully get down because I'm hoping recreational bettors will come and bet Rampage hoping for that "fighter's chance" with the mentality that "it only takes 1 swing for it to be all over and we cash a huge dog!".. Not gonna happen. GL.
Trying to keep it simple.. You will regret missing this card. When you see the results over the long haul, you're going to look back at this 1st post and be like "Damn! I wish I knew how strong those plays really were, when will there be another card like that!?" It won't be for a while. GL, guys.
Thanks Donk...I really respect and appreciate your insight.