***Donkwin47's 2011 FOOTBALL Season Thread***

[Donkwin47]

ML play now 2.35* at +400.

[fataliz]

rams lack of a rungame is disturbing.... making the aerial attack tough for them... hope te defence can at least keep them in the game...

[civdog]

Giants are sh!te, Rams are just sh!tter!!!!

[Donkwin47]

NFL Monday, September 19th:

DONK 3* Rams 2H ML -130 WIN
2.35* Rams ML +400 LOSS
2.5* Rams +6.5 (-105)/+7 (-104) LOSS
1* Rams +14.5 (-280) WIN
1* 2-Team, 6-pt TW Teaser: Rams +14, NYG/STL Under 50 (-105) WIN
1* Giants TT Under 27.5 (-138) LOSS
1* Giants 2H TT Under 10.5 (+110) WIN

4-3 -$24.50.

Virtually a breakeven night.. Another game where almost everything that could have gone wrong... Did. Frustrating as hell to watch, but virtually breaking even on a game that went that wrong is something I can "live with", I guess.. Was so close to playing the Giants TT at Under 28 but didn't want to add on a ton of vig for just a push that would require exactly 4 scores all being touchdowns (just my luck that we see the muffed punt GIFT TD, the defensive TD on the lateral confusion, and the freak triple bobble fluke TD on a long drive right before half that was handed away with penalties ).. Sigh. This is what we sign up for..

[Donkwin47]

4 Props I was close to playing (instead of the game wagers, just passing those) were Eli Manning Under 19.5 completions, Sam Bradford Over 20.5 completions, Ahmad Bradshaw Under 76.5 yards rushing, and Brandon Jacobs Under 55.5 yards rushing. Eli Had 18 completions, Bradford 22.. Bradshaw had 59 yards, Jacobs 60.. Good for the 4-0 sweep. Not really a big props player, though, and I realize most people probably would not have been able to tail. Kinda sucks how this night turned out, I actually really liked the plays I had, but oh well. On to next week.

[goldengreek]

1* Rams +14.5 (-280)

wow

[Donkwin47]

1* Rams +14.5 (-280)

wow

Winner...

[Dave88]

Well I only had 1 bet on the game, on the over 44.5. :

[SageModeYi]

Rough rough weekend. Time to just brush it off and move on to the next week! Lets get it next week!

[TMoney33]

I didn't have the exact same plays, but I was on the under and STL in a combination of plays. My biggest being a teaser on STL+14/u51. It was the only one I cashed, but it got me to almost even on the night. What a horrible game. STL definitely had the opportunity to win that one straight up.

I'm looking forward to your college plays Donk. I have never gotten into NCAAF, so I have no ideas on my own plays. I will try tailing you this week. GL

[Donkwin47]

Rough rough weekend. Time to just brush it off and move on to the next week! Lets get it next week!

With respect, WTF are you talking about? We netted +15* on NCAAF and NFL, despite the horrid beats on Sunday and Monday night (Coulda been 30*..,) Regardless, GL next week..

[esbenp]

With respect, WTF are you talking about? We netted +15* on NCAAF and NFL, despite the horrid beats on Sunday and Monday night (Coulda been 30*..,) Regardless, GL next week..

Exactly, despite some ridiculous games, that should have payed out, you still managed to gain enormous plus

Can't wait till next week!

[roymunson]

Donkwin, you are solid! I am not from USA so I can not understand why people use so much negative energy. You have many people who believe in your work.

[supaflix]

Donk,

Appreciate the picks. Thanks for all your hard work.

[bodyman]

Next week will be better

[House]

That was ugly.
The Rame should've put 31 up last night,to many times in the redzone just to come away with 3...and why did it look like Williams, didn't know what the hell was going on when he dropped a backwords pass that also gave up 7 ? Even on the sidelines the coach was explaining to him what happend and he still looked miffed ... How many years has he been playing Football How many dropped passes,that kid from Hawaii stinks ,muffed a punt that led to 7 , and dropped 3 passes on 3rd that would've kept the drives alive ? how many Giants 3 and whatever's did the Rams, HELP the Giants keep the drive going with stupid penalties ? Even though the Rams lost the way they did last night,who would you take if they played again ? Just curious.... if you would even bet that game again. IMO this game should of been 31-21 Rams in NY ....

[solecrazy]

Thanks for the plays Donk! Although we had several bad beats still win a good amount of units. Youre a great asset to this forum

[surffreak]

it was a weird week

[Donkwin47]

Season Records


NCAAF YTD: 53-28 +$3,592
DONK Plays: 7-1+$1,840

NFL YTD: 27-19-1 +$1,199.50
DONK PLAYS: 7-4-1 +$512

OVERALL YTD: 76-44-1+$4,791.50
DONK OVERALL: 14-5-1 +$2,352


NFL Preseason: 35-14 +$3,253
(Not included in Overall, No DONK Plays)

[Blackroc78]

Whew! im pumped! Can't wait for football again! Let's do THIS!!!

[NYSackExchange]

any play on the NC State/Cincy game tomorrow?

[NostraDanUS]

NCState will win the game.

[Brutus84]

Cincy -7.5, ML, anyway you want to play it. NC STATE is horrible.

[Nine Dollars]

I honestly don't understand how you can believe this...I'm playing Cincy -7.5 and Over 60.5...if you know or have seen something from NC State that the rest of us haven't please share.

[Donkwin47]

No worries, guys.. I'm coming out firing tomorrow night. You'll have your Thursday action. Just waiting for all the lines to be posted. Really liking tomorrow night's game. See ya soon and GL.

[remypom]

Yea donk!! U do ur thing dude, Lets get em big this weekend!!!

[Jayman_AUS]

Hi Donk (and fellow followers). I am new to the forums but just wanted to say that I have been tailing u for about 2 weeks now and am super impressed with your capping to date. Had to pass on my thanks for your willingness to post your plays for free! I was previously brain-washed into believing u had to pay to get so called "quality" picks but I have now seen the light. Keep up the great work Donk - its much appreciated. And dont let the very rare haters get u down - someone always has to put there 2 cents in. Tailing u from downunder and looking forward to smashing the books some more!

[Ryan138]

Hopping for a tt over out of you for the nite game, that's what I'm waiting on

[Donkwin47]

Hopping for a tt over out of you for the nite game, that's what I'm waiting on

It's your lucky day!

[Donkwin47]

Back at it.. Coming out firing:

NCAAF Thursday, September 22nd:

DONK 3* Cincinnati TT Over 33.5
2* CIN/NCSU Over 60 (-105)
1.5* Cincinnati 1H TT Over 17 (-115)


This could be a track meet for Cincinnati, they could easily drop 40, should be fun to watch.. Also wouldn't surprise me if these teams went through phases of trading TDs.. Points, baby! BOL to all.

[Donkwin47]

Add:

1* CIN/NCSU 1H Over 30 (-118)

Should be it for tonight. GL.

[miguelj]

thanks donkwin lm with you on this one.keep up the good work as always.

[Jay Harry]

Thanks for the picks Donk. Does anyone on here use bet365 and know how to wager on a single teams total?? I can only find the combined teams totals.

[Quickbuck?]

Donk your plays must influence the lines. All of the totals are up a half a point to a point.

[Donkwin47]

Donk your plays must influence the lines. All of the totals are up a half a point to a point.

Haha, yeah I see that the Cincy TT is now 34.5, the first half TT is 17.5, and the game total is 60.5.. I don't think I move lines, but it is common for lines to move in my favor.. Usually that's just a sign of being on the right side and making good bets that beat the movement.

There are many cappers who believe that the ONLY thing that matters in sports betting is beating line movement and getting a better price than the closing line, so it's a nice feeling to have that be a common occurance.

BOL!