Betterbizness' 2014 CFL Thoughts

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  • BetterBizness
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-20-06
    • 5737

    #1856
    Week 1 = +2.8x

    To bad that Esks under did me in.. oh well.. Up for the week
    Comment
    • BetterBizness
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-20-06
      • 5737

      #1857
      Winnipeg @ Montreal -7 O/U 52 - TSN (Can), ESPN2 (US)

      Head 2 Head 2012 - Tied 2-2
      Win 30 @ Mon 41 (Wk2)
      Mon 36 @ Win 26 (Wk6)
      Win 27 @ Mon 22 (Wk15)
      Mon 11 @ Win 19 (Wk19)

      Head to Head 2013 - Mon 1-0
      Mon 38 @ Win 33

      Win 2013 Schedule
      Mon 38@Win 33 O52

      Mon 2013 Schedule
      Mon 38@Win 33 O52

      BB Analysis

      Now 7 points? Is this a gift or a curse?

      Last week Montreal was completely in control of the game until the 20-1 run in the 3rd quarter by Winnipeg. It was appropriately answer by the 14-0 run in the 4th by Montreal in an exciting finish.

      Win QB Buck Pierce was great, but awful throwing 2 TDs, and 3 picks. A.C - Anthony Calvillo was standard - 20-35-1-1, while neither running game really not off. He all but completed the comeback last week, and yet, most importantly, stayed on his feet and survived until week 2 with a little revenge now in place as the Bombers showed they can compete among the elite. They were a slight dog in opening week, now turned into a TD on the road despite the close game.

      I like the Bombers got fortunate in Game 1. The Al's are all that and the bucket of chicken as many people like to believe, with the motivation that the Bomber want to be competitive again with a healthy QB being sketchy at best.

      The Play

      Montreal -7 - 4x
      Mon/Win under 54 - 1x
      Comment
      • drfunkmaster
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-29-08
        • 11162

        #1858
        congrats on the under... wow. unreal...
        Comment
        • EmceeDusty
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-24-08
          • 471

          #1859
          Originally posted by Donna652
          Good luck tonight. I'm on the other side however with the Lions +6.5.


          Oakley Sunglasses






          Where did you get Lions +6.5? Some bookie in Iraq?
          Comment
          • xraygord
            SBR MVP
            • 09-18-09
            • 2599

            #1860
            Montreal were shit. Those sacks must have taken a toll on Cavillo, he couldn't get anything going.

            We will make it back tonight and tomorrow.
            Comment
            • BetterBizness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-20-06
              • 5737

              #1861
              Calgary Stampeders @ Saskatchewan Roughriders - 2 - O/U 54 - TSN (Can), ESPN3 (US)
              Head to Head 2012 - 3-1
              Sask 38 @ Cal 41 (Wk4)
              Cal 17 @ Sask 10 (Wk9)
              Cal 25 @ Sask 30 (Wk13)
              Sask 30 @ Cal 36 (West Semis)

              Saskatchewan Roughriders 2013 Schedule (Most Recent First)
              Sask 39 @ Edm 19 Over 54
              Calgary Stampeders 2013 Schedule (Most Recent First)
              BC 32 @ Cal 44 Over 54


              After 1 whole game of analysis, we can determine that Calgary is good, and Saskatchewan is good. The question this early on in the season, is who beat up on the better team? You have to think that the Eskimos looked extra special bad getting behind early and often, while BC after losing last week look great against the Grey Cup champs. The Edge just on 1 week of scheduling goes clearly to the Stamps.


              Cal RB Cornish had a fantastic game on the ground with 172 yards and 2 TD’s, as did QB Drew Tate throwing 3 TD’s to just 1 Int. Sask QB Durant was 14-22 with 3 TD’s and 0 Int’s, while RB Kory Sheets had 131 yards on the ground with 1 TD on the road in Edmonton.


              I like Calgary to win Straight Up, and unlike the 2 Thursday games, some scoring. I think the plays correlate together nicely as if the game does go over, it favors Calgary, and Drew Tate will likely have a 300+ yard game. I don’t see the line getting there, and the total hasn’t moved at all, but also 3 of 4 games last year went over 54 so I like it equally as much as I do the winner.


              The Play
              Calgary ML +110 - 2 x
              Calgary/Sask Over 54 – 2 x
              Comment
              • BetterBizness
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-20-06
                • 5737

                #1862
                Originally posted by EmceeDusty
                Where did you get Lions +6.5? Some bookie in Iraq?
                Lions +6.5 = -10000
                Comment
                • BetterBizness
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-20-06
                  • 5737

                  #1863
                  Small play out of the Blue as the Eskimos couldn't stink it up worse it they tried..

                  3x Edm ML +275
                  5x Edm/Ham Over 55
                  Comment
                  • xraygord
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-18-09
                    • 2599

                    #1864
                    I hope that's a homer bet.

                    I laid a nice wager on HAM ML. You got me scared now.

                    Let's hope there is a lot of scoring anyway.
                    Comment
                    • drfunkmaster
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-29-08
                      • 11162

                      #1865
                      Originally posted by BetterBizness
                      Small play out of the Blue as the Eskimos couldn't stink it up worse it they tried..

                      3x Edm ML +275
                      5x Edm/Ham Over 55
                      these bets look real good.. rain, plus hamilton cant kick a fg, and that defense who could not block the run just now.. penetrate hamilton will lose straight up.
                      Comment
                      • TwoWays
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-24-10
                        • 13145

                        #1866
                        That team in black, the Ticats, can't get out of their own way, lol.
                        Comment
                        • drfunkmaster
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-29-08
                          • 11162

                          #1867
                          Originally posted by TwoWays
                          That team in black, the Ticats, can't get out of their own way, lol.
                          Yeah that team in black is correct... that QB is also wearing black under his his black outfit. that modderfocker and his receivers are too busy with vasoline on thier hands who cant catch a pass. punt receivers too busy as well. MODDERFOCKERS!!!!!!!!!!! Hamilton getting beat down by a bunch of pussies... WHY the hell GANT on his knees saying a prayer...its gonna take more than a prayer. that TD a little too late focking genius..
                          Comment
                          • drfunkmaster
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-29-08
                            • 11162

                            #1868
                            over was the right side.
                            Comment
                            • xraygord
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-18-09
                              • 2599

                              #1869
                              Well I am down today. lol
                              Comment
                              • EmceeDusty
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 08-24-08
                                • 471

                                #1870
                                Good call on the Edmonton ML. To bad about the over not hitting, I got smashed for 7 units on Hamilton. First few weeks are always tough as dont really get a good feel for the teams until week 4 or 5.
                                Comment
                                • TwoWays
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 13145

                                  #1871
                                  Originally posted by EmceeDusty
                                  Good call on the Edmonton ML. To bad about the over not hitting, I got smashed for 7 units on Hamilton. First few weeks are always tough as dont really get a good feel for the teams until week 4 or 5.
                                  Can you believe Hamilton imploded? Seemed like Edmonton's gameplan with this weak qb was to just play conservative and punt the ball, and yet somehow Hamilton ended up getting blown out. lol.
                                  Comment
                                  • BetterBizness
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-20-06
                                    • 5737

                                    #1872
                                    Actually homer plays I leave alone, let alone for 300 on the ML...

                                    This was more about Hamilton being Hamilton than anything else. Esks I thought would make it close, but I really thought, or hoped, that I'd freeroll on the over and hope the esks pull it out... Turned out it was the other way around, and if not for Burris being ancient I might have had both... oh well, think I'm now down just slightly on the week...
                                    Comment
                                    • Pick'nParlays
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-22-08
                                      • 3134

                                      #1873
                                      Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                      Actually homer plays I leave alone, let alone for 300 on the ML...

                                      This was more about Hamilton being Hamilton than anything else. Esks I thought would make it close, but I really thought, or hoped, that I'd freeroll on the over and hope the esks pull it out... Turned out it was the other way around, and if not for Burris being ancient I might have had both... oh well, think I'm now down just slightly on the week...
                                      Comment
                                      • EmceeDusty
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-24-08
                                        • 471

                                        #1874
                                        Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                        Actually homer plays I leave alone, let alone for 300 on the ML...

                                        This was more about Hamilton being Hamilton than anything else. Esks I thought would make it close, but I really thought, or hoped, that I'd freeroll on the over and hope the esks pull it out... Turned out it was the other way around, and if not for Burris being ancient I might have had both... oh well, think I'm now down just slightly on the week...

                                        Good job only being down slightly on the week i lost 10 units this week lol.
                                        Comment
                                        • BetterBizness
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-20-06
                                          • 5737

                                          #1875
                                          Can't log in with my laptop for some reason...

                                          Going to call it road team until they tell me otherwise...

                                          2x Sask +2
                                          Comment
                                          • TwoWays
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-24-10
                                            • 13145

                                            #1876
                                            cfl is so soft. Those refs call major penalties for the slightest touch. I've never seen anything like this.
                                            Comment
                                            • xraygord
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-18-09
                                              • 2599

                                              #1877
                                              Nice call Biz. Had the OVER also.

                                              Nice way to start the week.
                                              Comment
                                              • BetterBizness
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-20-06
                                                • 5737

                                                #1878
                                                Again I had problems getting in. Finally rebooted the mofo and it worked.

                                                Since the game started taking Calgary/Mon Live Bet 365

                                                over 52.5 for 3x

                                                This is right as the Als are up 7-0 with 7 min left in the first.
                                                Comment
                                                • BetterBizness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                  • 5737

                                                  #1879
                                                  BC Lions -3.5 @ Edmonton Eskimos - O/U 49.5 - TSN (Can), ESPN2(US)
                                                  Head toHead 2012 – BC 2-1
                                                  Edm 27@BC 14 (Wk4)
                                                  BC 19@Edm 18 (Wk13)
                                                  Edm 19@BC 39(Wk 17)

                                                  BC 2013Schedule (Most recent first)
                                                  Tor 16@BC 24 Under 49.5
                                                  BC 32@Cal 44 Over 49.5

                                                  EdmontonEskimos 2013 Schedule (Mostrecent first)
                                                  Edm 30@Ham 20 Over 49.5
                                                  Sask 39@Edm 18 Over 49.5



                                                  The big story tonight is Edm QB Mike Reilly facing his formerteam. After a considerably better effort last week going 14-22-136 with 2 TD’sand no INT’s, the scary part is that the Eskimos haven’t yet found a lot ofchemistry thus far in the passing game. Edm RB Charles has 11 carries for 119 yards last week, and Reillyhimself ran for 54. This could still be a number of weeks before the Eskimosreally open up the passing game but as it stands, the priority is clearlyestablishing the run before the pass early in the season.


                                                  BC had a much better game as well in week 2 where QB Lulay went20-34 for 249, 1 TD and 1 INT. RB Harris also had his first 100 yard game whichagain is where BC wants to establish themselves. Yes it’s ironic in the CFL teams want toestablish the run first, but in the big open field it’s always a strategy ofcoaches to setup 2nd down and short with all the open space thatreceivers can run in.


                                                  Early in the season this has the makings of a controlled,possession type game that both defenses will be highly motivated as Westernteams playing each other tend to make it a little more personal seeing eachother much more often.

                                                  Edm +3.5 1x
                                                  BC/Edmonton 3 x– Under 49.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                    • 5737

                                                    #1880
                                                    Winnipeg @ Hamilton -5.5 O/U 54.5

                                                    Hate having to pick a winner in this game at all... Small bet on the side, but I love the Bombers containing the Cats in this spot and turning it into an ugly 17-12 game...

                                                    1x Win +5.5
                                                    5x Win/Ham under 54.5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • secueritae
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 10-26-11
                                                      • 397

                                                      #1881
                                                      ugh I'm not sure if the under will cash anymore
                                                      Comment
                                                      • xraygord
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-18-09
                                                        • 2599

                                                        #1882
                                                        Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                                        Winnipeg @ Hamilton -5.5 O/U 54.5

                                                        Hate having to pick a winner in this game at all... Small bet on the side, but I love the Bombers containing the Cats in this spot and turning it into an ugly 17-12 game...

                                                        1x Win +5.5
                                                        5x Win/Ham under 54.5
                                                        Nice call Biz. Wish I was able to get it in. I would have been all over that under also. Had to get up early and drive out to my cottage lot to check the foundation job. Didn't get back until it was too late. I threw down a unit on WPG +5 before I left. So pushed that anyway.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • xraygord
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-18-09
                                                          • 2599

                                                          #1883
                                                          No footbal until Friday. That blows, but at least we are covered for the weekend.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BetterBizness
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-20-06
                                                            • 5737

                                                            #1884
                                                            Toronto Argonauts (1-2) -3.5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-2) - Over/Under 52 - TSN (Can), ESPN2 (US)
                                                            Head to Head 2012 - Tor 2-1


                                                            Win 22 @ Tor 25 (Wk4)
                                                            Tor 29 @ Win 10 (Wk14)
                                                            Win 44 @ Tor 32 (Wk17)


                                                            Toronto Argonauts 2013 Schedule (Most recent first)


                                                            Sask 39@ Tor 28 Over 52
                                                            Tor 16 @ BC 24 – Under 52
                                                            Ham 34 @ Tor 39 – Over 52


                                                            Winnipeg Blue Bombers 2013 Schedule (Most recent first)

                                                            Win 20 @ Ham 25 – Under 52
                                                            Win 19 @ Mon 11 – Under 52
                                                            Mon 38 @ Win 33 – Over 52



                                                            2 teams looking to hit .500 early in the season face off in just the second game at the new stadium in Winnipeg. In even bigger news, Win QB Buck Pierce is playing his 4th straight game after just playing 7 total last year, and just 4 total a couple of seasons ago.


                                                            The reports are also saying he will start using his 7.8 Yards per Rush happy feet to start improvising on the field as he’s been instructed to stay in the pocket through the first 3 games because of his previous injuries. WR Cory Watson also won’t be playing for at least 4 weeks after a hammy injury in practice as also WR Chris Matthews, last years CFL top rookie, and WR Terrance Edwards, who are all on the Injured list, Pierce just might have to throw to himself if the play breaks down in the pocket. All the key injuries the Bombers receiving core are facing have shifted the spread 3.5 points this week for the Argos’. Keep in mind Winnipeg’s Defense thus far has 18 sacks, and would shatter a CFL record if they kept the pace.


                                                            Toronto is still looking for a groove, and getting some heavy backing by the Winnipeg injury report actually doesn’t inspire me much. They have looked bleak at best on both sides of the ball. Yes they are a better team on paper, but that doesn’t mean a lot in the CFL, or sports in general.

                                                            One thing I’m reminded of is with all the injuries the past few years, particularly with their QB, lines used to drop like a rock with 3rd and 4th string QB’s getting their first starts, and Winnipeg would find ways to hang around. Still, I am not thrilled with betting Winnipeg here, but I do like the under quite a bit in an ugly game that includes lots of rushing yards and moving the sticks. I see this one as far from a shootout with the Winnipeg defense playing great, and the Toronto defense needing to step up sooner than later.


                                                            The Play
                                                            Winnipeg +3.5 - 1x
                                                            Tor/Win Under 52 – 3x
                                                            Comment
                                                            • xraygord
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-18-09
                                                              • 2599

                                                              #1885
                                                              Go Bombers!

                                                              The total for CAL & MTL is at 49 right now. Any thoughts on that?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mike Huntertz
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-19-09
                                                                • 11207

                                                                #1886
                                                                Agree with Winterpeg.
                                                                Love Ham/Sasky Over 58
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TwoWays
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                                  • 13145

                                                                  #1887
                                                                  lol, you got jobbed on the under, better. WTF, last 3 minutes lasted about 30min.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                                    • 5737

                                                                    #1888
                                                                    Ending was a joke... The CFL paid me back for putting extra on the Eskimos last week when I got there and it was a black cloud that didn't look like it was leaving.

                                                                    Safety - TD - 2 Point Con... Job...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                                      • 5737

                                                                      #1889
                                                                      Glotz, Goltz, Gzoltz looked good against no defense on the final drive... At least once the excitement of the new place wears off, he won't have to worry much about people booing him since they will all be at home...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                                        • 5737

                                                                        #1890
                                                                        Missed the Calgary game, probably a good thing.. Wow insane comeback...

                                                                        Late game

                                                                        Edm +9 1x
                                                                        Edm/BC Under 48.5 3x
                                                                        Comment
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