Pro-Computer Gambler 2010-2011 LOCK AND LOAD

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  • svenodds
    SBR MVP
    • 09-12-09
    • 1790

    #71
    nice work
    BOL
    Comment
    • therber2
      Restricted User
      • 12-22-08
      • 3715

      #72
      Originally posted by rolybea
      New England play against Buffalo and not the browns...
      Yeap. That's a typo, but the post is set.

      New England plays the Bills guys. Got it?

      Comment
      • hockeybum16
        SBR Rookie
        • 08-12-09
        • 30

        #73
        Can you explain your Jags pick a little more? No faith in Vick?
        Comment
        • therber2
          Restricted User
          • 12-22-08
          • 3715

          #74
          Correction

          Originally posted by therber2

          New England Patriots -14 +105 against the BILLS
          (Take the PATRIOTS -14 for $190 - 10 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
          ...not Browns. Typo.
          Comment
          • therber2
            Restricted User
            • 12-22-08
            • 3715

            #75
            Originally posted by hockeybum16
            Can you explain your Jags pick a little more? No faith in Vick?
            Nothing against Vick. I love the guy. This line smells funny to me, and there is just a lot of value here taking the emotionally charged Jaguars as dogs...
            Comment
            • JosephPavs
              SBR MVP
              • 07-29-10
              • 1660

              #76
              You have been marked
              Comment
              • therber2
                Restricted User
                • 12-22-08
                • 3715

                #77
                Originally posted by svenodds
                nice work
                BOL
                Not yet sven. It is only Wednesday.
                Comment
                • linewiz
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 05-18-10
                  • 234

                  #78
                  Hey Therber. Want to thank you for outstanding work. Winning picks (most important thing of all)...you go to the trouble of breaking them down, which I am sure everyone appreciates. Your comments are laid out for very easy reading (bold, italics, well spaced), and you appear to have a sense of humor, which is a nice bonus. Your efforts are much appreciated.
                  Comment
                  • therber2
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-22-08
                    • 3715

                    #79
                    Originally posted by linewiz
                    Hey Therber. Want to thank you for outstanding work. Winning picks (most important thing of all)...you go to the trouble of breaking them down, which I am sure everyone appreciates. Your comments are laid out for very easy reading (bold, italics, well spaced), and you appear to have a sense of humor, which is a nice bonus. Your efforts are much appreciated.
                    Aw. How nice linewiz. Thanks, and welcome to the thread.

                    PS. The graphics don't mean jack in this game though. I just like to have some organization and clarity. Helps me focus.
                    Comment
                    • linewiz
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 05-18-10
                      • 234

                      #80
                      Originally posted by therber2
                      Aw. How nice linewiz. Thanks, and welcome to the thread.

                      PS. The graphics don't mean jack in this game though. I just like to have some organization and clarity. Helps me focus.
                      Hey Therber. I do have one question. Looking at your NFL picks for this week, you have NE -14 as your strongest play. Yet you also say that you project the final score as 27-13, which would put it right on the line. If it is your best play, shouldn't your projected difference in the final score (in this case 14) show the greatest discrepancy from the spread? In this case, it's right on it.

                      Thanks again for your efforts.
                      Comment
                      • do5000
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-06-08
                        • 853

                        #81
                        no ncaaf picks this week?
                        Comment
                        • peterpan19
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-02-08
                          • 3377

                          #82
                          guess he will post them later today... the PC needs his time for calculations ;-)

                          BOL
                          Comment
                          • hockeybum16
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 08-12-09
                            • 30

                            #83
                            Originally posted by therber2
                            Nothing against Vick. I love the guy. This line smells funny to me, and there is just a lot of value here taking the emotionally charged Jaguars as dogs...

                            Understandable. I respectfully disagree. I just feel like the move to Vick before this game has that motivation factor. I think Vick/Reid will do whatever he can to make sure he wins this game after being named the starter for the year. Jacksonville is not good in my opinion, so I don't really see how they can win this game. But the line does smell a little funny, I wouldn't disagree there.

                            I am also an Eagles fan, so maybe my views are jaded a bit, haha. Good work thought, love the thread, I'll be posting daily.

                            Lot of people are all over this Steelers/Tampa game. Any thoughts? Personally I think it is too close to make a play, the under would be interesting, if anything.
                            Comment
                            • hitman2010
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-03-10
                              • 1465

                              #84
                              Originally posted by linewiz
                              Hey Therber. I do have one question. Looking at your NFL picks for this week, you have NE -14 as your strongest play. Yet you also say that you project the final score as 27-13, which would put it right on the line. If it is your best play, shouldn't your projected difference in the final score (in this case 14) show the greatest discrepancy from the spread? In this case, it's right on it.

                              Thanks again for your efforts.


                              Comment
                              • therber2
                                Restricted User
                                • 12-22-08
                                • 3715

                                #85
                                NCAA FB Week #4

                                ...been. working. in. over.drive. ; pc-needs coolant (a beer)...
                                ...the neuro-net.processing .units. .will .respond to your .requests
                                when .it .feels like .it.

                                NCAAFB WEEK #4

                                NCAAFB 2010(Week 3)

                                Record: +$198.00 (9/18/10) from $20.00 Units (9/11/10)
                                12-7-0 63.1% +9.9 Units
                                TOP PLAYS Record: 2-0 +$120.00 +6 Units

                                NCAAFB 2010(Season record for 2010 Season)
                                Record:$2,328.00 (9/18/10) from $2,000.00 (8/26/10)

                                23-12-0 65.7% +16.4 Units
                                TOP PLAYS Record: 4-0 +$200.00 +10 Units

                                Thoughts: Interesting to note that last week, games that with heavy favorites of -21 or more on the big board went 8-1. Teams these days know they have to run up the score to hold position, instead of taking their foot of the pedal and coasting home.

                                (THURSDAY NIGHT)
                                Pittsburgh +3.5 over Miami
                                (1 UNIT for $22 - bet based on $20 units)
                                (FRIDAY NIGHT) In the Battle of the U’s
                                TCU -17 over SMU
                                (2 UNIT for $44 - bet based on $20 units)


                                ****Top PLAYS*****
                                Missouri -20 over Miami of Ohio
                                (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)
                                Maryland -11 over Florida International
                                (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)
                                Iowa -28 over Ball State
                                (3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)

                                JUST MISSED GROUP…

                                Middle Tennessee -2.5 over Louisiana Lafayette
                                (2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units)
                                Idaho -7 over Colorado State
                                (2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units)

                                THE ONE UNIT PLAYS -The rest of the herd…

                                Georgia Tech -8.5 over North Carolina State
                                (1 UNITS for $22 - bet based on $20 units)
                                Ohio State -42.5 over Eastern Michigan
                                (1 UNITS for $22 - bet based on $20 units)
                                North Carolina Pick over Rutgers
                                (1 UNITS for $22 - bet based on $20 units)
                                Troy 10.5 over Arkansas
                                (1 UNITS for $22 - bet based on $20 units)
                                Oregon -11.5 over Arizona St.
                                (1 UNITS for $22 - bet based on $20 units)
                                Comment
                                • therber2
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 12-22-08
                                  • 3715

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by peterpan19
                                  guess he will post them later today... the PC needs his time for calculations ;-)

                                  BOL
                                  The duo core ain't so duo maybe...heh.
                                  Comment
                                  • VegasPlayer
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-27-09
                                    • 3676

                                    #87
                                    Nice observation on the run up factor
                                    Comment
                                    • linewiz
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 05-18-10
                                      • 234

                                      #88
                                      Thanks Therber...will put a small play on Pitt + points tonight, and then take a crack at your Saturday top plays. Here's to your continued success.
                                      Comment
                                      • therber2
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 12-22-08
                                        • 3715

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                        Nice observation on the run up factor
                                        Thanks VegasPlayer. Always nice to hear from you. Where are you posting plays now?

                                        By the way, I don't have a problem if anyone want to post lock and load plays of their own in here.

                                        Comment
                                        • A's Fan
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 07-26-10
                                          • 513

                                          #90
                                          picks look solid for the weekend
                                          Comment
                                          • therber2
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 12-22-08
                                            • 3715

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by A's Fan
                                            picks look solid for the weekend
                                            Thanks brutha. Let's hope all goes well. The first two weeks were boring.
                                            Comment
                                            • Aussiecapper101
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-04-10
                                              • 2220

                                              #92
                                              GL with your plays therber
                                              Comment
                                              • therber2
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 12-22-08
                                                • 3715

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
                                                GL with your plays therber
                                                Thanks; a few more plays later....stay tuned.
                                                Comment
                                                • therber2
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 12-22-08
                                                  • 3715

                                                  #94
                                                  Nfl addons

                                                  NFL WEEK #3 ADDONS

                                                  After some observation of line moves and internal affairs we have decided upon several additional plays. This is a big week. As I mentioned before, you are going to make sure that your base unit is 1% or less; no more.

                                                  For NFL Week #3 I am ADDING:

                                                  6pt. Teaser ATL Falcons +10.5 and the
                                                  NO/ATL under 56
                                                  (Take the TEASER -110 for $33 - 1.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
                                                  -Already have ATL booked for a unit. Don't go for more than that..

                                                  Minnesota Vikings -11 over the Detroit Lions
                                                  (Take the VIKINGS -110 for $66 – 3 UNITS bet based on $20 units)
                                                  Favre and company are now 0-2. They have to prove they are for real, and beat up on somebody….Enter the poor Detroit Lions. Minnesota simply has their number, beating the Lions 20 out of the last 21 games. Adrian Peterson will easily have a huge game, which will set up play-action and short-yardage opportunities for Brett Favre. As if he'll need them. Detroit's secondary is an abomination, as they are currently ranked 31st in that department, allowing 9.5 yards per pass attempt. Detroit is stuck with Shawn Hill in the quarterback position, and he young, inexperienced, and he isn’t Stafford.


                                                  Tampa Bay Bucs +3 over the Pittsburgh Steelers
                                                  (Take the BUCS -120 for $36 – 1.5 UNITS bet based on $20 units)

                                                  Arizona Cardinals -4.5 over the Oakland Raiders
                                                  (Take the CARDINALS -110 for $33 – 1.5 UNITS bet based on $20 units)


                                                  For NFL Week #3 I am RE-TAPPING:

                                                  Tennessee Titans +3 +100 against the Giants

                                                  (Take the TITANS +3 for $40 - 2 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
                                                  ***This is now a total of 3 units on the Titans***
                                                  Additional thoughts: One of the best plays over the years, is to bet against the loser of Monday Night Football. The Manning brothers match-up was way over hyped, and the Giants looked horrible. The Titans are 20-12 ATS in the underdog roll over the last couple of years…and we love the dogs..The Titans were sloppy in their loss last week, and will be re-focused this week as they are the better defense limiting the Steelers last week to only 78 yards on the ground. Tennessee simply out played Pittsburgh last week in their loss, but were extremely sloppy. (My condolences if you bet the Titans last Sunday… you got screwed) Vince Young also has the better offense, and they are getting a gift field goal in the spread.


                                                  Dallas Cowboys +3 over the Houston Texans
                                                  (Take the COWBOYS -110 for $66 – 1.5 UNITS bet based on $20 units)
                                                  ***This is now 3 units total on the Cowboys***
                                                  Additional thoughts: This is a must-win game for them. If they're 0-3 going into their bye, they risk falling two games behind everyone in the NFC East. Jerry Jones’ Team can’t afford to be 0-3. The Texans embarrassed the Cowgirls in a nationally televised preseason contest; the revenge factor is in play. This is the first time Houston has been favored in this rivalry. Look at the point spread, the books are baiting the public into betting Houston. Everyone is high on Houston and down on the Cowboys. If Vegas really wanted equal action, they would have made Houston -4.5 or -5. We warned you last week about Dallas, again it’s one of the teams we are in sync with.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Aussiecapper101
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-04-10
                                                    • 2220

                                                    #95
                                                    TCU TD! finish them off now..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • therber2
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 12-22-08
                                                      • 3715

                                                      #96
                                                      Push

                                                      Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
                                                      TCU TD! finish them off now..
                                                      TCU at 8:14TCUSMU Ross Evans extra point MISSED.
                                                      PUSH!!

                                                      ...that's college.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • nuck44
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 07-24-10
                                                        • 117

                                                        #97
                                                        Wow, great thread and impressive record, plan on following.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • peterpan19
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-02-08
                                                          • 3377

                                                          #98
                                                          so big for ya, almost 40 units out there
                                                          And its a do or break week I guess

                                                          and a push is better than a loss, just imagine you got a bad line and had 18 or 17.5
                                                          GL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Aussiecapper101
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-04-10
                                                            • 2220

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by therber2
                                                            TCU at 8:14TCUSMU Ross Evans extra point MISSED.
                                                            PUSH!!

                                                            ...that's college.
                                                            Be happy with the push brudda cos i got screwed -17.5 let get em tonight
                                                            Comment
                                                            • do5000
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 06-06-08
                                                              • 853

                                                              #100
                                                              FIU/MD is a nail biter!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Aussiecapper101
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-04-10
                                                                • 2220

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by do5000
                                                                FIU/MD is a nail biter!
                                                                I cant handle it either
                                                                Comment
                                                                • therber2
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 12-22-08
                                                                  • 3715

                                                                  #102
                                                                  $$$

                                                                  the top plays.

                                                                  TOP PLAYS Record: 7-0 +$380.00 +19 Units

                                                                  $$$$$
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Aussiecapper101
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-04-10
                                                                    • 2220

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Nice work!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • linewiz
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 05-18-10
                                                                      • 234

                                                                      #104
                                                                      3-0 on your big plays today, Therber. Well done. Your record speaks for itself.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • A's Fan
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 07-26-10
                                                                        • 513

                                                                        #105
                                                                        what do you think about cowboys +2.5 +102, or should I pass since I couldnt get it at +3

                                                                        I see you got +3 at -110 but Im not sure how many cents that 1/2 point is worth, I know its pretty darn valuable.
                                                                        Comment
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