Im sorry I am just getting back here. Its my daughters bday so we had plans this morning and I wasnt able to access board on my phone. After seeing the Syracuse line move back the other way I stayed away from it. It no longer qualifies at RLM. I did play Arkansas St and Vandy. Had I been able to access computer I would have also played Illinois as there was RLM in that one closer to game time.
RLM
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packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#316Comment -
packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#317Week 7 As of now
South Florida +10 L (Lost by 4pts)(Line went from +11.5 to +10 with 66% WVU)
Vanderbilt +14 (Line went from +16.5 to +14 with 64% on Georgia) 19K Wagers
Arkansas St +9.5 (Line went from +14 to +9.5 with 72% on Indiana) 6,000
Illinois +6.5 (Line went from +7.5 to +6.5 (key #) w. 73% on Mich State) 39,000
*No play on Syracuse bc the line changed back to +2.5 closer to gametime.
6pm Kentucky +5.5 (Line went from +6.5 to +5.5 w. 71% on South Carolina) 27k
7pm Wisconsin +4 (Line went from +6 to +4 with 73% on Ohio St) 31K
8pm San Diego St +1 (Line went from +3.5 to +1 with 69% on Air Force) 14K
** Looking like a no play Miss St +9 (Line went from +9.5 to +9 with 75% on Florida) 22K
Washington -2 (Line went from +1.5 to -2 with 65% on Oregon St) 15K
Hawaii +6.5 (Line went from +8.5 to +6.5 with 58% on Nevada) 16KComment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#318I bet Pit but only 1 unit and put 2 units on VandyWhy can't they score? I skipped Ark St but did a teaser with them and the over so I need some serious points scored in the 4th quarter. Starting off slow but I like the later games; Kentucky, Wis, etc.
I looked at Ill and almost posted it as a play but the line move was only 1 point and we want at least 1.5 move so I opted not to bet it. Right now Mich St is covering.
Sh*t!! GA scored again...it's 36-0. That game is toast.Comment -
dogs1972SBR Wise Guy
- 11-22-09
- 509
#319Are we suppose to fade these? Is that how the system works?Comment -
QuantumLeapSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-22-08
- 6883
#320Im sorry I am just getting back here. Its my daughters bday so we had plans this morning and I wasnt able to access board on my phone. After seeing the Syracuse line move back the other way I stayed away from it. It no longer qualifies at RLM. I did play Arkansas St and Vandy. Had I been able to access computer I would have also played Illinois as there was RLM in that one closer to game time.
We have another game Navy/SMU. Navy started out at -2, went down to PK and now is back up to -1 1/2. Might be something to look out for.Comment -
dogs1972SBR Wise Guy
- 11-22-09
- 509
#321Week 7 As of now
South Florida +10 L (Lost by 4pts)(Line went from +11.5 to +10 with 66% WVU)
Vanderbilt +14 (Line went from +16.5 to +14 with 64% on Georgia) 19K Wagers
Arkansas St +9.5 (Line went from +14 to +9.5 with 72% on Indiana) 6,000
Illinois +6.5 (Line went from +7.5 to +6.5 (key #) w. 73% on Mich State) 39,000
*No play on Syracuse bc the line changed back to +2.5 closer to gametime.
6pm Kentucky +5.5 (Line went from +6.5 to +5.5 w. 71% on South Carolina) 27k
7pm Wisconsin +4 (Line went from +6 to +4 with 73% on Ohio St) 31K
8pm San Diego St +1 (Line went from +3.5 to +1 with 69% on Air Force) 14K
** Looking like a no play Miss St +9 (Line went from +9.5 to +9 with 75% on Florida) 22K
Washington -2 (Line went from +1.5 to -2 with 65% on Oregon St) 15K
Hawaii +6.5 (Line went from +8.5 to +6.5 with 58% on Nevada) 16KComment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#322
It's up to you to make a play or not. Packbacker is listing early games showing RLM. You need to check the lines game day. I posted today not to play SU and in fact bet on Pitt based on the comeback of the line.
So I'm 4-1 on the day but only up 2 units thanks to Vandy. Huge comeback for me in the Ark St/IU game. Lot's of scoring 4th quarter to give me the Over and the teaser with Ark St and the Over.
So far today RLM is 1-1Comment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#323Week 7 As of now
South Florida +10 L (Lost by 4pts)(Line went from +11.5 to +10 with 66% WVU)
Vanderbilt +14 (Line went from +16.5 to +14 with 64% on Georgia) 19K Wagers
Arkansas St +9.5 (Line went from +14 to +9.5 with 72% on Indiana) 6,000
Illinois +6.5 (Line went from +7.5 to +6.5 (key #) w. 73% on Mich State) 39,000
*No play on Syracuse bc the line changed back to +2.5 closer to gametime.
6pm Kentucky +5.5 (Line went from +6.5 to +5.5 w. 71% on South Carolina) 27k
7pm Wisconsin +4 (Line went from +6 to +4 with 73% on Ohio St) 31K
8pm San Diego St +1 (Line went from +3.5 to +1 with 69% on Air Force) 14K
** Looking like a no play Miss St +9 (Line went from +9.5 to +9 with 75% on Florida) 22K
Washington -2 (Line went from +1.5 to -2 with 65% on Oregon St) 15K
Hawaii +6.5 (Line went from +8.5 to +6.5 with 58% on Nevada) 16K
Kentucky scared me a little because it only ended up with one point of movement. I still went with it...hope they come back. I'm thinking Wis is a big play the line is all they way down to 3.5. Hope they cover! Miss St is off the board. I'm not liking Hawaii right now either. Was still looks good. Let's go Wild Cats!!Comment -
packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#324Looks like Miss State wasnt a bad play after all.Comment -
EXhoosier10SBR MVP
- 07-06-09
- 3122
#325solid day for RLM.Comment -
packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#326Started off rough but finished strong. Wisc and Kentucky...solid upsets.Comment -
spargamentSBR MVP
- 12-22-09
- 1739
#327hope it continues into the was gameComment -
packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#329Generally I use the final line for deciding on RLM. So Syracuse and Miss State were no plays.Comment -
packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#330Week 7
South Florida +10 L (Lost by 4pts)(Line went from +11.5 to +10 with 66% WVU)
Vanderbilt +14 L (Blow Out)(Line went from +16.5 to +14 with 64% on Georgia) 19K Wagers
Arkansas St +9.5 W (Line went from +14 to +9.5 with 72% on Indiana) 6,000
Illinois +6.5 L (Line went from +7.5 to +6.5 (key #) w. 73% on Mich State) 39,000
Kentucky +5.5 W (Outright Win)(Line went from +6.5 to +5.5 w. 71% on South Carolina) 27k
Wisconsin +4 W (Outright Win)(Line went from +6 to +4 with 73% on Ohio St) 31K
San Diego St +1 W (Outright Win)(Line went from +3.5 to +1 with 69% on Air Force) 14K
Washington -1.5 L (Lost by 1/2 pt)(Line went from +1.5 to -2 with 65% on Oregon St) 15K
Hawaii +6.5 W (Line went from +8.5 to +6.5 with 58% on Nevada) 16K
RLM that was missed because line changed close to gametime and I was busy:
Duke +16 W (Line went from +19.5 to +16 with 78% on Miami)
6-4 (60%)
This week reminded me of week 3 when system when 66% just to have it go over 80% for weeks 4, 5, and 6. Lets hope we have a great week next week. Will be posting NFL soon.
And I have to say its pretty exited to pick a game like Wisc on KY when EVERYONE I know was on the other side and they have an outright win.Comment -
Totolover1409SBR MVP
- 06-14-08
- 1400
#3315-3. not badComment -
frpm00SBR Hustler
- 10-01-09
- 59
#3325-4 you forgot the Wash game was a Loss.Comment -
DeluxeLinerSBR MVP
- 01-29-08
- 4132
#333I have no NFL plays for todayComment -
ThaWojSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-09-10
- 6766
#334[FONT=verdana][FONT=verdana]Week 7 As of now
6pm Kentucky +5.5 (Line went from +6.5 to +5.5 w. 71% on South Carolina) 27k
7pm Wisconsin +4 (Line went from +6 to +4 with 73% on Ohio St) 31K
8pm San Diego St +1 (Line went from +3.5 to +1 with 69% on Air Force) 14K
** Looking like a no play Miss St +9 (Line went from +9.5 to +9 with 75% on Florida) 22K
Washington -2 (Line went from +1.5 to -2 with 65% on Oregon St) 15K
Hawaii +6.5 (Line went from +8.5 to +6.5 with 58% on Nevada) 16K
Win 10/16/10 6:00pm College Football 128 Kentucky +6 -118* vs South Carolina
Win 10/16/10 7:00pm College Football 129 Mississippi State +10 -130* vs Florida
Loss 10/16/10 10:15pm College Football 162 Washington U -2½ -110* vs Oregon State
Win 10/16/10 7:00pm College Football 188 Wisconsin +4 -110* vs Ohio State
Win 10/16/10 8:00pm College Football 194 San Diego State +1 -110* vs Air Force
Win 10/16/10 11:30pm College Football 198 Hawaii +7 -125* vs Nevada
fml for doing a parlay but very nice for the people who jumped on these late games and did something else with them. great job packerbacker, i'll look for your posts next saturdayComment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#335Ok I hope I did not talk anyone out of Hawaii last night because that was another big RLM win. I just personally did not want to push my luck any further. Lot's of different views on which games were RLM but I have the final total at 6-3. Nobody was counting Hawaii in the above posts and I did not consider Ill a play since the line moved just 1 point. But some could argue that Kentucky was not a play either because it closed at 5.5. Either way the games I have as winner are: Ark St/KU/Wisc/SD St/Hawaii/Duke. Losers were: Vandy/S. Fla/Was.
Something I will do going forward is bet the ML on a team which goes from dog to fav and stays under the key number of 3. That was a BS loss to take yesterday with Was and I would have finished the day 9-0 after that Vandy loss. Can't complain since I earsed my horrible week and finished with positive units. No more betting during the week for me unless a game shows major RLM and or other angles that support betting it. I have had 2 big Sat in a row but little to show for it.
Interesting thing I'm startign to notice is most of these games that won for us where unranked teams taking on top 25 schools. The public really gets in a bed with those and it gives us as bettors a great opp to take advantage. The books are smart and they killed it yesterday. Might want to start considering taking small ML bets on these too: KU/Wisc/SD St/Hawaii all won SU.Comment -
ThaWojSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-09-10
- 6766
#337
Hopefully cutler is more banged up than what we are being toldComment -
TymmySBR High Roller
- 11-22-09
- 167
#338RLM- N.O./T.B.
Earlier in week N.O -5
N.O. pounded all week, now -4Comment -
wackedSBR Wise Guy
- 01-13-09
- 719
#339The only 2 plays I'm seeing are Seattle and Philly.
69% Chicago, line has moved -1 (-7 to -6)
72% Atlanta, line has moved up to -2 (-3 to -1) Some places still have it at -2.Comment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#340
Sea is a for sure play for me now. Line has dropped to +5.5.Comment -
packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#341For 1pm round the only RLM play I see is Seattle. Also keeping an eye on the 49ers. 1.2 pt RLM so far today with 60% on Oakland. San Fran at home and need a win.
NON RLM game I am watching is Redskins. 74% of of 67,000 wagers on Indy but the line has not moved off +3. Skins at home.
Another game to watch is San Diego. There is NO RLM here but the Pinny line jumped up to -9.5 when it is -8 or -8.5 at every other book. Pinny is a sharp book the way this looks it seems like Pinny wants line shoppers to take St Louis at Pinny. Makes me wonder if they had some serious cash come in on San Diego.Comment -
troutskySBR Wise Guy
- 08-31-10
- 509
#343what website are you guys looking at for these trends? i use scores and odds.
not seeing any real plays except chicago? maybe im looking at this wrong.Comment -
packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#344Seattle +6 (Line went from +7 to +6 with 71% on Chicago)Comment -
packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#347Heading out for a bit but just saw that line in Oak/ SF game has moved a bit more. At Pinny line has gonne from San Fran -6.5 to -7.5 with 60% on Oak. If this stays the same I will probably play SF. Wont be back until after kickoff to update so watch the line up until then.Comment -
packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#348San Fran -7.5Comment -
gvoSBR Sharp
- 10-14-09
- 280
#349this thread is very educational and profitable, thanks packbacker and ggplayer, your hard work and wisdom are greatly appreciated!Comment -
packbacker79Restricted User
- 10-09-10
- 96
#350Seattle +6 W (Line went from +7 to +6 with 71% on Chicago)
San Francisco -7.5 W (Line went from -6.5 to -7.5 with 601% on Oakland)
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