NFL Season Win Totals

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  • durito
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-03-06
    • 13173

    #1
    NFL Season Win Totals
  • slacker00
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-05
    • 12262

    #2
    Where'd you get these lines?


    These look pretty good:
    Cowboys over 9 -115
    Ravens under 8.5 +130
    Bucs under 6.5 +100
    Broncos under 7.5 -150
    Lions over 5 +100
    Colts under 10 -110
    Comment
    • chucksmith
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-06-08
      • 412

      #3
      No way in hell ATL is only over 8 (-135). That is a lock.

      Two teams that will not make the playoffs this year : Tennessee and Carolina
      Comment
      • onthewhat
        Restricted User
        • 05-14-08
        • 15411

        #4
        Just flip coins like everything else

        Dumb to make predictions in June for games in December
        Comment
        • durito
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-03-06
          • 13173

          #5
          Originally posted by onthewhat
          Just flip coins like everything else

          Dumb to make predictions in June for games in December
          How about you book my bets on these then?
          Comment
          • smitch124
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-19-08
            • 12566

            #6
            I was hoping to see a higher Dolphin total but I still like the under even at 7.
            Comment
            • poker_dummy101
              Restricted User
              • 11-03-08
              • 6395

              #7
              Originally posted by durito
              How about you book my bets on these then?
              Not unless you want $10 limits
              Comment
              • SBR Lou
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-02-07
                • 37863

                #8
                Originally posted by chucksmith
                No way in hell ATL is only over 8 (-135). That is a lock.
                Have you seen their schedule?
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82840

                  #9
                  If Atlanta doesn't win 8 games I will shave my legs.
                  Comment
                  • MBENZ
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-07-07
                    • 5238

                    #10
                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                    If Atlanta doesn't win 8 games I will shave my legs.
                    Get your razor sharpened.
                    Comment
                    • smitch124
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-19-08
                      • 12566

                      #11
                      Originally posted by onthewhat
                      Just flip coins like everything else

                      Dumb to make predictions in June for games in December
                      Probably so, but the books keep trying to do it anyway...
                      Comment
                      • durito
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-03-06
                        • 13173

                        #12
                        .
                        Comment
                        • brooks85
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-05-09
                          • 44709

                          #13
                          dont be surprised with atlanta, teams always have 1 great year and then fall into obscurity, and, of course, their schedule does not help.
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            Dolphins total seems low
                            Minny High
                            Giants High
                            Comment
                            • Chuck Sims
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-29-05
                              • 3072

                              #15
                              Originally posted by onthewhat
                              Just flip coins like everything else

                              Dumb to make predictions in June for games in December
                              Square mentality.
                              Comment
                              • xyzky
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-23-07
                                • 1577

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Chuck Sims
                                Square mentality.
                                Comment
                                • brooks85
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-05-09
                                  • 44709

                                  #17
                                  bengals over 6 is great but -160 is no fun. 7 wins shouldn't be a problem tho, week 1(denver), 2(GB) 4(CLE) 5(Balt) 6(hou) 7(chi) 9(balt) 11(oak) 12(cle) 13(DET) 16(KC) 17(jets)

                                  Week 1,4,6,11,12,13 and 16 should get it done


                                  NE 11.5 is high but talk about a soft schedule, nothing new there tho, i can see them getting 13 wins or more depending if ind/NO can hold down home field.
                                  Comment
                                  • alukk
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 1544

                                    #18
                                    Tenesee U 9
                                    Atlanta O 8
                                    Comment
                                    • dreamjob
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-21-09
                                      • 1963

                                      #19
                                      Detroit UNDER 5. That should be a lock. If they win 1 before November I'll be impressed.
                                      Comment
                                      • pavyracer
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-12-07
                                        • 82840

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by brooks85
                                        dont be surprised with atlanta, teams always have 1 great year and then fall into obscurity, and, of course, their schedule does not help.
                                        Atlanta got rid of all the old players in defense like Malloy and Brooking. There are a lot of young players in defense which I'm excited and the offense is improved with the addition of Gonzalez and more mature Ryan. Who's going to stop this powerful offense of Ryan, White, Gonzalez, Jenkins, Turner and Norwood? This is a 30 point offense at every game. Too many weapons. They will have 5-6 wins in the weak south division.
                                        Comment
                                        • MonkeyF0cker
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 06-12-07
                                          • 12144

                                          #21
                                          Pats look overvalued at first glance...
                                          Comment
                                          • slacker00
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-06-05
                                            • 12262

                                            #22
                                            I like the way you guys think. Atlanta Over 8 -135 seems solid. They made all of the right moves this offseason. My only concern is that they won't be sneaking up on anyone.

                                            I'm also with Brooks on the Bengals Over 6 -160. I groaned when I saw the juice, but right it right. The Bengals are good enough to count on them to be around 8-8.

                                            As for defending my Lions over 5 pick, it's an 8-8 league. The Lions were better than their 0-16 record, hanging close in the majority of their games. They have an influx of young talent, thanks to drafting high, a new regime with a new attitude. There's enough talent on this team to win, with Culpepper, Megatron & weapons on offense. The defense needs an attitude adjustment, but there's talent there too if Schwartz can get it ironed out. I'm not saying the Lions are playoff bound like the Dolphins managed after going 1-15, but 6 wins isn't splitting the atom either. The 0-16 will fool a lot of people into thinking the Lions are much worse than they really are.
                                            Comment
                                            • seaborneq
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-08-06
                                              • 22556

                                              #23
                                              Only Uncle Norv can keep the SuperChargers from winning 10 games.
                                              Comment
                                              • HoulihansTX
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-12-09
                                                • 30566

                                                #24
                                                Plays on the Plus side that are my locks.

                                                49er's Under-7 +100
                                                Cheifs Under-6 +100
                                                Ravens Under 8.5 +130
                                                Packers Over-9 +110
                                                Comment
                                                • Rich Boy
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-01-09
                                                  • 9714

                                                  #25
                                                  KC ov 6 looks good
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dark Horse
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-14-05
                                                    • 13764

                                                    #26
                                                    In markets as these public perception may be in the right direction, but it is almost always exaggerated. Plus this is a league of parity. So, in general, I would bet the under for any team that improved their record by 4 games or more last season, and the over for any team that went the wrong way by 4 games or more.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Chi_archie
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-22-08
                                                      • 63172

                                                      #27
                                                      bears should go over 8.5 pretty easy... I think 11-12 wins is a possibility for them
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Chi_archie
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-22-08
                                                        • 63172

                                                        #28
                                                        by the way how did the bears get the Browns on their schedule twice? I had them talking about the bears sched on the radio the other day, and I couldn't understand how they had cleve. twice? and they didn't talk about that aspect....


                                                        the browns had the worst final 6 games i've ever seen any NFL team play consecutively....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shhhhh22
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-30-08
                                                          • 2357

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                                          by the way how did the bears get the Browns on their schedule twice? I had them talking about the bears sched on the radio the other day, and I couldn't understand how they had cleve. twice? and they didn't talk about that aspect....


                                                          the browns had the worst final 6 games i've ever seen any NFL team play consecutively....
                                                          Bengals week 7
                                                          Browns week 8
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Chi_archie
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-22-08
                                                            • 63172

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by shhhhh22
                                                            Bengals week 7
                                                            Browns week 8

                                                            nvermind the its the last game of the exhibition season they were mentioning..... that was the "2nd time they would see the browns"
                                                            Comment
                                                            • slacker00
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-06-05
                                                              • 12262

                                                              #31
                                                              I like the Bears over 8.5 as well. I like the Bears better than the Vikings, in division. No respect for Cutler?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DwightShrute
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-17-09
                                                                • 103488

                                                                #32
                                                                49ers over 7
                                                                dolphins over 7
                                                                Jets under 7
                                                                cowboys under 9
                                                                texans over 8
                                                                Comment
                                                                • WileOut
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-04-07
                                                                  • 3844

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Pavy the weak south? Carolina made the conference semi's, we know about Atlanta, NO best offense of all time perhaps with a decent defense too, and TB is always a contender.

                                                                  I'm the biggest Falcons fan in the world but we will struggle to get to 8 wins. Hardest schedule in the NFL. Our defense is going to be completely lit up every game.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • slacker00
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-06-05
                                                                    • 12262

                                                                    #34
                                                                    WileOut, good point on the strength of schedule. You guys should take a look when deciding your picks!

                                                                    1. Miami Dolphins 152 104 0 .594
                                                                    2. Carolina Panthers 151 104 1 .592
                                                                    3. New England Patriots 151 105 0 .590
                                                                    4. Atlanta Falcons 150 105 1 .588
                                                                    5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 148 107 1 .580
                                                                    6. Buffalo Bills 146 110 0 .570
                                                                    7. New York Jets 145 110 1 .568
                                                                    8. New Orleans Saints 142 113 1 .557
                                                                    9. Philadelphia Eagles 137 119 0 .535
                                                                    10. New York Giants 134 120 2 .527
                                                                    11. Dallas Cowboys 131 123 2 .516
                                                                    11. Jacksonville Jaguars 132 124 0 .516
                                                                    13. Indianapolis Colts 131 125 0 .512
                                                                    14. Tennessee Titans 130 126 0 .508
                                                                    15. Houston Texans 129 126 1 .506
                                                                    16. Washington Redskins 125 129 2 .492
                                                                    17. Kansas City Chiefs 123 131 2 .484
                                                                    17. San Diego Chargers 123 131 2 .484
                                                                    19. Denver Broncos 122 132 2 .480
                                                                    19. Oakland Raiders 122 132 2 .480
                                                                    21. Detroit Lions 119 136 1 .467
                                                                    22. Cincinnati Bengals 119 137 0 .465
                                                                    22. St. Louis Rams 119 137 0 .465
                                                                    24. Seattle Seahawks 117 139 0 .457
                                                                    25. Cleveland Browns 114 140 2 .449
                                                                    26. San Francisco 49ers 113 142 1 .443
                                                                    27. Arizona Cardinals 113 143 0 .441
                                                                    28. Baltimore Ravens 111 143 2 .438
                                                                    29. Pittsburgh Steelers 110 144 2 .434
                                                                    30. Green Bay Packers 109 146 1 .428
                                                                    31. Minnesota Vikings 107 148 1 .420
                                                                    32. Chicago Bears 105 149 2 .414


                                                                    Check out the Bears at #32!!! Load up on that sucker. 8.5 wins seems like cake for this team, even if they had a mediocre to tough schedule and no Jay Cutler! The Bears are the class of the NFC North at this moment, bar none. I'd also suggest to load up on Vikings if you think Favre is going to Minny, which I sincerely do. Even the Packers are looking possible, suddenly, in my mind with such a weak schedule. Just make sure you believe that their transition will be smooth going to the 3-4 because I think we're in for a rocky ride there. Not to mention I don't really trust our offensive line. Before the draft, I had Bears at 11 wins, Vikings at 10, Packers at 9. Nothing has really changed for me since then.

                                                                    Looking at #1 through #8, we see the NFC South & AFC East. It makes sense to downgrade all of these teams. Jets under 7 +115 & Bills Under 7.5 +130 just looks delicious! The under on Miami & NE also seems sensible, but both of these teams are solid enough to prove me wrong and I need to lay off. I still love Bucs under 6.5 +100, but I guess I'll lay off the Saints, Falcons, Panthers which all hover around 8.5.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mr Nuts
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-22-05
                                                                      • 1383

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Bears should win 10 easy
                                                                      Comment
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